MLB - Saturday, 8/4/18

KANSAS24 · 08-04-18, 07:32 AM

jjgold · 08-04-18, 08:55 AM

Yanks quit
Boone getting fired after season

.pm. · 08-04-18, 10:18 AM

Yankees? Wow. What’s the angle?

thebestthereis · 08-04-18, 10:30 AM

Yankees Sox series are typically tight, I always lean to the dog especially at this price.

KVB · 08-04-18, 10:33 AM

The Contrarian Fund is on the Under in that Yankees game and the Under in Texas.

Yankees and Tigers moneylines are most definitely on the Contrarian radar this morning.

Good Luck LT.

hit_me90 · 08-04-18, 11:10 AM

LT pls total on REDS game

unde0087 · 08-04-18, 11:16 AM

Originally posted by hit_me90

LT pls total on REDS game

which one, there are two of them today

hit_me90 · 08-04-18, 11:19 AM

!st thanks

ikid2groove415 · 08-04-18, 11:23 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Yanks quit
Boone getting fired after season

28 games over 500 is quitting? -_- zZz

LT Profits · 08-04-18, 11:39 AM

Originally posted by .pm.

Yankees? Wow. What’s the angle?

I only get Boston 54% (-117)
I am debuting Adams right at average while I have Eovaldi about 5% above average, so not too much difference there. Yankees have far superior bullpen, offensive splits favor Boston but not by much, about 5%. Add it all up and +142 was great value.

KVB · 08-04-18, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by ikid2groove415

28 games over 500 is quitting? -_- zZz

Apparently so.

LT Profits · 08-04-18, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by hit_me90

LT pls total on REDS game

Game 1 total 10.0 flat

LT Profits · 08-04-18, 11:42 AM

1 MLB Addition

5 MLB Plays Saturday

Yankees +142 (5 Dimes)
Rockies / Brewers UNDER 8.5 +100 (Heritage)
Giants +126 (Heritage)
Tigers +1.5 -135 (Heritage)
Dodgers -123 (5 Dimes)

hit_me90 · 08-04-18, 11:45 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Game 1 total 10.0 flat

thank you mucho

Dogball · 08-04-18, 12:48 PM

Good luck LT and thanks for comments yesterday. Please advise what you get for
pirates and brewers and braves today
thank you

LT Profits · 08-04-18, 01:07 PM

Originally posted by Dogball

Good luck LT and thanks for comments yesterday. Please advise what you get for
pirates and brewers and braves today
thank you

As of now, there is not much to see in any of those games vs. the real lines.

Pittsburgh 53% (-113)
Milwaukee 55% (-122)
Atlanta 52% (-108)

KVB · 08-04-18, 01:09 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

5 MLB Plays Saturday

Yankees +142 (5 Dimes)
Rockies / Brewers UNDER 8.5 +100 (Heritage)
Giants +126 (Heritage)
Tigers +1.5 -135 (Heritage)
Dodgers -123 (5 Dimes)

LT these monyelines you have are all developing themselves as contrarian plays.

We anticipated a positive contrarian market and you may be picking up on some of those inefficiencies that lead to that positive market.

Maybe I throw a side roll at all the contrarian plays, whether they make the Fund or not.

Could be a great day today, LT, but someone always screws us to make a great day just a good day.

Nothing wrong with having a good day.

Dogball · 08-04-18, 01:17 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

As of now, there is not much to see in any of those games vs. the real lines.

Pittsburgh 53% (-113)
Milwaukee 55% (-122)
Atlanta 52% (-108)

thanks. What were your numbers on dodgers that led to a play?
i like it just curious

LT Profits · 08-04-18, 01:39 PM

Originally posted by Dogball

thanks. What were your numbers on dodgers that led to a play?
i like it just curious

Dodgers 58% (-138)
I would NOT bet them at current market as they have shot up to low -140s

KVB · 08-04-18, 01:48 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Dodgers 58% (-138)
I would NOT bet them at current market as they have shot up to low -140s

That was a big game yesterday and both teams got market moving money that competed, keeping that line fairly steady at the end.

Sounds like the kind of game that gets bounced but that is by no means a reason to bet the Dodgers today, but clearly they have been getting bought today.

Looks like money and tickets have been on the Dodgers and that low line may have enticed the money and the market showed with the move.

qtip0711 · 08-04-18, 02:02 PM

Twins / Royals over 9 anybody??

LT Profits · 08-04-18, 02:10 PM

Originally posted by qtip0711

Twins / Royals over 9 anybody??

I lean that way at 9.7

KVB · 08-04-18, 02:14 PM

Originally posted by qtip0711

Twins / Royals over 9 anybody??

Looks like tickets and money on the Over and the books popped to 9 showing it, but now, with the price, show liability and look like they seek the Over.

Tight line there and I think steam piled on at books like Pinny to push it up early today. Scares me bit but I see mixed signals.

Remember, I am coming from a contrarian perspective and from that look KC is developing into a decent looking play.

The books taking bets and money on Minny but barely showing it in the market, if even showing it at all.

KC looking better and better for the contrarian bettor.