Mr. Crumbs Leans for Friday 4/26/09

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #1
    Mr. Crumbs Leans for Friday 4/26/09
    For today's action I like a couple of games. I will be riding the hot wood and hopefully the teams have carry-over effects working in their favor.

    Red Leggins' -105
    Marlins+120
    Pale Hose-110
    Mariners+160

    I will have a few early morning engagements, so I won't be able to give a detailed write up for these games, but most who read this thread know what I look for in a game as I make it clear.

    The Reds picked up 15 hits last night and they will need all of them to beat the Wahoos. Sowers had no business being favored over Harang to begin with. False favorite here. The Red Leggins' get it done.

    The Marlins are hot as shit and will hit the town ready to do battle with the inter-state rival Rays. Johnson is the big gun and he is awesome with a 1.00 WHIP over his last three performances. With an offense like that backing him and also picking up an EXTRA bat due to the game being played in a American League park, all the advantages are with the Marlins.

    Contreas is just sick ater getting recalled after a brief farm stint to work out the kinks. He has a 0.68 WHIP over his last 3 performances, and that is the definition of being in good form. The Pale Hose have hot bats to back him and a winning attitude at home. Wells is good, but I doubt that he can throw the ball past the Pales in this matchup. Besides the Cubs suck in day games and the Pale Hose hate it that they get all of the attention in the city despite being the inferior club.

    When I did the homework for this game, I was taken aback by all of the advantages that Seattle has in this game yet they are listed as a huge dog. The Dodgers don't have theedge in ANYTHING including starting pitcher WHIP. The M's have HEAVY advantages in batting average (.343 to .217)and slugging% (.571 to .322) over the last three games coming nto this one. Their bullpen is even performing better. I am gonna have to get me some of those crumbs!

    As always, good luck gentlemen.
  • JumpoffJoeBeezy
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-17-08
    • 928

    #2
    Really like all those plays... Also like Angels RL..
    Comment
    • Rolyrock
      SBR Rookie
      • 05-22-09
      • 23

      #3
      Like the Marlins, good pick.
      Comment
      • Jimbo42
        SBR MVP
        • 01-04-09
        • 2076

        #4
        White Sox! Me too..
        Comment
        • jellobiafra
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-08-09
          • 6291

          #5
          I'm playing a lot of games today. Won some bank on the ponies yesterday. Hit a $980 trifecta courtesy of GMS325 on therxforum....8th race at HP.... his 2nd selection went off at 75/1 and the horse actually finished 2nd. His 1st selection finished 3rd and his 3rd finished 1st to complete the monster trifecta box. He had the super too if you boxed his top 3 over his 4th. Super paid almost 4K! I didn't play it, but I'll take the extra $1000 he made me.

          So I felt like going a little crazy today and I played:

          BOS/ATL under 8
          CHC/CWS under 9
          FLA/TAM under 8
          PHI -124
          CIN +102
          DET -124
          STL -150


          Good luck everybody!
          Comment
          • hockeytown71
            SBR Hustler
            • 02-21-09
            • 95

            #6
            early game:
            CUBS/CWS UNDER 9
            Comment
            • mojomaker11
              Restricted User
              • 01-05-09
              • 286

              #7
              you made me money in the past, parlayed your plays with marlins/rays over 8.5

              75$ to win 3500$
              Comment
              • BlackMan
                SBR Rookie
                • 11-12-08
                • 13

                #8
                Originally posted by mojomaker11
                you made me money in the past, parlayed your plays with marlins/rays over 8.5

                75$ to win 3500$
                Fail.
                Comment
                • thegenix
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 11-14-08
                  • 339

                  #9
                  I see Millwood and the Rangers at -230 in my book. Why the hell is he getting a line like this? Makes me want to put a unit on Silva +210...
                  Comment
                  • dudebrah
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 06-06-09
                    • 4

                    #10
                    I know you picked cinci but the lines i'm getting are these:
                    cinci +1.5 -200
                    clev -1.5 +170
                    cinci ML -105
                    clev ML -110

                    to me this looks like the public is betting heavily on cinci not losing by 2 or more but when it comes to straight up, public is ambivalent (e.g. the odds are fairly even). to me the smart play is clev +170 (maybe 0.5 or 1 unit) given the public's hesitation in favouring either team on the ML...

                    make sense? i'm a noob so feel free to flame away
                    Comment
                    • mojomaker11
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-05-09
                      • 286

                      #11
                      Originally posted by BlackMan
                      Fail.

                      yeah thats why i went 4/5 on 120$ worth of parlays for over $14000 four days ago. Go ahead and comment, I have a 9500$ bank wire coming my way.
                      Comment
                      • xxdjstriderxx
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-25-08
                        • 4740

                        #12
                        mojo....i dont think $120 worth of parlays can make you 14,000 unless you were doing some crazy shit like 10 teamers for $25 each

                        id like to see proof of this and the bank wire.
                        Comment
                        • mojomaker11
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-05-09
                          • 286

                          #13
                          This is the biggest win. Yes they were all like 5-8 teamers with about 20-40$ on them totaling 114$. Yes I got lucky as hell. No I don't care if anyone believes me.
                          Attached Files
                          Comment
                          • JustFlipACoin
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 05-21-09
                            • 92

                            #14
                            nice one mojo!
                            Comment
                            • ram1502
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-26-08
                              • 822

                              #15
                              Reds, CWS, Mariners, Blue Jays, Rockies, and Tex/SD U 10.5 for me. GL All.
                              Comment
                              • djpremier36
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-11-08
                                • 3479

                                #16
                                CHC/CWS under 9

                                SF/MIL under 3.5 1st 5

                                NYM +1.5 -110 (small)

                                HOU +106

                                SEA +155
                                Comment
                                • JGILL50
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-31-08
                                  • 836

                                  #17
                                  Houston seems like a good play (no homer) wandy at home with some good line movement already
                                  Comment
                                  • The_Kid
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-09-08
                                    • 5049

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by thegenix
                                    I see Millwood and the Rangers at -230 in my book. Why the hell is he getting a line like this? Makes me want to put a unit on Silva +210...
                                    That caught my attention too. Never thought I'd see Milwood at that price.
                                    Comment
                                    • OjoZ RojoZ
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 06-18-09
                                      • 120

                                      #19
                                      Good Luck Crumbs.
                                      Pull out your brain and use only your eyes...

                                      Comment
                                      • cocknocker
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-06-08
                                        • 8001

                                        #20
                                        That price for Millwood is too steep in my opinion as well. There are better games on the board that make much more economic sense than that game.
                                        Comment
                                        • ragiche
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-09-08
                                          • 3110

                                          #21
                                          My plays for tonight,all booked.

                                          Redbirds RL (2x) My pick.

                                          Marlins ML (3x) Tailing CK.

                                          Sea RRL (3x) Tailing CK.

                                          Redleggins ML (3x) Tailing CK.

                                          Atl ML (2x) My pick.

                                          Det RL (3x) My pick.

                                          Kc RL (2x) My pick.

                                          Rockies ML (2x) My pick.

                                          GL for tonights' game guys. I going out for awhile.Be back later.
                                          Comment
                                          • jellobiafra
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-08-09
                                            • 6291

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by jellobiafra
                                            BOS/ATL under 8
                                            CHC/CWS under 9
                                            FLA/TAM under 8
                                            PHI -124
                                            CIN +102
                                            DET -124
                                            STL -150


                                            Good luck everybody!
                                            I added KC -127. Meche (disregarding his last start) has been just about their best pitcher in June.
                                            Comment
                                            • kornixxxx
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 06-07-09
                                              • 63

                                              #23
                                              played marlins and marines ! GL
                                              Comment
                                              • Dexter
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 12-24-08
                                                • 25829

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by mojomaker11
                                                This is the biggest win. Yes they were all like 5-8 teamers with about 20-40$ on them totaling 114$. Yes I got lucky as hell. No I don't care if anyone believes me.
                                                dude....no one gives a shit. go boast somewhere else. we talk sports and handicapp games over here.

                                                good job expanding page 1 like that
                                                Comment
                                                • Dexter
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-24-08
                                                  • 25829

                                                  #25
                                                  Friday 6/26-

                                                  (3x) - reds +100 - harang has a 1.62/1.14 L3, and a 2.24/1.16 career vs the indians. the reds are 6-2 in those games. sowers has a 6.91/1.75 L3, and a 8.55/1.55 career vs cincy. the indians are 1-3 in those starts.

                                                  (1x) - braves +110 - beckett just shutout the braves in boston on 6/20. quick turnaround should have the braves seeking revenge at home.

                                                  (2x) - under rays 8/-110 - johnson has a 2.74/1.00 L3, and shields a 3.20/1.17

                                                  (1x) - astros +1.5/-140 (A2)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Flight
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 01-28-09
                                                    • 1979

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                    Red Leggins' -105
                                                    Joey Votto is back, Aaron Harang on the mound. I am taking the Red Legs RRL for +165.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dexter
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                      • 25829

                                                      #27
                                                      friggin dp with the bases loaded 1 out ck...5-4 cubs
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cocknocker
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-06-08
                                                        • 8001

                                                        #28
                                                        F*ckin' Pierzynski-whore..How can you hit into a double play?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Flight
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 01-28-09
                                                          • 1979

                                                          #29
                                                          If we are talking about hot teams, this thread has to mention the Detroit Tigers. Verlander's line is around -115 facing Wandy Rodriguez at Houston. After sweeping the Brewers and the Cubs, I look for the Tigers to continue dominating the NL Central tonight.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Panekkkk
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-12-09
                                                            • 2430

                                                            #30
                                                            F*ing Pierzynski is right ... He hit a 3-run bomb two days back that gave the Whitesox the win and ****ed me. Now when I'm on the sox he blows it. And on the first pitch .... Wanted to be the hero again.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cocknocker
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 11-06-08
                                                              • 8001

                                                              #31
                                                              And the waterboys are coming up in the bottom of the 9th. Why didn't that muthaf*cka at least take a few pitches to get his timing down against Marshall? This one's OVA!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Panekkkk
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-12-09
                                                                • 2430

                                                                #32
                                                                He wanted to be the hero again CK. No doubt about it.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DeeWizzle
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-08-09
                                                                  • 3316

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Thanks Aj
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • cocknocker
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 11-06-08
                                                                    • 8001

                                                                    #34
                                                                    F*ckin' AJ Hoe-zinski. Goddam dog made it a break even game for me when it looked so good for the victory with the bases jacked and one out...Oh well, time to move onto other things....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • xxdjstriderxx
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-25-08
                                                                      • 4740

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by mojomaker11
                                                                      This is the biggest win. Yes they were all like 5-8 teamers with about 20-40$ on them totaling 114$. Yes I got lucky as hell. No I don't care if anyone believes me.
                                                                      wow congrats. your book must be sick.
                                                                      Comment
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