2018 - RL Chase for Baseball

[Looking4Winners]

SYSTEM #1

Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL (lose by 2 or more runs).
Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL, if favorite take the ML.

2018 System to Date: 95-7 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +22.3518 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 0

G1 - (A) 60-42
G2 - (B) 26-16
G3 - (C) 9-7
Losses - Orioles (-8.93), Dodgers (-16.07), Orioles (- 7.733), Mets (-9.11), Orioles (-12.2552), Royals (-9.64), White Sox (-9.512)

Post #56 (Plays prior to April 27th)
Post #136 (Plays from April 27th to May 31st)
Post #240 (June Plays)

July 1st: Orioles WON A Bet , Dodgers WON A Bet , Mets WON A Bet , Cardinals WON A Bet
July 3rd: Diamondbacks WON A Bet
July 5th: Padres WON A Bet
July 6th: Pirates LOST A Bet , Tigers WON A Bet Braves WON A Bet
July 7th: Pirates LOST B Bet , Orioles WON A Bet
July 8th: Pirates WON C Bet
July 9th: Royals LOST A Bet
July10th: Royals WON B Bet , Indians LOST A Bet
July 11th: Indians WON B Bet
July 13th: Rangers WON A Bet
July 14th: Tigers LOST A Bet
July 15th: Tigers WON B Bet , Cardinals WON A Bet , Mariners WON A Bet
July 22nd: Padres WON A Bet , Angels WON A Bet , Reds LOST A Bet
July 23rd: Reds WON B Bet
July 25th: Indians WON A Bet
July 27th: Blue Jays WON A Bet
July 28th: Braves LOST A Bet , White Sox WON A Bet , Padres LOST A Bet
July 29th: Braves WON B Bet , Padres WON B Bet , Giants WON A Bet

July 30th: Phillies A Bet (+RL -157)

[Looking4Winners]

SYSTEM #2

This system we will look for teams that have lost 4 games SU and against the +RL. We will than start a 3-game chase. Whether a dog or favorite we will play the +RL.

2018 System to Date: 37-1 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +27.232 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 0

G1 - (A) 27-11
G2 - (B) 9-2
G3 - (C) 1-1
Losses - (Royals -10.368)

Post #241 (April, May and June plays)

July 7th: Pirates WON A Bet
July 10th: Royals WON A Bet
July 11th: Indians WON A Bet
July 15th: Tigers WON A Bet
July 23rd: Reds WON A Bet
July 29th: Braves WON A Bet , Padres WON A Bet

July 30th: No Play

[msetai]

11 unit Sac loss divided by half of the actual win/loss ratio (9) equals 1.2 units

trying to figure out what to divide by to cover a loss. but how do you calculate the actual win/loss ratio? and also worst case scenario would be if the series you put the increased wagers on also lose right? almost an exponential loss.

[Looking4Winners]

trying to figure out what to divide by to cover a loss. but how do you calculate the actual win/loss ratio? and also worst case scenario would be if the series you put the increased wagers on also lose right? almost an exponential loss.

msetai - The win/loss ratio is what the systems records are. Currently the Win/loss ratio for System #2 is 37-1, System #1 95-7, Spanky systems 46-2. To calculate a recoup value, one simple calculation is divide win/loss ratio by 2. For ex. if you are following Spanky his system plays (win/loss ration) is 46-2. Divide 46/2 = 23 then divide that by 2 = 11.5 (round to 12). So then take the units lost and divide by 12. So for the next 12 series you would play your original play and add the recoup amount (unit lost/12).

[spankmythighs]

msetai - The win/loss ratio is what the systems records are. Currently the Win/loss ratio for System #2 is 37-1, System #1 95-7, Spanky systems 46-2. To calculate a recoup value, one simple calculation is divide win/loss ratio by 2. For ex. if you are following Spanky his system plays (win/loss ration) is 46-2. Divide 46/2 = 23 then divide that by 2 = 11.5 (round to 12). So then take the units lost and divide by 12. So for the next 12 series you would play your original play and add the recoup amount (unit lost/12).

Perfect summary. Thanks sir

[TheFix]

Any idea on what books are available for minor league and int’l lines for US residents?

[spankmythighs]

Try Bovada or 5Dimes

[spankmythighs]

July 31st
KBO
System #1
Nexen B bet

[spankmythighs]

July 31st
KBO
System #1
Nexen B bet RL --- WIN

New record 47-2

[spankmythighs]

July 31st
Mmlb
System #1
Campeche B bet
Tabasco A bet

System #2
Campeche A bet RL

WNBA
Phoenix A bet (spread if dog, ML if fav)

See above plays for today plus:

Sweeps
Toronto B bet RL

[spankmythighs]

Milb
Aug 1st
System #1
Round Rock B bet

[kaanyeezy]

Spank - I can't find these Mexican league plays on 365?

[LordRam]

They usually open them later in the day.

Spank - I can't find these Mexican league plays on 365?

[Looking4Winners]

SYSTEM #1

Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL (lose by 2 or more runs).
Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL, if favorite take the ML.

2018 System to Date: 96-7 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +23.3518 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 0

G1 - (A) 61-42
G2 - (B) 26-16
G3 - (C) 9-7
Losses - Orioles (-8.93), Dodgers (-16.07), Orioles (- 7.733), Mets (-9.11), Orioles (-12.2552), Royals (-9.64), White Sox (-9.512)

Post #56 (Plays prior to April 27th)
Post #136 (Plays from April 27th to May 31st)
Post #240 (June Plays)

July 1st: Orioles WON A Bet , Dodgers WON A Bet , Mets WON A Bet , Cardinals WON A Bet
July 3rd: Diamondbacks WON A Bet
July 5th: Padres WON A Bet
July 6th: Pirates LOST A Bet , Tigers WON A Bet Braves WON A Bet
July 7th: Pirates LOST B Bet , Orioles WON A Bet
July 8th: Pirates WON C Bet
July 9th: Royals LOST A Bet
July10th: Royals WON B Bet , Indians LOST A Bet
July 11th: Indians WON B Bet
July 13th: Rangers WON A Bet
July 14th: Tigers LOST A Bet
July 15th: Tigers WON B Bet , Cardinals WON A Bet , Mariners WON A Bet
July 22nd: Padres WON A Bet , Angels WON A Bet , Reds LOST A Bet
July 23rd: Reds WON B Bet
July 25th: Indians WON A Bet
July 27th: Blue Jays WON A Bet
July 28th: Braves LOST A Bet , White Sox WON A Bet , Padres LOST A Bet
July 29th: Braves WON B Bet , Padres WON B Bet , Giants WON A Bet
July 30th: Phillies WON A Bet

July 31st: Rays A Bet (+RL -145)

[Looking4Winners]

SYSTEM #2

This system we will look for teams that have lost 4 games SU and against the +RL. We will than start a 3-game chase. Whether a dog or favorite we will play the +RL.

2018 System to Date: 37-1 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +27.232 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 0

G1 - (A) 27-11
G2 - (B) 9-2
G3 - (C) 1-1
Losses - (Royals -10.368)

Post #241 (April, May and June plays)

July 7th: Pirates WON A Bet
July 10th: Royals WON A Bet
July 11th: Indians WON A Bet
July 15th: Tigers WON A Bet
July 23rd: Reds WON A Bet
July 29th: Braves WON A Bet , Padres WON A Bet

July 31st: No Play

[Looking4Winners]

trying to figure out what to divide by to cover a loss. but how do you calculate the actual win/loss ratio? and also worst case scenario would be if the series you put the increased wagers on also lose right? almost an exponential loss.

msetai - The win/loss ratio is what the systems records are. Currently the Win/loss ratio for System #2 is 37-1, System #1 95-7, Spanky systems 46-2. To calculate a recoup value, one simple calculation is divide win/loss ratio by 2. For ex. if you are following Spanky his system plays (win/loss ration) is 46-2. Divide 46/2 = 23 then divide that by 2 = 11.5 (round to 12). So then take the units lost and divide by 12. So for the next 12 series you would play your original play and add the recoup amount (unit lost/12).

As for your second question, increased wager loses during the series, it would depend on when you lose. For ex. Let's use Series #2. It went 24-0 then Royals lost. So 24/1 = 24 divide that by 2 equals 12 (recoup series). So to recoup our loss we will run a 12 series play. Let's say 1 unit equals $100. So we lost 10.368 on Royals. So for 12 series we will add $86.40 (10.368 units x $100 divided by 12) to our original play of $100, total $186.40. So let's say the next 9 series win, series 10 loses (12 units). So for 9 series we won $86.40, total $777.60 (9 x $86.40). So we still have to recoup $259.20 ($1036.80 - $777.60). Series #2 win/loss ratio would be 24+9 = 33. Now we have 2 losses. 33/2 = 16.5 divided by 2 = 8.25 (round to 8). So now we will run an 8 series play to recoup what we lost from the series 10 loss ($1200/8). And from here you have 2 choices to recoup the $259.20 (remaining amount from first loss). You can add that to the total lost $1200 and divide by 8 = $182.40 (($1200+$259.20)/8) or take the first recoup amount ($259.20 and divide by the number of series left for the first chase which would be 3 (12-9). So your series play would be original play of $100 plus $182.40 (recoup including $259.20) for 8 series or original play of $100 plus $150 ($1200/8 recoup excluding $259.20) for 8 series and ($86.40) for the first 3 series of the 8 series chase.

I hope this make sense..

[msetai]

this was awesome, thank you for the example and breakdown!

[spankmythighs]

I love it when a plan comes together. I would love to hear some feedback on the recoup. Cheers

[spankmythighs]

July 31st
Mmlb
System #1
Campeche B bet RL --- WIN
Tabasco A bet RL --- LOSS

System #2
Campeche A bet RL --- WIN

WNBA
Phoenix A bet (spread if dog, ML if fav) --- LOSS

More plays for today

[spankmythighs]

New record 49-2

[spankmythighs]

Today
Milb
Round Rock B bet
Mmlb
System #1
Tabasco B bet
System #2
Tabasco A bet RL

Sweeps Unofficial
Toronto C bet

[Looking4Winners]

SYSTEM #1

Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL (lose by 2 or more runs).
Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL, if favorite take the ML.

2018 System to Date: 97-7 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +24.3518 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 0

G1 - (A) 62-42
G2 - (B) 26-16
G3 - (C) 9-7
Losses - Orioles (-8.93), Dodgers (-16.07), Orioles (- 7.733), Mets (-9.11), Orioles (-12.2552), Royals (-9.64), White Sox (-9.512)

Post #56 (Plays prior to April 27th)
Post #136 (Plays from April 27th to May 31st)
Post #240 (June Plays)

July 1st: Orioles WON A Bet , Dodgers WON A Bet , Mets WON A Bet , Cardinals WON A Bet
July 3rd: Diamondbacks WON A Bet
July 5th: Padres WON A Bet
July 6th: Pirates LOST A Bet , Tigers WON A Bet Braves WON A Bet
July 7th: Pirates LOST B Bet , Orioles WON A Bet
July 8th: Pirates WON C Bet
July 9th: Royals LOST A Bet
July10th: Royals WON B Bet , Indians LOST A Bet
July 11th: Indians WON B Bet
July 13th: Rangers WON A Bet
July 14th: Tigers LOST A Bet
July 15th: Tigers WON B Bet , Cardinals WON A Bet , Mariners WON A Bet
July 22nd: Padres WON A Bet , Angels WON A Bet , Reds LOST A Bet
July 23rd: Reds WON B Bet
July 25th: Indians WON A Bet
July 27th: Blue Jays WON A Bet
July 28th: Braves LOST A Bet , White Sox WON A Bet , Padres LOST A Bet
July 29th: Braves WON B Bet , Padres WON B Bet , Giants WON A Bet
July 30th: Phillies WON A Bet
July 31st: Rays WON A Bet

August 1st: No Play

[Looking4Winners]

SYSTEM #2

This system we will look for teams that have lost 4 games SU and against the +RL. We will than start a 3-game chase. Whether a dog or favorite we will play the +RL.

2018 System to Date: 37-1 (finished series)
System Profit/Loss: +27.232 (finished series)
Current Open Series: 0

G1 - (A) 27-11
G2 - (B) 9-2
G3 - (C) 1-1
Losses - (Royals -10.368)

Post #241 (April, May and June plays)
Post #505 (July plays)

August 1st: No Play

[ctr]

is wnba phoenix B bet?

[spankmythighs]

is wnba phoenix B bet?

You bet there are. Was just about to add it.

WNBA
Phoenix B bet

[TheFix]

Is there a reason the NY Liberty were passed on? They should be on the B bet I believe today.

[betwithdaniel]

Is there a reason the NY Liberty were passed on? They should be on the B bet I believe today.

Not sure if it was missed, but the NY Liberty covered their last game (7/24), so no bet B today i believe. 82-85.



EDIT: Spank did play NY Liberty Bet A on 7/24 and won.

[TheFix]

Thanks for clarifying

Not sure if it was missed, but the NY Liberty covered their last game (7/24), so no bet B today i believe. 82-85.



EDIT: Spank did play NY Liberty Bet A on 7/24 and won.

[msetai]

@Looking4Winners

The explanation seems like perfect time

Blue Jays game...

[Looking4Winners]

@Looking4Winners

The explanation seems like perfect time

Blue Jays game...

Blue Jays will be 0-7 against the A's this season.

[LordRam]

@Looking4Winners

The explanation seems like perfect time
Blue Jays game...

To play or not to play the Blue jays chase coming up... ?

[msetai]

Blue Jays will be 0-7 against the A's this season.

hardcore recovery coming up, not many series left till end of august.

[spankmythighs]

Today
Milb
Round Rock B bet ML --- SUSPENDED
Mmlb
System #1
Tabasco B bet RL --- WIN
System #2
Tabasco A bet RL --- WIN

Sweeps Unofficial
Toronto C bet RL --- LOSS

WNBA
Phoenix B bet Spread --- WIN

New record 52-3

[spankmythighs]

Aug 2nd
WNBA
Dallas A bet

Milb
Salt Lake A bet
(Play Round Rock B bet next 9 inning gm)

**Hopefully some of you picked up Yakult in Japanese ball last night. Forgot about that one.

[kaanyeezy]

Aug 2nd
WNBA
Dallas A bet

Milb
Salt Lake A bet
(Play Round Rock B bet next 9 inning gm)

**Hopefully some of you picked up Yakult in Japanese ball last night. Forgot about that one.

Can you clarify the round rock B next 9 inninng game that you mention? When is that?