2018 - RL Chase for Baseball

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • msetai
    SBR Sharp
    • 06-06-12
    • 350

    #386
    First series following and I picked a nail biter, Oaxaca losing momentum quick

    +1.5 so key! Nice win for the C bet
    Comment
    • spankmythighs
      SBR MVP
      • 01-26-10
      • 2884

      #387
      Originally posted by spankmythighs
      Ya I noticed that last night. I was trying to pick them up live but no dice.

      July 22nd
      Milb
      Oaxaca C bet +1.5 --- WIN
      Milb
      Syracuse A bet ML --- LOSS
      Close one in Mmlb but got the C bet win
      New record 29-1
      sbr
      Comment
      • spankmythighs
        SBR MVP
        • 01-26-10
        • 2884

        #388
        July 23rd
        No plays today from me
        sbr
        Comment
        • Looking4Winners
          SBR MVP
          • 12-21-11
          • 1198

          #389
          SYSTEM #1

          Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL (lose by 2 or more runs).
          Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL, if favorite take the ML.

          2018
          System to Date: 88-7
          (finished series)
          System Profit/Loss: +15.3518 (finished series)
          Current Open Series: 1 (Reds -1.17)

          G1 - (A) 56-40
          G2 - (B) 23-16
          G3 - (C) 9-7
          Losses - Orioles (-8.93), Dodgers (-16.07), Orioles (- 7.733), Mets (-9.11), Orioles (-12.2552), Royals (-9.64), White Sox (-9.512)

          Post #56 (Plays prior to April 27th)
          Post #136 (Plays from April 27th to May 31st)
          Post #240 (June Plays)

          July 1st: Orioles WON A Bet , Dodgers WON A Bet , Mets WON A Bet , Cardinals WON A Bet
          July 3rd: Diamondbacks WON A Bet
          July 5th: Padres WON A Bet

          July 6th: Pirates LOST A Bet
          , Tigers WON A Bet Braves WON A Bet
          July 7th: Pirates LOST B Bet , Orioles WON A Bet
          July 8th: Pirates WON C Bet

          July 9th: Royals LOST A Bet
          July10th: Royals WON B Bet
          , Indians LOST A Bet
          Ju
          ly 11th: Indians WON B Bet
          July 13th: Rangers WON A Bet

          July 14th: Tigers LOST A Bet

          July 15th: Tigers WON B Bet , Cardinals WON A Bet , Mariners WON A Bet
          July 22nd: Padres WON A Bet
          , Angels WON A Bet , Reds LOST A Bet

          July 23rd: Reds B Bet (ML -121)
          Comment
          • Looking4Winners
            SBR MVP
            • 12-21-11
            • 1198

            #390
            SYSTEM #2

            This system we will look for teams that have lost 4 games SU and against the +RL. We will than start a 3-game chase. Whether a dog or favorite we will play the +RL.

            2018 System to Date: 34-1 (finished series)
            System Profit/Loss: +24.232 (finished series)
            Current Open Series: 0

            G1 - (A) 24-11
            G2 - (B) 9-2
            G3 - (C) 1-1
            Losses - (Royals -10.368)

            Post #241 (April, May and June plays)

            July 7th: Pirates WON A Bet
            July 10th: Royals WON A Bet

            July 11th: Indians WON A Bet
            July 15th: Tigers WON A Bet

            July 23rd: Reds A Bet (+RL -220)
            Comment
            • spankmythighs
              SBR MVP
              • 01-26-10
              • 2884

              #391
              July 24th
              WNBA
              NY Liberty A bet spread
              Milb
              Syracuse B bet
              Rochester A bet
              Mmlb
              No plays
              JPL
              No plays
              sbr
              Comment
              • Looking4Winners
                SBR MVP
                • 12-21-11
                • 1198

                #392
                SYSTEM #1

                Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL (lose by 2 or more runs).
                Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL, if favorite take the ML.

                2018
                System to Date: 89-7
                (finished series)
                System Profit/Loss: +15.3518 (finished series)
                Current Open Series: 0

                G1 - (A) 56-40
                G2 - (B) 24-16
                G3 - (C) 9-7
                Losses - Orioles (-8.93), Dodgers (-16.07), Orioles (- 7.733), Mets (-9.11), Orioles (-12.2552), Royals (-9.64), White Sox (-9.512)

                Post #56 (Plays prior to April 27th)
                Post #136 (Plays from April 27th to May 31st)
                Post #240 (June Plays)

                July 1st: Orioles WON A Bet , Dodgers WON A Bet , Mets WON A Bet , Cardinals WON A Bet
                July 3rd: Diamondbacks WON A Bet
                July 5th: Padres WON A Bet

                July 6th: Pirates LOST A Bet
                , Tigers WON A Bet Braves WON A Bet
                July 7th: Pirates LOST B Bet , Orioles WON A Bet
                July 8th: Pirates WON C Bet

                July 9th: Royals LOST A Bet
                July10th: Royals WON B Bet
                , Indians LOST A Bet
                Ju
                ly 11th: Indians WON B Bet
                July 13th: Rangers WON A Bet

                July 14th: Tigers LOST A Bet

                July 15th: Tigers WON B Bet , Cardinals WON A Bet , Mariners WON A Bet
                July 22nd: Padres WON A Bet
                , Angels WON A Bet , Reds LOST A Bet
                July 23rd: Reds WON B Bet


                July 24th: No Play
                Comment
                • Looking4Winners
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-21-11
                  • 1198

                  #393
                  SYSTEM #2

                  This system we will look for teams that have lost 4 games SU and against the +RL. We will than start a 3-game chase. Whether a dog or favorite we will play the +RL.

                  2018 System to Date: 35-1 (finished series)
                  System Profit/Loss: +25.232 (finished series)
                  Current Open Series: 0

                  G1 - (A) 25-11
                  G2 - (B) 9-2
                  G3 - (C) 1-1
                  Losses - (Royals -10.368)

                  Post #241 (April, May and June plays)

                  July 7th: Pirates WON A Bet
                  July 10th: Royals WON A Bet

                  July 11th: Indians WON A Bet
                  July 15th: Tigers WON A Bet
                  July 23rd: Reds WON A Bet


                  July 24th: No Play
                  Comment
                  • spankmythighs
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-26-10
                    • 2884

                    #394
                    Not sure why Syracuse is not available
                    sbr
                    Comment
                    • spankmythighs
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-26-10
                      • 2884

                      #395
                      Double headers in AAA are only 7 innings and you cant wager on them so next full gm for Syracuse. Both games were PPD anyways
                      sbr
                      Comment
                      • spankmythighs
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-26-10
                        • 2884

                        #396
                        JPL
                        July 25th
                        03:00MT Yomiuri A bet
                        sbr
                        Comment
                        • spankmythighs
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-26-10
                          • 2884

                          #397
                          Originally posted by spankmythighs
                          July 24th
                          WNBA
                          NY Liberty A bet spread --- WIN
                          Milb
                          Syracuse B bet - no play
                          Rochester A bet +1.5 --- WIN
                          Mmlb
                          No plays
                          JPL
                          No plays
                          New record 31-1
                          FYI Sweeps went 2-0 tonight too
                          sbr
                          Comment
                          • spankmythighs
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-26-10
                            • 2884

                            #398
                            KBO
                            July 25th
                            LG Twins A bet
                            sbr
                            Comment
                            • LordRam
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 07-20-18
                              • 59

                              #399
                              Originally posted by spankmythighs
                              JPL
                              July 25th
                              03:00MT Yomiuri A bet
                              Wasn't the bet on Yakult +RL ?
                              Comment
                              • spankmythighs
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-26-10
                                • 2884

                                #400
                                Originally posted by LordRam
                                Wasn't the bet on Yakult +RL ?
                                Nope.
                                sbr
                                Comment
                                • spankmythighs
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-26-10
                                  • 2884

                                  #401
                                  July 25th
                                  Milb
                                  Sacramento A bet
                                  sbr
                                  Comment
                                  • spankmythighs
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-26-10
                                    • 2884

                                    #402
                                    July 25th
                                    Mmlb
                                    Yucatan A bet
                                    sbr
                                    Comment
                                    • Looking4Winners
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-21-11
                                      • 1198

                                      #403
                                      SYSTEM #1

                                      Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL (lose by 2 or more runs).
                                      Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL, if favorite take the ML.

                                      2018
                                      System to Date: 89-7
                                      (finished series)
                                      System Profit/Loss: +16.3518 (finished series)
                                      Current Open Series: 0

                                      G1 - (A) 56-40
                                      G2 - (B) 24-16
                                      G3 - (C) 9-7
                                      Losses - Orioles (-8.93), Dodgers (-16.07), Orioles (- 7.733), Mets (-9.11), Orioles (-12.2552), Royals (-9.64), White Sox (-9.512)

                                      Post #56 (Plays prior to April 27th)
                                      Post #136 (Plays from April 27th to May 31st)
                                      Post #240 (June Plays)

                                      July 1st: Orioles WON A Bet , Dodgers WON A Bet , Mets WON A Bet , Cardinals WON A Bet
                                      July 3rd: Diamondbacks WON A Bet
                                      July 5th: Padres WON A Bet

                                      July 6th: Pirates LOST A Bet
                                      , Tigers WON A Bet Braves WON A Bet
                                      July 7th: Pirates LOST B Bet , Orioles WON A Bet
                                      July 8th: Pirates WON C Bet

                                      July 9th: Royals LOST A Bet
                                      July10th: Royals WON B Bet
                                      , Indians LOST A Bet
                                      Ju
                                      ly 11th: Indians WON B Bet
                                      July 13th: Rangers WON A Bet

                                      July 14th: Tigers LOST A Bet

                                      July 15th: Tigers WON B Bet , Cardinals WON A Bet , Mariners WON A Bet
                                      July 22nd: Padres WON A Bet
                                      , Angels WON A Bet , Reds LOST A Bet
                                      July 23rd: Reds WON B Bet


                                      July 25th: Indians A Bet (ML -195)
                                      Comment
                                      • Looking4Winners
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-21-11
                                        • 1198

                                        #404
                                        SYSTEM #2

                                        This system we will look for teams that have lost 4 games SU and against the +RL. We will than start a 3-game chase. Whether a dog or favorite we will play the +RL.

                                        2018 System to Date: 35-1 (finished series)
                                        System Profit/Loss: +25.232 (finished series)
                                        Current Open Series: 0

                                        G1 - (A) 25-11
                                        G2 - (B) 9-2
                                        G3 - (C) 1-1
                                        Losses - (Royals -10.368)

                                        Post #241 (April, May and June plays)

                                        July 7th: Pirates WON A Bet
                                        July 10th: Royals WON A Bet

                                        July 11th: Indians WON A Bet
                                        July 15th: Tigers WON A Bet
                                        July 23rd: Reds WON A Bet


                                        July 25th: No Play
                                        Comment
                                        • kingdom
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-25-10
                                          • 10099

                                          #405
                                          Originally posted by spankmythighs
                                          Im gonna work my magic and see what I can come up with
                                          spank i've always payed casual attention to system plays like this. Not very comfortable betting bad teams. Been experimenting with a system where a team winning .560 or better after losing 2 of 3 games becomes a play. These team have a remarked success in an abc chase. i have been using teams .550 as well, and wnba teams in this range that have lost two in a row su/ats. i have also found it easier to recoup losses using same team that lost the chase by restarting with that team. Winning teams win more. i'm studying some nba and nfl data as well. Seems to be something that can be viable.
                                          Comment
                                          • spankmythighs
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-26-10
                                            • 2884

                                            #406
                                            July 26th
                                            JPL
                                            Yomiuri B bet
                                            KBO
                                            LG Twins B bet
                                            sbr
                                            Comment
                                            • TheFix
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 06-17-17
                                              • 23

                                              #407
                                              Both teams covered RL last game though...
                                              Originally posted by spankmythighs
                                              July 26th
                                              JPL
                                              Yomiuri B bet
                                              KBO
                                              LG Twins B bet
                                              Comment
                                              • spankmythighs
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-26-10
                                                • 2884

                                                #408
                                                Originally posted by TheFix
                                                Both teams covered RL last game though...
                                                If they are favs I take ML
                                                sbr
                                                Comment
                                                • spankmythighs
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-26-10
                                                  • 2884

                                                  #409
                                                  Originally posted by spankmythighs
                                                  July 26th
                                                  JPL
                                                  Yomiuri B bet --- LOSS
                                                  KBO
                                                  LG Twins B bet --- WIN
                                                  New record 32-1
                                                  sbr
                                                  Comment
                                                  • spankmythighs
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-26-10
                                                    • 2884

                                                    #410
                                                    Milb
                                                    Sacramento A bet ML --- LOSS
                                                    Mmlb
                                                    Yucatan A bet ML --- LOSS
                                                    sbr
                                                    Comment
                                                    • spankmythighs
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-26-10
                                                      • 2884

                                                      #411
                                                      July 26th
                                                      Milb
                                                      Albuqurque A bet
                                                      Sacramento B bet
                                                      Reno A bet

                                                      Mmlb
                                                      Yucatan B bet
                                                      sbr
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Looking4Winners
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-21-11
                                                        • 1198

                                                        #412
                                                        SYSTEM #1

                                                        Look for teams that lost 3 games in a row SU and RL (lose by 2 or more runs).
                                                        Start a 3 game chase. If the dog, bet on the +RL, if favorite take the ML.

                                                        2018
                                                        System to Date: 90-7
                                                        (finished series)
                                                        System Profit/Loss: +17.3518 (finished series)
                                                        Current Open Series: 0

                                                        G1 - (A) 57-40
                                                        G2 - (B) 24-16
                                                        G3 - (C) 9-7
                                                        Losses - Orioles (-8.93), Dodgers (-16.07), Orioles (- 7.733), Mets (-9.11), Orioles (-12.2552), Royals (-9.64), White Sox (-9.512)

                                                        Post #56 (Plays prior to April 27th)
                                                        Post #136 (Plays from April 27th to May 31st)
                                                        Post #240 (June Plays)

                                                        July 1st: Orioles WON A Bet , Dodgers WON A Bet , Mets WON A Bet , Cardinals WON A Bet
                                                        July 3rd: Diamondbacks WON A Bet
                                                        July 5th: Padres WON A Bet

                                                        July 6th: Pirates LOST A Bet
                                                        , Tigers WON A Bet Braves WON A Bet
                                                        July 7th: Pirates LOST B Bet , Orioles WON A Bet
                                                        July 8th: Pirates WON C Bet

                                                        July 9th: Royals LOST A Bet
                                                        July10th: Royals WON B Bet
                                                        , Indians LOST A Bet
                                                        Ju
                                                        ly 11th: Indians WON B Bet
                                                        July 13th: Rangers WON A Bet

                                                        July 14th: Tigers LOST A Bet

                                                        July 15th: Tigers WON B Bet , Cardinals WON A Bet , Mariners WON A Bet
                                                        July 22nd: Padres WON A Bet
                                                        , Angels WON A Bet , Reds LOST A Bet
                                                        July 23rd: Reds WON B Bet

                                                        July 25th: Indians WON A Bet


                                                        July 26th: No Play
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Looking4Winners
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-21-11
                                                          • 1198

                                                          #413
                                                          SYSTEM #2

                                                          This system we will look for teams that have lost 4 games SU and against the +RL. We will than start a 3-game chase. Whether a dog or favorite we will play the +RL.

                                                          2018 System to Date: 35-1 (finished series)
                                                          System Profit/Loss: +25.232 (finished series)
                                                          Current Open Series: 0

                                                          G1 - (A) 25-11
                                                          G2 - (B) 9-2
                                                          G3 - (C) 1-1
                                                          Losses - (Royals -10.368)

                                                          Post #241 (April, May and June plays)

                                                          July 7th: Pirates WON A Bet
                                                          July 10th: Royals WON A Bet

                                                          July 11th: Indians WON A Bet
                                                          July 15th: Tigers WON A Bet
                                                          July 23rd: Reds WON A Bet


                                                          July 26th: No Play
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Kenny King
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 02-04-16
                                                            • 168

                                                            #414
                                                            Hey Spank, or any math whizzes, I’m trying to run my money management similar to what you do. The difference is that I divide every loss among all plays each day of both the sweep and rl chase. In effect, every bet I place is for the same win amount. The problem is that I don’t seem to be making much progress. My bets are growing but I seem to be getting slowed heavily by the juice. I have only been doing this for a little over 2 weeks. Will the way I’m running it work if I just be patient or am I missing something mathematically?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • grecycle99
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-18-09
                                                              • 3799

                                                              #415
                                                              Originally posted by spankmythighs
                                                              July 26th
                                                              Milb
                                                              Albuqurque A bet
                                                              Sacramento B bet
                                                              Reno A bet

                                                              Mmlb
                                                              Yucatan B bet
                                                              Thank you Spank

                                                              Where do you find past results for RL in japan, korea and mexico and other baseball, world basket, hockey leagues?

                                                              Thanks for your work
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Looking4Winners
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-21-11
                                                                • 1198

                                                                #416
                                                                Originally posted by Kenny King
                                                                Hey Spank, or any math whizzes, I’m trying to run my money management similar to what you do. The difference is that I divide every loss among all plays each day of both the sweep and rl chase. In effect, every bet I place is for the same win amount. The problem is that I don’t seem to be making much progress. My bets are growing but I seem to be getting slowed heavily by the juice. I have only been doing this for a little over 2 weeks. Will the way I’m running it work if I just be patient or am I missing something mathematically?
                                                                Kenny, juice should not play a factor in trying to win a set amount, like 1 unit per play. Ex. Indians were a play for System #1. Let's say you are betting to win 1 unit. 1 unit = $100. Let's say you bet $100 to win (A bet) on the Indians, had they lost you would have lost $195. So the next play on the Indians (B bet) would have been for $295. If you win you recoup all of your A bet losses plus 1 unit of profit.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Kenny King
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 02-04-16
                                                                  • 168

                                                                  #417
                                                                  Grecycle go to flashscore.com and you will find every score of every even t in the world as well as standings.

                                                                  Looking4winners I was trying not to play straight martingale. Spank mentioned somewhere back in the thread where you can spread your losses around which is what a was attempting to do to keep bet sizes a little lower, but I may be doing something wrong. It may be better to just play Martingale. My concern with that was how Spank is relying on the ratio of wins to series losses. You lose a lot of recovery wins each night which drops the ratio by default. Does this make sense? I was thinking that if every play was being maximized in a constant ongoing recovery effort that it would be better, but maybe not.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Looking4Winners
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-21-11
                                                                    • 1198

                                                                    #418
                                                                    Originally posted by Kenny King
                                                                    Grecycle go to flashscore.com and you will find every score of every even t in the world as well as standings.

                                                                    Looking4winners I was trying not to play straight martingale. Spank mentioned somewhere back in the thread where you can spread your losses around which is what a was attempting to do to keep bet sizes a little lower, but I may be doing something wrong. It may be better to just play Martingale. My concern with that was how Spank is relying on the ratio of wins to series losses. You lose a lot of recovery wins each night which drops the ratio by default. Does this make sense? I was thinking that if every play was being maximized in a constant ongoing recovery effort that it would be better, but maybe not.
                                                                    Kenny, Check post 192/193 This might be what you were talking about.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • msetai
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 06-06-12
                                                                      • 350

                                                                      #419
                                                                      two Yomiuri sweeps in a row, hope they snap out of their funk
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Kenny King
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 02-04-16
                                                                        • 168

                                                                        #420
                                                                        Originally posted by spankmythighs
                                                                        I will take a look. Any system you can create where the win to loss ratio is great, it gives u the opportunity to recoup without having to place ridiculous large wagers over time. With the 3 strategies I use, over the past 6 years it has gone 817-41. Thats a win/loss of 20 to 1 and if you really want, you could spread any loss from one to be recouped by all 3. This would further reduce the amount you put up
                                                                        This is the one.
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...