Be carefull with the Yankees..Romero is a stud!
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Well, it still looks like this is the least visited thread on a daily basis but probably one of the most sucessfull threads. That said i was 4-0 today, 3-0 on plays for the record since as i stated this morning the Colorado game was posted but eliminated because the juice was above -170. SO, 3-0 TODAY ADDING 6.5 UNITS TO THE ACCOUNTS. ALSO 5 WINS IN A ROW LAST TWO DAYS. One of these days some will take notice and come on board for some winning wagers. I dedicate alot of time to sports wagering capping and as i said yesterday, if you tail on a daily basis all of the plays you will not be disappointed by years end. Good Luck!
YTD:
ML Plays: 33-20, 62.3%,+20.75 unitsComment -
I still drop by every once in a while! haha, good job tonight!Comment -
I only bet one game. Col RL. I was on that huge. I can't freaking believe they can't score more than 1 to the nats??
I just need to start tailing you and quit trying to reinvent the wheel. Great job once again. I look forward to tomorrow's plays. I just need to stop by and tail. Great job! 
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I tailed all three plays today and it kept me from losing money as my other bets went wrong (stupid Tigers bullpen). So good job yet again.
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I had a so-so day with small profits, but congrats on your great day. Keep it up!Comment -
I only bet one game. Col RL. I was on that huge. I can't freaking believe they can't score more than 1 to the nats?? I just need to start tailing you and quit trying to reinvent the wheel. Great job once again. I look forward to tomorrow's plays. I just need to stop by and tail. Great job!
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Originally Posted by woodman663
DET: -139, 1 unit LOSS
CIN: +128 1 unit LOSS
Adding some tailing plays:
SF: -182 1 unit WIN
SEA: -125 1 unit WIN
CHC: -122 1 unit WIN
(those 3 tailing MILEHIGHMONSTERS)
PHI/CIN under 9: -128 1 unit LOSS
DET/KC under 9: -111 1 unit WIN
(those 2 tailing Jerseyshop)
Thanks for the props. Moral of the story, we are all here to make $$...Hope i can help, GLComment -
07/07 plays:
LAD (Kershaw) ML -135 (2 units)
Colorado (Hammel) ML -138 (2.5 units)
Anaheim (Lackey) ML -168 (2 units)
Seattle (Bedard) ML -138 (2.5 units)
Detroit and Boston also made the cut but the juice was over -170 which is a no play for me. Good Luck!
YTD:
ML Plays: 33-20, 62.3%,+20.75 unitsComment -
Well, it still looks like this is the least visited thread on a daily basis but probably one of the most sucessfull threads. That said i was 4-0 today, 3-0 on plays for the record since as i stated this morning the Colorado game was posted but eliminated because the juice was above -170. SO, 3-0 TODAY ADDING 6.5 UNITS TO THE ACCOUNTS. ALSO 5 WINS IN A ROW LAST TWO DAYS. One of these days some will take notice and come on board for some winning wagers. I dedicate alot of time to sports wagering capping and as i said yesterday, if you tail on a daily basis all of the plays you will not be disappointed by years end. Good Luck!
YTD:
ML Plays: 33-20, 62.3%,+20.75 units
I am watching this thread my friend I just have no money to deposit for betting yet but so far your calls have been good. I woulda placed at least 2 units on the jays and romero but I have no funds
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I understand, been there done that. I cant stress enough the concept of correct money management. Let me know when your prepared to wager and i know i can help. GLComment -
INFORMATIONAL #2
Money Management:
"Regaw Rules is a set of rules that have been created to remind the sports bettor of certain rules that they should always keep in mind. These rules apply to everyone regardless of the experience they have in the realm of betting on sports. Some of the rules are simple and some are complex but they all have the same end result—making money betting sports. I am going to cover one of the most important facets of sports betting that is often over looked and is the biggest reason people lose, money management.
Novice sports bettors often fail to realize how important it is to manage your money when they first begin wagering on sports. Since the goal is to win as much money as possible the focus is often on winning and not losing. Winning is fun and is the ultimate goal, but knowing and respecting the losing portion of sports gambling is more important than winning will ever be. If you prepare to win before the wagering begins there is a better chance that the bettor will succeed. The plan has to include great detail on what the goal is and the amount that could be lost. Making this plan is vital to a winning formula.
Money management is exactly what it sounds like. It’s the act of managing your money to work best for you in sports gambling. The first step is to set two goals, how much you want to win and how much you could afford to lose. When a goal is not set for either of these people tend to get in trouble. If figuring out how much money can be lost is not thought about in advance people lose too much and get in over their head. If a winning goal is not set then people will keep shooting for a bigger stake or a higher goal that they will never achieve and in the end they do not take any money out and lose everything going for more. The key to setting these goals it to be reasonable with the amount the goals are set for. If the starting bank roll is $100 a winning goal of $1000 is not reasonable. That kind of return on investment is not mathematically sound and the odds are against winning that amount. In sports betting the goal is to get the odds on your side not against you.
Money management is long term goal setting as well as the short term. The short term money management is the percentage of your bankroll that is at risk at any given time. This is debatable depending on the theory that you subscribe to but for most experts the maximum is 5% of your bank roll on any play. I also believe that a "unit" should equal 1% of your bankroll not to exceed 5% of your bankroll. If the bettor starts with a bank roll of $100 and they bet $50 on one game then they are not managing money properly. The reason each wager has to be set at a percentage is to survive the losing cycles. In sports wagering, depending on the sport, 53% winners can make a profit. Hitting 53% or higher will mean that you will have your share of losses. If the wager amount percentage is too high it will take fewer wagers to go bust. Goal setting in the long term and the short term will lead to a successful future in sports wagering.
Money management is often overlooked but it is important to realize it is the keystone to a successful strategy in sports wagering. If this step is passed by then it could literally cost the sports bettor in more ways than one. This part of sports gambling may be tedious and even time consuming but it sets the foundation that will set the tone of the profit and losses in sports betting. Once a successful management strategy is achieved the rest is just about picking winners. A sound money management philosophy allows the sports bettor to focus on the handicapping aspect of the game and picking winners and in turn making money!"Comment -
Nice write-up, thanks! Any games you like today?
Also, do you set a limit on how many % of your bankroll should be at risk each day regardless of the number of plays?Comment -
Nice write-up!
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[quote=oda11;2005488]Nice write-up, thanks! Any games you like today?
Also, do you set a limit on how many % of your bankroll should be at risk each day regardless of the number of plays?[/quote]
NO, i dont set a limit as far as number of plays. I know i wll hit at least 60 percent of my plays so as long as i keep the formula 1 unit = 1% of my roll there isnt any way my roll would go dry. Your bankroll goes dry once you try to make a fortune on just a couple plays. We will all have bad streaks and when we do if we use sound money management the odds of going broke are almost nill.
As Kelly states — "maximizing the long term growth rate of your fortune — the answer Kelly gives is to stake the fraction of your gambling or investment bankroll which exactly equals your advantage."
"The Kelly criterion is maximally aggressive — it seeks to increase capital at the maximum rate possible. Professional gamblers typically take a less aggressive approach, and generally won't bet more than about 2.5% of their bankroll on any wager."Comment -
I see, thanks for your answer!Comment -
Oops, sorry I didn't see it, lol.Comment -
The prime reason that 99% of sports bettors lose is improper money management. While even if you access to winning picks (i.e. My plays, lol) without a proper money management system in place the picks are worthless.
The first step to successful money management is to establish your gambling bankroll. Your gambling bankroll consists of the amount of money you have set aside to risk betting on sports. Your bankroll does not include money used to pay the mortgage, utilities, or car payment. In fact I recommend that you have a separate bank account to make sure that slipup's don’t happen.
The final piece in the pie, and most important, for a sound money management plan is to weild a little self control. That seems so easy but in fact is the hardest aspect of being a successful sports bettor. To be successful you can’t step up your bets if you lose the first game on Saturday morning or if you have a rough Sunday you can’t load up on the Monday Night Football game. You have to come to grips that you can’t win everyday, let alone every week, or every month.
In closing the problem that most gamblers have is they don’t look at sports betting as an investment. Remember this saying “sports wagering is not a sprint it’s a marathon. Remember results should not be measured daily, weekly, or monthly. If you take your time, stay focused, wield a little self control, sports wagering can be one of the most lucrative investments available today.Comment -
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE. HERE IS MY PLAYS AGAIN.
http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...ml#post2004610, POST 187Comment -
FYI:
For those wagering on the Braves/Cubs. R. Dempster has been replaced with C. Zambrano for tonights game.Comment -
I've been tailing you since you started and you're pretty good. Keep up the good work man!Comment -
Alright Mile High, I'm tailing them all tonight. Let's take that money from the books.
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A break-even day. Well I will take that over a loss any day. I look forward to more winners tomorrow.Comment -
YTD:
ML Plays: 35-22, 61.40%,+18.44 unitsComment -
07/08 Plays:
Chicago Cubs (Hart) ML -108 (2 units)
**Colorado (De La Rosa) ML -173 (2.5 units)**
San Francisco (Sadowski) ML -121 (2 units)
Los Angeles (Kuroda) ML -140 (2 units)
Seattle (Vargas) ML -122 (2 units)
**Boston (Wakefield) ML -172 (2 units)**
**I will wait closer to game time for Boston & Colorado to see if the lines drop. Those 2 are no plays for me as of now due the juice on both games above -170. If they drop on or below the limit i will post them as official plays.**
Good Luck!
YTD:
ML Plays: 35-22, 61.40%,+18.44 unitsComment -
Anyone on these plays today? Agree/Dissagree?Comment -
Feel free to post your plays here also if you want to. This isnt a communist post, its a democracy..
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Like them all. I'm still looking at today's card. I'm a relatively new mlb bettor so you need someone with more experience at this chime in. I will be on them all.
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I'm not a big fan of the Cubs (no hitting, rookie pitcher) and the Mariners one I think is risky, cuz the Orioles are heating up. But I was already leaning towards Giants, Dodgers and Red Sox, but the last one does have a bad line and Red Sox have been cooling down a bit I think.Comment
