Florida was also a play but the juice is to high @ -180. If the line goes down i will post it as a official play, if not its not a play for me. I dont play lines over -170 so if it drops down to -170 or lower it will be posted. Play at your own risk at this point. I see it now at -178 so it is going down a bit.
-
Comment -
Good Luck today!Comment -
This sure is a silent forum. As anyone using these plays? Just curious because if not there's no reason for me to post. Like i said before if you want write ups on any play let me know and ill post them. I dont have to have feedback but if these plays arent being looked at and played then no reason for me to waste time posting. Good luck.Comment -
Hey Monsters!
Thanks for posting your picks, and I am tailing! lol.
Could you gimme some insights on why you have Minny today?
Thanks!Comment -
MINNY @ KC
MIN: RHP Nick Blackburn (6-3, 3.11 ERA)
Blackburn became the first Twins pitcher in more than a decade to pitch back-to-back complete games -- the last being Brad Radke in June 1998 -- but Blackburn's second one was a loss. After allowing just two runs to the Brewers over his first 7 2/3 innings, Blackburn gave up two in the bottom of the eighth and the winning run scored on his throwing error. Despite the disappointing finish, Blackburn continues to be a model of consistency. He is 1-0 with a 2.00 ERA in three career appearances (two starts) vs. the Royals.
Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Twins are 4-0 in Blackburns last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Twins are 4-1 in Blackburns last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Royals are 2-8 in Hochevars last 10 starts as an underdog.
Royals are 1-4 in Hochevars last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Royals are 1-5 in Hochevars last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Royals are 1-5 in Hochevars last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Royals are 1-5 in Hochevars last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Royals are 2-14 in Hochevars last 16 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Royals are 0-4 in Hochevars last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Royals are 0-6 in Hochevars last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
Twins are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Kansas City.Comment -
The Twinkies also dominate in just about every category as far as their away stats vs. the home stats of the Royals.Comment -
As a reminder my plays really arent made for you to pick and choose which games to play. Meaning i play them all because i dont put plays ahead of others based on units. I dont give more strength towards 1 play over the other. If i was that good i would be a millionaire. I play them all for the same amount of units and over the long haul, by seasons end if everything goes as years past i will be up 100+ units for the year.Comment -
I see, thanks for the write-ups monster, I appreciate it.
And good luck tonight!
Comment -
More on the Minny/KC Play:
HOCHEVAR is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 8.44 and a WHIP of 2.251.His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts.
BLACKBURN is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 0.913.His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts.
I capped the game @ Minnesota -171. Even though you are laying a little juice the line should be much higher.
Minnesota -134 over Kansas City:
Nick Blackburn (6-3, 3.11) has been one of the best pitchers in the American League this year, and most people have never even heard of him. He’s not a big strikeout pitcher (only 41 in 101 innings), but he induces ground balls and pitches to contact. He’s one of the main reasons Minnesota finds itself in contention in the AL Central.
Former #1 overall pick Luke Hochevar (2-3, 5.87) has had an up and down season for the Royals but is starting to find some consistency after years of taking the Minors/Majors elevator. In three of his last 5 starts he’s pitched into the seventh inning, and is 2-0 in those outings. The other two in that time frame have been poor, but like I said, he’s working on finding some consistency. It’ll come, he’s too talented for it not to, but in 2009 I expect more of the same problems that have plagued him early in his career to continue.
Hope that helpsComment -
Write-Ups:
Pittsburgh (Z. Duke) ML +100 (2 units)
The Pittsburgh Pirates will try to start a new winning streak when they welcome the NL Central-foe Chicago Cubs to PNC Park this evening for the first of three straight games.
Zach Duke gets the nod tonight for Pittsburgh and has pitched exceptionally well at home this season. Duke is 5-0 with a 2.50 earned run average over his last five trips to the PNC Park mound and 6-2 in eight total starts as the host. In his last outing Wednesday versus Cleveland in the Steel City, Duke tossed six innings of one-run ball in a 10-6 victory to push his record to 5-2 in his past seven decisions.
Rich Harden will try to pitch himself and the Cubs back into the win column when he toes the rubber Monday. Harden is 0-3 with a 5.64 earned run average over his last four starts and 0-2 in three outings since coming off of the disabled list. In his most recent start Wednesday at Detroit, Harden was reached for four runs -- two earned -- in the 5-3 setback
San Francisco (T. Lincecum) -126 (2 units)
Tim Lincecum didn't face the Cardinals when the teams met May 29-31 in San Francisco, where the Giants won two of three games. But he has won all three of his career starts against St. Louis, posting a 2.37 ERA. Last year, Lincecum yielded just two earned runs in 13 innings spanning two starts against the Cardinals.
If not for Jason Giambi's solo home run, Tim Lincecum would have recorded his second shutout of the season Tuesday against the Oakland A's. That didn't mean he had an easy go of it, though. Twice Lincecum escaped bases-loaded situations by inducing ground-ball double plays. Still, it's clear that Lincecum has regained his dominating stuff overall. He owns a 1.48 ERA since May 21. Lincecum also has won three of his last four starts.
Pablo Sandoval has reached base safely in 23 consecutive games, collecting a hit in 21 of them. He ranked second in the National League with a .340 batting average entering Sunday. Nate Schierholtz owns a five-game hitting streak, which might not sound like much. But he has collected multiple hits in four of those games to lift his average above .300. Schierholtz even batted cleanup in Sunday's series finale against the Milwaukee Brewers as Bengie Molina rested.Comment -
Write-Ups:
Houston (R. Oswalt) -150 (2 units)
Oswalt, coming off a complete-game loss at Minnesota on June 19, pitched well and took a no-decision Wednesday against the Royals. Oswalt held Kansas City to seven hits and one run and struck out eight batters in six innings, leaving the game for a pinch-hitter in the sixth. Oswalt has allowed one earned run in three of his past five starts. He is 9-2 with a 2.87 ERA in 14 career appearances against the Padres, including 12 starts. He's 2-1 with a 3.09 ERA in four career starts at PETCO Park.
The Astros have won seven of their past nine series. ... Houston is 12-4 against National League West teams this year. ... The Astros' 15-9 record through June 27 was the second-best in the NL for June and their most wins in a month since September of last year. ... Geoff Blum has committed one error in his past 86 games at third base (since July 26, 2008).
CWS (G. Floyd) +101 (2 units)
Despite a rocky first three innings, Floyd produced his seventh consecutive quality start in a 10-7 victory against the Dodgers on Wednesday. Floyd threw 71 pitches in the first three innings, allowing three runs. Over his final three innings, however, he made just 37 pitches, allowing no runs. In total, Floyd went six innings, giving up three runs (one earned), while striking out three and walking two. Floyd is 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA in five career starts against the Indians.
The White Sox posted their third shutout against the Cubs in Interleague Play and fifth shutout of the season. They last shut out the Cubs on May 20, 2006, at U.S. Cellular Field. ... With a solo home run in the eighth inning, Jermaine Dye moved past Bill Melton into seventh place on the White Sox all-time home run list (155). ... The White Sox have hit at least one home run in six straight games and have gone deep in 12 of their past 13 games. During that span, they have hit 24 homers. ... The White Sox hold a 3-2 lead in this season's Interleague series against the Cubs, with one makeup game remaining. They are 36-35 against the Cubs since Interleague Play began in 1997.
Anaheim (S. O'Sullivan) +112 ( 2 units)
Anaheim/Texas (S. O'Sullivan/V. Padilla) UNDER 10.5 -105 (1 unit)
O'Sullivan pitched well in his second big league start, but was plagued by two problems -- his control and the bat of Rockies shortstop Troy Tulowitzki. O'Sullivan needed 101 pitches to get through five-plus innings and allowed three runs, all coming on two homers by Tulowitzki. O'Sullivan's command was off, as he walked three batters, but he kept the Angels in the game, at least, as he exited with the team down just one run.
The Angels have 26 homers in their past 15 games after hitting only nine in their previous 14 games. ... With 419 wins, the Angels lead the Majors since the start of the 2005 season.
Padilla is 3-0 with a 2.16 ERA in his last four starts after a 2-1 victory over the Diamondbacks on Wednesday night at Chase Field. He allowed one run on six hits and two walks over seven innings while striking out three. Padilla, 5-1 with a 2.96 ERA in his last eight starts, is 3-2 with a 5.54 ERA in seven starts at home this season. One of those victories came against the Angels on May 16, when he allowed three runs in eight innings. He is 6-3 with a 4.72 ERA in 13 games, including 12 starts, against the Angels in his career.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Texas.
Under is 4-0 in Padillas last 4 starts overall.
Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 7-0-1 in Rangers last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 4-0 in Padillas last 4 home starts.
Under is 4-0 in Padillas last 4 starts on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Padillas last 4 starts as a favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Padillas last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Comment -
MHM,
I also read your post.I don't write that much because of too many paper works. I also write at Ck's thread but not that much.Of course we also need to secure our jobs.So, enough of this lousy explanation. I just want to tell you that you are doing a tremendous job. I also follow some of your picks.I always follows some picks because i have no time to research ballgames because of work.And sometimes i follow my instincts if i'm gonna play the game.And for tonights games I like your plays.But gonna play 4 only and that's LAA SFO MIN CWS and as for me I like COL for the late game.So,if i may ask,what do you think or do you have some analysis on the Col/Lad game?
Comment -
thanks for the write ups man...i basically tailed every pick
Comment -
The COL/LAD isnt a play of mine but here's what i think:MHM,
I also read your post.I don't write that much because of too many paper works. I also write at Ck's thread but not that much.Of course we also need to secure our jobs.So, enough of this lousy explanation. I just want to tell you that you are doing a tremendous job. I also follow some of your picks.I always follows some picks because i have no time to research ballgames because of work.And sometimes i follow my instincts if i'm gonna play the game.And for tonights games I like your plays.But gonna play 4 only and that's LAA SFO MIN CWS and as for me I like COL for the late game.So,if i may ask,what do you think or do you have some analysis on the Col/Lad game?
Colorado/LAD:
Jimenez pitched a solid seven innings against the Angels on Tuesday, giving up seven hits and four earned runs, yet he got the loss thanks to a timely two-run single by Bobby Abreu in the top of the eighth inning. It was the first loss of June for Jimenez, who had won three straight. Jimenez is 4-3 with a 6.84 ERA in 10 career games against the Dodgers. Since May 1, Jimenez is 5-4 with a 2.91 ERA in 11 starts, and he has been a big figure in the Rockies' run.
Wolf got roughed up by the White Sox last time out. In only 3 1/3 innings, he allowed five runs and three homers, along with two walks, two wild pitches and a hit batter. The Dodgers had won seven of Wolf's eight previous starts and he came into the game having allowed only one run the previous 11 innings. It was his first start of the year lasting less than five innings.
The Rockies are 1-8 against the Natonal League West-leading Dodgers this year.
COL are 12-2 in their last 14 road games.
COL are 18-5 in their last 23 games as an underdog.
COL are 20-6 in their last 26 games on grass.
LAD are 46-20 in their last 66 home games.
LAD are 48-21 in their last 69 games as a favorite.
LAD are 12-3 in Wolfs last 15 home starts.
Tough call for me. I'd prefer the over than the side.
Over is 9-0 in Jimenezs last 9 starts vs. LA.
GLComment -
Thanks for the info MHM, I already play the rockies though but i'm gonna add the over on this game as well.Gonna prepare for work now.
Booked over Col/Lad 8.5Comment -
I would have a slight lean toward Colorado because the way they are playing of late but a bigger lean to the OVER.Comment -
So,let's cash this both.
Comment -
monster, thanks for the picks and very nice write-ups! gl rest of the night.
Comment -
06/29 Plays:
ML Plays
Pittsburgh (Z. Duke) ML +100 (2 units)
San Francisco (T. Lincecum) -126 (2 units)
Houston (R. Oswalt) -150 (2 units)
CWS (G. Floyd) +101 (2 units)
Anaheim (S. O'Sullivan) +112 ( 2 units)
Minnesota (N. Blackburn) -137 (2 units)
Totals
Anaheim/Texas (S. O'Sullivan/V. Padilla) UNDER 10.5 -105 (1 unit)
YTD:
ML Plays: 13-9, +7.73 units
RL Plays: 1-0, +1.0 units
Totals: 3-3, +.20 units
Another winning day and 8 winning days out of last 9 days.
Today:
ML Plays: 4-2, +3.52 units
RL Plays: 0-0
Totals: 1-0, +1.0 unit
YTD:
ML Plays: 17-11, +11.25 units
RL Plays: 1-0, +1.0 units
Totals: 4-3, +1.20 unitsComment -
Great job tonight monsters!
Comment -
Comment -
06/30 Plays:
Florida (S. West) ML -144 (2 units)
Anaheim (J. Saunders) ML +106 (2 units)
San Diego (J. Banks) RL +1.5, -165 (1 unit)
Write Ups:
Florida (S. West) ML -144 (2 units)
West won his third game of the season after throwing six shutout innings against the Orioles in his last start. The left-hander allowed just four hits while walking three and striking out two. The 22-year-old West allowed a runner to reach in each of his six innings but was able to get out of jams all night by remaining calm and making his pitches.
The 6-foot-8 West has reason to believe in himself after pitching well since he was called up from Double-A Jacksonville on May 23. In his last start, West baffled the Orioles for six shutout innings while holding them to four hits.
Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Home team is 6-0 in Welkes last 6 Tuesday games behind home plate.
Home team is 5-1 in Welkes last 6 games behind home plate.
Anaheim (J. Saunders) ML +106 (2 units)
Saunders was on top of his game against the torrid Rockies on Wednesday night at home, limiting them to one run across six innings on four hits, striking out six with one walk. With dominant efforts in two of his past three outings,
Feldman is 0-2 with a 4.70 ERA in his past four starts and has a 3.30 ERA in 12 starts after beginning the season in the bullpen. He is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in eight games, including six starts, at home. Left-handed hitters are hitting .213 off him while right-handers are hitting .256. He threw six scoreless innings in a start against the Angels on May 17 that the Rangers eventuallly won, 3-0, after he left the game. He is 1-3 with a 5.35 ERA in 14 games, including five starts, against the Angels in his career.
Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Angels are 7-0 in their last 7 road games.
Angels are 7-1 in Saunders' last 8 starts vs. American League West.
Rangers are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Rangers are 1-5 in Feldmans last 6 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Rangers are 1-8 in Feldmans last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 games with Gibson behind home plate.
San Diego (J. Banks) RL +1.5, -165 (1 unit)
Banks takes LeBlanc's spot in the rotation after LeBlanc was demoted to Triple-A. In five appearances as a reliever, he has a 1.64 ERA over 11 innings pitched.
Tuesday will be Hampton's first start since straining his groin on the last pitch he threw June 12 against the D-backs in Arizona. In that outing against Arizona, Hampton walked a season-high five batters and gave up three runs on eight hits over five innings, taking the loss. He has not faced the Padres since 2005. In his career, the left-hander is 6-10 with a 5.17 ERA over 25 starts vs. San Diego.
Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Padres are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
Home team is 5-0 in Reillys last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. San Diego.
GOOD LUCK TODAY!
YTD:
ML Plays: 17-11, +11.25 units
RL Plays: 1-0, +1.0 units
Totals: 4-3, +1.20 units
Comment -
Comment -
Good morning monsters, any thoughts on the Pirates today?Comment -
Not a play of mine but i can give you my thoughts in a fewComment -
Ohlendorf (Pittsburgh) got a no-decision in his last start, when he pitched seven innings and surrendered two runs on five hits. It was his longest outing since he threw 7 2/3 innings on May 23. Ohlendorf has lost three of his past four decisions. Despite playing in the same division as the Cubs, the right-hander hasn't faced them in his career. Ohlendorf is 4-2 at home this season.
Lilly (Chicago) gave up a season high in hits and runs in his last start, against the Tigers, serving up six runs on 10 hits over six innings. The 10 hits Lilly allowed matched his career high -- or low, depending on how you look at it. He was glad to see Interleague Play end. Lilly was 0-1 with two no-decisions against American League teams and has not faced the Pirates yet this season.
Tough game to call for me. Pitching matchup is pretty close. The team that i think is warming up is the Cubbies and they have historically played very well on the road in Pittsburgh.
I'll sit this one out but if you twisted my arm to make a selection i probably would lean to the Cubs.Comment -
thanks for the write-up!
what if i twisted BOTH of you arms? haha.Comment -
Comment -
Long story short, not a game i would play. No significant advantage anywhere i can see.Comment
