Mr. Crumbs Leans for Saturday 6/13/09

melincrea · 06-13-09, 01:31 AM

Jays 2u
Orioles 1u
Pirates 1u

I am going to refrain from betting on visiting teams now (in baseball). Was quite upset with the way Pittsburgh beat Detroit tonight in pucks though.

Had 10u on em..

Also, bad/unlucky 0-4 tonight CK. Good luck to you (us too, as I like following you) tomorrow! I'll be tailing you for the appropriate numbers.

Red Birds (4u) - this is the right call

JumpoffJoeBeezy · 06-13-09, 02:03 AM

I'm on the Jays too.

However, cant wrap my mind around taking Pittsburgh even with Zach Duke on the hill. I like Galarraga.. Plus the Tigers have a totally superior offensive lineup. Plus I just heard a stat where Pittsburgh is 64-105 against the AL? Wow. Think I'll take the Tigers and the price.

Jays, Tigers, Cards, A's for me tomorrow.

Ineed$$ · 06-13-09, 05:12 AM

Last night two parlays that built my budget to start following Mr Cocknocker (God bless him!) and stop playing silly parlays...

#1
Giants, Angels, Rockies, Brewers, Braves, Tigers, Red Sox - 1 unit to win 49.9 units - WON!

#2
Braves -1.5, Brewers, Rockies, Giants -1.5, Red Sox - 1 unit to win 29.86 units - WON!

Time to start earning some serious money.

GL tonight, Gentlemen!

Dexter · 06-13-09, 06:41 AM

Sat-

i realize this is hardens first game back, but this just feels like a bad spot for the twins. i dont see the twins (9-20 on the road) taking 2 in a row at wrigley. swarzak has a 7.80/1.89 in his last 3.

cubs (RL - 3x)
______________

Game 5: Lakers +3 (3x)

Jimbo42 · 06-13-09, 07:27 AM

What Up!

Booked:

Toronto -1.5 +150
Toronto -140

Cleveland -115
Cleveland -1.5 +160

GL Homies!

jellobiafra · 06-13-09, 07:35 AM

I don't have any unders today. Just not feeling it. If I had to pick one it would be the OAK/SFG game but the line has already dropped to 7.5, and I'm seeing a couple red flags in the trends on that one. I'm playing sides today, even though it's not really my stongsuit. Besides, I'm much more concerned with UVA/LSU tonight at 7pm EST College World Series. Tought matchup for he hoos but they don't back down for anybody. And I've got friends coming in from out of town and I'm going to concert tonight so I won't be around later.... Hope the board can survive without me!

HOU -110
BOS -101
CIN +109

Plus whatever our resident cash machines (CK and SexyMit) lay down as their WNBA plays. Free money. Love it guys. Thanks again for doing that for us.

obamaismyuncle · 06-13-09, 07:53 AM

Small early 2 team parlay for me today, was gonna go with Toronto -1.5, but thought I'd play it safe, still drunk from last night.

06/13/2009 08:50:38 Unsettled BA 3 6/13 FLORIDA: S WEST AT TORONTO: C JANSSEN TORONTO: C JANSSEN (-137) BA 5 6/13 MINNESOTA: A SWARZAK AT CHICAGO N: R HARDEN CHICAGO N: R HARDEN (-160)

bobbybux · 06-13-09, 07:57 AM

sorry isf this is a dumb question, i'm still learning. i belong to 5 dimes and betjam. i couldn't find where to place series bets. does every book offer series lines? or just certain books?
thanks for any input.

delijaworld · 06-13-09, 08:01 AM

Hi Bettors
Hope you're fine and ready for Today's betting adventure...
When you first decide to practice sports investing, you must determine what your bankroll is....

Houston Astros
Roy Oswalt - R -120

Minnesota Twins
Anthony Swarzak - R +150

Cleveland Indians
Tomo Ohka - R -115

P.s. Good luck if you betting...

RoagBettor · 06-13-09, 08:04 AM

Betting the hot teams, the 3 R's:

RED SOX
RAYS
ROCKIES

RoagBettor · 06-13-09, 08:05 AM

I don't like Toronto today; they're still not playing well and the Marlins own them.

therber2 · 06-13-09, 08:31 AM

Parlay Cubs and Cards. GL guys.

cocknocker · 06-13-09, 09:47 AM

WHIP

STL 1.50
CLE 0.00

Advantage Red Birds. Thompson has been pitching in the bigs this year. Ohka has not and matter of fact he is making his season debut (Ohka is VERY hittable) against a Red Birds lineup that is scorching the ball despite yesterday's loss.

Power Rankings

STL -104
CLE +104

Line

STL+102
CLE-110

Advantage Red Birds. With a higher majority of bettors on them the linemaker relented and the line is now Red Birds-105, and -106 in some places, going from positive money to negative money overnight. That is a significant factor, and should not be overlooked. Linemakers hate to take a wager from positive to negative territory.

Slugging% last 3 games

STL .487
CLE .296

Advantage Red Birds HEAVY

Bullpen WHIP last 3

STL 2.097 (Yikes! Don't I know this all too well)
CLE 0.818

Advantage Wahoos

My pick: Red Birds HEAVY. They hold all of the advantages with movement, hitting, pitching and lack bullpen presence. Ohka will serve up some grapefruits for Pujols and the Red Birds get out to a lead and hold it. I love the Wahoos, just not in this series!

**************************************** ***************

WHIP

CWS 1.54
MIL 1.83 (Horrid)

Advantage Pale Hose HEAVY

Power Ranking

CWS+139
MIL-139

Line

CWS+111
MIL-119

Advantage Pale Hose-the line has stayed stiff despite the public on the Brewskies 71-29%

Slugging% last 3 games

CWS .404
MIL .402

Advantage Pale Hose

Bullpen WHIP last 3

CWS 0.820
MIL 1.683

Advantage Pale Hose

My pick: Pale Hose +100 Everyone knows how I love even money wagers

**************************************** *********************

WHIP

BOS 2.11 (WOW! Super horrid)
PHI 1.18

Advantage Phillies HEAVY

Power Rankings

BOS+118
PHI-118

Advantage Phillies. With a close consensus (56-44% only because Boston is a VERY public team) the Phillies line went up to -115 to -121 on some sites.

Slugging% last 3 games

BOS .438
PHI .317

Advantage Boston

Bullpen WHIP Last 3 Games

BOS 1.333
PHI 1.062

Advantage Phillies

My pick: Phillies-118 The power ranking is spot on, and the Phillies will start to hit better at their own ballpark over the next few days. Might as well be in on the parade instead of being a spectator while they make money.

macadams · 06-13-09, 10:01 AM

Booked:

Cubs 1 unit @ 1.61

_______________________________________ _

June: + 0.16 units

JamesBrown · 06-13-09, 10:04 AM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

I don't like Toronto today; they're still not playing well and the Marlins own them.

I agree. I was looking at this match up and I like Florida here. There is good value, and West has been solid in his first 3 starts. His Whip is .95 and his one game on the road this year he went 7 innings with 1 ER. I'll be backing the fish today, but GL to all.

solobass · 06-13-09, 10:05 AM

CK agree on the red birds, going to make my money back from last night. i am working on all kinds of goodies and will have my picks up in about 30 mins or so.

solobass · 06-13-09, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by JamesBrown

I agree. I was looking at this match up and I like Florida here. There is good value, and West has been solid in his first 3 starts. His Whip is .95 and his one game on the road this year he went 7 innings with 1 ER. I'll be backing the fish today, but GL to all.

man that is not right with the avatar he is like a god to me. i made a pilgrimage past his house before every gig in nyc....but there was THAT side of him too. where is the pic from?

anyway i might not be on the fish but i am hoping for some tuna.

best of luck!

G's pks · 06-13-09, 10:16 AM

Cknker...I am starting to notice you play the Cards alot... they seem like a good pick...but do you notice yourself not playing for/against certain teams? I notice now that I am using a system, then capping after the system picks out a few series.. I have to a look at teams I used to ignore. Example TB yesterday not a team I usually play either way...

Dexter · 06-13-09, 10:18 AM

yeah, ive noticed that as well - in hoops it was the rockets.

shoe does the same thing with the pirates.

its good when you get a pulse on a team - i dont really have one for any team yet.

JamesBrown · 06-13-09, 10:20 AM

Solo -

I saw him in an outdoor concert in San Diego years back and I became obsessed. This picture is actually a jail booking picture from 2004. Good luck on your games today.

Originally posted by solobass

man that is not right with the avatar he is like a god to me. i made a pilgrimage past his house before every gig in nyc....but there was THAT side of him too. where is the pic from?

anyway i might not be on the fish but i am hoping for some tuna.

best of luck!

BarkingToad · 06-13-09, 10:26 AM

Phillies -115

G's pks · 06-13-09, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

yeah, ive noticed that as well - in hoops it was the rockets.

shoe does the same thing with the pirates.

its good when you get a pulse on a team - i dont really have one for any team yet.

I also saw someone..think it was windycity sports who follows only the Cubs in a thread...claims he will hit 85%, have not looked at his thread lately...started it last week. Will be interesting to see how he does.

In the nba I did really well, especially when I needed a big win with the Celtics. Baseball lately i have been all over the board and I am ahead...but it has been a struggle..actually because of the Cards and that damn 4 game sweep by the rockies last weekend...

solobass · 06-13-09, 10:31 AM

Originally posted by JamesBrown

Solo -

I saw him in an outdoor concert in San Diego years back and I became obsessed. This picture is actually a jail booking picture from 2004. Good luck on your games today.

wow man he was still killing it up until the end. i am gambler/statistician by day, bass player/band leader by night. i met him in 1999 and the pic is still on my refrigerator.

the funkified plays of the day are

cards -105
brew crew -127
tigers -104 (smaller, gallaraga has been enjoying our mistress the fantastic negative fluctuation)
dodgers -104 heavy heavy heavy duty

RoagBettor · 06-13-09, 11:08 AM

My early plays:

Marlins (+120) (they own Toronto especially in Toronto)
Cubs/Twins over 5 1H (EV)

DeeWizzle · 06-13-09, 11:16 AM

JANSSEN is 0-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 21.00 and a WHIP of 5.000.

solobass · 06-13-09, 11:27 AM

Originally posted by DeeWizzle

JANSSEN is 0-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 21.00 and a WHIP of 5.000.

is that just one start?

RoagBettor · 06-13-09, 11:30 AM

The Blue Jays have also had no luck against the Marlins (30-33) lately, getting outscored 35-10 in losing the last six meetings.

In his only start against the Marlins on June 17, 2006, Janssen was tagged for a career-high seven runs and 11 hits in three innings of an 8-2 loss.

On Friday, Cody Ross hit a tiebreaking grand slam -- his third this season -- to help the Marlins improve to 8-2 all-time in Toronto.

Sean West (1-1, 2.22) looks to build off his first career win and help the Marlins win their fourth straight game at Rogers Centre.

suicidekings · 06-13-09, 11:41 AM

WAS @ TB, Over 10 (-105)
BOS @ PHI, Over 10 (-115)
LAD (+105) @ TEX
OAK @ SF, OAK RRL (+165)

solobass · 06-13-09, 11:43 AM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

The Blue Jays have also had no luck against the Marlins (30-33) lately, getting outscored 35-10 in losing the last six meetings.

In his only start against the Marlins on June 17, 2006, Janssen was tagged for a career-high seven runs and 11 hits in three innings of an 8-2 loss.

On Friday, Cody Ross hit a tiebreaking grand slam -- his third this season -- to help the Marlins improve to 8-2 all-time in Toronto.

Sean West (1-1, 2.22) looks to build off his first career win and help the Marlins win their fourth straight game at Rogers Centre.

hey you are not going to get the 'regression to the mean' speech from me. looks like a good play best of luck.

shoebox · 06-13-09, 11:43 AM

No interleague for me....

Gl off to a wedding tonite

macadams · 06-13-09, 11:47 AM

Booked : 2 units BAL +1.5 @ 1.58

xmrblueduckyx · 06-13-09, 11:54 AM

Marlins
Cubs,
Wsox,
Cards,
Phils,
Reds,
LAD/TEX UNDER 9.5

solobass · 06-13-09, 12:00 PM

stranger than life and i hope not to offend anyone here. so when i am in my mid-michigan home i work downtown sometimes at a few bars but a coffee shop in the mornings when my house is too loud. today is the big gay pride rally/parade and i just saw my EX-WIFE on a float....

anyway
mets +170 pettitte will give up some runs today

solobass · 06-13-09, 12:06 PM

ok i jumped on the florida bandwagon after a closer look. jaansen home whip skewed my numbers significantly.