losturmarbles mlb picks

[losturmarbles]

hopefully this goes well. if it does, i'll try to keep it going for the rest of the season. if it doesnt, i'll go back and tinker some more with it. i've been working on a model and system for mlb sides. maybe in the future i will incorporate a sim in the process also. i'm ignoring lineups for this thread. feel free to share any thoughts on particular games, although this is more for tracking purposes.

good luck.

edit:
all plays are 1 unit. i may sometimes post .5 unit plays. and to make it easy to grade, favs will be to win 1 unit, dogs risking 1 unit.

[losturmarbles]

Tues 09June09

904 Florida Marlins +111
909 Chicago Cubs -127
911 Colorado Rockies +125
913 San Francisco Giants -115
918 Tampa Bay Rays -128
919 Seattle Mariners +114
924 Boston Red Sox -131
930 Oakland Athletics +100

[losturmarbles]

tues 09june09

904 florida marlins +111 w
909 chicago cubs -127 w
911 colorado rockies +125 w
913 san francisco giants -115 w
918 tampa bay rays -128 l
919 seattle mariners +114 l
924 boston red sox -131 w
930 oakland athletics +100 l

5-3 +2.08

ytd 5-3 +2.08

[losturmarbles]

wed 10june09

951 Cincinnati Reds -110 vs Washington Nationals
953 St Louis Cardinals -103 vs Florida Marlins
955 Philadelphia Phillies -150 vs New York Mets
967 Seattle Mariners -108 vs Baltimore Orioles
970 Tampa Bay Rays -118 vs Los Angeles Angels
974 Boston Red Sox -115 vs New York Yankees
976 Texas Rangers -159 vs Toronto Blue Jays
980 Oakland Athletics -122 vs Minnesota Twins

all half unit plays tonight (some bad prices) ... all favs too... hmmm

[losturmarbles]

wed 10june09

951 Cincinnati Reds -110 vs Washington Nationals W
953 St Louis Cardinals -103 vs Florida Marlins W
955 Philadelphia Phillies -150 vs New York Mets W
967 Seattle Mariners -108 vs Baltimore Orioles W
970 Tampa Bay Rays -118 vs Los Angeles Angels W
974 Boston Red Sox -115 vs New York Yankees W
976 Texas Rangers -159 vs Toronto Blue Jays rain/suspended
980 Oakland Athletics -122 vs Minnesota Twins L

all half unit plays tonight (some bad prices) ... all favs too... hmmm

i guess i shouldve just played full units...

6-1 +2.39

ytd 11-4 +4.47

[losturmarbles]

11june09

903 Pittsburgh Pirates +162
905 Chicago Cubs -137
908 Milwaukee Brewers -176 (1/2 unit play)
914 New York Mets +102
915 Detroit Tigers -112
925 New York Yankees -142 (1/2 unit play)

[losturmarbles]

11june09

903 Pittsburgh Pirates +162 W
905 Chicago Cubs -137 L
908 Milwaukee Brewers -176 (1/2 unit play) L
914 New York Mets +102 L
915 Detroit Tigers -112 L
925 New York Yankees -142 (1/2 unit play) L

ugh, wrong side of some close games. (lost 2 in extra innings, lost one in bottom of 9th, lost the other 2 by 1 run)

1-5 -3.46

YTD 12-9 +1.01

[losturmarbles]

12june09

i'm changing from now on all plays are "risking" 1 unit. (or half unit)

957 Detroit Tigers -130
963 New York Mets +200
970 Milwaukee Brewers -139
971 Los Angeles Dodgers -103
973 Cincinnati Reds +108
976 Colorado Rockies -152

[losturmarbles]

12june09

i'm changing from now on all plays are "risking" 1 unit. (or half unit)

957 Detroit Tigers -130 W
963 New York Mets +200 L
970 Milwaukee Brewers -139 W
971 Los Angeles Dodgers -103 L
973 Cincinnati Reds +108 L
976 Colorado Rockies -152 W

well the mets blow their lead with a 2 out error in bottom of the 9th, unreal. oh well.

3-3 -.85

ytd 15-12 +.16

[losturmarbles]

13june09

901 Houston Astros -111
903 Florida Marlins +130
907 Chicago White Sox +112
909 New York Mets +188 (1/2 unit)
911 St Louis Cardinals +101
914 Tampa Bay Rays -155
915 Atlanta Braves +100
920 Philadelphia Phillies -110
924 Texas Rangers -117

[losturmarbles]

13june09

901 houston astros -111 w
903 florida marlins +130 w
907 chicago white sox +112 w
909 new york mets +188 (1/2 unit) w
911 st louis cardinals +101 w
914 tampa bay rays -155 w
915 atlanta braves +100 l
920 philadelphia phillies -110 l
924 texas rangers -117 l

6-3 +2.92

[losturmarbles]

14june09

955 Florida Marlins +107
957 Atlanta Braves -113
962 Pittsburgh Pirates -106
963 Boston Red Sox -125
967 Cincinnati Reds -114 (half unit)
970 Chicago Cubs -128 (half unit)
971 Los Angeles Dodgers -135
978 San Francisco Giants -138
979 New York Mets +112

[losturmarbles]

14june09

955 Florida Marlins +107 w
957 Atlanta Braves -113 l
962 Pittsburgh Pirates -106 w
963 Boston Red Sox -125 l
967 Cincinnati Reds -114 (half unit) l
970 Chicago Cubs -128 (half unit) w
971 Los Angeles Dodgers -135 w
978 San Francisco Giants -138 w
979 New York Mets +112 l

5-4 +.36

ytd 26-19 +3.44

[losturmarbles]

15june09

904 San Francisco Giants +108

[losturmarbles]

16june09

955 New York Mets +114
959 Milwaukee Brewers -133
964 Texas Rangers -134
966 Chicago Cubs -152
967 Arizona Diamondbacks +127
971 Detroit Tigers -113
973 Tampa Bay Rays +118

[losturmarbles]

oops

17june09

907 Washington Nationals +195 (half unit)
911 Toronto Blue Jays +124
913 Milwaukee Brewers +113
917 Houston Astros +143
919 Arizona Diamondbacks +154
923 Detroit Tigers -112
925 Tampa Bay Rays +108
930 Los Angeles Dodgers -147

[losturmarbles]

15june09

904 san francisco giants +108 l

0-1 -1

16june09

955 new york mets +114 w
959 milwaukee brewers -133 w
964 texas rangers -134 w
966 chicago cubs -152 rain/postponed
967 arizona diamondbacks +127 l
971 detroit tigers -113 l
973 tampa bay rays +118 w

4-2 +1.82

ytd 30-22 +4.26

[losturmarbles]

18june09

957 Pittsburgh Pirates +140
960 Chicago Cubs -159
962 Colorado Rockies -103
966 Baltimore Orioles -110
970 Texas Rangers -161
971 Arizona Diamondbacks -133

[losturmarbles]

oops

17june09

907 washington nationals +195 (half unit) w
911 toronto blue jays +124 w
913 milwaukee brewers +113 w
917 houston astros +143 l
919 arizona diamondbacks +154 w
923 detroit tigers -112 l
925 tampa bay rays +108 l
930 los angeles dodgers -147 l

4-4 +.88

ytd 34-26 +5.14

[losturmarbles]

18june09

957 Pittsburgh Pirates +140 l
960 Chicago Cubs -159 w
962 Colorado Rockies -103 w
966 Baltimore Orioles -110 w
970 Texas Rangers -161 l
971 Arizona Diamondbacks -133 w

4-2 +1.26

ytd 38-28 +6.40

[losturmarbles]

19june09

901 Pittsburgh Pirates +162
903 Cleveland Indians +109
907 Toronto Blue Jays -101
909 Milwaukee Brewers +105
912 Florida Marlins +135
914 New York Mets -101
916 Cincinnati Reds -101
918 Boston Red Sox -142
921 St Louis Cardinals -102
928 Seattle Mariners -133
929 Texas Rangers +100

favs are to win 1 unit today

[losturmarbles]

19june09

901 Pittsburgh Pirates +162 l
903 Cleveland Indians +109 l
907 Toronto Blue Jays -101 l
909 Milwaukee Brewers +105 l
912 Florida Marlins +135 l
914 New York Mets -101 w
916 Cincinnati Reds -101 w
918 Boston Red Sox -142 l
921 St Louis Cardinals -102 w
928 Seattle Mariners -133 w
929 Texas Rangers +100 l

favs are to win 1 unit today

4-7 -3.43

ytd 42-35 +2.97

[losturmarbles]

20june09

959 Tampa Bay Rays +111
961 Toronto Blue Jays -114
969 Atlanta Braves +158 (half unit)
977 Oakland Athletics -121
980 Seattle Mariners -128

[waiverwire]

Rays-Mets is a likely rainout: http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/weather.pl

[losturmarbles]

thanks waiver for the link. the weather ended up changing a lot from what they were forecasting this morning.

[losturmarbles]

20june09

959 Tampa Bay Rays +111 w
961 Toronto Blue Jays -114 l *in extra innings
969 Atlanta Braves +158 (half unit) l
977 Oakland Athletics -121 w
980 Seattle Mariners -128 w

3-2 +1.47

ytd 45-37 +4.44

[losturmarbles]

21june09

903 Milwaukee Brewers +121
906 Cincinnati Reds -115
908 New York Mets -104
912 Washington Nationals +111
916 Minnesota Twins -121
921 Texas Rangers -132
923 Oakland Athletics -119
930 Los Angeles Angels -125

[losturmarbles]

21june09

903 Milwaukee Brewers +121 l
906 Cincinnati Reds -115 l
908 New York Mets -104 l
912 Washington Nationals +111 l
916 Minnesota Twins -121 l
921 Texas Rangers -132 l
923 Oakland Athletics -119 l
930 Los Angeles Angels -125 l

i'm going to go ahead and grade the laa play as a loss. i bought these picks from this new tout, michael jack corbin? guess i should get my money back.

0-8 -9.16
ytd 45-45 -4.72

i've backtracked and noticed some things i've been ignoring.

going to start anew tomorrow.