netprofit's June 09 picks

[Netprofit]

yesterday 2-2 +$540
YTD 17-17 -$120

reds +107 $1000
reds -1.5 +160 $500
orioles vs. mariners O8.5 -120 $1000 (hoop guru's tips)
baltimore +107 $500

[Netprofit]

add:

phillies vs. padres U8.5 -120 $1000

[hoop guru]

YOu may not want to follow me again. THis game looks ugly for the over. Both teams suck offensively.

[hoop guru]

Both teams are hitting into double plays.

[Netprofit]

never mind, i hope at least orioles wins.

you win some, you lose some, 2 minds are better than 1, keep giving me your tips when you think they are good.

[hoop guru]

netprofit,
If it does not go over, I hope the orioles win for your sake even if I lose on the over.

[hoop guru]

Mariners hitters have no plate discipline at all. THey been ahead on the count (3-1) and the idiots keep swinging

[hoop guru]

Mariners cannot hit at home at all. Mariners have scored 86 runs in 25 games. IN 16 of those games, the mariners have been held to 4 runs or less. They have been shutout 3 times, scored 1 run 4 times, scored 2 runs 4 times. Mariners have even more trouble hitting left handers. The orioles this year have really struggled against left handers. I wish I had analyzed this game a little different, perhaps I would have stayed away from the over. I realized that the mariners team total to go under is a very safe bet when the mariners play at home especially against left handers.

[Netprofit]

thanks hoop.

today 3-1 +$2205
YTD 20-18 +$2085

[G's pks]

good job

[Netprofit]

yesterday 3-1 +$2205
YTD 20-18 +$2085

rays -160
rockies -1.5 +115
rangers vs. yankees U10.5 -120

[Netprofit]

red sox +120
texas +1.5 -120
twins -1.5 +110
phillies vs. padres U7.5 -125

[Netprofit]

yesterday 2-5 -$3450
YTD 22-23 -$1365

[hoop guru]

Mariners -130/Orioles team total under 4 runs (-115)
-Orioles have really struggled against left handers. So far in this series, Orioles have scored a total of 3 runs in 2 games. Orioles have a lineup loaded with left handed hitters. Orioles number 3 and 4 hitters (Markakis and Huff) are both left handed batters and have struggled against left handed pitchers.

Orioles lineup vs left handed pitchers vs right handers
Roberts (S) 18/64, 0 hr, 7 rbi , 10 runs 44/151, 6 hr, 15 rbi, 33 runs
Jones (R) 17/56 (.304 ba), 3 hr, 9 rbi, 11 runs 49/134 (.366 ba), 8 hr, 27 rbi, 30 runs
Markakis (L) 20/78 (.256 ba), 1 hr, 10 rbi, 10 runs 42/133 (.316 ba), 6 hr, 30 rbi, 28 runs
Huff (L) 13/71 (.183 ba), 2 hr, 11 rbi, 8 runs 39/130 (.300 ba), 6 hr, 28 rbi, 16 runs
Mora (R) 12/46 (.261 ba), 1 hr, 4 rbi, 4 runs 23/84 (.274 ba), 1 hr, 11 rbi, 8 runs
Wiggington (R) 13/52 (.250 ba), 1 hr, 4 rbi, 4 runs 21/97 (.216 ba), 2 hr, 11 rbi, 6 runs
Reimold (R) 7/20 (.350 ba) 1 hr, 2 rbi, 2 runs 11/45 (.244 ba), 4 hr, 9 rbi, 5 runs
Izturis (S) 18/46 (.391 ba), 1 hr, 7 rbi, 5 runs 20/101 (.198 ba) 0 hr, 6 rbi, 11 runs
Scott (L) 10/30 (.333 ba), 4 hr, 10 rbi, 7 runs 39/93 (.312 ba) 7 hr, 20 rbi, 14 runs

These Orioles hitters have hit a total of 14 homeruns, 64 rbi versus left handers and 40 homeruns, 157 rbi versus right handers. They have scored 76 runs vs left handers and 151 runs vs right handers. The Orioles lineup does not have a solid right handed batter that hits left handed pitching. Adam Jones is a right handed batter who hits better against right handers.

The orioles will be facing a tough left hander, Jason Vargas whom they have never faced. ONly Orioles hitter that has faced Vargas is Cesar Izturis who is 0/7 lifetime against Vargas. Vargas has been impressive so far this season (2-0 with 1.65 era). Orioles are going to be at a disadvantage facing Vargas for the first time.

The mariner's are just the orioles that they awful too against left handers. The mariners will be facing a rookie right hander. Mariners lineup hits much better agianst right handers. Mariners could not score against left hander Rich Hill on Monday. Mariners will be facing rookie Brad Bergeson. He won his last start 7-2 against the tigers. He will not win in this game nor will he get the run support since the orioles really struggle against the left handers. The orioles do not fare well against left handers. THey did win 1-0 on monday because the mariners also do not fare well against left handers.

[Netprofit]

yesterday 2-5 -$3450
YTD 22-23 -$1365

rangers +157 $2000
nationals -139 $1000
mariners -131 $1000 (hoop guru's tips)

[Netprofit]

royals vs. rays O9 -115
red sox vs. tigers U9 -115
tigers +132

$1000 each

[Netprofit]

adding:

Phillies -110 $1000

[hoop guru]

netprofit,
good call on the rangers.

[hoop guru]

netprofit,
I am glad that my tip finally paid off.

[Netprofit]

thanks hoop guru!

today 3-2-1 $2990
YTD 25-25-1 +$1625

[hoop guru]

netprofit,
I like the angels/bluejays over 9 (+100)
-Angels are really good against lefties. HEre are some key stats of angels hitters vs lefties and angels hitters in day games.

Angel hitters vs lefties Angels hitters day games
RIvera
17/41, 3 2b, 5 hr, 6 rbi, 10 runs 13/40, 1 hr, 6 rbi, 2 runs
Abreu
14/48,4 2b,2 3b,6 rbi,5 runs 15/44, 2 2b,2 3b,6 rbi,6 runs
Hunter
16/46,4 2b,3 hr, 17 rbi,12 runs 16/46, 3 2b, 4hr,14 rbi,9 runs
Napoli
11/27, 4 2b, 2 hr, 5 rbi, 3 runs 9/38, 3 hr, 4 rbi, 6 runs
Figgins
16/61, 3 rbi, 7 runs 12/44, 10 bb, 3 rbi, 9 runs
Izturis
5/13, 3 runs 5/21, 5 runs
Aybar
13/45, 2 2b, 1 hr, 5 rbi, 9 runs 9/36, 1 rbi, 3 runs
Kendrick
12/50, 3 hr, 7 rbi, 6 runs 9/39, 1 hr, 7 rbi, 5 runs


THe bluejays are good against righties Day games
Hill
57/178, 9 hr, 28 rbi, 25 runs 24/92, 4 hr, 12 rbi, 12 runs
Overbay
31/106, 5 hr, 21 rbi, 14 runs 14/45, 2 hr, 10 bb, 9 rbi, 7 runs
Scutaro
45/161, 10 2b, 3hr, 17 rbi, 23 bb, 32/84, 4 2b,3hr,12bb, 18 runs
34 runs
Wells
46/171,5hr,23 rbi,28 runs 25/86,2hr,9 rbi, 15 runs
Rios
47/167, 4hr, 18 rbi, 19 runs 28/87, 4hr,18 rbi, 11 runs
Lind
43/146, 6hr,15 2b,30 rbi,22 runs 25/76, 5 2b, 6hr, 24 rbi,13 runs

So far this season, the angels have been hitting good against lefties and the bluejays have been hitting good against righties. BOth teams also hit better in day games. Lackey is not pitching like he was doing a year ago. Tallet has not faced a a team like the angels that hits well against lefties. Tallet threw 118 pitches in his last start against the redsox. I get the feeling that Tallet may struggle against the angels and Lackey is going to struggle against the bluejays.

[Netprofit]

wow hoop guru, that is early!

i am looking at twins run line, but i was fcuked by run line yesterday.

[hoop guru]

Netprofit,
I know its an early game. I am starting to take a look at how teams do in the lefty/righty matchups. Angels are good against lefties and blue jays are good against righties. Both teams will score 5 plus runs in this game. As for the runlines, I do not like taking home teams on the runline. I would only take road teams on the runline. The mariners were a good example of a runline loser yesterday. Be careful of the runline. I have lost on the runline on the home team before.

[hoop guru]

I also like tigers/red sox under 10
-Last night the tigers/redsox go over the total and today its day game. This scenario happens a lot where the night game goes over the total and then the following day, the day game stays under. Both teams end up resting players as this is the final game of the 3 game series. Red sox are not that great against lefties and the tigers will be facing a knuckleballer. Both teams have decent closers and setup pitchers.

[Netprofit]

thanks hoop guru and good luck!!

mets -135
angels -104
angels vs. blue jays O8.5 -105

[Netprofit]

twins -175
twins -1.5 +115
red sox vs. tigers U10 -105
royals vs. rays U8 -110
rangers vs. yankees U10.5 -105

$1000 each

[hoop guru]

I am 2-0 today. Congrats on the big wins. Ouch on the mets. Laying that wood can cost u money.

[hoop guru]

I cannot believe I called the angels game right on as both teams did score 5 runs each. Angels scored 6 runs.

[Netprofit]

hoop guru.

today so far:
6-2, +$3800
YTD 31-27-1 +$5425

marlins -169
rockies +150

$500 each, taking it slow after good results on day games

[hoop guru]

netprofit,
I like braves -1.5 (+150)/braves -143
-braves have a lineup loaded with left handed batters and that spells trouble for zembrano. The braves have just added nate mclouth as their new leadoff hitter. Zembrano had to work really hard in his last start against the pirates as he threw 115 pitches before getting ejected from the game. The cubs have never faced jurjens and the advantage goes to the braves. The braves have roughed up zembrano numerous times before and they will do again tonite. THe braves bullpen is also much better than the cubs bullpen. I normally do not like home teams on the runline but I do like the braves here.

[hoop guru]

I also like the rockies but l like them on the runline +1.5 and I like love the marlins tonite too.

[Netprofit]

hoop guru, i will pass on braves as i like the cubs and zambrano, but good luck to you!

Upgrade to $1000 any way:

marlins -169 $1000
rockies +150 $1000
rockies vs. astros U9 -125 $1000

[Netprofit]

I also like the rockies but l like them on the runline +1.5 and I like love the marlins tonite too.

hoop guru, I think it might be a good spot to take ML on Rockies instead of only the runline.

[hoop guru]

netprofit,
I took rockies ML and RL on a 5 team parlay which I hit. You were right two minds better than one. I do have a play that I really like tommorrow and you will too.

Chicago Cubs -1.5 +125
-I really like Zembrano with an extra days rest against a shorthanded reds team that is without Votto and Encarcion. Zembrano also pitches well in cincinatti. Zembrano's last 2 starts in cincinatti were a 3-0 win in 2008 and two 6-0 shutout wins in 2007. In the 3-0 victory, Zembrano went 8 innings allowing only 3 hits as he and kerry wood combined on a 4 hit shutout. In his 6-0 win, Zembrano went 7 innings allowing only 6 hits as he and 2 relievers combined on a 8 hit shutout. In his other 6-0 win, zembrano allowed just 2 hits in 7 innings. Zembrano has 10 career starts in cincy and the cubs are 8-2 with 5 combined shutouts with relievers. All 8 wins were by 2 or more runs thus covering the runline. Zembrano always has pitched better away from Wrigley. Cincinatti is one of his favorite places to pitch.

[hoop guru]

I am glad that the cubs game rained out.