1 Parlay a Day 5/31/09

shhhhh22 · 05-30-09, 11:26 PM

Good luck man. I love phillies and Rangers. Go cash those biatchs!!

RoagBettor · 05-30-09, 11:28 PM

My biggest concern is not Greinke giving up runs but the Royals scoring them. We'll see, I'll either win or lose!

Thanks.

jellobiafra · 05-30-09, 11:33 PM

WTF? Good luck, but this is a terrible idea imo. First off, 3 team parlays are not very smart. If you want to go with parlays, make them two teamers. Secondly, why in the hell do you want to make it that much more difficult to win an already incredibly hard parlay by making them run line wagers?? That makes no sense at all.

If this is how you are going to play them, I predict you win about 1 out of 15 of these...if you get lucky.

RoagBettor · 05-30-09, 11:41 PM

My goal is to win 1 out of every 7 which means I'd be making money. I will try it for 2 weeks, if it doesn't work out then so be it. But I've hit my fair share of parlays over the last 3 months.

I played the RL's because I want the bigger payoff, and all 3 could easily cover (or not).

It's just how I want to bet right now, that's all. We'll see how it goes.

Thanks.

jellobiafra · 05-30-09, 11:49 PM

Alright. Good luck, but can I make one more suggestion? If you insist on playing these as run lines why don't you split the bet in some form or another? Bet half with a run line parlay and half with them all as a money line parlay, or some variation of that so if you are lucky enough to go 3-0 on the day you're guaranteed some benefit from doing so.

BOL

RoagBettor · 05-30-09, 11:52 PM

I won't always play the RL, but I think these 3 teams can all cover it tomorrow. There will be days I'll play all dogs SU or a combo thereof.

Thanks for the advice. If I lose 14 straight it's only $350, the Cavs cost me that in one half of basketball the other night so this way I can play 14 days in a row without getting heartburn.

sweetjones55 · 05-30-09, 11:53 PM

I agree with jello last statement, it would suck if you picked 3 winners and got nothing out of it because they were all -1.5.

hoop guru · 05-30-09, 11:53 PM

I had a 9 team parlay on saturday. I hit 7 for 7 on team totals. I lost on 2 plays that I tallied from LT profits (angels Over 8.5 and whitesox over 8.5). I want to cry because I followed LT profits who was 0-4 on saturday. I agree with you that following someone else's plays will cost you. I would have won a lot of money if I had gone with a 7 team parlay. I do have some team total plays for tommorrow. I do ok with my team totals.

Orioles team total over 4.5 (-120)
Rays team total over 4.5 (-130)
Brewers team total over 4.5 (-120)
Angels team total over 5 (-120)
Royals team total over 4.5 (-120)

RoagBettor · 05-30-09, 11:57 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

I agree with jello last statement, it would suck if you picked 3 winners and got nothing out of it because they were all -1.5.

OK, here is what I'll do. On the days where I play the RL for all 3 picks, I'll also add a 2nd $25 parlay with the ML for all 3.

So for Sunday I'll also play all 3 teams to win SU.

Thanks for the input.

jgbgsox · 05-31-09, 12:01 AM

roag if i can make a suggestion i know you like these three teams and want to parlay them but what about playing them all straight then a parlay in case 2 out of 4 hits that's including your parlay you will still win money as they are all underdogs using the runline and if you only hit one than you lose close to 50 depending on which one hits

jgbgsox · 05-31-09, 12:01 AM

oops im late i see your already doing this now

jellobiafra · 05-31-09, 12:03 AM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

OK, here is what I'll do. On the days where I play the RL for all 3 picks, I'll also add a 2nd $25 parlay with the ML for all 3.

So for Sunday I'll also play all 3 teams to win SU.

Thanks for the input.

LOL. I think you're compounding your error by doubling the bets, but this is your thing man so enjoy it.

Seriously. Good luck. I hope you hit tomorrow and make me look stupid.

RoagBettor · 05-31-09, 12:06 AM

Because the juice is so high on these 3 to win SU, I don't want to risk that much money right now.

I've done it this way twice in the last 8 months. The first time I turned $600 into $6600 by hitting a big parlay early on, but blew it all in January. Then I took $180 and turned it into almost 10K before I went on this big losing streak the last 2 weeks.

I'm going to try it my way first and if I hit a couple early I'll change my betting style to what you've suggested (or similar), just like the last 2 runs I had.

Thanks.

RoagBettor · 05-31-09, 12:08 AM

OK I booked the 2nd parlay:

Phillies -145
Royals -171
Rangers -165

$25 to win $82.52

jgbgsox · 05-31-09, 12:08 AM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Because the juice is so high on these 3 to win SU, I don't want to risk that much money right now.

I've done it this way twice in the last 8 months. The first time I turned $600 into $6600 by hitting a big parlay early on, but blew it all in January. Then I took $180 and turned it into almost 10K before I went on this big losing streak the last 2 weeks.

I'm going to try it my way first and if I hit a couple early I'll change my betting style to what you've suggested (or similar), just like the last 2 runs I had.

Thanks.

why not use runline when you play them straight? like i said if u hit 2 out of 4 u win u win 1 out of 4 u lose like 50

RoagBettor · 05-31-09, 12:11 AM

The only reason I don't want to do that right now is because I'm on a cold streak. Arizona up 7-1 in the 7th the other day and lost. Toronto up 8-3 in the 8th and 10-8 in the 12th and lost. I can't buy a win right now so I'm going back to how I started both big runs in the first place.

Once I get back on a hot streak then I'll bet more conventional.

Remember, my name isn't "RoagBettor" for nothing!

DeeWizzle · 05-31-09, 12:26 AM

Gl Roag. It looks good. I say Phillies -1.5 +145 (60%) , Royals -1.5 +125 (80%) , Rangers -1.5 +120 (80%).
I do similar parlays and i have a method to pick top 5 picks for a parlay a day.

Today I hit, Phi -250, Mil -122, Det -127, Nyy -166, Tex -145, $15 to win $169.63

I also agree with mixing ml n rl.

RoagBettor · 05-31-09, 12:29 AM

Nice! That's what I'm talking about!

Do you post your plays every day?

jellobiafra · 05-31-09, 12:44 AM

Originally posted by DeeWizzle

I say Phillies -1.5 +145 (60%) , Royals -1.5 +125 (80%) , Rangers -1.5 +120 (80%)

I guess the linemakers have really screwed up on these then. LOL.

DeeWizzle · 05-31-09, 01:19 AM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

Nice! That's what I'm talking about!

Do you post your plays every day?

Dont really post plays. Not too concerned with being the "best capper", just making money. I know there are alot of good cappers here and i respect them but on the flip side there are alot of cocky ignorant people as well. If u ever wanna chop it up jus shoot me a pm. Gl.

dreamjob · 05-31-09, 10:17 AM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

OK enough of this bullshit. I'm tired of losing and I'm tired of tailing other people's picks and those crap Service Plays which aren't worth shit. No offense to anyone here, I appreciate the input and capping, but I'd rather win/lose making my own decisions like I used to.

I love parlays and teasers, that's how I made most of my money this year. So, I'm going to play a 3 team baseball parlay every single day for $25 starting Sunday 5/31/09.

Here we go:

Phillies -1.5 +145
Royals -1.5 +125
Rangers -1.5 +120

$25 to win $278.19

Good luck bro. I would love to hit a 3 teamer, I used to play these often but I would only hit 2 out of 3. I'm with you on this one. These three teams should easily cover. Lets have some fun and make some money.

DJ

sweetjones55 · 05-31-09, 10:24 AM

I got a parlay also with Phillies, Rangers, and Rays ML. Lets cashhhh

Jimbo42 · 05-31-09, 10:27 AM

Roag is a parlay and teaser machine...

shantystar · 05-31-09, 10:37 AM

gl

darrell74 · 05-31-09, 10:48 AM

Dude, I must say something.
This is a perfect Round Robin
Why?
All 3 are +100 and up
Whenever that happens in a 3-teamer, round robin it, (doesn't work if the ml is a negative -100)

i.e. On your run lines for today:

NYM -1 1/2 +160
KC -1 1/2 +125
TX -1 1/2 +130
1 unit wins 10.25

NYM +160
KC +125
1 unit wins 4.8

NYM +160
TX +130
1 unit wins 5

KC +125
TX +130
1 unit wins 4.2

Wager 4 units, altogether
2of 3 hits (worse case scenario is TX/KC) profit .2 units

This way you are not assed out if you only get 2 of 3

If you hit all 3, you are still a happy camper

Make sense?

hi-rez · 05-31-09, 02:20 PM

greinke is nasty today

hi-rez · 05-31-09, 02:21 PM

and just like that he gives up 2, i jinxed it

RoagBettor · 05-31-09, 04:01 PM

Texas has no offense today

hi-rez · 05-31-09, 04:09 PM

royals just blew it, cruz is garbage

darrell74 · 05-31-09, 04:09 PM

Sorry dude, not your fault.
Teams played like garbage on the offense

RoagBettor · 05-31-09, 04:16 PM

Oh well, on to tomorrow!

bobbybux · 05-31-09, 06:45 PM

hey roag, i love playin parlay's and teasers as well. if you don't mind me asking, what book do you use for your teasers. i just joined 5dimes, and i'm currently using betus.
thanks

RoagBettor · 05-31-09, 07:04 PM

I use Bookmaker. I tried Betus, didn't like it but maybe I'm just too used to Bookmaker.

Let's make some money! I'll have a new parlay thread out tonight or in the morning for tomorrow's games.

Thanks.

DeeWizzle · 05-31-09, 09:50 PM

They got us 2day Rogue. I had Phi, Mil, Tex all rl. Lets get em 2morrow.