Mlb leans wed 27/5

hoop guru · 05-27-09, 01:58 AM

Tigers team total over 4.5 (-120)
-Easy cover by the 5th inning.

The_Kid · 05-27-09, 03:17 AM

I think Dexter already mentioned this as an autobet, but I like it too.

Brewers/Cardinals OVER 9

Wellemeyer has a career 5.97 ERA and 1.71 WHIP vs the Brew Crew, while hitters own a .270 BA. Parra has struggled mightily this year, posting a 5.79 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. He hasn't fared too well against the Cards either, owning a 3.63 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP, while batters own a .281 BA against him.

Jimbo42 · 05-27-09, 06:25 AM

Hey fellas!

Booked:

Kansas City -105
LA Dodgers +105
Texas +122

GL

also possible plays later on Arizona, Minnesota and the Angels BIG!

Dexter · 05-27-09, 06:27 AM

Wed 5/27:

Game 5: Lakers -6 (3x)
__________________

over brewers (Autobet - 2x) - both pitchers have a whip of 1.80 or > in their last 3.

rockies - kershaw has a 7.27/1.57 road era/whip and is not a fan of coors field. in 13 career IP, he's given up 15 ER

nationals (RL) (Autobet - 2x) - with the total at 7.5 or <, will take the +1.5 at a value on the associated moneyline.

braves (ML) (Autobet - 3x) - johnson has a whip of 1.80 or > in his last 3, while has a whip of 1.00 or < in his last 3

angels (RL - 2x) - floyd has a 9.33/1.81 on the road. weaver has a 2.25/1.25 in his last 3, but a career .34/.71 vs the whitesox. the angels are 4-0 vs those starts against the whitesox.

jellobiafra · 05-27-09, 09:44 AM

I'm on DET/KC under 9 this afternoon. I might be the only person in the world though, because it's at +100. Scares me a little, but I really like the play.

Can't make up my mind about anything else. I said last night that I like the TOR/BAL under as a lean, but I don't think I'm going to play it. I expect Doc to shut down the O's, and I don't know if TOR can score for him. Of course this could be the day they bust out of their slump and pound Rich Hill. And maybe the O's familiarity with Halladay leads to a few more hits and rus than you might expect against him. So I'm laying off that and going with the one above.

Good luck.

By the way, Dex.... nice play on ORL last night. It was clearly the right call. Everything pointed toward them being the pick, but I just really had a nagging feeling that CLE would even it up somehow. CLE is playing ugly right now, they are all standing around and waiting for Lebron to create.... and even when he does create open shots for guys like Williams and West they aren't taking advantage of it. Ugly team to watch play this series. As ugly as ORL has been pretty.

Can't get a feel for this spread tonight. I like the LAL to win the game, just don't know about the points. Might buy 3 and take LAL -3.... or tease them with the total. Which side do you think that total falls on?

shoebox · 05-27-09, 10:43 AM

here we go 4 plays

giants +105 2 units
snakes +135 2 units
cubs RL +120 2 units
Blue Jays RL -105 2 units

macadams · 05-27-09, 10:44 AM

How you guys see the OVER in MIL-STL? MIL gonna try to start JJ @ short, not sure he's 100% (back troubles are tricky matters) and he's sat four games now, both teams sport 5+ ERA starters (Manna is my boy, but he was horrendous last time), gotta believe the brew crew has bottomed out with consecutive one runs scored games at home and STL hitting well...Line looks great...both teams have recently seen the other pitcher and last time they pitched against each other (today's starters) the game had 10 runs...

bostonbruins · 05-27-09, 11:10 AM

Lots of early action on the Dodgers but the line moved pretty heavy to the plus side. What does this usually mean?

SlicWilly3 · 05-27-09, 11:11 AM

Only started keeping track a couple days ago....So far though it's 9-2 when you take the dog at +1 1/2 .......Favorite you take straight up. What I'm doing is betting on any team that has won 3 or more in a row....Or against any team that has lost 3 or more in a row.....And taking the +1 1/2 when the team is a dog.....
Not sure how this will fare over an entire year....But I'll keep track of it and post it in here for all of us.

Since Monday it's 9-2.......3-0 yesterday as Pittsburgh doesn't count as a loss because as with totals the game has to go 8 1/2 or 9 innings for run lines to count.One thing that I love about it is when a team goes on a big losing or winning streak, you will win money off that team until they come out of there slump.....And with the +1 1/2 like SD last night who lost 6-5.....I still won anyways....

4 Games that fit the criteria for today.....

Baltimore +1 1/2 -120 Toronto lost 8 straight and Baltimore won last 2
Oakland +1 1/2 -150 Oak's won last 3 and Seattle has lost 2 straight
Cleveland -110 Clev's won 2 in a row while TB has lost 3 in a row
Cincy Reds -140 Cincy's won 3 straight while Houston has lost 6 straight

For the NBA I like...
NBA: Denver Nuggets +6 -110

repski · 05-27-09, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by The_Kid

I think Dexter already mentioned this as an autobet, but I like it too.

Brewers/Cardinals OVER 9

Wellemeyer has a career 5.97 ERA and 1.71 WHIP vs the Brew Crew, while hitters own a .270 BA. Parra has struggled mightily this year, posting a 5.79 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. He hasn't fared too well against the Cards either, owning a 3.63 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP, while batters own a .281 BA against him.

I did read that Braun was injured last night..fwiw

peterpan19 · 05-27-09, 11:24 AM

ok early games I already have DET 5 Innings and PIT...I am gonna add 1 more play...

TOR 5 Innings...over the last 3 years Halladay started 4 games in Baltimore and won 3 and didnt loose 1, plus he has a 3.00 ERA there...I know Toronto is struggling...but I think they have a good chance today against Hill to score some runs, he is due for a correction the other way...oh did I forget to mettion that Halladay is 8-0 in the last 4 seasons against Baltimore ...

GL

peterpan19 · 05-27-09, 11:25 AM

repski
braun will not play...and Parra has a 3.50 ERA at home...he should bounce back today...

GL

jgbgsox · 05-27-09, 11:28 AM

Originally posted by peterpan19

repski
braun will not play...and Parra has a 3.50 ERA at home...he should bounce back today...

GL

looking at the starting lineups it shows braun is playing

shoebox · 05-27-09, 11:30 AM

peterpan19 · 05-27-09, 12:09 PM

Originally posted by jgbgsox

looking at the starting lineups it shows braun is playing

mhh.... strange...30 min ago or so I read he would be out...

peterpan19 · 05-27-09, 12:13 PM

...well looks like Parra sucks again today...

ragiche · 05-27-09, 12:19 PM

Okay let's start the afternoon in a positive note.Booked plays:

Afternoon games:

Stl/Mil Over 8.5 (3x) Tailing DEX.

Tor RL (3x) Tailing SHOE.

Chc RL (3x) Tailing SHOE.

Det RL 1st 5 inn (3x) Tailing PETER.

Col RL (3x) My Pick.

Evening delights:

Bos ML (3x) My Pick. Dice-K's 1st win of the season.He is 1.61 era against the twinkies and undefeated in his last 2 starts.

Sfo ML (3x) My Pick. Win No.299 on the way for the Big Unit.

Tex RRL (3x) Tailing JIMBO.

NBA:

Lal -6 (6x) The Lake-show always covers when they were defeated DD in their last game.And here are the results.

Reg. Season: 4-1

Nov.14 Lose to DET by 11, Nxt gm won by 8(CHI)

Dec.9 Lose to SAC by 12,Nxt gm won by 5(PHO)

Jan.6 Lose to NOH by 11,Nxt gm won by 8(GSW)

Feb.27 Lose to DEN by 11,Nxt gm lose by 7(PHO)

Mar.31 Lose to CHA by 10,Nxt gm won by 6(MIL)

Playoffs: 1-0

May 14 Lose to HOU by 15,Nxt gm won by 19(HOU)

May 25 Lose to DEN by 19,Nxt gm ??????(DEN)

ragiche · 05-27-09, 12:24 PM

As for jellobafria,buying 3 pts. is a good one for insurance.Because this is gambling I'll take the -6 here.

ragiche · 05-27-09, 12:26 PM

Sorry guys I know that this is a baseball thread.I'm just want to reply to jello's write up on taking the lakers tonight.

ragiche · 05-27-09, 12:27 PM

So back to baseball 1-0 RED BIRDS and 8 to go.I played the over 8 guys.

peterpan19 · 05-27-09, 12:31 PM

shoebox
she is smoking hot...really nice pick...I mean I dont have chance or so but since I am single right now I can dream ?!?!

GL...like your Toronto pick...and also like the giants too...

macadams · 05-27-09, 12:37 PM

I know this is off topic, but the European Champion's League is on today. Line is ridiculous 2.74 to 1 pay for Manchester United to win the game. The English league is much tougher than the Spanish one, Man Utd. will benefit from this in gritty final, Barcelona has to play without three world class defenders they normally relie a lot on because they are so pressing and offensive as a team (E. Abidal, Marques, and the right backer). Man U has the best player on the field in C. Ronaldo and the physically most solid team. Manchester will win this game. Won last year, they know what it takes to get it done.

Look at it as a "strength of schedule play", it's just...see the teams APPEAR even because every weekend they look equally amazing on the highlight shows. But Manchester is DOING THIS AGAINST BETTER TEAMS. They will quite simply impose their will on the other team tonite.

macadams · 05-27-09, 12:38 PM

Booked: TOR, OAK and Cubs.

peterpan19 · 05-27-09, 12:46 PM

macadams
couldnt agree more with you...Manu will win today...I mean I dont gamble on soccer games (or not really often), but today I would put some money on Manu to win it all...and at only -113 or so it is a nice bet...might put $100 or so on it just for fun...its a bit more interesting to watch...anyway game will start in an hour...so I will probably leave in 30 or 45 min to watch it with a friend...

GL and go Manu

peterpan19 · 05-27-09, 12:47 PM

ok bases loaded for Toronto...and can they score here ?

peterpan19 · 05-27-09, 12:48 PM

and yes....1-0 Toronto...or should I say only 1-0...damn it...but still nice...but still some baseball left

macadams · 05-27-09, 12:55 PM

Marlins throwing a guy to the wolves today, that should be fun. And Randy pitching, I think this will be a fun day of bases!

peterpan19 · 05-27-09, 01:06 PM

and Toronto goes down again...damn it

peterpan19 · 05-27-09, 01:09 PM

I smell my money burning...Hill looked pretty solid in Inning 2... I hate that...

peterpan19 · 05-27-09, 01:20 PM

and here goes my money for the first 5 Innings...Toronto bats are ice cold again after the first Inning...damn it...I am watching the CL finale now...enough with the early games...lets hope Detroit and Pit hit ...

GL

Panekkkk · 05-27-09, 01:20 PM

Guys...

Stop betting the Jays until they are well out of this funk. I don't care who is pitching. They are averaging almost <2 runs a game during this funk. It will probably be the worst losing streak (at least in terms of runs per game) of this year's season.

Avoid like the plague. Bet the under if anything.

The_Kid · 05-27-09, 01:20 PM

Rockies/Dodgers OVER 9.5

peterpan19 · 05-27-09, 01:22 PM

and hell KC jsut scored...I am sick already...bad way to start the day...

peterpan19 · 05-27-09, 01:27 PM

LETS GO TORONTO...WE KNOW YOU CAN DO IT...just remember Hill is no Cy Young and you have a nice offense...last word from me today about the Blue Jays until well after the final pitch