Cueto at +225 seems absurd

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Cueto at +225 seems absurd
    I know, I know: it's Kershaw in LA. That line is inflated by at least 30 cents, though.
  • KRIT
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-11-14
    • 12878

    #2
    I don't bet against Kershaw at home anymore. Just not worth it.
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by KRIT
      I don't bet against Kershaw at home anymore. Just not worth it.
      Yeah, problem is SF sucks now.

      Might be the worst team in the NL.
      Comment
      • teecee
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-18-09
        • 6298

        #4
        Since 2011, Kershaw and the Dodgers are 18-3 at home -200 and above when the total is 6. Don't play the Giants.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Originally posted by teecee
          Since 2011, Kershaw and the Dodgers are 18-3 at home -200 and above when the total is 6. Don't play the Giants.
          Cool. I couldn't care less about past trends, though - especially from prior seasons. Irrelevant.
          Comment
          • tatddy
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-02-10
            • 10779

            #6
            Didn't realize Cueto played all 9 positions and hit 9 times.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by tatddy
              Didn't realize Cueto played all 9 positions and hit 9 times.
              I take it that's a no on the gamble?

              Comment
              • tatddy
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-02-10
                • 10779

                #8
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                I take it that's a no on the gamble?

                Just having fun with you but no I don't think I'm touching this one. I can see some value in FF +1/2 +140.
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Originally posted by tatddy
                  Just having fun with you but no I don't think I'm touching this one. I can see some value in FF +1/2 +140.
                  What's happened to your squad? They kind of look like my Tigers - just getting old and no bullpen.
                  Comment
                  • tatddy
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-02-10
                    • 10779

                    #10
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    What's happened to your squad? They kind of look like my Tigers - just getting old and no bullpen.
                    Been bad since early last year. Injuries don't help...pen was already bad and lost Wil Smith before season so no lefties there who are capable. Got rid of Casilla/Romo but other late innings guys other than Strickland not consistent and a rough start for the new closer.

                    Having a zero in left field in terms of run production and a brain dead B. Belt up there with zero confidence all the time just too much pressure on the big guys.

                    Still lot of season left. Hopefully Arroyo is here to stay and Mac Williamson can come back and create some semblance of competence in lefty when he's healthy.

                    Could be long season. Oh yeah Mad Bum hurt doesn't help.

                    NL West is much improved as a whole.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by tatddy
                      Been bad since early last year. Injuries don't help...pen was already bad and lost Wil Smith before season so no lefties there who are capable. Got rid of Casilla/Romo but other late innings guys other than Strickland not consistent and a rough start for the new closer.

                      Having a zero in left field in terms of run production and a brain dead B. Belt up there with zero confidence all the time just too much pressure on the big guys.

                      Still lot of season left. Hopefully Arroyo is here to stay and Mac Williamson can come back and create some semblance of competence in lefty when he's healthy.

                      Could be long season. Oh yeah Mad Bum hurt doesn't help.

                      NL West is much improved as a whole.
                      It's amazing to me how shitty bullpens are as a whole now. Just a bunch of throwers. Everyone has 95-98 MPH fastballs, yet no one knows how to pitch. There are so many bad closers and middle relievers in the game today - it's just mind-boggling, given how important relievers are with starters on pitch counts. I don't get it.
                      Comment
                      • teecee
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-18-09
                        • 6298

                        #12
                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                        Cool. I couldn't care less about past trends, though - especially from prior seasons. Irrelevant.
                        You're welcome
                        Comment
                        • RavensFan2k3
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-18-12
                          • 17378

                          #13
                          Hope somebody else played SF
                          Comment
                          • teecee
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-18-09
                            • 6298

                            #14
                            Why, bc they scored first?
                            Comment
                            • GoBlue77
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-20-11
                              • 9166

                              #15
                              Originally posted by teecee
                              Why, bc they scored first?
                              because Kershaw is as overrated as they come.

                              game is ALREADY over.
                              Comment
                              • RavensFan2k3
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-18-12
                                • 17378

                                #16
                                Originally posted by teecee
                                Why, bc they scored first?
                                Not saying it's over, but sure makes me feel better than if the other team scored first. Best of luck
                                Comment
                                • teecee
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-18-09
                                  • 6298

                                  #17
                                  I'm not on LA. I'm not laying -235.
                                  Comment
                                  • KRIT
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-11-14
                                    • 12878

                                    #18
                                    Anyone who lays anything more than -200 in bases shouldn't be betting.
                                    Comment
                                    • tatddy
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-02-10
                                      • 10779

                                      #19
                                      Coiner I owe you a beer or 100. I wasn't even planning on looking at this game but dug more into that FF bet I mentioned and hammered it for 2 dimes (moved to +135 on me) Thank you, sir! One of the few guys whose threads I read.

                                      That will pay for my next vacation my dawg I owe ya a winner (not that you need my help).
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by tatddy
                                        Coiner I owe you a beer or 100. I wasn't even planning on looking at this game but dug more into that FF bet I mentioned and hammered it for 2 dimes (moved to +135 on me) Thank you, sir! One of the few guys whose threads I read.

                                        That will pay for my next vacation my dawg I owe ya a winner (not that you need my help).
                                        Holy shit. Nice. Always great to hear when a fellow poster destroys his bookie - even better when it's someone like you, tat. Congrats, my man.
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by KRIT
                                          Anyone who lays anything more than -200 in bases shouldn't be betting.
                                          I couldn't imagine laying more than -150. Hell minus anything makes me queazy just thinking about it! Lol. Im certainly not saying there no value in favs or you can't have success betting them, I just don't much see the point when every day there so many dogs with great opportunities to win!!
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                                            I couldn't imagine laying more than -150. Hell minus anything makes me queazy just thinking about it! Lol. Im certainly not saying there no value in favs or you can't have success betting them, I just don't much see the point when every day there so many dogs with great opportunities to win!!
                                            Agree.
                                            Comment
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