My shot at MLB SDQL 2017

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  • OoDeBaby
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 04-30-13
    • 554

    #1
    My shot at MLB SDQL 2017
    Hi everybody,

    So I've been studying up on betting SDQL trends for a while now after first discovering them through SBR a little over a year ago. I've reviewed a lot of trends that have been posted here and other places but unfortunately many of them have very small sample sizes. I'm all about a solid ROI over a very large sample size and that is what I have been looking for.

    I plan this thread to be a work in progress where I am posting plays, but also trying to find any new SDQL trends throughout the season that are doing well and adjusting. For now I do have about 4 trends that I plan on tracking here officially and a few others that I am just watching that I will not officially track for now. There will definitely be a lot of plays per day as the trends I use are very high in sample size, but I also try to limit how far back they go in the past, which equates to a high amount of plays per day. For the first week or so there shouldn't be too much however as the trends use recent games, which we don't have too much of yet being only a few days into the season.

    So, here's my shot at SDQL, hopefully it goes well. All lines will be from 5dimes and 1unit plays.
  • OoDeBaby
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 04-30-13
    • 554

    #2
    4/5 Plays

    Mariners ML (+106)
    Padres +1.5 (+105)
    Pirates +1.5 (-120)

    Gonna need about a week before we really get into the swing of things in terms of the amount of plays. Hopefully we get a good start with these three today though.
    Comment
    • OoDeBaby
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 04-30-13
      • 554

      #3
      4/5 Results

      Mariners ML (+106)
      Padres +1.5 (+105)

      Pirates +1.5 (-120)


      4/5 -3.2u

      Total Plays: 3
      Total Units: -3.2

      Not the start I was looking for but no big deal, long season. Two super tough Extra Inning losses, lets get it back.
      Comment
      • OoDeBaby
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 04-30-13
        • 554

        #4
        4/6 Plays

        Cubs/Cardinals u7.5 (+100)
        Comment
        • OoDeBaby
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 04-30-13
          • 554

          #5
          4/6 Results

          Cubs/Cardinals u7.5 (+100)



          4/6: -1u


          Total Plays: 4
          Total Units: -4.2u
          Comment
          • TechnicalTrader
            SBR MVP
            • 05-09-16
            • 1434

            #6
            Originally posted by OoDeBaby
            Hi everybody,

            So I've been studying up on betting SDQL trends for a while now after first discovering them through SBR a little over a year ago. I've reviewed a lot of trends that have been posted here and other places but unfortunately many of them have very small sample sizes. I'm all about a solid ROI over a very large sample size and that is what I have been looking for.

            I plan this thread to be a work in progress where I am posting plays, but also trying to find any new SDQL trends throughout the season that are doing well and adjusting. For now I do have about 4 trends that I plan on tracking here officially and a few others that I am just watching that I will not officially track for now. There will definitely be a lot of plays per day as the trends I use are very high in sample size, but I also try to limit how far back they go in the past, which equates to a high amount of plays per day. For the first week or so there shouldn't be too much however as the trends use recent games, which we don't have too much of yet being only a few days into the season.

            So, here's my shot at SDQL, hopefully it goes well. All lines will be from 5dimes and 1unit plays.
            How far back are you looking?
            How small are these sample sizes?

            My most solid query has a +11% RoI over the last 1500 bets. It is solid and puts up + numbers every single month, although May is the slowest. It's best month was July 2014 when it went 51-16 SU and 42-25 on the ML bringing in a solid RoI of 79%. It's worst month was May 2013 when it lost 15.7% going 32-29 and 26-35.

            Very interested in hearing from you?
            Comment
            • OoDeBaby
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 04-30-13
              • 554

              #7
              4/7 Plays

              Yankees ML (+102)
              Twins ML (+103)
              Royals ML (+161)
              Mariners ML (+117) 2u
              Braves/Pirates u7.5 (-103)
              Nationals/Phillies u7 (+105)
              Comment
              • OoDeBaby
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 04-30-13
                • 554

                #8
                Originally posted by TechnicalTrader
                How far back are you looking?
                How small are these sample sizes?

                My most solid query has a +11% RoI over the last 1500 bets. It is solid and puts up + numbers every single month, although May is the slowest. It's best month was July 2014 when it went 51-16 SU and 42-25 on the ML bringing in a solid RoI of 79%. It's worst month was May 2013 when it lost 15.7% going 32-29 and 26-35.

                Very interested in hearing from you?

                Glad to hear there is someone else here still looking into SDQL. 11% ROI over 1500 is really good, when I'm looking into queries I am usually only look at queries with sample sizes over 1000 games. However recently I have been looking into queries that have just done well over the last 2-3 years and usually search for just a minimum of 500 games for those.

                My favorite query has a ROI of 9% over a sample size of 3400+ games. It has won money 8 out of the 10 seasons and was on an absolute tear from 2012-2015 having a 16% ROI on over 1300+ games. Unfortunately last year however it took a small loss, I'm hoping that this year is a big bounceback, super excited for that query to get going.
                Comment
                • OoDeBaby
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 04-30-13
                  • 554

                  #9
                  4/7 Results

                  Yankees ML (+102)
                  Twins ML (+103)
                  Royals ML (+161)

                  Mariners ML (+117) 2u
                  Braves/Pirates u7.5 (-103)
                  Nationals/Phillies u7 (+105)



                  4/7: -2.39u

                  STD Plays: 10
                  STD Units: -6.59u


                  Gonna lay off the under query I'm using right now until it proves itself in the 2017 season. Hopefully we'll turn this around soon
                  Comment
                  • OoDeBaby
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 04-30-13
                    • 554

                    #10
                    4/9 Plays

                    Mariners ML (+107)
                    Yankees ML (+114)
                    Twins ML (+120)
                    Comment
                    • OoDeBaby
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 04-30-13
                      • 554

                      #11
                      4/9 Results

                      Mariners ML (+107)
                      Yankees ML (+114)
                      Twins ML (+120)


                      4/9: +1.34u

                      STD Plays: 13
                      STD Units: -5.25u

                      Wow don't know how the Mariners managed to lose that one.
                      Comment
                      • OoDeBaby
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 04-30-13
                        • 554

                        #12
                        4/10 Plays

                        Nationals -1.5 (+175)
                        Mets -1.5 (+120)
                        Yankees/Rays o8 (-115)
                        Mariners/Astros o7.5 (-105)
                        Comment
                        • OoDeBaby
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 04-30-13
                          • 554

                          #13
                          4/10 Results

                          Nationals -1.5 (+175)
                          Mets -1.5 (+120)
                          Yankees/Rays o8 (-115)
                          Mariners/Astros o7.5 (-105)

                          4/10:
                          +.7u

                          STD Plays: 17
                          STD Units:
                          -4.55u
                          Comment
                          • Scrivero
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-30-17
                            • 673

                            #14
                            Sounds interesting! Loads of plays every day too. Results going up slow and steady too, keep it up
                            Comment
                            • TechnicalTrader
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-09-16
                              • 1434

                              #15
                              Originally posted by OoDeBaby
                              4/10 Results

                              Nationals -1.5 (+175)
                              Mets -1.5 (+120)
                              Yankees/Rays o8 (-115)
                              Mariners/Astros o7.5 (-105)

                              4/10:
                              +.7u

                              STD Plays: 17
                              STD Units:
                              -4.55u
                              Let me know if you need some help with your queries or some added input. I'm not an SDQL master, but maybe I can help here or there.
                              Comment
                              • OoDeBaby
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 04-30-13
                                • 554

                                #16
                                Thanks for the support guys, queries are really gonna ramp up now, should have a bunch of plays today, nothing early though should post around 5 est
                                Comment
                                • OoDeBaby
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 04-30-13
                                  • 554

                                  #17
                                  4/11 Plays

                                  Pirates -1.5 (+115)
                                  Giants -1.5 (+175)
                                  Giants/Diamondbacks u7.5 (-122)
                                  Blue Jays/Brewers o8.5 (-110)
                                  Mariners/Astros o8.5 (-110)
                                  Phillies/Mets o8.5 (-122)
                                  Rockies/Padres o12 (+100)

                                  Comment
                                  • OoDeBaby
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 04-30-13
                                    • 554

                                    #18
                                    4/11 Results

                                    Pirates -1.5 (+115)
                                    Giants -1.5 (+175)
                                    Giants/Diamondbacks u7.5 (-122)
                                    Blue Jays/Brewers o8.5 (-110)
                                    Mariners/Astros o8.5 (-110)
                                    Phillies/Mets o8.5 (-122)

                                    Rockies/Padres o12 (+100)


                                    4/11: -1.1u

                                    STD Plays: 24
                                    STD Units: -5.65u
                                    Comment
                                    • OoDeBaby
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 04-30-13
                                      • 554

                                      #19
                                      4/12 Plays

                                      Braves ML (+103)
                                      Angels/Rangers o8.5 (+105)
                                      Giants/Diamondbacks o8.5 (-105)
                                      Marlins/Braves o8.5 (+105)
                                      Comment
                                      • OoDeBaby
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 04-30-13
                                        • 554

                                        #20
                                        4/12 Results

                                        Braves ML (+103)
                                        Angels/Rangers o8.5 (+105)

                                        Giants/Diamondbacks o8.5 (-105)
                                        Marlins/Braves o8.5 (+105)


                                        4/12: +2.08u


                                        STD Plays: 28
                                        STD Units: -3.57u
                                        Comment
                                        • OoDeBaby
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 04-30-13
                                          • 554

                                          #21
                                          4/13 Plays

                                          Dodgers ML (+110)
                                          Red Sox - 1.5 (+135)
                                          Comment
                                          • OoDeBaby
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 04-30-13
                                            • 554

                                            #22
                                            4/13 Results

                                            Dodgers ML (+110)
                                            Red Sox - 1.5 (+135)


                                            4/13: -2u

                                            STD Plays: 30
                                            STD Units: -5.57u

                                            Too much red, pumped for this weekend tho, confident we'll get it back.
                                            Comment
                                            • OoDeBaby
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 04-30-13
                                              • 554

                                              #23
                                              4/14 Plays

                                              Nationals -1.5 (+115)
                                              Yankees -1.5 (+155)
                                              Padres +1.5 (-170)
                                              Braves/Padres u7.5 (+110)
                                              Comment
                                              • OoDeBaby
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 04-30-13
                                                • 554

                                                #24
                                                Adding:

                                                Red Sox -1.5 (+155)
                                                Astros -1.5 (+130)
                                                Angels ML (+128)
                                                Athletics/Astros u7.5 (-110)
                                                Giants/Rockies u6.5 (+100)
                                                Orioles/Blue Jays o8 (-120)
                                                Tigers/Indians o8.5 (-110)
                                                Cardinals/Yankees o8 (+100)
                                                Comment
                                                • OoDeBaby
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 04-30-13
                                                  • 554

                                                  #25
                                                  4/14 Results

                                                  Nationals -1.5 (+115)
                                                  Yankees -1.5 (+155)

                                                  Padres +1.5 (-170)

                                                  Braves/Padres u7.5 (+110)
                                                  Red Sox -1.5 (+155)
                                                  Astros -1.5 (+130)
                                                  Angels ML (+128)
                                                  Athletics/Astros u7.5 (-110)
                                                  Giants/Rockies u6.5 (+100)
                                                  Orioles/Blue Jays o8 (-120)
                                                  Tigers/Indians o8.5 (-110)

                                                  Cardinals/Yankees o8 (+100)

                                                  4/14: -2.3u

                                                  STD Plays: 42
                                                  STD Units: -7.87u

                                                  Rough, like i said though its gonna be a work in progress and I'll be tweaking queries and trying to maximize them as much as I can. Gonna still keep going at it.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • OoDeBaby
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 04-30-13
                                                    • 554

                                                    #26
                                                    4/15 Plays

                                                    Rockies ML (+112)
                                                    White Sox ML (+104)
                                                    Twins/White Sox u7.5 (-120)
                                                    Rays/Red Sox o8.5 (-120)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • OoDeBaby
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 04-30-13
                                                      • 554

                                                      #27
                                                      4/15 Results

                                                      Rockies ML (+112)

                                                      White Sox ML (+104)
                                                      Twins/White Sox u7.5 (-120)
                                                      Rays/Red Sox o8.5 (-120)

                                                      4/15:
                                                      -.08u

                                                      STD Plays: 46
                                                      STD Units:
                                                      -7.95u
                                                      Comment
                                                      • OoDeBaby
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 04-30-13
                                                        • 554

                                                        #28
                                                        4/16 Plays

                                                        Red Sox -1.5 (+130)
                                                        Nationals -1.5 (+130)
                                                        Rangers -1.5 (+151)
                                                        Rockies +1.5 (-190)
                                                        Rockies/Giants u7.5 (-110)
                                                        Rangers/Mariners u7.5 (+110)
                                                        Mets/Marlins o8 (-115)
                                                        Tigers/Indians o9 (+100)
                                                        Astros/Athletics o8 (+100)
                                                        White Sox/Twins o9.5 (+105)

                                                        Comment
                                                        • OoDeBaby
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 04-30-13
                                                          • 554

                                                          #29
                                                          4/16 Results

                                                          Red Sox -1.5 (+130)
                                                          Nationals -1.5 (+130)

                                                          Rangers -1.5 (+151)
                                                          Rockies +1.5 (-190)
                                                          Rockies/Giants u7.5 (-110)
                                                          Rangers/Mariners u7.5 (+110)
                                                          Mets/Marlins o8 (-115)
                                                          Tigers/Indians o9 (+100)

                                                          Astros/Athletics o8 (+100)
                                                          White Sox/Twins o9.5 (+105)

                                                          4/16: -.55u

                                                          STD Plays: 55
                                                          STD Units: -8.5u
                                                          Comment
                                                          • OoDeBaby
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 04-30-13
                                                            • 554

                                                            #30
                                                            4/17 Plays

                                                            Diamondbacks/Dodgers u7 (+105) 2u
                                                            White Sox/Yankees o8.5 (-120)
                                                            Rangers/Athletics o8 (-105)
                                                            Marlins/Mariners o8 (-115)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • OoDeBaby
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 04-30-13
                                                              • 554

                                                              #31
                                                              4/17 Results

                                                              Diamondbacks/Dodgers u7 (+105) 2u
                                                              White Sox/Yankees o8.5 (-120)

                                                              Rangers/Athletics o8 (-105)
                                                              Marlins/Mariners o8 (-115)


                                                              4/17:
                                                              +.8u

                                                              STD Plays: 59
                                                              STD Units:
                                                              -7.7u
                                                              Comment
                                                              • OoDeBaby
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 04-30-13
                                                                • 554

                                                                #32
                                                                4/19 Plays

                                                                Cubs -1.5 (+110)
                                                                Marlins ML (+135)
                                                                Pirates/Cardinals o8 (-105)
                                                                Marlins/Mariners u7.5 (+107)

                                                                Will have more later
                                                                Comment
                                                                • OoDeBaby
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 04-30-13
                                                                  • 554

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Adding:

                                                                  Mets -1.5 (+170)
                                                                  Nationals -1.5 (+145)
                                                                  Dodgers -1.5 (-105)
                                                                  Phillies/Mets u7.5 (-120)
                                                                  Diamondbacks/Padres u7 (+100)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • OoDeBaby
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 04-30-13
                                                                    • 554

                                                                    #34
                                                                    4/19 Results

                                                                    Cubs -1.5 (+110)
                                                                    Marlins ML (+135)
                                                                    Pirates/Cardinals o8 (-105)
                                                                    Marlins/Mariners u7.5 (+107)
                                                                    Mets -1.5 (+170)
                                                                    Nationals -1.5 (+145)
                                                                    Dodgers -1.5 (-105)

                                                                    Phillies/Mets u7.5 (-120)
                                                                    Diamondbacks/Padres u7 (+100)

                                                                    4/19: -.7u

                                                                    STD Plays: 68
                                                                    STD Units: ​-8.6u





                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • OoDeBaby
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 04-30-13
                                                                      • 554

                                                                      #35
                                                                      4/20 Plays

                                                                      Mets -1.5 (+130)
                                                                      Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145)
                                                                      Diamondbacks/Padres u7.5 (+110)
                                                                      Nationals/Braves o8 (-107)
                                                                      Cardinals/Brewers o8 (-110)
                                                                      Orioles/Reds o9 (+112)
                                                                      Comment
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