Leans for Friday May 22nd - 2009

[SmackdownV]

Ok.....So on this next race....I'll just take #1 to win? Or do I do the same bet again?

[POTVINSUX]

Win142141891
Racebook Straight
May-22 BEL R3 10.00 USD WIN 2 Fri@12:00p</SPAN>






Place142141892
Racebook Straight
May-22 BEL R3 10.00 USD PLC 2 Fri@12:00p

WIN</SPAN>


Outcome: Win

[jellobiafra]

what are you playing today jello?

Working on it right now. I'm afraid to post my plays anymore!

You know this, MAN.

[SmackdownV]

Did the same bet again......#1 horse....(Sir Hughes) to Win/Place/Show......$30.00 for the whole ticket!

Let's see what happens!

[POTVINSUX]

Racebook Straight
May-22 BEL R4 10.00 USD PLC 1 Fri@12:00p
Risk US$ 10.00
Win #142142197 Racebook Straight
May-22 BEL R4 10.00 USD WIN 1 Fri@12:00p
Risk US$ 10.00

LETS GET IT!!! YOU HOT DEX keep em rolling

[POTVINSUX]

what's the deal with 1A is he scratched?

[SmackdownV]

Yeah....Napkins is a scratch.

[Dexter]

Ok.....So on this next race....I'll just take #1 to win? Or do I do the same bet again?

no, do a win/place bet. so if you have $20 to bet. do $10 win/$10 place

[SmackdownV]

Crap....already did it......let us know when it's over!

Just say winner winner chicken dinner again!

[POTVINSUX]

Dex who you take for Gm1 Magic Cavs? hope u were all over that juicy magic ml. Who you likin tonight in Bball? Liking cavs 1st half cavs -9. Lebron is goin to come out nasty and hold it up throughout the game. He cant do it all though, well yea he can haha no but seriously think the cavs are going to be able to clog up the paint on the magic and stop them more often from raining threes especially smith. Still not to kean about -9 though.

[Dexter]

what's the deal with 1A is he scratched?

yes, but we're playing the Sir Hughes anyway...looks like 9/5 will be the off odds....its post time!!

[Dexter]

Dex who you take for Gm1 Magic Cavs? hope u were all over that juicy magic ml. Who you likin tonight in Bball? Liking cavs 1st half cavs -9

no i had the cavs in game 1, and cleav again tonight (see first post)

[Dexter]

Race 4 - Belmont:

Result: #1 Lose

Bet - $40
Net - $40

[SmackdownV]

Did he place or show?

[Dexter]

Did he place or show?

nah, came in 4th....just do win/place from now on....all the horses i have the rest of the day are all going to be under 10/1 odds....

[SmackdownV]

All right.....took HANGINGBYATHREAD Race five to Win/Place......

GL to us!

[jellobiafra]

Alright.... against my better judgement:

Booked to win 3 units:

TOR -152

Ok, I don't like laying this much juice ever. But there's no real value at BetJam in the run line at -105. If there had been I would have hedged to make it a -1 line. I'm willing to make an exception for this matchup. I am a Braves fan so it hurts a little to have to say Kawakami is turning out to be a bust. Thuth be told, I think he's garbage and -152 for a matchup with Halladay on your side against this guy is a steal, imo.

NYM -105

I can't pass that value up on Santana. He had a rough outing in SF which makes me all the more confident he'll bounce back tonight. The Mets have hit a skid and are starting to hear the bitching of their nervous nelly fan base (sorry Dex). Premier matchup with Santana on the hill, an inneffective Dice coming of the DL, the Mets feeling pressure from the fans.... at -105 I'm buying.

To win 2.5 units:

4 point teaser -

ORL +13/under 192.5

Seems to be a slight consensus between two of NBA cappers I respect the most here - CK and a service called Rated Picks. I also like ORL here. I was listening to Mike Wilbon talk about the mood in their locker room after the win the other night. He said (paraphrasing) that it wasn't really exuberant as if they'd stole one they shouldn't have gotten. He said you get the feeling talking to the ORL players that they expect to win when they face CLE. There's no intimidation and they really believe they are the better team. I know it's easy to say and a little cliche... but you have to start respecting the past performances here. It's becoming a trend that's hard to ignore - ORL handling CLE well. I think the Cavs might be in trouble.



So that's my trimmed down card. Had some other leans but I'm trying to reel myself in and become a more disciplined player. That's step 1 in my evolution. The next step is consistently picking winners which I'm having even more trouble with of late. So my advice is honestly to fade away.....

Good luck all.

[SmackdownV]

Jello....I'm on the Birds and Met's too.......(Met's first 5 only for me)....but I like your picks...

[SmackdownV]

Come on HANGINGBYATHREAD!!!!

[POTVINSUX]

On the birds too,just not the Jays....Go O's!!!

[POTVINSUX]

I'll get it on R5 - changing it up,#5win,place 20$ea.

[POTVINSUX]

adding R5-#7win for ten-root with ya

[SmackdownV]

Gl pot

[Dexter]

hangingbyathread - WINNER WINNER CHICKEN DINNER!

[SmackdownV]

Yeah boooooyyyy!!!!!!!!!!!

[kotzwell88]

im in for r5

[SmackdownV]

Thanks for posting the winners so fast Dex.....I have the day off too and this is kindof fun to do this afternoon! Especially when your right!

[kotzwell88]

lets go Dancing Tin Man

[kotzwell88]

thats the correct horse right lol? #5?

[SmackdownV]

Alright Race #6 Seminole Lass.....$20.00 each for win and place!

Let's dooooo this!

[kotzwell88]

what happened in 5?

[Dexter]

16 Man Tournament Updated Overall Standings: (we started with 60 units and can only play 15% of our bankroll each day).

1) Dexter (71.5)
2) Brandon Laz (70.4)
3) Therber2 (62.79)
4) Amblai (58.99)
5) Laxdojax (57.45)
6) BByhill (57)
7) SoonerGreg (53.5)
8) Suicide Kings (51.38)
9) Wangchiu (51.3)
10) Jello (51.2)
11) Shoebox (50.4)
12) TodaysAction (49.9)
13) LDropKid (45.57)
14) Chi Archie (43.84)
15) GyftoGreek (34) aprox
16) PeterPan (31.57)

*17 days left for round 1

[SmackdownV]

hanginbyathread won....that was Dex's pick......His pick for race #6 is Seminole Lass.

[kotzwell88]

whats happenin with the horses this is the first race ive ever bet

[kotzwell88]

what happened in r5