Whaddigot
A'it, tight...
for t'nite
I DO think the Yankees are re-energized by A-roid's return, yesternight that energy spilled over into childlike naivete in the field and overrambunctiousness @ ze plate. I think today will be different, I like for them to show more poise, Tex gotta get out the slump at 1point and Uehara is rather underwhelming having lost his last 4. NYY knows how to win daygames at Camden and they did SOME damage yesterday, so the Rsupp will be there for Joba. The New York bullpen is replete with fringe personalities, but a good thing about Joba is he is so zoned out in his still-in-the-schoolyard-just-care-about-winning mind that he won't carry yesterday's game or the Yankees' situation sum total on the mound - I say he takes them 6-7 deep and the BP stands up to a Bmore team that is a little too reliant upon the top of the lineup. NYY is part one of my three team parlay.
The second installment is Detroit. Now, Porcello IS a rookie, and to stack a rookie in a three-way parlay with a crazy-juiceer like NYY may seem strange, and I DID spend some time talking myself into this. He was a high overall pick, and he has gotten off to a good start. I watched him toss against the twins the last time and I think that while he doesn't have spectacular stuff and his pitches didn't "look" all that different to each other, he induced groundballs (which is a trait of his, I like that to keep other teams in established ruts, like the one the tribe experiences at the moment), worked at a nice pace and he should have confidence facing Cleveland tonight (his WHIP standing below 1.3). Remember also that CLE stats still are a bit skewed from the Abberation in the Bronx. Reyes hasn't been terrible, but DET got very dangerous hitters and if the tribe BP has to step in...well then I think the over will pay, to put it thusly...CLE hitting rut may even be deeper than it appears, seeing as the last time they really hit well a certain Pavano was on the receiving end of it. DET were slow starting last year also, I think their recent wins show something that could be worth riding. Also, I don't buy into the notion it's impossible to put up three low-scoring games in a row, I mean, it's a different pitcher out there...CLE is well coached and always plays the game correctly and hard, but they are NOT HITTING and there is good value here I believe. The tigres de Motown are numero due in my tre-way.
Number three is Lincecum and 'Frisco. They now r e a l l y believe that the Dodgers can be had at this time. Lincecum's numbers would have been even more impressive were it not for the fact that his mechanics are more complex than most pitchers so it took him longer to locate them, but now he is on a roll. I think it's hard to overestimate the effect of the non-prescence of Manny, after getting off to the best home start in recent history...come on, they had to be thinking WS, national tv facetime, a 100+ win season - I don't care what you say, emotionally/psychologically there is now something preventing them from hitting baseballs optimally, I really believe that. They have now lost their first home games, the first Billings start, and really now it starts to sink in what has actually happened, people are going to be coming up in different spots and situations and they are going to get into unfavourable counts more often than before, they'll try to adjust on the fly, they'll trust an instinct more than coaching...and also some other things you can't do against a hot Tim Lincecum. They are the final piece of the puzzle.
Also, Brett Cecil starts for TBJ today in what will be his first MLB game on the road, I know people sometimes like to play stuff like that so I thought I'd let you guys know. It's a stay-away for me, I want to see some clear-cut evidence that the Jays aren't going to be the proverbial "this year's Tampa Bay". Intriguing play, this, though...A's value defence and if they get the lead I doubt they'll look back.
I love the Garza line, Big P has fewer HR than Alex Rodrigues, Jay-Bay not going to slug 1.2000 over the course of the year, some injuries there too and TB has had their number a little bit. Also, TB are going to be fine, excellently coached team with a lot of talent...their record a little deceiving I think. Beckett, let's face it, he hasn't been money...I like the guy, but am I ready to put down hard earned cash because "sooner or later it has to turn around for him"...ATM no, I haven't been watching the line movement here and I don't have the opportunity to do so up until game-time either, so I'm not playing this.
Good luck, let's stay cash-positive. Thnx a shitbunch for the inspiration I get from reading y'all's broodings.
A'it, tight...
for t'nite
I DO think the Yankees are re-energized by A-roid's return, yesternight that energy spilled over into childlike naivete in the field and overrambunctiousness @ ze plate. I think today will be different, I like for them to show more poise, Tex gotta get out the slump at 1point and Uehara is rather underwhelming having lost his last 4. NYY knows how to win daygames at Camden and they did SOME damage yesterday, so the Rsupp will be there for Joba. The New York bullpen is replete with fringe personalities, but a good thing about Joba is he is so zoned out in his still-in-the-schoolyard-just-care-about-winning mind that he won't carry yesterday's game or the Yankees' situation sum total on the mound - I say he takes them 6-7 deep and the BP stands up to a Bmore team that is a little too reliant upon the top of the lineup. NYY is part one of my three team parlay.
The second installment is Detroit. Now, Porcello IS a rookie, and to stack a rookie in a three-way parlay with a crazy-juiceer like NYY may seem strange, and I DID spend some time talking myself into this. He was a high overall pick, and he has gotten off to a good start. I watched him toss against the twins the last time and I think that while he doesn't have spectacular stuff and his pitches didn't "look" all that different to each other, he induced groundballs (which is a trait of his, I like that to keep other teams in established ruts, like the one the tribe experiences at the moment), worked at a nice pace and he should have confidence facing Cleveland tonight (his WHIP standing below 1.3). Remember also that CLE stats still are a bit skewed from the Abberation in the Bronx. Reyes hasn't been terrible, but DET got very dangerous hitters and if the tribe BP has to step in...well then I think the over will pay, to put it thusly...CLE hitting rut may even be deeper than it appears, seeing as the last time they really hit well a certain Pavano was on the receiving end of it. DET were slow starting last year also, I think their recent wins show something that could be worth riding. Also, I don't buy into the notion it's impossible to put up three low-scoring games in a row, I mean, it's a different pitcher out there...CLE is well coached and always plays the game correctly and hard, but they are NOT HITTING and there is good value here I believe. The tigres de Motown are numero due in my tre-way.
Number three is Lincecum and 'Frisco. They now r e a l l y believe that the Dodgers can be had at this time. Lincecum's numbers would have been even more impressive were it not for the fact that his mechanics are more complex than most pitchers so it took him longer to locate them, but now he is on a roll. I think it's hard to overestimate the effect of the non-prescence of Manny, after getting off to the best home start in recent history...come on, they had to be thinking WS, national tv facetime, a 100+ win season - I don't care what you say, emotionally/psychologically there is now something preventing them from hitting baseballs optimally, I really believe that. They have now lost their first home games, the first Billings start, and really now it starts to sink in what has actually happened, people are going to be coming up in different spots and situations and they are going to get into unfavourable counts more often than before, they'll try to adjust on the fly, they'll trust an instinct more than coaching...and also some other things you can't do against a hot Tim Lincecum. They are the final piece of the puzzle.
Also, Brett Cecil starts for TBJ today in what will be his first MLB game on the road, I know people sometimes like to play stuff like that so I thought I'd let you guys know. It's a stay-away for me, I want to see some clear-cut evidence that the Jays aren't going to be the proverbial "this year's Tampa Bay". Intriguing play, this, though...A's value defence and if they get the lead I doubt they'll look back.
I love the Garza line, Big P has fewer HR than Alex Rodrigues, Jay-Bay not going to slug 1.2000 over the course of the year, some injuries there too and TB has had their number a little bit. Also, TB are going to be fine, excellently coached team with a lot of talent...their record a little deceiving I think. Beckett, let's face it, he hasn't been money...I like the guy, but am I ready to put down hard earned cash because "sooner or later it has to turn around for him"...ATM no, I haven't been watching the line movement here and I don't have the opportunity to do so up until game-time either, so I'm not playing this.
Good luck, let's stay cash-positive. Thnx a shitbunch for the inspiration I get from reading y'all's broodings.
. I know they're 'desperate' so the effort will be there but since you got a G account, might want to look at the team total 3@-125 or game total 5@-130 for it. Both to me are better options. 
