MLB - Wednesday, 9/7/16

[LT Profits]

8 MLB Plays Wednesday

Orioles / Rays UNDER 8 -120 (5 Dimes)
Tigers / White Sox UNDER 9 -120 (5 Dimes)
Angels / Athletics UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Phillies +115 (5 Dimes)
Cubs / Brewers UNDER 9 -110 (5 Dimes)
Twins +134 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks / Dodgers UNDER 8 -110 (Bookmaker)
Rangers / Mariners UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)


YTD: 394-413-20, -8.94

[LT Profits]

It's an UNDERful world

[exlusive123]

TB under plays have been Underful for the books so far. Most everyday TB has $ coming over, locking in an under play early
Has been locking in a bad price

[exlusive123]

I think the same logic applies to betting Tex under early

[JJJ]

prob 3-5 today down 2 units with juice and the thread goes on

[MikeyD323]

What you think of Mets under 8? I love it

[exlusive123]

Overall LT information is helpful. Imo his numbers should be used as a guide, if you follow all his plays you won't win. The prices he posts are not available, if he is stuck units at the prices he plays, anyone following that plays the real market prices is going to get smashed. A word of caution here, he will probably turn it around. It's difficult to lose at the prices he posts. If I could bet 8c off the real market, I believe without information I would be slightly profitable

[LT Profits]

60%ers:

Mets 62% (-163)
Washington 71% (-245)
Toronto 66% (-194)
Cleveland 66% (-194)
Boston 66% (-194)

Obvious word of caution regarding Washington, model assumes a healthy Strasburg

[LT Profits]

Overall LT information is helpful. Imo his numbers should be used as a guide, if you follow all his plays you won't win. The prices he posts are not available, if he is stuck units at the prices he plays, anyone following that plays the real market prices is going to get smashed. A word of caution here, he will probably turn it around. It's difficult to lose at the prices he posts. If I could bet 8c off the real market, I believe without information I would be slightly profitable

FYI, fading my plays would lose a lot more because I am beating juice by a healthy margin.

[LT Profits]

What you think of Mets under 8? I love it

Too close for me, I get 7.5

[jjgold]

Unders no good anymore

Over or no bet

[Rich Boy]

Unders no good anymore

Over or no bet

Yep, I dont even look for UNDERs anymore...

UNDERs dont exist in current MLB conditions, I feel like every UNDER is lucky to hit.

[MikeyD323]

Too close for me, I get 7.5

Thanks LT

[LT Profits]

Yep, I dont even look for UNDERs anymore...

UNDERs dont exist in current MLB conditions, I feel like every UNDER is lucky to hit.

This is just silly and you are not the only one saying it, which is just wrong. So far this season it is Over 51% - Under 49%, it is not as if the Over is dominating or anything.

[Rich Boy]

Yes but what is the average juice on UNDERS? guaranteed its not + money

So overs are hitting at a higher rate at + money all year long, no value in UNDERs right now. Maybe come post season

Trust me LT im a huge UNDERs better and have been for years but I have been absolutely crushed this year with all the overs, let them go.

[LT Profits]

Yes but what is the average juice on UNDERS? guaranteed its not + money

So overs are hitting at a higher rate at + money all year long, no value in UNDERs right now. Maybe come post season

Trust me LT im a huge UNDERs better and have been for years but I have been absolutely crushed this year with all the overs, let them go.

My guess is you would have lost money whether you played all Overs or all Unders this year. I wish I could find a site that tracks O/U records with juice. Maybe someone here has that info? BTW, raw record is Over 1008-968.

[Rich Boy]

My guess is you would have lost money whether you played all Overs or all Unders this year. I wish I could find a site that tracks O/U records with juice. Maybe someone here has that info? BTW, raw record is Over 1008-968.

You cant deny this is an OVER year, HRs are up, Runs/game are up and since when did OVERs hit at above 50%

Seems like every year UNDERs do better and rightfully so thats why they are juiced up, the markets have not adjusted to this uptrend in scoring and im going to profit from it. See my 8.5k wager on Minny/KC over tonight.

[LT Profits]

I caught an error on my Sunday grading, the YTD units are now correct at -8.94. I just lost 0.20 units before the games even started.

[LT Profits]

You cant deny this is an OVER year, HRs are up, Runs/game are up and since when did OVERs hit at above 50%

Seems like every year UNDERs do better and rightfully so thats why they are juiced up, the markets have not adjusted to this uptrend in scoring and im going to profit from it. See my 8.5k wager on Minny/KC over tonight.

Well I have not gotten killed with Unders this year as my totals are outperforming all my other plays and probably over 90% of the totals have been Unders.

Totals (including 5 innings): -3.05
All other Plays: -5.89

[pilebuck13]

Nailed 2 unders yesterday and that Oakland Boston under on Saturday was one of my top plays.....I usually find unders at +

[TheSharppie]

I am all over the mets at -150. Its syndergaard. a top 10 pitcher. cincy a bottom 1/3rd offense. 13 wins straight over reds for mets. i love this line. LOVE IT.

[juicername]

No one likes a second guesser, but I don't know about unders at this time of the year dude. Tired arms all around and the baseball flying around in the ballparks.

[Hangoverblack]

Why not just play the grand salami under for your whole account? Seems like best way to bet a card like that

[exlusive123]

Agree, fading you even after the moves will most likely result in losses

[JJJ]

another loser to start the day

[Rich Boy]

Guey doesn't learn. Since when is Baltimore and under a good investment?

[JJJ]

2nd pick of the day 2nd loser of the day already great job LT keep up the great work

[LT Profits]

2 MLB Additions

10 MLB Plays Wednesday

Orioles / Rays UNDER 8 -120 (5 Dimes)
Tigers / White Sox UNDER 9 -120 (5 Dimes)
Angels / Athletics UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Phillies +115 (5 Dimes)
Brewers +132 (Heritage)
Cubs / Brewers UNDER 9 -110 (5 Dimes)
Twins +134 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks +125 (5 innings) (Heritage)
Diamondbacks / Dodgers UNDER 8 -110 (Bookmaker)
Rangers / Mariners UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)

[dirtycash66]

All the games so far are going over……you might have to eat an L today LT

[GreatWallofTrump]

LT on tilt. Season is ending and he is going for it all

[No coincidences]

10 MLB Plays Wednesday

Orioles / Rays UNDER 8 -120 (5 Dimes)
Tigers / White Sox UNDER 9 -120 (5 Dimes)
Angels / Athletics UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Phillies +115 (5 Dimes)
Brewers +132 (Heritage)
Cubs / Brewers UNDER 9 -110 (5 Dimes)
Twins +134 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks +125 (5 innings) (Heritage)
Diamondbacks / Dodgers UNDER 8 -110 (Bookmaker)
Rangers / Mariners UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)

If your system is truly spitting out this many games on one day in September....

[JJJ]

very few plays over labor day weekend yet 10 plays on a weds

hopefully he stops this thread

[BaseballChaser]

If he was just going for it he wouldn't be playing dogs. This is nothing new for LT. Some days a lot of plays others virtually none.

[Nateboogy]

LT, for the longest time you were nailing lines and getting some awful luck. You are missing lines now. Including the Rangers total and the Brewers today missed by a wide margin. What happened?

[BeatTheJerk]

Can you please get back to even/+ & stay there for God Sake these roller coasting results have got to stop lol ...