Greinke +171?

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  • HeeluvaGuy
    SBR MVP
    • 02-15-14
    • 3449

    #1
    Greinke +171?
    Guy has never lost to the Dodgers. DBacks are 7-1 in his road starts this year. As bad as Arizona is, they are a somewhat respectable 33-35 on the road. Any value here fellas?
  • Itsamazing777
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-14-12
    • 12602

    #2
    It's a trap
    Comment
    • readytowinem
      SBR MVP
      • 12-29-15
      • 3089

      #3
      How would plus that much money be a trap? Sounds like a deal with Greinke pitching.
      Comment
      • 44 Mag
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 10-14-13
        • 34490

        #4
        Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
        Guy has never lost to the Dodgers. DBacks are 7-1 in his road starts this year. As bad as Arizona is, they are a somewhat respectable 33-35 on the road. Any value here fellas?
        He faced the LAD once this year and won 3-2, he was at home. Prior to that the only other time I can see him facing the LAD (speculation on my part) is in 2011 when with Milwaukee ???? Other than that his 1st 7 years were with KC, LAA 1/2 & Toronto 1/2 in 2012. BOL on your wager.
        Comment
        • HeeluvaGuy
          SBR MVP
          • 02-15-14
          • 3449

          #5
          Originally posted by 44 Mag
          He faced the LAD once this year and won 3-2, he was at home. Prior to that the only other time I can see him facing the LAD (speculation on my part) is in 2011 when with Milwaukee ???? Other than that his 1st 7 years were with KC, LAA 1/2 & Toronto 1/2 in 2012. BOL on your wager.
          Thanks Mag. Of course, you're right and your point is well taken that he doesn't have a long history (or even much of a recent one) against the Dodgers, but his numbers against the guys on this LAD roster are pretty good: .185 BA, .333 SLG, .566 OPS. in 86 PAs.
          Comment
          • Ro0k
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-04-14
            • 678

            #6
            If youre dead set on taking Arizona, look at the F5. If the Dodgers work his pitch count up and he only lasts 5-6 innings, that bullpen is atrocious.
            Comment
            • Ro0k
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-04-14
              • 678

              #7
              Those bvp numbers are likely old being he was in LA for a few years. Almost irrelevant IMO.
              Comment
              • doubledime
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-22-09
                • 9751

                #8
                Originally posted by Ro0k
                If youre dead set on taking Arizona, look at the F5. If the Dodgers work his pitch count up and he only lasts 5-6 innings, that bullpen is atrocious.
                May be onto something with that play. AZ relievers have pitched 193 pitches the last 3 days and 60 yesterday (only 2 pitchers). The bullpen ERA is 5.28 on the road, however Greinke averages about 99 pitches per game so he "should" go into the 7th or 8th.

                Good luck HG n I think there is value there!!
                Comment
                • HeeluvaGuy
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-15-14
                  • 3449

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Ro0k
                  Those bvp numbers are likely old being he was in LA for a few years. Almost irrelevant IMO.
                  Over a third of the ABs (31) are from this season, so there is certainly some relevance. He has also faced guys like Grandal, Utley, and Ruiz in recent years on over teams. Your F5 idea is a good one though, given how terrible the Arizona pen is. Good luck to you today!
                  Comment
                  • Ro0k
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-04-14
                    • 678

                    #10
                    Fair enough. Good luck to you too.
                    Comment
                    • Yazworm91
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-01-13
                      • 2397

                      #11
                      I think the ff +.5 -110 got the most value. Getting that half run is huge could see a 2-2 game after 5.
                      Comment
                      • HeeluvaGuy
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-15-14
                        • 3449

                        #12
                        Good lawd. Seager owns Greinke. It was indeed a trap.
                        Comment
                        • HeeluvaGuy
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-15-14
                          • 3449

                          #13
                          Greinkelol 4HRs in one inning? Ouch.
                          Comment
                          • Ro0k
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-04-14
                            • 678

                            #14
                            Well at least you weren't beat by Gonzalez hitting that high ball for a bomb lol.
                            Comment
                            • Grivas_Digeni
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-08-15
                              • 5307

                              #15
                              Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                              Greinke +171?
                              More like +1700 now.
                              Comment
                              • HeeluvaGuy
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-15-14
                                • 3449

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Grivas_Digeni
                                More like +1700 now.
                                No value in that lol
                                Comment
                                • Grivas_Digeni
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 05-08-15
                                  • 5307

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                  No value in that lol
                                  I needed them to win by 12+ for Grand Salami win. What a tease.
                                  Comment
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