MLB - Tuesday, 7/5/16

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Tuesday, 7/5/16
    5 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Red Sox -1.5 +110 (Heritage)
    Rangers / Red Sox UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
    Padres / Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Orioles / Dodgers UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Rockies / Giants UNDER 6.5 +100 (Heritage)


    YTD: 242-260-12, -11.33
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Lots of 60%ers Tuesday:

    Cubs 72% (-257)
    Washington 62% (-163)
    Toronto 64% (-178)
    Cleveland 62% (-163)
    Mets 61% (-156)
    Boston 71% (-245)
    Tampa Bay 62% (-163)
    Houston 61% (-156)
    Dodgers 63% (-170)
    Giants 71% (-245)

    Note that I have not run Pittsburgh/St. Louis game. There was a late pitching change and I have to enter info for new Pirates first-time starter before running.
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      LT second half of year is when you will rally

      will be perfect time
      Comment
      • Snake24
        SBR MVP
        • 06-14-14
        • 2366

        #4
        LT, model thoughts on White Sox?
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by Snake24
          LT, model thoughts on White Sox?
          Yankees 58% (-138)

          I didn't bet Yanks because I hate the line movement
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            3 MLB Additions

            8 MLB Plays Tuesday

            Tigers / Indians UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
            Red Sox -1.5 +110 (Heritage)
            Rangers / Red Sox UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
            Yankees / White Sox UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
            Padres / Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 +105 (Heritage)
            Padres / Diamondbacks OVER 5 -115 (5 innings) (Bookmaker)
            Orioles / Dodgers UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
            Rockies / Giants UNDER 6.5 +100 (Heritage)
            Comment
            • trobin31
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-09-14
              • 9853

              #7
              Unders have to be sharp today, I looked at board and not one game seemed like it could stay under the total today.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                LT profits if things get rough in the fall I know some loansharks in Pennsylvania

                It's only 20% a month
                Comment
                • jforster101
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 06-20-13
                  • 70

                  #9
                  LT any value on San Diego? Arizona's 14-31 at home I believe and last time out Friedrich shut them out for 7 innings i believe.
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by jforster101
                    LT any value on San Diego? Arizona's 14-31 at home I believe and last time out Friedrich shut them out for 7 innings i believe.
                    Not too much, I get Zona 55% (-122). I get that Pades are smidgeon higher than that but I would need at least +132 just to consider them.
                    Comment
                    • BeatTheJerk
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-19-07
                      • 31794

                      #11
                      Hang in there LT you got this as far as your ytd ..... I hope you're feeling better with your health concerns.
                      Comment
                      • Brock Landers
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 06-30-08
                        • 45359

                        #12
                        Who fuckin plays unders In Boston when Price starts???
                        Comment
                        • funnyb25
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 07-09-09
                          • 39663

                          #13
                          Thw model spits out last year's numbers for games this year. Hasn't adjusted price since 2015
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by funnyb25
                            Thw model spits out last year's numbers for games this year. Hasn't adjusted price since 2015
                            Totally FALSE and yet you keep posting that same thing over and over.
                            Comment
                            • funnyb25
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 07-09-09
                              • 39663

                              #15
                              U seen price pitch this season? I'm curious how the under can be a play along with redsox rl with Price. Guy is VERY bad
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Brock Landers
                                Who fuckin plays unders In Boston when Price starts???
                                Price will be fine. He has a K% of a 26.3% and a BB% of 5.5%. That difference of 20.8% is eighth best in the Major Leagues. But guys like you only look at ERA and think he sucks.
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by funnyb25
                                  U seen price pitch this season? I'm curious how the under can be a play along with redsox rl with Price. Guy is VERY bad
                                  I just replied to Brock regarding Price. As long as he maintains his K/BB ratio, he should turn things around. And fact that I have a -1.5 and an Under should give you an idea that Price is the entire key to both plays.
                                  Comment
                                  • funnyb25
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 07-09-09
                                    • 39663

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                    I just replied to Brock regarding Price. As long as he maintains his K/BB ratio, he should turn things around. And fact that I have a -1.5 and an Under should give you an idea that Price is the entire key to both plays.
                                    What about your other heroes like archer, urias, Nola, smyly, keuchel? They have to be out by now. Every play with those 4 have been a loss, no joke. Like 0-25 with them but they continue to be plays
                                    Comment
                                    • Brock Landers
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 06-30-08
                                      • 45359

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                      Price will be fine. He has a K% of a 26.3% and a BB% of 5.5%. That difference of 20.8% is eighth best in the Major Leagues. But guys like you only look at ERA and think he sucks.
                                      you like that 9 when the line is now 9.5?

                                      Please, Price has been pure garbage
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by funnyb25
                                        What about your other heroes like archer, urias, Nola, smyly, keuchel? They have to be out by now. Every play with those 4 have been a loss, no joke. Like 0-25 with them but they continue to be plays
                                        I won with Keuchel the last time i played him. I won a 5-inning play with Urias in his previous start before last night. Check your facts next time before you post And in the end, I am ONLY down 11 units after 500 plays. I will be fine and finish in the black like I usually do.
                                        Comment
                                        • funnyb25
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 07-09-09
                                          • 39663

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                          I won with Keuchel the last time i played him. I won a 5-inning play with Urias in his previous start before last night. Check your facts next time before you post And in the end, I am ONLY down 11 units after 500 plays. I will be fine and finish in the black like I usually do.
                                          I want you to win. Believe me...but did you just really give me 2 times 2 of those 5 pitchers won ONCE? That's like 2 out of at least 30 with those dudes. But I do wish you the best on your plays as always sir, just the stubbornness is nearly unbearable...
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by funnyb25
                                            I want you to win. Believe me...but did you just really give me 2 times 2 of those 5 pitchers won ONCE? That's like 2 out of at least 30 with those dudes. But I do wish you the best on your plays as always sir, just the stubbornness is nearly unbearable...
                                            It's not "stubbornness", it is trying to be ahead of the positive regression when the peripherals suggest that it is coming.
                                            Comment
                                            • funnyb25
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 07-09-09
                                              • 39663

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                                              It's not "stubbornness", it is trying to be ahead of the positive regression when the peripherals suggest that it is coming.
                                              Fair enough...BOL
                                              Comment
                                              • Ghenghis Kahn
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-02-12
                                                • 19734

                                                #24
                                                gotta love this thread when one of the biggest squares like brock is trying to make a point...
                                                Comment
                                                • Rich Boy
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-01-09
                                                  • 9714

                                                  #25
                                                  Price lead off homer lol
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Rich Boy
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-01-09
                                                    • 9714

                                                    #26
                                                    Bos -1.5 and Under already fked, nice!!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mikefan1034
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-29-12
                                                      • 2448

                                                      #27
                                                      LT u need to leave. Price really? Ur model is beyond broken
                                                      Comment
                                                      • funnyb25
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 07-09-09
                                                        • 39663

                                                        #28
                                                        Price!!!!!!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Rich Boy
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-01-09
                                                          • 9714

                                                          #29
                                                          HR,Single,Walk,Single

                                                          HR or double next boys?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • funnyb25
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 07-09-09
                                                            • 39663

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                            Price will be fine. He has a K% of a 26.3% and a BB% of 5.5%. That difference of 20.8% is eighth best in the Major Leagues. But guys like you only look at ERA and think he sucks.
                                                            Silly
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JJJ
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-03-11
                                                              • 2610

                                                              #31
                                                              another losing day keep up the great work LT
                                                              Comment
                                                              • funnyb25
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 07-09-09
                                                                • 39663

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                I just replied to Brock regarding Price. As long as he maintains his K/BB ratio, he should turn things around. And fact that I have a -1.5 and an Under should give you an idea that Price is the entire key to both plays.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Brock Landers
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 06-30-08
                                                                  • 45359

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by funnyb25
                                                                  Price!!!!!!!!
                                                                  maybe the worst starting pitcher on their staff
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JJJ
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-03-11
                                                                    • 2610

                                                                    #34
                                                                    under in Indians with Anibal Sanchez and the horrid Tigers bullpen lol
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JJJ
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-03-11
                                                                      • 2610

                                                                      #35
                                                                      guys but Anibal Sanchez has a .40 times exf times the square root of 3 divided by 1.5 should give him 3.2 strikeouts which outweighs his exq rate of 3 divided by 12 plus the square root of 7 so I have the under as a play
                                                                      Comment
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