Kai^2 picks

[KaiSquared]

To track daily MLB picks made by my program --

will post yesterday's disaster and YTD info later

7/4 selections
1.5u
Cards -205


1u
Phils -160
Marlins +150
Rays -112
Astros -146
Minn -115
NYY -120
Det +160
Lad -160

[vegaschulo]

Det? Why?

[KaiSquared]

Det? Why?

My model says there is solid value there. Granted, it/I was 1-5 yesterday. I'm actually going to try iteration 2 tonight if I can find about 2 hours to analyze all the data from the last month. It will be interesting to see how things have changed.

[KaiSquared]

7/3 Std: 1-5 -4.73u
7/3 parlay: 0-1 parlay -.5u


Std Ytd: 81-66 +14.69u
Parlay Ytd: 0-1 -.5u

[vegaschulo]

Ok I see..but the the fact is that Cleveland owns the tigers ..ah well..BOL..thanks for posting them picks..

[KaiSquared]

part of the probability assignment my program uses is a mean reversion of winning %. So the Indians for awhile are going to be less favored (by my program). Their starters both pitch effectively and chew up a lot of innings so that offsets some of that reversion weighting. In this game I think I had Detroit at 44% so took the line.

[vegaschulo]

Ok thanks ..BOL to you man

[KaiSquared]

7/5 games
Astros -148 1.5u
Oakland -121 1u
W sox +112 1u
Lad -146 1.5u

[KaiSquared]

7/4 Day: 4-5 -3.425u
7/5 Day: 1-3 -2.9u
Ytd: 86-74 +8.365u

[KaiSquared]

7-8 games

1.5u
giants -148
cards -126

1u
phils +137
nats +109
padres +175
twins +150

[44 Mag]

7-8 games

1.5u
giants -148
cards -126

1u
phils +137
nats +109
padres +175
twins +150

That last selection is daring, BUT, I like it, I just my take that myself been thinking on it. BOL tonight brother.

[KaiSquared]

Need to update Ytd numbers - been too busy between work and dog sitting

Brew +132 1u
Braves +109 1.5u
White sox +121 1u
LAD +2u
Orioles +113 1u
Jays -141 1u
Astros +123u
NYY -120