MLB - Thursday, 6/30/16

BOA12 · 06-30-16, 07:08 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

4 MLB Plays Thursday

Yankees -125 (Heritage)
Twins +157 (5 Dimes)
Cubs / Mets UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)
Mariners -103 (Heritage)

YTD: 231-248-9, -10.26

took NYM U7-. Did you buy it down to 7?

LT Profits · 06-30-16, 07:19 AM

Originally posted by BOA12

took NYM U7-. Did you buy it down to 7?

No, 7 +105 is better than 7.5 -125.

7 +105 is the main line at Heritage

I would take 7.5 up to -120

LT Profits · 06-30-16, 07:22 AM

60%ers:

Washington 68% (-213)
St. Louis 61% (-156)
San Francisco 66% (-194)

44 Mag · 06-30-16, 07:26 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

60%ers:

Washington 68% (-213)
St. Louis 61% (-156)
San Francisco 66% (-194)

I am surprised you don't find Cinn a live dog @ +182, especially with all the issues Gio is having last 6 games. Seems Tempting???

BOA12 · 06-30-16, 07:35 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

No, 7 +105 is better than 7.5 -125.

7 +105 is the main line at Heritage

I would take 7.5 up to -120

I got it at 7- -120 last night bol LT

MS Profits · 06-30-16, 07:45 AM

Any value in the Indians tonight?

Brock Landers · 06-30-16, 07:47 AM

Good job taking the market high # on the Yankees...

Line continues to go down

innovation · 06-30-16, 07:54 AM

the Mets are the play

BOA12 · 06-30-16, 07:58 AM

Originally posted by innovation

the Mets are the play

With you on NYM and U7- bol innovation

LT Profits · 06-30-16, 08:00 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

I am surprised you don't find Cinn a live dog @ +182, especially with all the issues Gio is having last 6 games. Seems Tempting???

As you see, model is at -213. Yeah Gio is slumping but Finnegan sucks and the Nats are better in most other areas.

LT Profits · 06-30-16, 08:01 AM

Originally posted by BOA12

I got it at 7- -120 last night bol LT

That is good then.

GL2U2

LT Profits · 06-30-16, 08:03 AM

Originally posted by MS Profits

Any value in the Indians tonight?

I only have Cleveland 54% (-117)

LT Profits · 06-30-16, 08:05 AM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

Good job taking the market high # on the Yankees...

Line continues to go down

What are you talking about? I still see no lower than -125 at the major books I am at (Heritage, 5 Dimes, Bookmaker, DSI)

eddycash · 06-30-16, 08:12 AM

Any thoughts on mets ml?

LT Profits · 06-30-16, 08:12 AM

Originally posted by innovation

the Mets are the play

Yeah but I get extreme variance there, which I do not like. I only get Cubs 51% (-104), maybe if line drops while still leaving room for +EV, I'll bite.

mikefan1034 · 06-30-16, 08:36 AM

Originally posted by eddycash

Any thoughts on mets ml?

Lol good luck with that lineup

l7ustin · 06-30-16, 08:37 AM

rays detroit?

LT Profits · 06-30-16, 09:08 AM

Originally posted by l7ustin

rays detroit?

Dead Even 50% (+100) both ways

Snake24 · 06-30-16, 09:48 AM

[QUOTE=LT Profits;25943866]What are you talking about? I still see no lower than -125 at the major books I am at (Heritage, 5 Dimes, Bookmaker,

I got it them at -128 around 7CST. Up to -132.

LT Profits · 06-30-16, 10:15 AM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

Good job taking the market high # on the Yankees...

Line continues to go down

Seems to me I got the market low # on the Yankees, some -150s now popping up.

gregm · 06-30-16, 10:19 AM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

Good job taking the market high # on the Yankees...

Line continues to go down

? line is at yankees -150

Ralphie1412 · 06-30-16, 10:21 AM

Is there anything more comical than Brock Landers riding LTs jock. Brock kick rocks nerd. You're down 6 figures lifetime.

eddycash · 06-30-16, 10:43 AM

Seattle at -115 still good?

dirtycash66 · 06-30-16, 10:52 AM

Anyone like under 9 in the yankees game?

gimmeWs · 06-30-16, 10:55 AM

I like cubs the way their bats are starting to pick backup and Lackey has had success there vs. Mets. Matz is pitching not deGrom or Noah

CanuckG · 06-30-16, 10:59 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Yeah but I get extreme variance there, which I do not like. I only get Cubs 51% (-104), maybe if line drops while still leaving room for +EV, I'll bite.

Yet Cubs are -131. Obviously there's value to take the Mets according to your model.

CanuckG · 06-30-16, 11:00 AM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

Good job taking the market high # on the Yankees...

Line continues to go down

Yanks are -142. WTF are you talking about?

gimmeWs · 06-30-16, 11:03 AM

Originally posted by CanuckG

Yet Cubs are -131. Obviously there's value to take the Mets according to your model.

I took em at -121 but your right. i just gotta give the pitching nod and the offensive nod to the cubs. Hopefully its worth it we'll see

LT Profits · 06-30-16, 11:19 AM

Originally posted by eddycash

Seattle at -115 still good?

Meh, I am at 55% (-122)

Shoot for -111 or less if possible

l7ustin · 06-30-16, 11:22 AM

lt have you ever considered and/or why dont you ever bet individual team totals?

homerbush · 06-30-16, 11:37 AM

Originally posted by l7ustin

lt have you ever considered and/or why dont you ever bet individual team totals?

I am going to assume he says too much juice here and too much variance

Da Manster! · 06-30-16, 11:43 AM

LT,
My best bet is over 8.5 on Indians/Blue Jays (just made another "nail it, pound it" thread)...does your model agree?...

KickShootThrow · 06-30-16, 01:59 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

4 MLB Plays Thursday

Yankees -125 (Heritage)
Twins +157 (5 Dimes)
Cubs / Mets UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)
Mariners -103 (Heritage)

YTD: 231-248-9, -10.26

Tell me what I'm missing in the Orioles/Mariners game. All Tilllman does against Seattle is win-win-win... I'm from Seattle myself and I know Walker is literally hit or miss.

JayDr3am · 06-30-16, 02:25 PM

no royals again?? you dont think they are sitting pretty again at +156?