MLB - Thursday, 6/23/16

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Thursday, 6/23/16
    3 MLB Plays Thursday

    Phillies / Twins UNDER 8.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Padres / Reds OVER 9.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Marlins +156 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 213-236-9, -17.44

    Sorry I wasn't around much yesterday and I probably won't be around much until Monday. Having some physical issues. (And no, not stress related )
  • Snake24
    SBR MVP
    • 06-14-14
    • 2366

    #2
    Get well, LT.
    Comment
    • Jayvegas420
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-09-11
      • 28213

      #3
      The Tigers starter today.....
      Is this the same guy that lived in a van and was diagnosed with cancer?
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        60%ers:

        Boston 72% (-257)
        Mets 61% (-156)
        Arizona 63% (-170)
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by Jayvegas420
          The Tigers starter today.....
          Is this the same guy that lived in a van and was diagnosed with cancer?
          I don't know, I haven't heard anything like that about Fulmer
          Comment
          • Sam Odom
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-30-05
            • 58063

            #6
            Get well soon
            Comment
            • BOA12
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-19-12
              • 20622

              #7
              Originally posted by Sam Odom
              Get well soon
              Better to be. healthy than wealthy bol lt
              Comment
              • Redscot
                SBR MVP
                • 05-16-11
                • 2571

                #8
                Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                The Tigers starter today.....
                Is this the same guy that lived in a van and was diagnosed with cancer?
                Yup, he was part of the deal that sent Price to the Jays. Considered to have big upside.

                All the best to you LT, hope the health stuff improves.
                Comment
                • PorkChop
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-18-08
                  • 8193

                  #9
                  Get well soon
                  Comment
                  • NardVa
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-02-07
                    • 8325

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                    The Tigers starter today.....
                    Is this the same guy that lived in a van and was diagnosed with cancer?
                    It's that dude. His name is Daniel Norris.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by NardVa
                      It's that dude. His name is Daniel Norris.
                      Damn, meds are making me crazy I though he meant yesterday's starter.
                      Comment
                      • Brock Landers
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 06-30-08
                        • 45359

                        #12
                        Your model is blind huh, it hasn't seen James Shield's pitch
                        Comment
                        • Snake24
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-14-14
                          • 2366

                          #13
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          Damn, meds are making me crazy I though he meant yesterday's starter.
                          Chuck Norris' son!!
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Brock Landers
                            Your model is blind huh, it hasn't seen James Shield's pitch
                            What do you mean? Boston 72% has more to do with Shields than with Porcello.

                            I might even play Red Sox -1.5 if the juice drops a bit.
                            Comment
                            • Sam Odom
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-30-05
                              • 58063

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Brock Landers

                              Your model is blind huh, it hasn't seen James Shield's pitch

                              Brocker , what does your RUBBERCHECK model say ?
                              Comment
                              • Brock Landers
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 06-30-08
                                • 45359

                                #16
                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                What do you mean? Boston 72% has more to do with Shields than with Porcello.

                                I might even play Red Sox -1.5 if the juice drops a bit.
                                why are you concerned about the juice? You play it when the opportunity arises, which won't be much long with Shields
                                Comment
                                • Brock Landers
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 06-30-08
                                  • 45359

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Sam Odom
                                  Brocker , what does your RUBBERCHECK model say ?
                                  Boston ML, RL, and TT Over
                                  Comment
                                  • homerbush
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-17-08
                                    • 2317

                                    #18
                                    Love shields in this spot at that price. white Sox -ML and -1.5 for me. The rest of you can have your -235
                                    Comment
                                    • Sam Odom
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-30-05
                                      • 58063

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Brock Landers

                                      why are you concerned about the juice?

                                      Comment
                                      • Brock Landers
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 06-30-08
                                        • 45359

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Sam Odom
                                        each game is an individual trial Sammy
                                        Comment
                                        • Sam Odom
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-30-05
                                          • 58063

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Brock Landers

                                          each game is an individual trial Sammy

                                          Brocker... huge juiced games have been your downfall

                                          "Doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result..." = Insanity
                                          Comment
                                          • CappinTerp
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-26-09
                                            • 9650

                                            #22
                                            Hope you get better quickly..................gl
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Brock Landers
                                              why are you concerned about the juice? You play it when the opportunity arises
                                              What does this even mean.

                                              Price is basically all that matters, I never overpay for any bet. The "opportunity arises" when the price is right, which could be Red Sox -1.5 at less than -120.
                                              Comment
                                              • Snake24
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 06-14-14
                                                • 2366

                                                #24
                                                I took Giants Ev now at +125ish. Damn
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Snake24
                                                  I took Giants Ev now at +125ish. Damn
                                                  Giants are fielding Triple-A lineup
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Sam Odom
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-30-05
                                                    • 58063

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                    Giants are fielding Triple-A lineup

                                                    however... dont bite off more than one can swallow


                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                      Giants are fielding Triple-A lineup
                                                      Actually no McCutchen and Marte for Pirates either.

                                                      But San Fran lineup still looks weaker:


                                                      San Francisco Giants Pittsburgh Pirates
                                                      Pos. Player HR RBI AVG Pos. Player HR RBI AVG
                                                      CF Denard Span 3 27 .256 1B John Jaso 4 21 .277
                                                      2B Joe Panik 7 33 .259 2B Josh Harrison 3 32 .288
                                                      RF Mac Williamson 1 2 .182 CF Gregory Polanco 10 42 .301
                                                      1B Buster Posey 8 34 .277 3B Jung-ho Kang 10 27 .276
                                                      C Trevor Brown 4 11 .241 RF Matt Joyce 7 24 .293
                                                      SS Ramiro Pena 0 4 .462 SS Jordy Mercer 3 24 .273
                                                      LF Jarrett Parker 3 8 .270 LF Sean Rodriguez 6 17 .250
                                                      3B Conor Gillaspie 2 7 .220 C Erik Kratz 0 0 .000
                                                      P Albert Suarez (2-1) 3.69 P Jonathon Niese (6-4) 4.74
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Sam Odom
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-30-05
                                                        • 58063

                                                        #28
                                                        what does that ^ mean for Total ?

                                                        Under ??
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pilebuck13
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 05-15-15
                                                          • 17918

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                          Giants are fielding Triple-A lineup
                                                          Stole buckos at -108 last night lets go
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Brock Landers
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 06-30-08
                                                            • 45359

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                            What does this even mean.

                                                            Price is basically all that matters, I never overpay for any bet. The "opportunity arises" when the price is right, which could be Red Sox -1.5 at less than -120.
                                                            Nonsense
                                                            Comment
                                                            • funnyb25
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 07-09-09
                                                              • 39663

                                                              #31
                                                              There is a thread about his model...wow...makes my previous smart ass posts look like a saint
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Brock Landers
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 06-30-08
                                                                • 45359

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                What does this even mean.

                                                                Price is basically all that matters, I never overpay for any bet. The "opportunity arises" when the price is right, which could be Red Sox -1.5 at less than -120.
                                                                You preach that bullshit to the choir

                                                                Meanwhile, I'm going to take down a nice score here while you have your dick and model in your hand
                                                                Comment
                                                                • juicername
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 10-14-15
                                                                  • 6906

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Brock Landers
                                                                  Nonsense
                                                                  So you would play Red Sox at -1000 today if that was the line you got from the bookies?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Brock Landers
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 06-30-08
                                                                    • 45359

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by juicername
                                                                    So you would play Red Sox at -1000 today if that was the line you got from the bookies?
                                                                    No need to be so extreme

                                                                    This line is more than fair
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • juicername
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 10-14-15
                                                                      • 6906

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Brock Landers
                                                                      No need to be so extreme

                                                                      This line is more than fair
                                                                      I'm just trying to make a point that everything has a price, there must be some point where they become too expensive for you to play, and beyond that the opposite side would automatically become profitable (if we don't take the vig into account). For the record, I agree that the current line is pretty fair so I'm just using this game as an example.
                                                                      Comment
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