| Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs | |||||||
| Fri 6/17 | 951 Pittsburgh Pirates F Liriano - L | +1½ -105+2½ -175-1½ +410-2½ +800+1 +148 | +215 Listed | o7 +110o6½ -117o7½ +145o6 -141o8 +172 | o2½ -105 | u2½ -115 | |
| 2:20PM | 952 Chicago Cubs J Arrieta - R | -1½ -115-2½ +155+1½ -515+2½ -1250-1 -168 | -235 Listed | u7 -130u6½ -103u7½ -165u6 +121u8 -203 | o4 -105 | u4 -115 | |
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I use a local that I've been with for 4 years and just checked it's still at -110Comment -
You guys see the moneyline on Houston?? What in the world has them such heavy favorites? I always look for a good set of -180 or higher teams to parlay here and there but I wouldn't touch that to save my life...Comment -
Thanks so much for yesterday!Comment -
I'm going to bet it jaydream just waiting to get the best line I can and make sure no one else is out... I was asking because I hadn't looked into the game much and thought it was odd that it was dropping so much esp the way liriano has been pitching... Bol to all you guysComment -
I was using sportsbetting.ag but found heritage and hav never been happier. No big fees, user friendly interface, customer service is aces so far also. But damn, if the lines are that different across a few books, i think ill open 1 or 2 more accounts just to shop around.
Before i joined Heritage, i was asking around and it came highly recommended and with only 1 guy out of dozens who bad mouthed it. But LT uses it as his go to, i figured there lines were 1 of the best since he needs lines low enough it seems to fit his model in order to wager. I dont know how his model works really, but thats what i guess is in the formula somehow.
BOL to all!Comment -
Mag you think O7 would be a good idea? I'm in Vegas & I feel like sinning like a mf! LolComment -
I'm on it. Was literally just looking at it and gonna ask. Lol. ML Good too? I have not followed the SD pitcher.Comment -
Good chance Cubs cover that over by themselves. Liriano to me is a very inconsistent pitcher.Comment -
Lol i am also leaning on many of those. My friday nights typically go likes this...i see abunch of lines that look REAL good in my head...and then i play them all and get slaughtered. I might just sit out of tonights slate. Fridays always seem like they have some bad juju for meComment -
Serious issue today 44, TOR/BAL i am showing a 5 run differential in favor of the Jays today. My gut is saying no way, I went over it 3xs and checked some of my go to sites and they are all 4.3 - 5.4 favoring the Jays. I dont see 7-2ish game, my gut says more like 6-4/6-5 or higher but 1-2 runs is the difference.
Some trends i came across below.....These are just a couple from the zillion out there.
But, my thought process is this.
AL east division - even the TB Rays and NYY are only 6.5 games back! Only 2 games seperate BAL/BOS/TOR for 1st.
AL west division - Seattle is 6.5 back and in 2nd place. Only the AL central is tighter race with 2.5 games seperating CLE/KC/DET/CWS from 1st place and the twinkies 15.5 back.
Every other division there is a minimum of 5+ games seperating 1st and 2nd place. Yea, its early but i think BAL & TOR see the value in these early in the season games and banking some wins and not have to scramble as much in late AUG and SEPT.
Now BOS, I think they came out of the gates like wild horses on adderral and basically just were riding that HR and RBI's beast mode they were in. Every night for a while it was 6-8+ runs they put up. They would cover the O/U themselves. Then right around when Bogaerts hitting streak was broke, the Bat avg started to drop with players. Ramirez .284 in april, .305 in May and .170 for June (keeps saying he is about to be on fire but no consistency). Bogaerts .290, .395, .357 for the same months. Still very amazing but it dropped significantly after the streak ended like its on his mind still. BIG Papi, is supposedly retiring (i think he plays 1-2 more years tho) and was the RBI generator, never a game or 2 played without getting 1 or more. He was averaging around 1.5 per game with his totals at one time and then as soon as Encarnacion got within 5 and now is 4 ahead and is 11 RBI's ahead this month already. I see him swinging at stuff he would let go by before, his mechanics changed some and that confident and patient deameanor, letting garbge go by and fouling off the mediocre stuff. Driving up the pitch count and just waiting for the pitcher to mess up and hang one over the plate and booom HR, GRD, single sending a man to third, SAC fly so deep that 2 score. I think that RBI title that he owned is marinating in his mind and he dont like that he is in 2nd place 4 back now.
Anyway Something has changed there, except for a few times of late they put up runs like they were. Instead of banking on their TT almost every game, now when its at 5 i am un easy. What i am getting at is TOR and BAL are in fight mode and if BOS isnt careful they will be 5-6 back in third and chasing.
Jesus i have ADHD, what a bunch of crap, and my question is now do you see a 5 run difference or even a 3 run difference in tonight's game?
BAL can put up runs just like TOR and both teams bats are hot. But BAL proved they can crack sanchez, and Wright has yet to beat the Jays being 0-3 and a 7.13ERA. Is it a 6-5 game, 7-2 game like i came up with and others are, a HR derby in Camden yards and 15 runs score? Or Sanchez and Wright are on point, Knowing how important this game is and we see 2-1 ending.
Whats the play in this game?
*Sorry about the novel wright up, I have terrible ADHD and i was drinking XFIP last night, listening to NOLA, and on over 48hrs no sleep (Not from drugs, My Mother is Stage 4 liver HCC and was given 6 months to live. She is at 15 months now but its all borrowed time. So when certain symptoms pop up i need to watch over her while she sleeps in case she needs to be hospitalized)
So whats your thoughts brother?
- Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
- Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
- Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
- Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
- Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
- Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
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To Broke Homey:
Couldn't copy that entire write up. LOL. Don't drink too much xFIP Kool-Aid brother.
Anyway in summation, I would go with Baltimore TT over 4 -115.
Baltimore game over 8.5.
Think that is your best chance, both teams are bombs away right now, and both pitchers can accommodate that. BOL.
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Cubs letting me down. Can't believe how many men left on base. WTF !!!
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theres your insurance
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LT is so bad this year lolComment -
I threw a unit on TOR ml, and i will follow suit with your suggestion BAL TT 4 for 2/3 units. Seems safe and smart, Screw the RL's today, Its not crystal clear and the TT seem like the smart money in a lot of tonights games.To Broke Homey:
Couldn't copy that entire write up. LOL. Don't drink too much xFIP Kool-Aid brother.
Anyway in summation, I would go with Baltimore TT over 4 -115.
Baltimore game over 8.5.
Think that is your best chance, both teams are bombs away right now, and both pitchers can accommodate that. BOL.
LOL NOLA + XFIP, now i got someone pushing WAR and exit velocity with # of rotations in my ear.
BOL!Comment -
You know what, he has a condescending attitude, like no matter what he is still correct. Even when you call him on something, he says your wrong!!!! He told me last weekend NOLA was rated #4, #4, twice, like I am slow or something, in MLB according to his xFIP stats, what ever the f...... that means. HIs last two games he couldn't get in or out of the fourth. LOL. Got shelled both times. Nice for a guy rated #4. We better check with Kershaw, Cueto, etc. etc.
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his cutter isnt doing the job like it was earlier
