LT Profits vs. mikefan1034

[mikefan1034]

He is probably just on vacation.

U got that right on vacation

[funnyb25]

Mikefan has the min # of plays locked up....he is sitting tight hoping -32.28 units wins this one...

[44 Mag]

Mikefan has the min # of plays locked up....he is sitting tight hoping -32.28 units wins this one...

Is that where he is at ???? Wasn't he plus units just last week???? I don't follow this that closely..

[funnyb25]

1	LT Profits	47-52-0	47.47 %	W 1	8.5	-16.30	4 pending
2	mikefan1034	45-40-0	52.94 %	W 1	-27.0	-32.28	-

[44 Mag]

Wow. What a swing that is, from the last time I saw it. Quite the change of fortune. Well maybe when he comes back from vacation he will have some selections.

[mohye1980]

Mike what's going on buddy? Weren't you like a little league all star and that should make you a little league capper. Too bad it doesn't carry over to mlb. Hahahaha this is awesome. Make some plays Mike so we can see a burial.

[BaseballChaser]

*Note to self if I'm ever in contests* Just do 1 unit plays on practically pk em lines and let the opponent bury himself

[mikefan1034]

I'm in Vegas guys I'll be on

[mohye1980]

I'm in Vegas guys I'll be on

You can't afford Vegas. Post pic or I call bullshit

[funnyb25]

What's hilarious is the guy in LT's thread praising his 3-1-1 day when he is down 8+ units... unreal...

[funnyb25]

Contest Standings....

1	LT Profits	50-54-0	48.08 %	W 1	10.5	-13.96	-
2	mikefan1034	45-40-0	52.94 %	W 1	-27.0	-32.28	-

[juicername]

What's hilarious is the guy in LT's thread praising his 3-1-1 day when he is down 8+ units... unreal...

Not praising it, but you realize that -8 units over nearly 600 plays is basically even right? If only four of the losers were winners he would be in the green. Not that breakeven over 600 plays would be something to celebrate, but it does not deserve the ridicule he's getting either so I just like to call out all the trolls.

[funnyb25]

Bow down to the model...

[funnyb25]

Not praising it, but you realize that -8 units over nearly 600 plays is basically even right? If only four of the losers were winners he would be in the green. Not that breakeven over 600 plays would be something to celebrate, but it does not deserve the ridicule he's getting either so I just like to call out all the trolls.

You realize if he would take some advice and not be so stubborn he would be up 30+ units... he loses with the same pitchers every 5 starts...

[funnyb25]

Rays under tomorrow...lock it up...Archer!!!

[juicername]

Bow down to the model...

You are one weird and pathetic cat, that's for sure. Follow or fade, up to you, but your sarcasm is just making you look like a tool.
In before funnyb25 quotes this post saying something like "Good luck with your plays tomorrow".

[funnyb25]

You are one weird and pathetic cat, that's for sure. Follow or fade, up to you, but your sarcasm is just making you look like a tool.
In before funnyb25 quotes this post saying something like "Good luck with your plays tomorrow".

I wish you the best on all of your wagers...

[juicername]

lol, called it.

[funnyb25]

lol, called it.

you seem like a good guy bud... let's make some money...

[juicername]

you seem like a good guy bud... let's make some money...

Good luck to you too man, I just added some insults in the last post to see if I could predict the reply, which I almost did , so sorry about that. Although I do find it weird that you're on LT's back so much.

[mohye1980]

Lost profits whipping village idiots ass. Lol

[funnyb25]

Good luck to you too man, I just added some insults in the last post to see if I could predict the reply, which I almost did , so sorry about that. Although I do find it weird that you're on LT's back so much.

It's all good homie... the only reaosn i am is because i know he can do better...and you will never once hear me criticize his plays, other than the ones he continues to take when they get shelled constantly with the same pitchers...

and your insults are more than welcomed... believe me...i am a good guy, i really am..just frustrating to see people so stubborn to not be able to see the light on certain aspects... but who am i to judge?

[funnyb25]

Lost profits whipping village idiots ass. Lol

<iframe width="854" height="480" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/NjKmCxyKmas" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

[juicername]

It's all good homie... the only reaosn i am is because i know he can do better...and you will never once hear me criticize his plays, other than the ones he continues to take when they get shelled constantly with the same pitchers...

and your insults are more than welcomed... believe me...i am a good guy, i really am..just frustrating to see people so stubborn to not be able to see the light on certain aspects... but who am i to judge?

Fair enough, we all expect so much more from LT after last season's surge.

To put it in perspective though, his +90 units or whatever it was last season and -8 so far this year, combine that for +80 units over 1 1/2 season which still would put him on pace for more than +100 units over two full seasons. Hardly terrible is it?

Honestly, we all might have unreal expectations after last year, which I think he'll find tough to repeat again. The adjustments you have suggested would no doubt have increased his profit this year, but that's a bit results oriented thinking. The whole point of the model is to trust its output. If he doesn't, what's the point of having a model at all?

[funnyb25]

Fair enough, we all expect so much more from LT after last season's surge.

To put it in perspective though, his +90 units or whatever it was last season and -8 so far this year, combine that for +80 units over 1 1/2 season which still would put him on pace for more than +100 units over two full seasons. Hardly terrible is it?

Honestly, we all might have unreal expectations after last year, which I think he'll find tough to repeat again. The adjustments you have suggested would no doubt have increased his profit this year, but that's a bit results oriented thinking. The whole point of the model is to trust its output. If he doesn't, what's the point of having a model at all?

you make incredibly fair points here...the only problem is...i have been saying it about these pitchers since 3 weeks ago...and since then all those same pitchers have continued to lose...that's all...there comes a point in time where you actually watch a game and ditch the model on certain situations...

[juicername]

you make incredibly fair points here...the only problem is...i have been saying it about these pitchers since 3 weeks ago...and since then all those same pitchers have continued to lose...that's all...there comes a point in time where you actually watch a game and ditch the model on certain situations...

I know which pitchers you talk about and I personally pretty much agree with you and have gone against them plenty (I will be on Archer to give up plenty of runs tomorrow no matter what LT says , but I can also see from his perspective why it would be hard to stay away or go against picks the model deem to be profitable. Anyway, good chat man, good luck tomorrow, no matter whether you follow or fade LT .

[funnyb25]

I know which pitchers you talk about and I personally pretty much agree with you and have gone against them plenty (I will be on Archer to give up plenty of runs tomorrow no matter what LT says , but I can also see from his perspective why it would be hard to stay away or go against picks the model deem to be profitable. Anyway, good chat man, good luck tomorrow, no matter whether you follow or fade LT .

Watch Archer throw a perfect game tomorrow and shut me up...

[funnyb25]

Funny thing about Archer tomorrow... he is 1-6 at home with a 3.00 ERA...under might actually be a good play since they dont score for him at home...LOL

[funnyb25]

This is awesome... LT with the win in the Cards/Brewers Under

Top 7

Milwaukee St. Louis

4 8

Under 8.5 (-115) Win 3.45 3.00

Cant make this shit up....

[mohye1980]

This is awesome... LT with the win in the Cards/Brewers Under

Top 7

Milwaukee St. Louis

4 8

Under 8.5 (-115) Win 3.45 3.00

Cant make this shit up....

Maybe be the bet was cardinals tt u 8.5 at -3450

[funnyb25]

Maybe be the bet was cardinals tt u 8.5 at -3450

That aint even gunna win...

[mohye1980]

Nope just lost that too lol.

[mohye1980]

Lost profits what's the play/fade on the Marlins game? Under? Over?

[funnyb25]

1	LT Profits	52-58-0	47.27 %	L 1	-10.5	-21.40	-
2	mikefan1034	45-42-0	51.72 %	L 2	-31.5	-43.88	1 pending

This isn't accurate though...LT should be 51-59-0 -27.85

[mohye1980]

Lost profits is a cheat. Sbr allowing cheating.