Broke's MLB picks....

Broke Homey · 05-15-16, 07:48 AM

Spread

100

162

Baseball - 920 Tampa Bay Rays -1½ +162

Spread

300

321

Baseball - 922 Baltimore Orioles -1½ +107

Money Line

306

309

Baseball - 924 Boston Red Sox +101

Spread

200

214

Baseball - 930 Kansas City Royals -1½ +107

Money Line

300

303

Baseball - 924 Boston Red Sox +101

*Waiting for cubs line.

44 Mag · 05-15-16, 08:35 AM

BOL today BH.

Broke Homey · 05-15-16, 09:08 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

BOL today BH.

Ty 44 and you as well! I really messed up on a BOS wager as you can see, started using Heritage (love it so far) and the line moved while i wagered a 2nd time getting ML +101 to +103. It was blinking red, so i thought it canceled and went back to re wager at +103. It moved back to +101 (i am watching the line to see if the RL gets +) so i wagered it again thinking first 1 canceled, Obviously not fml. I never go over 5units on a single bet, serves me right being greedy to get both sides lol.
BH

44 Mag · 05-15-16, 09:21 AM

Originally posted by Broke Homey

Ty 44 and you as well! I really messed up on a BOS wager as you can see, started using Heritage (love it so far) and the line moved while i wagered a 2nd time getting ML +101 to +103. It was blinking red, so i thought it canceled and went back to re wager at +103. It moved back to +101 (i am watching the line to see if the RL gets +) so i wagered it again thinking first 1 canceled, Obviously not fml. I never go over 5units on a single bet, serves me right being greedy to get both sides lol.
BH

Be careful. This guy O'Sullivan is good to give up 5 or 6 runs easy. The young kid for Houston can be shutdown. Tough pick. Boston has the mo.....Home, Ortiz etc. BOL .

Broke Homey · 05-15-16, 09:57 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Be careful. This guy O'Sullivan is good to give up 5 or 6 runs easy. The young kid for Houston can be shutdown. Tough pick. Boston has the mo.....Home, Ortiz etc. BOL .

I am showing 4.4 - 7.8 Boston. That being said it means nothing, Cubs showed close to same yesterday and it went 8-2, Showed 6.6 -1.8 Boston yesterday, but the grand slam in the 2nd blew that out. Cant add the shit happens variable in ever, wish i knew how. I just look for big R/L edges with +$$. Was thinking of hedging some how but o/u @ 10.5 and juiice both sides its not for me.
BH

Broke Homey · 05-15-16, 09:59 AM

Spread

500

735

Baseball - 908 Chicago Cubs -1½ +147

44 Mag · 05-15-16, 10:04 AM

Originally posted by Broke Homey

I am showing 4.4 - 7.8 Boston. That being said it means nothing, Cubs showed close to same yesterday and it went 8-2, Showed 6.6 -1.8 Boston yesterday, but the grand slam in the 2nd blew that out. Cant add the shit happens variable in ever, wish i knew how. I just look for big R/L edges with +$$. Was thinking of hedging some how but o/u @ 10.5 and juiice both sides its not for me.
BH

Valid point, but shit happens does not apply to shit pitchers, LOL. Bucholtz sucks, this guy today is just plugged in until they 2 starters back. He is a run machine. BOL though.

Broke Homey · 05-15-16, 10:39 AM

Broke's MLB picks....
5/15

YTD 23 - 40 - 2

-$729 -7.29 units

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Final Card as of now.......Enjoy the mix!

Cubs -1.5 @ +147 500/735

Rays +162 100/162

Bal -1.5 @ +107 300/321

* I messed up on this following wager ( i suggest 3 units 1 time bet)
Bos +101 306/309
Bos +101 300/303
Bos -100 225/225

KC -1.5 @ +117 200/214

Wsh +104 225/234

Phi -1-5 @ +183 100/183

SDP +118 100/118

CWS +163 100/163 *I may lay another unit on this before 1pm.

CLE -1.5 @ +142 225/320

Tex +159 100/159

* watching Sea/STL lines. I also jumped at cubs rl when it opened at +147, i thought it would go down but its at +157 now as i post, and i will not put any more on it today.

BOL!
BH

Broke Homey · 05-15-16, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Valid point, but shit happens does not apply to shit pitchers, LOL. Bucholtz sucks, this guy today is just plugged in until they 2 starters back. He is a run machine. BOL though.

Machines break and wood structures stay around for 100's of years.

I'll get flamed for saying it but, The guy who introduced me to MLB wagering (he was a book from Hoboken/Jersey City NJ) tought me about fading juiced ML (the public) and hitting RL for -1.5 since 70% of games end 2+ runs. He ground in my head how wood wins games and pitchers save them. The public bets juice with pitchers and the public is stupid. When you bet R/L wood and lose, you lose your bet say 1 unit. You bet juice and lose now its your bet and juice, always chasing, but you cant figure the "shit happens variable in", thats why i always use that saying. This is the platform which works for me and has been.

The NYY used this theory for a nice 80+ yr run, but I was also sure in the 2004 AL Championship Series game 4 in the bottom of the 9th with 2 outs. I asked my girl at the time to marry me i was so happy! We were, and all other NYY fans were dancing in the stadium. You could feel the floor moving under your feet, I should of hedged that penetrating bet also.

I had the right combo last night with 1 on and Ortiz up (which is what i wanted) and he did his job, but 6-6 he needed only a base hit to pull the win. If i could get -1 instead of -1.5 i would be a very wealthy person. But those 30% 1 run win games happen, a couple nights ago a 16 game card day went 8 games by 1 pt. Those are books dream days.

My point is 44, for example look at JJgold's spread sheet he is @ 50.5%/51% win rate over time and down 18 dimes. I am lop sided as penetrate last week under 40% win rate and down -7.29 units, fading juice is a bad week from being disastrous.

Anyway, hope i do not get spanked on that messed up wager and GL to you today!
BH

Broke Homey · 05-15-16, 12:39 PM

Tanaka looks shook already, pissed i didnt lay 1 more unit.

Broke Homey · 05-15-16, 01:04 PM

They need to pull O'sullivan now!

Broke Homey · 05-15-16, 01:05 PM

Originally posted by Broke Homey

They need to pull O'sullivan now!

Called that 1 saw it coming

44 Mag · 05-15-16, 01:06 PM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Be careful. This guy O'Sullivan is good to give up 5 or 6 runs easy. The young kid for Houston can be shutdown. Tough pick. Boston has the mo.....Home, Ortiz etc. BOL .

Unreal !!!!!

Broke Homey · 05-15-16, 01:36 PM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Unreal !!!!!

I think some divine intervention came my way there. That kid for Houston isnt scared, throwing fire right down town, I like him. Whats his name Davenski?

Broke Homey · 05-15-16, 01:39 PM

Originally posted by Broke Homey

I think some divine intervention came my way there. That kid for Houston isnt scared, throwing fire right down town, I like him. Whats his name Davenski?

9 runs in the 3rd. Maybe i should of taken the over to hedge?

44 Mag · 05-15-16, 01:43 PM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Unreal !!!!!

O'Sullivan gives up another homer.

Broke Homey · 05-15-16, 02:16 PM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

O'Sullivan gives up another homer.

nice hit on Bos tt, but i am rooting ya lose on Hou TT +5. Ill mail ya the unit if this holds

Broke Homey · 05-15-16, 04:28 PM

Cubs -1.5 @ +147 500/735 -500

Rays +162 100/162 -100

Bal -1.5 @ +107 300/321 -300

* I messed up on this following wager ( i suggest 3 units 1 time bet)
Bos +101 306/309 +309
Bos +101 300/303 +303
Bos -100 225/225 +225

KC -1.5 @ +117 200/214 +214

Wsh +104 225/234 -225

Phi -1-5 @ +183 100/183 -100

SDP +118 100/118 -100

CWS +163 100/163 *I may lay another unit on this before 1pm. -100

CLE -1.5 @ +142 225/320 -225

Tex +159 100/159 +159

* watching Sea/STL lines. I also jumped at cubs rl when it opened at +147, i thought it would go down but its at +157 now as i post, and i will not put any more on it today.

-$440 / -4.4 units for the day

crackerjack · 05-15-16, 04:59 PM

Wow...you're really, really bad.

Broke Homey · 05-15-16, 06:06 PM

5/15

YTD 25 - 47 - 2

-$1169 /-11.69 units

Love how the haters only come out when you have a couple bad days. I was going to make a play at the 8pm game, but i am just going to lick my wounds and go back at it tomorrow. I am however going to cut back on some of my 3 unit/5 unit wagers being down over a dime until i turn it around. Good night!
BH

Broke Homey · 05-16-16, 05:34 AM

5/16

YTD 25 - 47 - 2

-$1169 /-11.69 units

Good morning! I took these overnight lines. As of now they have not moved, but i may add .5 unit to some and thinking about 1 more game. Enjoy the tunes....

<b style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">

5/15/2016 4:22PM

Spread

150

198

Baseball - 952 Pittsburgh Pirates -1½ +132 for Game

5/15/2016 4:22PM

Spread

200

304

Baseball - 955 Boston Red Sox -1½ +152 for Game

5/15/2016 4:22PM

Spread

200

284

Baseball - 964 Cleveland Indians -1½ +142 for Game

5/15/2016 4:22PM

Spread

150

191

Baseball - 968 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +127 for Game

Bol!
BH

Broke Homey · 05-16-16, 07:26 AM

*Added 1 unit to Boston, and did a small 1 parlay on the 2 biggest RL differentials of the day. Still looking at 1 more game, but unless the line moves to my favor a few pts i will fade it.

5/16/2016 5:07AM

Spread

100

142

Baseball - 955 Boston Red Sox -1½ +142 for Game

5/16/2016 5:13AM

Parlay

100

427

Baseball - 955 Boston Red Sox -1½ +145 for Game
Baseball - 968 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +115 for Game

BH

Broke Homey · 05-16-16, 04:05 PM

Final card for 5/16

BOS -1.5 @ +142 100/142 ppd
BOS -1.5 @ +152 200/304 ppd

PIT -1.5 @ +132 150/198

CLE -1.5 @ +142 200/284

LAD -1.5 @ +127 150/191

* 1 unit parlay * 100/427 ppd
BOS -1.5 +145
LAD -1.5 +115

BOL!
BH

chargers4222 · 05-16-16, 04:27 PM

good luck BH! think you get blazing hot starting tonight

Broke Homey · 05-16-16, 05:30 PM

Originally posted by chargers4222

good luck BH! think you get blazing hot starting tonight

TY! I hope so, been eating a lot of crow this past few days. Bol to you're night also!
BH

Broke Homey · 05-16-16, 05:47 PM

Originally posted by Broke Homey

Final card for 5/16

BOS -1.5 @ +142 100/142 ppd
BOS -1.5 @ +152 200/304 ppd

PIT -1.5 @ +132 150/198

CLE -1.5 @ +142 200/284

LAD -1.5 @ +127 150/191

* 1 unit parlay * 100/427 ppd
BOS -1.5 +145
LAD -1.5 +115

BOL!
BH

ADD ons since BOS cancelled 3 bets.

5/16/2016 3:02PM

Spread

100

162

Baseball - 958 Toronto Blue Jays -1½ +162 for Game

5/16/2016 3:02PM

Spread

100

147

Baseball - 960 Detroit Tigers -1½ +147 for Game

* I am doing the next 3 wagers to hedge something.

5/16/2016 3:12PM

Total

106

103

Baseball - 961 Texas Rangers/Oakland Athletics over 8½ -103 for Game

5/16/2016 3:12PM

Team Total

100

110

Baseball - 951 Atlanta Braves team total over 3½ +110 for Game

Team Total

100

Baseball - 952 Pittsburgh Pirates team total over 4½ +100 for Game

BH

Broke Homey · 05-16-16, 06:06 PM

*for fun

5/16/2016 3:42PM

Parlay

100

1238

Baseball - 958 Toronto Blue Jays -1½ +160 for Game
Baseball - 960 Detroit Tigers -1½ +145 for Game
Baseball - 968 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +110 for Game

Broke Homey · 05-16-16, 08:38 PM

5/16/2016 3:14PM

Spread

100

178

Baseball - 966 Arizona Diamondbacks -1½ +178 for Game

5/16/2016 3:02PM

Spread

100

167

Baseball - 962 Oakland Athletics -1½ +167 for Game

5/16/2016 5:24PM

Parlay

100

363

Baseball - 961 Texas Rangers +126 for Game
Baseball - 968 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +105 for Game

Broke Homey · 05-16-16, 08:47 PM

5/16/2016 5:23PM

Parlay

100

1284

Baseball - 962 Oakland Athletics -1½ +150 for Game
Baseball - 966 Arizona Diamondbacks -1½ +170 for Game
Baseball - 968 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +105 for Game

Broke Homey · 05-16-16, 08:59 PM

5/16/2016 6:58PM

Spread

100

107

Baseball - 968 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ +107 for Game

Broke Homey · 05-16-16, 09:31 PM

CLE -1.5 @ +142 200/284 +284

PIT -1.5 @ +132 150/198 +198

BOS -1.5 @ +142 100/142 PPD
BOS -1.5 @ +152 200/304 PPD

LAD -1.5 +127 150/191 -150
LAD -1.5 +107 100/107 -100

DET -1.5 +147 100/147 +147

TOR -1.5 +162 100/162 -100

ARI -1.5 +178 100/178 +178

OAK -1.5 +167 100/167 +168

PIT O/U +4.5 +100 100/100 +100

ATL TT O/U +3.5 +110 100/110 +110

TEX/OAK O/U +8.5 -103 106/103 -103

*parlays

OAK -1.5 @ +150
ARI -1.5 @ +170
LAD -1.5 @ +105 100/1284 -100

TOR -1.5 @ +160
DET -1.5 @ +145
LAD -1.5 @ +110 100/1238 -100

TEX +126
LAD -1.5 @ +105 100/363 -100

BOS -1.5 @ +145 100/427 PPD
LAD =1.5 @ +115

5/16 Totals 7-7 +$432 / +4.32 units

YTD....... 32-54.... -$737 / -7.37 units

Broke Homey · 05-17-16, 01:59 AM

5/17

YTD.. 32-54

-$737/-7.37 units

On the right track, could of been better and could of been a amazing day. If i dont bet the small parlays i +$300/+3 units more up. If they hit we are in the green by 15+ units, penetrating Dodgers up by 2 in the 2nd then trail by 1 until the 7th giving 3 more. They put 3 more up in the 7th (1) and 8th (2) but at least 2 times left men in scoring position with 2 outs. Oh, well it was an exciting game for me.

When CIN put up 4 by the 3rd, i thought CLE was not showing up again. So i started to hedge with the O/U bets. The A's O/U +8.5 was a surprise to not go anywhere near it, but maybe that turned out a good thing.
5-2 in game picks, 2-3 in O/U and 0-3 with the parlays. We live another day, climbing out of the whole and 15 games tomorrow.
Good Night!
BH

Broke Homey · 05-17-16, 04:49 PM

5/17/2016 2:21PM

Spread

100

119

Baseball - 901 Miami Marlins -1 +119 buying ½ for Game

5/17/2016 2:28PM

Spread

150

183

Baseball - 904 Pittsburgh Pirates -1½ +122 for Game

5/17/2016 2:28PM

Spread

384

300

Baseball - 926 Cleveland Indians -1½ -128 for Game

5/17/2016 2:29PM

Spread

200

226

Baseball - 914 Baltimore Orioles -1 +113 buying ½ for Game

5/17/2016 2:32PM

Spread

200

254

Baseball - 921 Boston Red Sox -1½ +127 for Game

5/17/2016 2:32PM

Spread

100

174

Baseball - 920 Chicago White Sox -1 +174 selling 2½ for Game

5/17/2016 2:32PM

Spread

100

152

Baseball - 918 Detroit Tigers -1½ +152 for Gam

5/17/2016 0:19AM

Spread

350

324

Baseball - 907 Chicago Cubs -1½ -108 for Game

5/17/2016 2:32PM

Money Line

100

137

Baseball - 915 Tampa Bay Rays +137 for Game

5/17/2016 2:29PM

Spread

200

238

Baseball - 901 Miami Marlins -1 +119 buying ½ for Game

5/17/2016 2:32PM

Spread

100

117

Baseball - 905 Washington Nationals -1 +117 selling 2½ for Game

Broke Homey · 05-17-16, 05:05 PM

5/17 YTD 32-54

-$737 / -7.37 u

MIA -1 @ +119 200/238 -200
MIA -1 @ +119 100/119 -100
PIT -1.5 @ +122 150/183 +183
CLE -1.5 @ -128 384/300 +300
BAL -1.5 @ +113 200/226 -200
BOS -1.5 @ +127 200/254 -200
CHW -1 @ +174 100/174 -100
DET -1.5 @ +152 100/152 +152
CUB -1.5 @ -108 350/324 -350
TBR +137 100/137 .........+137
WSH -1 @ +117 100/117 -100
ARI -1.5 @ +162 200/324 -200
LAA +1 @ +202 300/606 -300
OAK TT +3.5 +100 100/100 +100
LAA +1 @+202 100/202 -100

*parlay
SDP +170
OAK -1 @+164 100/613 -100

BOL!
BH