MLB - Saturday, 5/14/16

dirtycash66 · 05-14-16, 08:06 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

6 MLB Plays Saturday

White Sox / Yankees OVER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Astros +122 (Heritage)
Twins / Indians UNDER 7.5 -115 (Heritage)
Braves / Royals UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
Mets / Rockies OVER 10.5 -115 (Bookmaker)
Dodgers +104 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 103-104-5, +6.87

Welcome back sir

mikmik · 05-14-16, 08:14 AM

Thanks for the plays.

Antibet · 05-14-16, 08:20 AM

bking79 · 05-14-16, 08:23 AM

any 60% today LT

jjgold · 05-14-16, 08:33 AM

Welcome back LT

smitch124 · 05-14-16, 09:00 AM

What did one guy say? It would take a MIRACLE for you to get back to even by the end of the season. Its May freaking 14th

Snake24 · 05-14-16, 09:01 AM

hell yea boy!

actiondan · 05-14-16, 09:07 AM

LT burying the faders and scoffers

mikmik · 05-14-16, 09:15 AM

Paging Greypimps lol. Talking shit after the pirates loss lol. I hope he faded the rest of the plays yesterday lol. Dummy

upscope · 05-14-16, 09:49 AM

Haters check in please

RollinDo · 05-14-16, 09:58 AM

Like the Over in Colorado and also the Under in NYY game!
Let's get this Under LT!

Edit: Oh - thought you were on UNDER in NYY. This is my top Under for the day.

LT Profits · 05-14-16, 10:02 AM

60%ers:

Washington 72% (-257) (Game #1)
Washington 64% (-178) (Game #2)
Cubs 70% (-233)
Cleveland 66% (-194)
Kansas City 63% (-170)

Smoke · 05-14-16, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by Antibet

[ATTACH]90090[/ATTACH]

The fukk is that?

Yazworm91 · 05-14-16, 10:36 AM

LT your model has no love for Quitana? Guy is a beast

StackinGreen · 05-14-16, 10:54 AM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Like the Over in Colorado and also the Under in NYY game!
Let's get this Under LT!

Edit: Oh - thought you were on UNDER in NYY. This is my top Under for the day.

I agree with this. Nova has been historically solid ... it should be a close one, Sox and under, final score 4-2

LT Profits · 05-14-16, 10:58 AM

Originally posted by Yazworm91

LT your model has no love for Quitana? Guy is a beast

It likes Quintana a lot actually, just missed being a 60%er at 59% (-144). But Nova could blow up that total.

POOLSIDE · 05-14-16, 11:26 AM

Pirates not a play at +253?

PorkChop · 05-14-16, 11:33 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

It likes Quintana a lot actually, just missed being a 60%er at 59% (-144). But Nova could blow up that total.

Every start for Nova this season has game-totaled 7 runs or more.

May 9	vs KC	W 6-3	4.2	6	1	1	1	1	3	10	6	81	20	50	-	-	4.34
May 1	@ BOS	L 8-7	1.2	2	1	1	0	0	0	3	4	20	7	-	L(1-1)	-	5.14
Monthly Totals			6.1	8	2	2	1	1	3	13	10	101	27	--	0-1	0 sv	2.84
DATE	OPPONENT	RESULT	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GB	FB	Pit	BF	GSc	Dec.	Rel.	ERA
Apr 26	@ TEX	L 10-1	4.0	5	3	3	1	0	0	13	3	46	17	-	-	-	5.11
Apr 22	vs TB	W 6-3	2.1	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	1	31	8	-	W(1-0)	-	4.32
Apr 20	vs OAK	L 5-2	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6	3	-	-	-	6.00
Apr 13	@ TOR	L 7-2	1.0	5	4	4	0	0	0	3	5	25	9	-	-	-	7.20
Apr 6	vs HOU	W 16-6

agendaman · 05-14-16, 11:36 AM

great comeback LT

LT Profits · 05-14-16, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by POOLSIDE

Pirates not a play at +253?

Meh, would want at least +260 just to be interested

LT Profits · 05-14-16, 11:47 AM

4 MLB Additions

10 MLB Plays Saturday

White Sox / Yankees OVER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Astros +122 (Heritage)
Astros / Red Sox OVER 10 -110 (Heritage)
Twins / Indians UNDER 7.5 -115 (Heritage)
Braves / Royals UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
Mets / Rockies OVER 10.5 -115 (Bookmaker)
Giants +122 (Heritage)
Dodgers +104 (5 Dimes)
Cardinals / Dodgers UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
Angels / Mariners UNDER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)

POOLSIDE · 05-14-16, 11:47 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Meh, would want at least +260 just to be interested

You're about to get it. Why the disinterest? Sitting at +257 now, we're almost a quarter over the model.

RavensFan2k3 · 05-14-16, 12:02 PM

Originally posted by POOLSIDE

You're about to get it. Why the disinterest? Sitting at +257 now, we're almost a quarter over the model.

it fits the model? Dang i just cant ser myself going against Arrieta although he did get hit his last time out

LT Profits · 05-14-16, 12:04 PM

Originally posted by POOLSIDE

You're about to get it. Why the disinterest? Sitting at +257 now, we're almost a quarter over the model.

The higher the price, the greater the variance required. 10% above -233 is -256, but i'd want a few cents more to fade Arrieta. This is not like the times that I did fade Arrieta where the variance was more substantial %-wise.

POOLSIDE · 05-14-16, 12:10 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

The higher the price, the greater the variance required. 10% above -233 is -256, but i'd want a few cents more to fade Arrieta. This is not like the times that I did fade Arrieta where the variance was more substantial %-wise.

Gotcha

RavensFan2k3 · 05-14-16, 12:56 PM

LT why LAD tonight?

mikmik · 05-14-16, 01:28 PM

Nova pitching a gem.

LT Profits · 05-14-16, 01:36 PM

Originally posted by mikmik

Nova pitching a gem.

At least the Houston game is making up for it.

LT Profits · 05-14-16, 01:39 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

LT why LAD tonight?

Model believes in Kazmir, it has LAD 55% (-122)

mikmik · 05-14-16, 01:39 PM

Yup

44 Mag · 05-14-16, 01:43 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

At least the Houston game is making up for it.

It's not over yet........

LT Profits · 05-14-16, 01:47 PM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

It's not over yet........

Well impossible to lose both bets in that game now at least.

44 Mag · 05-14-16, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Well impossible to lose both bets in that game now at least.

I didn't see you added the second bet.

LT Profits · 05-14-16, 02:18 PM

1 MLB 5-Inning Addition

11 MLB Plays Saturday

White Sox / Yankees OVER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Astros +122 (Heritage)
Astros / Red Sox OVER 10 -110 (Heritage)
Twins / Indians UNDER 7.5 -115 (Heritage)
Braves / Royals UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
Mets / Rockies OVER 10.5 -115 (Bookmaker)
Mets / Rockies OVER 6.5 -105 (5 innings) (Heritage)
Giants +122 (Heritage)
Dodgers +104 (5 Dimes)
Cardinals / Dodgers UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
Angels / Mariners UNDER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)