MLB Systems 2016

[spankmythighs]

Well a month of MLB is almost here. Time for some system plays.

+.500 Home Chaser

Teams >.500 home series 3 game chase using RL and ML. If its a 3 game stand, start from game 1. If its a 4 game stand, wait to see if they lose first game then proceed to chase on remaining 3 games. Take ML if odds are < -150. If greater than -150 take RL.

+.500 Shutout Chase

Teams >.500 who are shutout chase for 3 games after for a win. Pretty simple. Any losses are incorporated in to future chases.

[spankmythighs]

For the shutout system, use ML if odds are -150 or better otherwise use RL if they are a heavy favorite. If for some reason they are a heavy dog, use +1.5 as long as it is better than -150

[spankmythighs]

Shutout

BAL B bet +115 to win 2 units

Home Chase

WAS B bet -1.5 +100 to win 2 units
LAD B bet -1.5 +115 to win 2 units

[spankmythighs]

April 27th
Shutout
BAL B bet to win 2 units WINNER

Home Chase
WAS B bet -1.5 to win 2 units LOSS

[spankmythighs]

April 28th
Shutout
WAS A bet -1.5 +135 risk 1 unit

Home Chase
WAS C bet -1.5 +135 risk 4 units

[spankmythighs]

LAD still pending

[spankmythighs]

April 28th
Home Chase
BAL A bet ML -130 to win 1 unit
CHI CUBS B bet RL -135 to win 2 units

[spankmythighs]

LAD lost last night so they were a C bet tonight to win 4 units.

[spankmythighs]

April 28th
Home Chase
BAL A bet ML -130 to win 1 unit---WIN
CHI CUBS B bet RL -135 to win 2 units---WIN

[spankmythighs]

April 28th
Shutout
WAS A bet -1.5 +135 risk 1 unit---LOSS

Home Chase
WAS C bet -1.5 +135 risk 4 units---LOSS

[spankmythighs]

April 29th
Shutout
WAS B bet

Home Chase
Chi Cubs A bet RL -1.5 -105 to win 1 unit
Pitt A bet RL -1.5 +140
Phi A bet RL +1.5 -105
Bos A bet ML -105
NYM A bet ML -140
Tex A bet ML +100
STL A bet ML +115
Sea A bet RL -1.5 +140
LAD A bet RL -1.5 +135

[spankmythighs]

Was B bet is RL -1.5 +140

[spankmythighs]

Any series loss is recouped in next over next 7 series.

[spankmythighs]

April 29th
Shutout
Adding STL ML +120 A bet

[spankmythighs]

Add 1 unit to first 7 series today to recoup WAS series loss

[spankmythighs]

April 29th
Shutout
WAS B bet---LOSS

Home Chase
Chi Cubs A bet RL -1.5 -105 to win 1 unit---WIN
Pitt A bet RL -1.5 +140---WIN
Phi A bet RL +1.5 -105---WIN
Bos A bet ML -105---WIN
NYM A bet ML -140---WIN
Tex A bet ML +100---WIN
STL A bet ML +115---LOSS
Sea A bet RL -1.5 +140---LOSS
LAD A bet RL -1.5 +135---LOSS

Pretty good day. Won 6 of our 9 home chases yesterday.

[spankmythighs]

April 30th

Shutout
WAS C bet ML +125 to risk 4 units
KC A bet ML -105 to win 1 unit

Home Chase
STL B bet ML -135 to win 2 units
Sea B bet ML -105 to win 2 units
LAD B bet RL -1.5 +110 risk 2 units

[spankmythighs]

Recap April 30th
Shutout
Was C bet ML +125---WIN
KC A bet ML -105---LOSS

Home Chase
STL B bet ML---LOSS
Sea B bet ML---WIN
LAD B bet RL---LOSS

[spankmythighs]

May 1st
Shutout
KC B bet ML +114

Home Chase
STL C bet ML +103 to win 4 units
LAD C bet RL -135 to win 4 units

[spankmythighs]

May 1st
Shutout
KC B bet ML +114---WIN

Home Chase
STL C bet ML +103 to win 4 units---LOSS
LAD C bet RL -135 to win 4 units---LOSS

Couple of home chase losers. Both will be recouped in next few series.

[spankmythighs]

May 2nd

Shutout
No plays

Home Chase
Pitt ML -105 A bet to win 2 units
NYM odds not listed yet
KC ML -110 A bet to win 2 units

Recoup 1 unit per series

[spankmythighs]

Odds for NYM A bet RL -1.5 +105 to win 2 units

[spankmythighs]

may 2nd

shutout
no plays

home chase
pitt ml -105 a bet to win 2 units---loss
nym odds not listed yet
kc ml -110 a bet to win 2 units---loss

recoup 1 unit per series

nym rl -1.5---win

[spankmythighs]

May 3rd
Shutout
KC A bet

Home Chase
KC B bet to win 4 units
Pitt B bet to win 4 units
Balt A bet to win 2 units
CWS A bet to win 2 units

[bking79]

whats the win lose record

[spankmythighs]

whats the win lose record

I will update today

[spankmythighs]

May 3rd
Shutout
KC A bet---WIN

Home Chase
KC B bet to win 4 units---WIN
Pitt B bet to win 4 units---LOSS
Balt A bet to win 2 units---WIN
CWS A bet to win 2 units---WIN

Good night last night!

May 4th
Shutout
NYM A bet RL -1.5 +110 to win 1 unit
Home Chase
Pitt C bet to win 8 units ML +115

[spankmythighs]

I will be keeping track of official sweep system plays here aswell. So far it is 2-0 on the year.

Official Sweep
Det B bet +1.5 -130 to win 2 units

[spankmythighs]

Just a heads up. The Official Sweep system is 54-0 since the beginning of 2014. That is ridiculous!!

[Matty Mo]

Explain official sweep? It's only game two of Det/Clev today

[spankmythighs]

So the official sweep is when a team was previously swept as Det was a few weeks ago against Cleveland and then meet again. As long as the RPI is within .015 when they meet for their rematch, you take the team that was previously swept to win at least one game in the new series.

[spankmythighs]

So Det lost last night so we take them tonight to recoup last nights loss and win 1 unit.

[spankmythighs]

Take a Det +1.5 as a B bet @-130

[Matty Mo]

Cool.. Kluber's numbers vs Tigers are horrible also. Det ML or +1.5 good bets

[spankmythighs]

Good night last night!

May 4th
Shutout
NYM A bet RL -1.5 +110 to win 1 unit---WIN
Home Chase
Pitt C bet to win 8 units ML +115---LOSS

Yesterday should have looked like this
Shutout
DET A bet +129 to WIN 1 unit---LOSS
BALT A bet +105 TO WIN 1 UNIT---LOSS

Home Chase
No plays