MLB - Thursday, 4/14/16

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Thursday, 4/14/16
    4 MLB Plays Thursday

    Padres +110 (Heritage)
    White Sox / Twins OVER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Yankees / Blue Jays OVER 8 -110 (Heritage)
    Diamondbacks +136 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 21-18, +7.42
  • Jayvegas420
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-09-11
    • 28213

    #2
    If Stroman pitches like he did against the Red Sox last Thursday, the Jays game could go over the total easily. Also I think A-Rod breaks out today, he is a 0 for 8 this series.

    Good luck LT

    Click image for larger version

Name:	fan-mark-mcgrath-left-hanging-by-chris-paul.gif
Views:	1
Size:	1.89 MB
ID:	29133395
    Comment
    • juicername
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-14-15
      • 6906

      #3
      Do you also like the White Sox then since they might need to score all the runs alone for the White Sox/Twins game to go over the total?

      I like all the other plays but I must say I prefer the under in that game.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Originally posted by juicername
        Do you also like the White Sox then since they might need to score all the runs alone for the White Sox/Twins game to go over the total?

        I like all the other plays but I must say I prefer the under in that game.
        Funny you should ask that because.......
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          1 MLB Addition

          5 MLB Plays Thursday

          Padres +110 (Heritage)
          White Sox +103 (Heritage)
          White Sox / Twins OVER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
          Yankees / Blue Jays OVER 8 -110 (Heritage)
          Diamondbacks +136 (5 Dimes)
          Comment
          • chosen4th
            SBR MVP
            • 12-29-12
            • 1106

            #6
            You're forgetting your 60%
            Comment
            • newguy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-27-09
              • 6100

              #7
              LT - how does your model work? Those padres have lost for you two nights in a row - scoring 1 run total in the two games. Not questioning you at all - cause your record speaks for itself - but have you explained the model in the past that I could just go back and look at it? Truly not questioning in any way - just always trying to learn how others cap. From what I can gather your model predicts score and likelihood of winning and you bet where you see value essentially right? But do you update it daily, weekly?
              Comment
              • ColoColo
                SBR Rookie
                • 04-14-16
                • 1

                #8
                what are 60% Bets?
                Comment
                • jgold254
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-23-12
                  • 886

                  #9
                  Hey LT, what are your 100% bets?? Now, tell me now! Come over to my house and enter my plays for me, too!
                  Comment
                  • Smoke
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-09-09
                    • 48111

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ColoColo
                    what are 60% Bets?
                    They have a 60% chance of winning I assume
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by jgold254
                      Hey LT, what are your 100% bets?? Now, tell me now! Come over to my house and enter my plays for me, too!


                      Sorry I totally forgot there is just one 60%er today:

                      Cardinals 62% (-163)

                      Keep in mind no pitcher announced yet for Nationals, so there could be another.
                      Comment
                      • Capybara
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-17-08
                        • 11803

                        #12
                        Definitely on that White Sox over with you. Good luck today as always.

                        My thread went 5-0 last night, I'm gunning for you and Nasher! Although I know it will take more than that to join the SBR Baseball Pantheon.
                        Comment
                        • blackHIPPY
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-01-14
                          • 3973

                          #13
                          yay! some early action for us
                          Comment
                          • WizKid1988
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 12-11-15
                            • 54

                            #14
                            Originally posted by jgold254
                            Hey LT, what are your 100% bets?? Now, tell me now! Come over to my house and enter my plays for me, too!
                            Lmaooo
                            Comment
                            • rc86
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-21-13
                              • 248

                              #15
                              Originally posted by LT Profits


                              Sorry I totally forgot there is just one 60%er today:

                              Cardinals 62% (-163)

                              Keep in mind no pitcher announced yet for Nationals, so there could be another.
                              looks like some heavy RLM on the STL game
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Originally posted by rc86
                                looks like some heavy RLM on the STL game
                                Nothing at all for me there.
                                Comment
                                • MS Profits
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 04-11-16
                                  • 12

                                  #17
                                  Value in picking the Indians at +130?
                                  Comment
                                  • jgold254
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-23-12
                                    • 886

                                    #18
                                    Strasburg starting for Nats.
                                    Comment
                                    • Greencap
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 04-10-16
                                      • 6

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by newguy
                                      LT - how does your model work? Those padres have lost for you two nights in a row - scoring 1 run total in the two games. Not questioning you at all - cause your record speaks for itself - but have you explained the model in the past that I could just go back and look at it? Truly not questioning in any way - just always trying to learn how others cap. From what I can gather your model predicts score and likelihood of winning and you bet where you see value essentially right? But do you update it daily, weekly?
                                      I would also need to understand your model LT as I'm new to baseball.
                                      I've been following since the start of the week, thanks for the advices!
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by LT Profits


                                        Sorry I totally forgot there is just one 60%er today:

                                        Cardinals 62% (-163)

                                        Keep in mind no pitcher announced yet for Nationals, so there could be another.
                                        Also:

                                        Washington 69% (-223) with Strasburg
                                        Comment
                                        • blackHIPPY
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-01-14
                                          • 3973

                                          #21
                                          Braves tonight
                                          Comment
                                          • JassieJames
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-03-09
                                            • 988

                                            #22
                                            The Padres just can't score runs so far this year.
                                            Comment
                                            • Slanina
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-21-09
                                              • 3827

                                              #23
                                              Padres make me want a refund on my MLB package.
                                              Comment
                                              • dirtycash66
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-13-12
                                                • 2958

                                                #24
                                                not looking good so far
                                                Comment
                                                • jgold254
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 02-23-12
                                                  • 886

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by blackHIPPY
                                                  Braves tonight
                                                  LOL!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • WalkingLuckCharm
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-07-10
                                                    • 4192

                                                    #26
                                                    fk the braves
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dirtycash66
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-13-12
                                                      • 2958

                                                      #27
                                                      Definitely not one of Lt's best day
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LT Profits
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                        • 90963

                                                        #28
                                                        Meh, Friday is another day.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Smoke
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-09-09
                                                          • 48111

                                                          #29
                                                          Did he win?
                                                          Comment
                                                          SBR Contests
                                                          Collapse
                                                          Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                          Collapse
                                                          Working...