MLB - Friday, 4/8/16

**MvA** · 04-08-16, 07:18 AM

Any 60er Lt?

Thank you

**LT Profits** · 04-08-16, 07:41 AM

60%ers:

Mets 69% (-223)
Pittsburgh 64% (-178)
St. Louis 62% (-163)
Angels 63% (-170)

**Nateboogy** · 04-08-16, 08:05 AM

I have under 9 -105. Still worth a play?

**franklissa** · 04-08-16, 08:06 AM

yes

**GGGJR82** · 04-08-16, 08:10 AM

New to this thread sorry if you already answered but what is the difference between first 2 plays & 60%ers... Thanks

**LT Profits** · 04-08-16, 08:15 AM

Originally posted by Nateboogy

I have under 9 -105. Still worth a play?

Yes at -105 or better, so -9 -105 is the very worst price I would accept.

**LT Profits** · 04-08-16, 08:17 AM

Originally posted by GGGJR82

New to this thread sorry if you already answered but what is the difference between first 2 plays & 60%ers... Thanks

The 60%ers are only plays that my model shows a 60% chance or better of winning, I only post them because people asked for them. I almost never bet them myself and sometimes go against them if the price is right.

**NJsportsGuy732** · 04-08-16, 10:07 AM

I'm liking the Cubs dbacks under play. Especially after all the runs they put up last night.

**agendaman** · 04-08-16, 10:12 AM

anyone know why the n.y.-Detroit and t.bay-balt. games keep going off the board also the total for s.d.-color. is 10.5 does vegas expect the padres to score

**Capybara** · 04-08-16, 11:26 AM

What's up, LT? Nooooo, you're fading my boy Taijuan Walker, my fantasy team needs a big game from him! Just because the A's rocked him at the start of last year does not mean that happens again! And don't forget this Seattle team has hotter bats already than they had all last year with bums like Dustin Ackley in there and the playing-through-pain Robbie Cano.

Regarding the 60%ers, I don't understand why everyone asks you for that... Did anyone ever do an analysis of their actual success? If not, then what good is it? I don't mean anything negative about your model, I just mean what good is knowing who your model spits out as 60%, especially given the enormous prices on them, unless someone actually kept track and saw that 75% of them won or something like that?

**jmac227** · 04-08-16, 11:37 AM

Hey LT, why would you not play the Angels at the current line around -130 if your model has them winning 63% of the time?

**iloseagain** · 04-08-16, 11:38 AM

Originally posted by agendaman

anyone know why the n.y.-Detroit and t.bay-balt. games keep going off the board also the total for s.d.-color. is 10.5 does vegas expect the padres to score

padres wont have to score considering rado gona put up 11 themselves

**jgold254** · 04-08-16, 11:39 AM

Originally posted by Capybara

What's up, LT? Nooooo, you're fading my boy Taijuan Walker, my fantasy team needs a big game from him! Just because the A's rocked him at the start of last year does not mean that happens again! And don't forget this Seattle team has hotter bats already than they had all last year with bums like Dustin Ackley in there and the playing-through-pain Robbie Cano.

Regarding the 60%ers, I don't understand why everyone asks you for that... Did anyone ever do an analysis of their actual success? If not, then what good is it? I don't mean anything negative about your model, I just mean what good is knowing who your model spits out as 60%, especially given the enormous prices on them, unless someone actually kept track and saw that 75% of them won or something like that?

Some people don't care about juice and just want the high probability winners. LT posted 6 of the 60%ers on Opening Day and only 1 lost. I could see that if I was picking a couple to lay several thousand on... Disclaimer: I don't.

**KC780** · 04-08-16, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by Capybara

What's up, LT? Nooooo, you're fading my boy Taijuan Walker, my fantasy team needs a big game from him! Just because the A's rocked him at the start of last year does not mean that happens again! And don't forget this Seattle team has hotter bats already than they had all last year with bums like Dustin Ackley in there and the playing-through-pain Robbie Cano.

Regarding the 60%ers, I don't understand why everyone asks you for that... Did anyone ever do an analysis of their actual success? If not, then what good is it? I don't mean anything negative about your model, I just mean what good is knowing who your model spits out as 60%, especially given the enormous prices on them, unless someone actually kept track and saw that 75% of them won or something like that?

Its additional information for those that arent strictly following LT... I also live-bet sometimes when the odds change during the game as well.

**Slipknot26** · 04-08-16, 11:46 AM

I'm tracking the 60% this year personally. That's why I asked last week if anyone did last year's .
It could be beneficial to play every dog and turn a profit due to the odds you're getting.
You won't have to hit anywhere near 50%

**Capybara** · 04-08-16, 12:17 PM

Originally posted by Slipknot26

I'm tracking the 60% this year personally. That's why I asked last week if anyone did last year's .
It could be beneficial to play every dog and turn a profit due to the odds you're getting.
You won't have to hit anywhere near 50%

Umm, okay, but I'm not sure which dogs you're saying you'd play. All the ones *except* the ones opposing LT's 60% likely winners? Or those ones?

Thanks also to the other two who replied to my query!

**readytowinem** · 04-08-16, 01:47 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

padres wont have to score considering rado gona put up 11 themselves

Seems like a trap line...padres score 0 in 3 games then they make the over 10.5...something isn't right...

**LT Profits** · 04-08-16, 02:26 PM

1 MLB Addition

3 MLB Plays Friday

Cubs / Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 -120 (Heritage)
Rangers / Angels UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
Athletics +158 (Heritage)

**Jayvegas420** · 04-08-16, 04:32 PM

Good Luck LT

**Ghenghis Kahn** · 04-08-16, 04:35 PM

will the padres score a run this season?

yes +1000000
no -1000000000000000000

**HurlSweatPants** · 04-08-16, 04:44 PM

Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn

will the padres score a run this season?

yes +1000000
no -1000000000000000000

BOOM!!! The streak is over.

**Ghenghis Kahn** · 04-08-16, 04:53 PM

lol on que

**iloseagain** · 04-08-16, 04:55 PM

4 for the pads lol.. This game looked sketchy.. Played padres and over

6-2 now

**Jayvegas420** · 04-08-16, 05:10 PM

Nice hit ILA
I was on the under.

Didn't see the Padres ringing off 6 in one inning

**iloseagain** · 04-08-16, 05:18 PM

Originally posted by Jayvegas420

Nice hit ILA
I was on the under.

Didn't see the Padres ringing off 6 in one inning

overs good but pads might give it up ha

**jgold254** · 04-08-16, 09:48 PM

Yikes... Runs are coming early in the Rangers game. Torn because I have them for the series.

**POOLSIDE** · 04-08-16, 10:35 PM

Originally posted by jgold254

Yikes... Runs are coming early in the Rangers game. Torn because I have them for the series.

Yeah we're in trouble here

**jgold254** · 04-08-16, 10:49 PM

Figures it goes over and A's simultaneously lose the lead. Cubs under is looking strong, though.

**ThaTopMoron** · 04-08-16, 11:30 PM

Cubs under a terrific play

it felt right... looked over some things for the game and liked it even more, then tailed

**afgballer56** · 04-09-16, 12:07 AM

great work again LT

**jgold254** · 04-09-16, 12:17 AM

Another day in the positive. Great call on Oakland. LT still killin' those dogs!

**POOLSIDE** · 04-09-16, 12:34 AM

LT building momentum

**Kinghill5** · 04-09-16, 09:41 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

3 MLB Plays Friday

Cubs / Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 -120 (Heritage)
Rangers / Angels UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
Athletics +158 (Heritage)

Your late add in was my only miss on my 5 team parlay OUCH. (50/728) I need to realize that if it's not in your initial post it may not be as high of a play as others

I'm a real dunce as I included the Rangers under instead of the A's in the Parlay. Could have been an amazing payday if I didn't suck so bad...

**jjgold** · 04-09-16, 10:47 AM

good start to year LT