Keel's MLB Money Management Powerhouse 2016

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  • keel44
    SBR MVP
    • 08-01-09
    • 3363

    #106
    I feel I need to try something new. I need an automatic bet selection for baseball.

    I am going to go with the Blue Jays with the OVER every game hoping for 3 in a row. I will also go with fading the White Sox with the under hoping for 3 in a row.

    Sometimes the odds may not be exactly what I want them to be, but it also might pay more as well. I will try this until bust. We shall see how this goes.

    Any ideas for other team and total combos?
    Comment
    • Looking4Winners
      SBR MVP
      • 12-21-11
      • 1198

      #107
      Originally posted by keel44
      I feel I need to try something new. I need an automatic bet selection for baseball.

      I am going to go with the Blue Jays with the OVER every game hoping for 3 in a row. I will also go with fading the White Sox with the under hoping for 3 in a row.

      Sometimes the odds may not be exactly what I want them to be, but it also might pay more as well. I will try this until bust. We shall see how this goes.

      Any ideas for other team and total combos?
      Keel - How about throwing a 3rd team in there when you have a few stud pitchers going like tonight? I know there is not much return on selecting the Dodgers (Kershaw) and Giants (Bumgarner) by themselves, but if you add let's say Hamels (Texas) you get 3 quality pitchers that have pitched well against the opponents hitters. Plus you might get a little more payout. Also the teams have been playing good ball, winning record in last 10 games.
      Comment
      • keel44
        SBR MVP
        • 08-01-09
        • 3363

        #108
        Yeah.... I am not going to go through with what I previously stated. I am just trying to find answers. I may revisit my idea for later. I will keep fighting until the bitter end.
        Comment
        • keel44
          SBR MVP
          • 08-01-09
          • 3363

          #109
          Originally posted by keel44
          I feel I need to try something new. I need an automatic bet selection for baseball.

          I am going to go with the Blue Jays with the OVER every game hoping for 3 in a row. I will also go with fading the White Sox with the under hoping for 3 in a row.

          Sometimes the odds may not be exactly what I want them to be, but it also might pay more as well. I will try this until bust. We shall see how this goes.

          Any ideas for other team and total combos?

          I am not ready to do this as of right now.
          Comment
          • keel44
            SBR MVP
            • 08-01-09
            • 3363

            #110
            Originally posted by Looking4Winners
            Keel - How about throwing a 3rd team in there when you have a few stud pitchers going like tonight? I know there is not much return on selecting the Dodgers (Kershaw) and Giants (Bumgarner) by themselves, but if you add let's say Hamels (Texas) you get 3 quality pitchers that have pitched well against the opponents hitters. Plus you might get a little more payout. Also the teams have been playing good ball, winning record in last 10 games.
            You are right. I just need to understand that baseball is baseball and I need to think of "value" instead of "due" kind of thinking. Baseball rewards you for taking advantage of value. I have forgotten this coming out of back to back seasons of spread betting. I have lost the 50 unit bankroll last year in the mlb. I am confident I can/will turn this into a winner!!
            Comment
            • keel44
              SBR MVP
              • 08-01-09
              • 3363

              #111
              May 17

              Parlay 37-A: Blue Jays with Blue Jays OVER 8 (1.41 to win 2.99)
              Parlay 38-A: Astros with White Sox UNDER 8 (1.41 to win 3.89)

              -26 units as of now.....24 units left. It is CRUNCH time....
              Comment
              • fitguy67
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-13-11
                • 5082

                #112
                yeah, the method certainly ain't broke...so no need to fix anything...

                the key ingredient (and the hardest one to muster) is patience thru the inevitable dry-spells
                Comment
                • keel44
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-01-09
                  • 3363

                  #113
                  May 18

                  Parlay 38-A: Nationals with Rays (1.53 to win 4.64)

                  *I really tried to go with "value."

                  The Rays ace going against Dickey and the disappointing Jays with plus money.
                  The Nationals have the pitching edge and coming off being shutout and have a low -110

                  I am not a great handicapper by any stretch, but to me this has value and I like this play.
                  Comment
                  • Looking4Winners
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-21-11
                    • 1198

                    #114
                    Originally posted by keel44
                    May 18

                    Parlay 38-A: Nationals with Rays (1.53 to win 4.64)

                    *I really tried to go with "value."

                    The Rays ace going against Dickey and the disappointing Jays with plus money.
                    The Nationals have the pitching edge and coming off being shutout and have a low -110

                    I am not a great handicapper by any stretch, but to me this has value and I like this play.
                    I like it!! Let's get this "A" bet.. BTW I played the parlay I mentioned last night. LAD,SF,TEX. You are not the only one to be having some crappy luck. It's gotta change right?
                    Comment
                    • keel44
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-01-09
                      • 3363

                      #115
                      May 18

                      Parlay 38-A: Nationals with Rays (1.53 to win 4.64)
                      Comment
                      • keel44
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-01-09
                        • 3363

                        #116
                        It can be difficult to discern what a "good" bet is. Do you bet what you think "should" happen or does one bet on what "could" happen given the probability -- meaning odds.

                        I do make the mistake of leaning towards the former and not the latter in my plays. It works from a logical sense. I feel what "should" happen will come around. The fact I am seeing, with all sports actually, is that you got to trust your instincts when it comes to value of a point spread or money line betting. I mean after all who can really predict what will happen in a given sporting event anyway?

                        I am always learning over the years about decision making and handicapping. With these long droughts, I feel I have discovered the mental/emotional edge I have been missing. We shall see. You can't go wrong with finding out.
                        Comment
                        • keel44
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-01-09
                          • 3363

                          #117
                          May 19

                          Parlay 38-B: White Sox with Rockies (4.64 to win 11.79)

                          * The Rockies have about the same record as the disappointing Cards. This guy Gray has been pitching like an ace. They are coming off getting shutout. +129 has value on the Rockies.

                          * The White Sox have been very good this year and are trying to avoid a sweep. The Sox haven't lost with Chris Sale on the mound. Houston has been disappointing as well. This game should at least be -200 but it is -183.
                          Comment
                          • keel44
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-01-09
                            • 3363

                            #118
                            May 19

                            Parlay 38-B: White Sox with Rockies (4.64 to win 11.79)
                            Comment
                            • keel44
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-01-09
                              • 3363

                              #119
                              May 20

                              Parlay 39-A: A's with Indians (1.53 to win 3.76)
                              Comment
                              • keel44
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-01-09
                                • 3363

                                #120
                                May 20

                                Parlay 39-A: A's with Indians (1.53 to win 3.76)
                                Comment
                                • keel44
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-01-09
                                  • 3363

                                  #121
                                  May 21

                                  Parlay 40-A: Royals with Cubs -1.5 (1.59 to win 3.77)
                                  Comment
                                  • keel44
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-01-09
                                    • 3363

                                    #122
                                    May 21

                                    Parlay 40-A: Royals with Cubs -1.5 (1.59 to win 3.77)
                                    Comment
                                    • keel44
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-01-09
                                      • 3363

                                      #123
                                      May 22

                                      Parlay 41-A: Tigers with Giants (1.66 to win 3.93)

                                      * Tigers -115
                                      * Giants -125

                                      I locked this in now.....let's see the line movements
                                      Comment
                                      • skyscrapers
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 05-02-11
                                        • 6168

                                        #124
                                        Hey Keel, it looks like you duplicated #38 twice. You currently should be on Parlay 42 now.
                                        Comment
                                        • keel44
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-01-09
                                          • 3363

                                          #125
                                          May 22

                                          Parlay 41-A: Tigers with Giants (1.66 to win 3.93)
                                          Comment
                                          • keel44
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-01-09
                                            • 3363

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by skyscrapers
                                            Hey Keel, it looks like you duplicated #38 twice. You currently should be on Parlay 42 now.
                                            Wow you are right. I'm gonna half to adjust. Thank you
                                            Comment
                                            • keel44
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-01-09
                                              • 3363

                                              #127
                                              The spreadsheet is now correct. On this thread I will just make the correction going forward. All the money side of things is correct.
                                              Comment
                                              • skyscrapers
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-02-11
                                                • 6168

                                                #128
                                                I have a feeling you'll get this B bet Monday!!!
                                                Comment
                                                • keel44
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-01-09
                                                  • 3363

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by skyscrapers
                                                  I have a feeling you'll get this B bet Monday!!!
                                                  7-3 my last 10 picks straight up
                                                  Comment
                                                  • keel44
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                    • 3363

                                                    #130
                                                    My play will be up later.....
                                                    Comment
                                                    • keel44
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-01-09
                                                      • 3363

                                                      #131
                                                      May 23

                                                      Parlay 42-B: Rays with Giants OVER 6.5 (3.93 to win 12.58)

                                                      Going with super plus money here but I really like it. I dug long and hard on this decision.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • keel44
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-01-09
                                                        • 3363

                                                        #132
                                                        May 23

                                                        Parlay 42-B: Rays with Giants OVER 6.5 (3.93 to win 12.58)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • keel44
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-01-09
                                                          • 3363

                                                          #133
                                                          May 24

                                                          Parlay 43-A: Blue Jays with White Sox (1.66 to win 4.02)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • keel44
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-01-09
                                                            • 3363

                                                            #134
                                                            May 24

                                                            Parlay 43-A: Blue Jays with White Sox (1.66 to win 4.02)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • keel44
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-01-09
                                                              • 3363

                                                              #135
                                                              May 25

                                                              Parlay 44-A: Orioles with Red Sox (1.73 to win 4.24)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • keel44
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-01-09
                                                                • 3363

                                                                #136
                                                                May 25

                                                                Parlay 44-A: Orioles with Red Sox (1.73 to win 4.24)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • keel44
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-01-09
                                                                  • 3363

                                                                  #137
                                                                  May 26

                                                                  Parlay 45-A: Rockies with Marlins +1.5 (1.80 to win 4.73)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • keel44
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                                    • 3363

                                                                    #138
                                                                    May 26

                                                                    Parlay 45-A: Rockies with Marlins +1.5 (1.80 to win 4.73)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • lisalisa
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 03-07-16
                                                                      • 72

                                                                      #139
                                                                      what's your record so far?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • keel44
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-01-09
                                                                        • 3363

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by lisalisa
                                                                        what's your record so far?
                                                                        My record is 10-44. That is irrelevant to this system. It is a good indicator on how poorly my picks have been. The key word being HAVE been. If I turn it around, just ever so slightly, I can walk away with some good money. We shall see....
                                                                        Comment
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