DFoster Friday Picks/Leans 53-36-1,+29.50 units

[DFoster]

PIT ML - I like Snell and he did well against SD last year
PHI ML - they crushed Johnson last year and are hunting for a win
NYM TT over 4.5 - I like this, if it gets matched at the book

MIL ML - Gallardo is solid and under rated, i already made a play for 2 units

MIL/HOU under 8.5 (looks decent, need umpire info)

BOS ML -- made a play for 2 units, home team, Lester has a great game
CHC rev RL or ML
COL ML
SF Rev RL or ML
KC/DET under 8.5 (umpire info needed)
SEA ML
TB/OAK under 8
OAK ML
BOS/NYY under 9.5

I'm going to narrow these down and will be posting my plays throughout the day

[DFoster]

Picks thus far:

MIL ML -126 --- 2 units
BOS ML -118 --- 2 units
KC/DET 4.5 under in 5 innings --- 2 units

More coming

[Smith]

Like all 3 of them. Even looking heavy at the over in the Boston/NY game. Ill have my picks posted in a few at Winners Circle.

[DFoster]

Like all 3 of them. Even looking heavy at the over in the Boston/NY game. Ill have my picks posted in a few at Winners Circle.

I'll check your's out in a bit.

Adding:
LAD -1.5 reverse RL +176 --- 1.5 units

[DFoster]

Adding:

SEA ML -115 --- 1 unit
SEA RL +139 --- 1 unit

Bedard has been lights out. Anaheim can't hit lefthanders, hitting less than .150 in their last 5 games against lefties and .235 for the season. The Mariners are much more proficient against right handers than lefties (.257 vs .186). I like the Mariners to continue their strong start tonight and take down a team that has struggled out of the gate. The under is a possibility here as well, but I want to see the umpire before making a play on that.

[DFoster]

Adding:

MIN -1.5 reverse RL +212 --- 1 unit

[The_Kid]

Been doing pretty good, DFoster. Keep it up!

[DFoster]

Been doing pretty good, DFoster. Keep it up!

Thanks. Thanks the plan!

[DFoster]

Adding:

TOR/CWS under 9 +133 --- 1 unit
TOR ML +119 -- 1 unit
TOR -1.5 reverse RL +185 --- 1 unit

Tallet has been throwing well and as a lefty, should fair well against the Sox tonight. The Sox are hitting .230 against left handers this year and .226 in their last five games. This is a line that I think should be closer to even so there's definitely value in the Jays tonight. These two teams can put up runs any night of the week but with the Sox hitting so poorly against lefties and the Jays hitting just .214 against right handers in the last 5 games, I think this has great potential to hit the under 9 tonight and at +133, I'll take it.

[DFoster]

Adding:

SF ML -118 --- 2 units

[DFoster]

Wow, I'm stoked I got the LAD reverse RL when I did...it went from +176 to +156 on Matchbook...

Boston from -118 to -132...

Everything else is about the same as of now.

[DFoster]

Any reason for the SF/ARI under line to drop from -118 to -103?

I love the Dodgers tonight but it seems kind of like a trap...I already made the play on the reverse RL but after looking at the match up even more in depth it seems like the line is crazy off here. I've noticed people are taking the Rockies but I don't see it...any thoughts?

[SportsChic]

hey foster...great job..I took a few days off again and Im glad to see you have been continuing to win. Whats your strongest play tonight babe?

[DFoster]

Its really tough having a favorite. I really like the LAD and MIN reverse runlines tonight. I see both teams having the overall advantage and love that they're on the road, thus getting a guaranteed 9 at bats.

If I had to pick my favorite ML pick, I'd probably go with Milwaukee but it's tough. I think Gallardo is an ace this year and he's throwing against a stagnant offense. Though I really like them all about the same since I see value in all the games I put a unit or more on.

Total listed plays thus far:

MIL ML -126 --- 2 units
BOS ML -118 --- 2 units
KC/DET 4.5 under in 5 innings --- 2 units
LAD -1.5 reverse RL +176 --- 1.5 units
SEA ML -115 --- 1 unit
SEA RL +139 --- 1 unit
MIN -1.5 reverse RL +212 --- 1 unit
TOR/CWS under 9 +133 --- 1 unit
TOR ML +119 -- 1 unit
TOR -1.5 reverse RL +185 --- 1 unit
SF ML -118 --- 2 units

[SportsChic]

I like tonight-
Red Sox
Athletics
Mets
Padres

[DFoster]

I'm adding another:

Padilla is terrible against the O's and has been for 2 years....and by bad, I mean awful. This is a fade against him.

BAL ML -128 --- 1.5 units

This is a play in belief that Gallardo has a nice game tonight.

HOU TT under 4 --- 1.5 units

I would play BAL TT 5+ but the line is at -153 and that's just too steep. I love a ton of team totals tonight but the juice is just too high right now (WAS under, NYM over, FLA over...)

[DFoster]

I like tonight-
Red Sox
Athletics
Mets
Padres

Nice choices. I almost made a play for the A's tonight. I like the Mets as well but the juice was just too high and they haven't been scoring when Johan takes the ball. I like Snell against the Padres but there were some trends and splits definitely in your favor on that game. Good luck!

[alukk]

nice word dfoster, i love ur reverse runlines also the 2 unit plays

[SportsChic]

thanks foster... gl tonight babe

[alukk]

what u think bout the mets -2.5?

[DFoster]

what u think bout the mets -2.5?

I love Johan tonight but the Mets offense hasn't been on fire and has gone dead when Santana takes the ball. I think they win by a decent margin but the juice for this game is crazy high, leaving it a no play for me. Good luck though!

[DFoster]

Last add of the night:

CHC -1.5 reverse ML +186 --- 1 unit

This is a homer pick as I'm a huge Cubs fan and think the Cubs will do some damage against Wainwright tonight.

Total list---and my biggest of the season so far.

CHC -1.5 reverse ML +186 --- 1 unit
MIL ML -126 --- 2 units
BOS ML -118 --- 2 units
KC/DET 4.5 under in 5 innings --- 2 units
LAD -1.5 reverse RL +176 --- 1.5 units
SEA ML -115 --- 1 unit
SEA RL +139 --- 1 unit
MIN -1.5 reverse RL +212 --- 1 unit
TOR/CWS under 9 +133 --- 1 unit
TOR ML +119 -- 1 unit
TOR -1.5 reverse RL +185 --- 1 unit
SF ML -118 --- 2 units
HOU TT under 4 --- 1.5 units
BAL ML -128 --- 1.5 units

[alukk]

thank u for the reply

[DFoster]

thank u for the reply

No problem, anytime

[laxdjock]

Some great picks...I don't play nearly as many, but we are on the same side for 3 or 4 of them.

BoL!

[ertl09]

been killing the books, well in your case other people , keep it up buddy

GO Brewers!!! but sorry picked the Cards vs. your cubbies

[DFoster]

I can't believe Sherrill blew the Orioles win....at least Rivera blew the Yankee win to give me a chance on the BO Sox.

[DFoster]

Tonight's results:

9-5, 64.29%, +6.84 units

[DFoster]

I forgot to post the results of each game...sorry

CHC -1.5 reverse ML +186 --- 1 unit --- LOSS -1.00
MIL ML -126 --- 2 units --- WIN +1.59
BOS ML -118 --- 2 units --- WIN +1.70
KC/DET 4.5 under in 5 innings --- 2 units --- LOSS -2.00
LAD -1.5 reverse RL +176 --- 1.5 units --- LOSS -1.50
SEA ML -115 --- 1 unit --- WIN +.87
SEA RL +139 --- 1 unit --- WIN +1.39
MIN -1.5 reverse RL +212 --- 1 unit --- WIN +2.12
TOR/CWS under 9 +133 --- 1 unit --- LOSS
TOR ML +119 -- 1 unit --- WIN +1.19
TOR -1.5 reverse RL +185 --- 1 unit --- WIN +1.85
SF ML -118 --- 2 units --- WIN +1.70
HOU TT under 4 -105--- 1.5 units --- WIN +1.43
BAL ML -128 --- 1.5 units --- LOSS -1.5 (nice F up Sherrill)

[jjgold]

Foster do you use the sbr spreadsheet?

[DFoster]

Foster do you use the sbr spreadsheet?

I did to start the season but I haven't done it during the baseball season. I use the forum thread to total my units and what not. I stopped because my work computer struggled with opening the spreadsheet at times which ended up getting pretty frustrating.