MLB - Wednesday, 10/14/15

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Wednesday, 10/14/15
    1 MLB Play Wednesday

    Astros / Royals UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)


    YTD: 531-490-26, +91.73

    Regular Season: 523-486-26, +87.18
    Playoffs: 8-4, +4.55
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    By the way, my bare minimum price on this is -105, so no play at -110 (actually no play at -106 or more)
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      60%er:

      Toronto 65% (-186)
      Comment
      • buffalo716
        SBR Rookie
        • 11-08-13
        • 37

        #4
        I have no money lines attached to my over/under. Still worth the play on Texas under? What did you get for the jays total. 2 strong pitchers today but jays just crush the ball so often how could you not go over. So if i know vegas that game is going under too.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by buffalo716
          I have no money lines attached to my over/under. Still worth the play on Texas under? What did you get for the jays total. 2 strong pitchers today but jays just crush the ball so often how could you not go over. So if i know vegas that game is going under too.
          I have Toronto game 8.8, so actually lean Over at 8. No play as of now though.
          Comment
          • eddycash
            SBR MVP
            • 11-06-13
            • 4527

            #6
            No play on Astros ml ?
            Comment
            • Chi_archie
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-22-08
              • 63167

              #7
              get em LT!!!
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Originally posted by eddycash
                No play on Astros ml ?
                You know I love them, but hate that line is drifting further away from model number. I only have Royals 53% (-113).
                Comment
                • eddycash
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-06-13
                  • 4527

                  #9
                  Doesn't that mean the Astros line has more value now that it has risen?
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by eddycash
                    Doesn't that mean the Astros line has more value now that it has risen?
                    Theoretically yes, but I have stated several times that I don't like when model is TOO far off of real line, ESPECIALLY when it continues to go further away. I would prefer the line on Astros drop while sill leaving room to be +EV.
                    Comment
                    • eddycash
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-06-13
                      • 4527

                      #11
                      Thanks, I'm waiting for the stros under to budge to 8, wonder if it will touch it again
                      Comment
                      • eddycash
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-06-13
                        • 4527

                        #12
                        Wow never mind, I just missed -105, it's headed the wrong direction
                        Comment
                        • brett1508
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 07-22-15
                          • 38

                          #13
                          Tailing on the under and I took Houston at +124. We'll see. Good luck
                          Comment
                          • mth61
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-16-14
                            • 611

                            #14
                            Well LT the line on the stros is down to...

                            -124/+119 5d
                            -130/+120 Bookmaker
                            -133/+124 Heritage

                            Closer to the model but still +ev
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              This game is pissing me off already. Shot up too fast for my liking, came back just as fast, which I do like, but I can't get the +125 I want right now. Come on Heritage, add a penny damnit!
                              Comment
                              • High3rEl3m3nt
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-28-10
                                • 8022

                                #16
                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                This game is pissing me off already. Shot up too fast for my liking, came back just as fast, which I do like, but I can't get the +125 I want right now. Come on Heritage, add a penny damnit!
                                Shifts in lines/odds reflect differences of respected opinions. Nothing to be scared of.
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by High3rEl3m3nt
                                  Shifts in lines/odds reflect differences of respected opinions. Nothing to be scared of.
                                  Still want the +125 bare minimum though, although I MIGHT (i said might) take the +124.
                                  Comment
                                  • eddycash
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-06-13
                                    • 4527

                                    #18
                                    ill be lucky to get +120
                                    Comment
                                    • High3rEl3m3nt
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-28-10
                                      • 8022

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                      Still want the +125 bare minimum though, although I MIGHT (i said might) take the +124.
                                      If you were wanting at least +125, I'm not sure why you didn't get it earlier

                                      odds from heritage (MT time)

                                      10/14/15 09:09:36am +124 -133
                                      10/14/15 09:06:26am +127 -137
                                      10/14/15 09:05:13am +129 -139
                                      10/14/15 06:38:14am +127 -137
                                      10/14/15 06:03:21am +129 -139
                                      10/14/15 05:46:03am +127 -137
                                      10/14/15 05:43:17am +125 -135
                                      10/13/15 10:01:32pm +124 -133
                                      10/13/15 09:41:55pm +126 -135
                                      10/13/15 05:38:01pm +125 -134
                                      10/13/15 05:36:51pm +122 -131
                                      10/12/15 10:11:09pm +124 -134
                                      10/12/15 09:59:10pm +123 -132
                                      10/12/15 09:54:06pm +121 -130
                                      10/12/15 08:45:14pm +119 -128
                                      10/12/15 08:33:49pm +121 -130
                                      10/12/15 06:52:01pm +119 -128
                                      10/12/15 05:39:25pm +117 -126
                                      10/12/15 05:28:56pm +119 -128
                                      10/12/15 03:53:05pm +115 -124
                                      Comment
                                      • eddycash
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-06-13
                                        • 4527

                                        #20
                                        he explained why above cmon man lol
                                        Comment
                                        • LT Profits
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-27-06
                                          • 90963

                                          #21
                                          MLB Side & Total

                                          2 MLB Plays Wednesday

                                          Astros +124 (Heritage)
                                          Astros / Royals UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            The deed is done!

                                            And now on with my life.
                                            Comment
                                            • eddycash
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-06-13
                                              • 4527

                                              #23
                                              i dont suppose there is still value in +119 is there?
                                              Comment
                                              • buriedbookie
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 09-16-15
                                                • 10

                                                #24
                                                GL
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by eddycash
                                                  i dont suppose there is still value in +119 is there?
                                                  No. I was debating the +124 (I have some really cool debates inside my head) but settled for it. Would not go one penny lower.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • innovation
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-27-12
                                                    • 6218

                                                    #26
                                                    yes, but who wins those debates?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • brett1508
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 07-22-15
                                                      • 38

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by innovation
                                                      yes, but who wins those debates?
                                                      LT vs. LT? I'll take LT. Lol
                                                      Comment
                                                      • funnyb25
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 07-09-09
                                                        • 39663

                                                        #28
                                                        total now 8 with under @ -105
                                                        Comment
                                                        • GloatingBastard
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 09-08-15
                                                          • 48

                                                          #29
                                                          I just bet the Royals live 2nd inning down 2-0..got the ml at +195....I think they come through here..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RavensFan2k3
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 08-18-12
                                                            • 17378

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by GloatingBastard
                                                            I just bet the Royals live 2nd inning down 2-0..got the ml at +195....I think they come through here..
                                                            Great call! I should have waited to take KC
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Slice81
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 08-18-15
                                                              • 32

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by GloatingBastard
                                                              I just bet the Royals live 2nd inning down 2-0..got the ml at +195....I think they come through here..
                                                              Took the same! Now let's see a finish!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Slice81
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 08-18-15
                                                                • 32

                                                                #32
                                                                Only got +178 btw. Nice job
                                                                Comment
                                                                • funnyb25
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 07-09-09
                                                                  • 39663

                                                                  #33
                                                                  why are you guys posting this in someone's thread who has the other side? Seems kinda messed up to me
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Slice81
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 08-18-15
                                                                    • 32

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by funnyb25
                                                                    why are you guys posting this in someone's thread who has the other side? Seems kinda messed up to me
                                                                    Agreed. I Apologize. Too many beers. Just saw a post I liked and responded.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #35
                                                                      You got completely bent over on that total play.

                                                                      Are you watching this? Holy shit.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...