I lose this, have to pick up extra shifts, to open a new account
007Fatty
SBR MVP
01-14-09
2267
#2
why do you think they will win?
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Unitage
SBR High Roller
02-24-09
218
#3
wash -1.5 is the play
why go allin, cman. You need gamblers anonymous.
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darrell74
SBR Posting Legend
04-16-07
14648
#4
I Like Nolasco
Nolasco said he felt like crap, last Saturday
Feels better today
Lanaan is such a mediocre pitcher
After watching Lanaan pitch for a few years, I believe the Marlins bats should get several runs
Florida just got done cruising on Atlanta
Nats, finally, got a win
Does that mean they can win 2?
Nats win tonight, if they have momentum.
Only momentum can beat my wager.
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laxdjock
SBR MVP
09-15-07
4074
#5
FL -1.5 +130 for me.
GL!
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darrell74
SBR Posting Legend
04-16-07
14648
#6
Originally posted by laxdjock
FL -1.5 +130 for me.
GL!
Gl to you sir.
I tailed a bunch of picks, this week, and lost my ass off.
This week, I learned that I need to do my own bets, the hard way.
Fading the Nats with the Marlins ace, seems like the safest bet, tonight.
Marlins, best team in baseball (8-1)
Nats worse team in baseball (1-7)
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Jones10
SBR MVP
12-24-08
2251
#7
Agreed on board with Flordia tonight but I'm taking them ML...Ricky bounces back with a solid outting.
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laxdjock
SBR MVP
09-15-07
4074
#8
Originally posted by darrell74
Gl to you sir.
I tailed a bunch of picks, this week, and lost my ass off.
This week, I learned that I need to do my own bets, the hard way.
Fading the Nats with the Marlins ace, seems like the safest bet, tonight.
Marlins, best team in baseball (8-1)
Nats worse team in baseball (1-7)
Thanks!
Tailing can be an evil mistress. In CFB, NFL, and CBB I do my own capping and I feel pretty comfortable. I just started MLB up, and I am still getting a handle on the basics....so I tend to read more and bet less. I'm trying to stick to 4-5 games per day (max). My goal is to pick 50% and grind out the dogs for a profit. So far so good.
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VegasDave
SBR Hall of Famer
01-03-07
8056
#9
Why not just bet the ML? At -130, seems a lot more desirable than sweating out that extra run.
All the same, GL! I'm on Florida too.
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darrell74
SBR Posting Legend
04-16-07
14648
#10
I tailed the wrong people.
My fault for being too lazy, and not capping.
I deserved to get my ass kicked, this week.
One thing I want to share, on a MLB level, for this year.
KC, Florida, Seattle are some teams to follow.
These teams seem to get some nice lines, and they're not that bad, for betting purposes.
Nats
Yanks
seem to be great teams to fade, this year.
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laxdjock
SBR MVP
09-15-07
4074
#11
Originally posted by VegasDave
Why not just bet the ML? At -130, seems a lot more desirable than sweating out that extra run.
I took the -1.5 because I feel like they win by 3-4, so taking -126 is a poor value. To maximize it, I paired it with another strong lean of ATL RL, which parlayed yields 5.61 on a 1 unit bet.
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darrell74
SBR Posting Legend
04-16-07
14648
#12
Originally posted by VegasDave
Why not just bet the ML? At -130, seems a lot more desirable than sweating out that extra run.
All the same, GL! I'm on Florida too.
Good point.
I like the Marlins bats.
I believe in a blowout, tonight.
You're right, that I'm gonna sweatout the extra run.
-130 is a good bet, a very good bet.
But, I beleve in it enough. -130 would be the more conserveative bet, better to manage $. But I admit, I'm chasing my losses, I want to maximize my dollar, tonight.
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VegasDave
SBR Hall of Famer
01-03-07
8056
#13
Originally posted by laxdjock
I took the -1.5 because I feel like they win by 3-4, so taking -126 is a poor value. To maximize it, I paired it with another strong lean of ATL RL, which parlayed yields 5.61 on a 1 unit bet.
Great reason. Good luck .
Just comes down to this:
At -130, the question is: If this game is played 100 times, will the Marlins win the game outright 57+ times?
At +130, the question is: If this game is played 100 times, will the Marlins win the game BY TWO+ RUNS 43+ times?
If you answered yes to both, obviously you should take the RL. I personally think question 1 is a little easier to answer.
That said, lets just get a 15 - 0 Marlins win and all go home happy
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j0hnnyv
SBR MVP
01-06-09
3620
#14
nats win 2nite sorry...on the nats ML +116...gl
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DwightShrute
SBR Aristocracy
01-17-09
103247
#15
Padres baby!
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laxdjock
SBR MVP
09-15-07
4074
#16
I need 2 more runs for the OVER! Let's go guys!!
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mathdotcom
SBR Posting Legend
03-24-08
11689
#17
Enjoy the overtime shifts at KFC you barreled in phuck
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darrell74
SBR Posting Legend
04-16-07
14648
#18
Originally posted by mathdotcom
Enjoy the overtime shifts at KFC you barreled in phuck
I lost a wager
I'll lose more
I have a job
This 'barrelled phuck' will go to his job
But I don't live in my mom's basement, and not have a job
I don't work at KFC
Anybody who does, is a better person than someone who lives in their mom's basement, and shreds on gamblers that lose wagers
Dude, go twitter or something.
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j0hnnyv
SBR MVP
01-06-09
3620
#19
fail
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G's pks
Restricted User
01-01-09
22251
#20
You made the bet...lost the money..do not be mad at those that mention it...
But your gambling priviledges have been revoked!
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kmarinouofm
SBR Hall of Famer
01-26-09
8437
#21
all i am saying is Scott Olsen.. the fish wanna light this punk up like a pinball machine...he is going to come into this match up mad and totally blow it.. watch..
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Alexander
SBR High Roller
08-17-08
223
#22
mmm Fish has won alot
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G's pks
Restricted User
01-01-09
22251
#23
Originally posted by kmarinouofm
all i am saying is Scott Olsen.. the fish wanna light this punk up like a pinball machine...he is going to come into this match up mad and totally blow it.. watch..
he lost already..this was Friday's game he bet..
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Alexander
SBR High Roller
08-17-08
223
#24
Nats are in home and yeah Josh Jonhson its not bad
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Alexander
SBR High Roller
08-17-08
223
#25
but if you analize Scott Olsen he is not that pitcher that says in the paper
hes not that badç
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Alexander
SBR High Roller
08-17-08
223
#26
for me its Nats or nothing
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FrozenMAN
SBR MVP
01-23-09
4334
#27
olsen pitches for the nats TODAY saturday vs the one that is named JOSH JOHNSON