MLB - Saturday, 8/15/15

Brooklyn Dick · 08-15-15, 07:16 AM

Any 60% games today LT. Thanks.

BELM0NT · 08-15-15, 07:30 AM

LT how do you feel about Cle/Twins over?

mathoiss · 08-15-15, 08:18 AM

What you think about CWhite moneyline? Thn you and bol!

LT Profits · 08-15-15, 08:21 AM

Originally posted by Brooklyn Dick

Any 60% games today LT. Thanks.

Kansas City 61% (-156)
Arizona 60% (-150)
Milwaukee 63% (-170)
St. Louis 67% (-203)
Dodgers 68% (-213)

LT Profits · 08-15-15, 08:25 AM

Originally posted by BELM0NT

LT how do you feel about Cle/Twins over?

Looks like I lean that way, but just that, a lean at 9.7.

jjgold · 08-15-15, 08:42 AM

yanks a popular play

although I never trust those Asian pitchers

2buckluck · 08-15-15, 08:47 AM

Great day yesterday, keep up the good work and congrats on +80 U!

thebettingman15 · 08-15-15, 10:29 AM

thoughts on Mariners -1.5 with king Felix on the mound?

LT Profits · 08-15-15, 10:58 AM

Originally posted by thebettingman15

thoughts on Mariners -1.5 with king Felix on the mound?

Pass, Money Line is too close to model line of 57% (-133), so would not even consider the -1.5.

LT Profits · 08-15-15, 11:25 AM

1 MLB Addition

3 MLB Plays Saturday

Yankees +117 (Heritage)
Phillies / Brewers UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
Rays / Rangers UNDER 8.5 -113 (5 Dimes)

artyfudgepacker · 08-15-15, 12:27 PM

Thoughts on d-backs lt ???

Slanina · 08-15-15, 12:38 PM

I only use 5D. I see you reference what sportsbook with each play. Seems the system is based off lines you receive. So would using just one book with possibly different lines contradict the overall system? I just got in yesterday and well, it sold me.

aortega521 · 08-15-15, 01:03 PM

LT, I really respect your wagering. Your one of the good guys on here. Just outta curiosity, how long have you been wagering? Also, is this more of a hobby to you to make some extra money on the side or is this something you do to make a living off of?

EVfollower · 08-15-15, 01:44 PM

LT while your record this season is incredible there is something that worries me. I notice that you wager on 5Dimes and heritage mostly, these books are known to limit and ban customers who are using systems and are profitable. Do you have a relationship with them where they have ignored this and use your plays as a way to adjust lines like you being a somewhat-hired lines maker? It seems the moment u make a bet it always moves the other way. 95%+ of time the line is worse than what u get which is just incredible and practically improbable.

Or are you honestly just having a really really good season THIS year?

Standard deviation would say your record being what it is is not just a coincidence but having seen u around for many years it worries me that you haven't been banned of limited at 5dimes and heritage yet since they are rec books.

I'm curious to hear your response and hopefully you will take the time to write one.

eddycash · 08-15-15, 01:53 PM

Dimes and heritage don't boot profitable cappers, the other crappy sites do.

EVfollower · 08-15-15, 01:57 PM

Originally posted by eddycash

Dimes and heritage don't boot profitable cappers, the other crappy sites do.

I went on a run for 25k over couple months at heritage, I was limited to $50 and then booted after I complained.

Dimes I've heard limits once up about five figures but they aren't as quick as heritage I believe. I'm still with 5dimes and only up about 1k or so off them lifetime.

Ghenghis Kahn · 08-15-15, 02:03 PM

Originally posted by EVfollower

I went on a run for 25k over couple months at heritage, I was limited to $50 and then booted after I complained.

Dimes I've heard limits once up about five figures but they aren't as quick as heritage I believe. I'm still with 5dimes and only up about 1k or so off them lifetime.

i think it has to do with what type of bettor you are more than the amount you win.

eddycash · 08-15-15, 02:42 PM

Yes and complaining never works when it comes to betting wagers, the bookies run this

BeanTownClown88 · 08-15-15, 02:51 PM

5dimes definitely doesn't detect whether someone is using a system and serves tons of players worldwide..as long as you are making reasonable withdrawals..like less that 10k a pop, they won't know you from the next guy

LT Profits · 08-15-15, 03:00 PM

2 More MLB Additions

5 MLB Plays Saturday

Yankees +117 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks / Braves UNDER 7.5 -115 (Bookmaker)
Phillies / Brewers UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
White Sox +110 (DSI)
Rays / Rangers UNDER 8.5 -113 (5 Dimes)

BXbomber11 · 08-15-15, 03:19 PM

LT, would you say no bet on Brewers under 7.5 at +107?

LT Profits · 08-15-15, 03:31 PM

Originally posted by BXbomber11

LT, would you say no bet on Brewers under 7.5 at +107?

Actually that is barely OK. Would prefer +110 but I'd say +107 bare minimum.

Mr KLC · 08-15-15, 03:31 PM

Would love if you posted your 60% plays everyday along with the normal plays you post here. Thanks again for the postings. I've started to try and read your threads before I make my picks to make sure I'm not fading you. Unfortunately I didn't check it today before the Yankees game.

LT Profits · 08-15-15, 03:33 PM

Originally posted by mathoiss

What you think about CWhite moneyline? Thn you and bol!

Added White Sox. I actually have them as small 51% (-104) favorite.

LT Profits · 08-15-15, 03:38 PM

Originally posted by artyfudgepacker

Thoughts on d-backs lt ???

See post #5. Seems Arizona HAD value earlier but not any more. Personally I rarely lay more than -130.

LT Profits · 08-15-15, 03:40 PM

Originally posted by Slanina

I only use 5D. I see you reference what sportsbook with each play. Seems the system is based off lines you receive. So would using just one book with possibly different lines contradict the overall system? I just got in yesterday and well, it sold me.

Not "contadict" but worse line COULD make a play no play.

BXbomber11 · 08-15-15, 03:45 PM

Thanks LT. I'm in at +107 on brew under 7.5. Gl tn

LT Profits · 08-15-15, 03:50 PM

Originally posted by aortega521

LT, I really respect your wagering. Your one of the good guys on here. Just outta curiosity, how long have you been wagering? Also, is this more of a hobby to you to make some extra money on the side or is this something you do to make a living off of?

Placed my first bet with a local 38 years ago at age 16. My primary job is SBR Mod, good to have steady income during losing years.

leetreaper · 08-15-15, 03:51 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Placed my first bet with a local 38 years ago at age 16. My primary job is SBR Mod, good to have steady income during losing years.

SBR Mod job pays more than a min. wage? Lol

LT Profits · 08-15-15, 03:57 PM

Originally posted by leetreaper

SBR Mod job pays more than a min. wage? Lol

Not for me considering how many hours a week I am here.

Should clarify I also write on front page, so more than just a Mod here.

leetreaper · 08-15-15, 03:57 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Not for me considering how many hours a week I am here.

Should clarify I also write on front page, so more than just a Mod here.

thebettingman15 · 08-15-15, 04:41 PM

thoughts on tigers and Mets ML? Verlander has been much better on the road and i think he is due for a great start

eddycash · 08-15-15, 05:28 PM

parlaying the remaining plays 0.3x pays 4.1

bet-clever · 08-15-15, 05:56 PM

Mets ML

Marte and Mercier still injured, no Alvarez in the line-up for the second game of the serie.
Bounce back for the Mets with a terrific 41/19 @home this year.
I don't like Niese but he is in a good shape and Morton has troubles when he debutes a game and not good on road.
He never won against the Mets too.