MLB - Friday, 8/7/15

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Friday, 8/7/15
    1 MLB Play Friday

    White Sox +148 (Heritage)


    YTD: 391-357-21, +69.02
  • Pick'nParlays
    SBR MVP
    • 02-22-08
    • 3134

    #2
    bol today LT

    Tailed the Under yesterday... Gonna take today's card off and reassess. Good call on the SFG/Cubs over
    Comment
    • innovation
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-27-12
      • 6218

      #3
      if it's not broke don't fix it

      gl
      Comment
      • Pick'nParlays
        SBR MVP
        • 02-22-08
        • 3134

        #4
        that said, I think Vogie gets rocked today but who knows. You're the man with the system
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388179

          #5
          texas/seattle over 6.5??

          It seems low

          Look at Mets also and Angels
          Comment
          • Big Bear
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 11-01-11
            • 43253

            #6
            White sox are hot

            they might steal a wild card spot since the Twins are in a nose dive
            Comment
            • Big Bear
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 11-01-11
              • 43253

              #7
              Originally posted by jjgold
              texas/seattle over 6.5??

              It seems low

              Look at Mets also and Angels
              Game is in seattle

              rangers hitters going to think they are in Antarctica after being in that 105 degree heat In Texas
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Originally posted by jjgold
                texas/seattle over 6.5??

                It seems low

                Look at Mets also and Angels
                I actually get 5.5 for that Seattle total, am considering the Under.

                Mets 53% (-113)
                Angels 56% (-127)

                I see no value as of right now in either of those games.
                Comment
                • nickcruz60
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 02-11-14
                  • 353

                  #9
                  What do you show for Dodgers?
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Dodgers are one of those plays that my model has TOO far off of the real line, and fact that line is moving in opposite direction right now makes it a certain Pass unless line turns around. I get Dodgers 62% (-163) with Kershaw.
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388179

                      #11
                      Kershaw could be a trap

                      kid pitching lights out but going on road vs one of best teams in majors and best pitchers in majors
                      Comment
                      • innovation
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-27-12
                        • 6218

                        #12
                        what do you get with phi/sd?
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by innovation
                          what do you get with phi/sd?
                          SD 59% (-144)

                          Actually surprised me, I thought it would be higher.
                          Comment
                          • innovation
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-27-12
                            • 6218

                            #14
                            Comment
                            • Amadeo-Picks
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-20-14
                              • 1084

                              #15
                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                              1 MLB Play Friday

                              White Sox +148 (Heritage)


                              YTD: 391-357-21, +69.02
                              what made you take this this team?
                              Im taking royals -150 tonight as one of my top bets.
                              Volquez is the better pitcher. Danks shut them out a couple weeks ago, expect adjustments from royal hitters. Also hard to see them loose 3 in a row ..
                              Comment
                              • aznjeff07
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-22-09
                                • 1295

                                #16
                                thoughts on col/nat over and det ml?
                                Comment
                                • Big Bear
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 11-01-11
                                  • 43253

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                  Kershaw could be a trap

                                  kid pitching lights out but going on road vs one of best teams in majors and best pitchers in majors
                                  Comment
                                  • Big Bear
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 11-01-11
                                    • 43253

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Amadeo-Picks
                                    what made you take this this team?
                                    Im taking royals -150 tonight as one of my top bets.
                                    Volquez is the better pitcher. Danks shut them out a couple weeks ago, expect adjustments from royal hitters. Also hard to see them loose 3 in a row ..
                                    Amadeo is on Fire!

                                    who else?
                                    Comment
                                    • saintdimitri
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 08-06-15
                                      • 5

                                      #19
                                      i like san fran +148 over the cubs in wrigley
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        4 MLB Additions

                                        5 MLB Plays Friday

                                        Mets / Rays OVER 6 -115 (Heritage)
                                        White Sox +148 (Heritage)
                                        Athletics +102 (Bookmaker)
                                        Phillies / Padres UNDER 6.5 +105 (Heritage)
                                        Rangers / Mariners UNDER 6.5 +105 (5 Dimes)
                                        Comment
                                        • LT Profits
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-27-06
                                          • 90963

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Amadeo-Picks
                                          what made you take this this team?
                                          Im taking royals -150 tonight as one of my top bets.
                                          Volquez is the better pitcher. Danks shut them out a couple weeks ago, expect adjustments from royal hitters. Also hard to see them loose 3 in a row ..
                                          Volquez is not as good as his common stats, he has a poor command ratio of 6.75 strikeouts vs. 3.41 walks per nine innings, along with a meh 3.85 FIP and 4.24 xFIP.
                                          Comment
                                          • 44 Mag
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 10-14-13
                                            • 34490

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                            5 MLB Plays Friday

                                            Mets / Rays OVER 6 -115 (Heritage)
                                            White Sox +148 (Heritage)
                                            Athletics +102 (Bookmaker)
                                            Phillies / Padres UNDER 6.5 +105 (Heritage)
                                            Rangers / Mariners UNDER 6.5 +105 (5 Dimes)
                                            Well I am still waiting for "the other shoe to drop". I knew you couldn't hold with one wager. Now I see 5, when are the other 4 or 5 coming???
                                            Comment
                                            • eddycash
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-06-13
                                              • 4527

                                              #23
                                              Mets over 6.5 not 6
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by eddycash
                                                Mets over 6.5 not 6
                                                I got 6 at -115.
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                  I got 6 at -115.
                                                  Looks like I literally just beat the move at Heritage, went to 6.5 there at 12:43 et, exact time of my post. My bet had been in for a minute or two.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • eddycash
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-06-13
                                                    • 4527

                                                    #26
                                                    Nice lt, should we lay off over 6.5 then? Do u like the Rockies today?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by eddycash
                                                      Nice lt, should we lay off over 6.5 then? Do u like the Rockies today?
                                                      I'd want at least +105 on the 6.5. FYI I now see +107 on 5 Dimes Reduced.

                                                      Model likes Rockies as it has Nationals only 59% (-144). I am not thrilled with the large variance from model after large move on Nats.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • eddycash
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-06-13
                                                        • 4527

                                                        #28
                                                        How about angels under 7?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bet-clever
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 08-02-15
                                                          • 113

                                                          #29
                                                          Tigers is a good pick tonight but the only problem is that Norris have a bad ERA @home (7.04) but his last start was brillant and Red Sox are in holliday.

                                                          Tigers ML
                                                          Comment
                                                          • eddycash
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-06-13
                                                            • 4527

                                                            #30
                                                            RLM says Tigers will lose
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Barnes & Whine
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-29-11
                                                              • 3103

                                                              #31
                                                              Astros it is.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mth61
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-16-14
                                                                • 611

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by eddycash
                                                                RLM says Tigers will lose

                                                                50/50 stat.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LT Profits
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                                  • 90963

                                                                  #33
                                                                  2 More MLB Additions (First at 4:05 ET)

                                                                  7 MLB Plays Friday

                                                                  Giants / Cubs OVER 8 -105 (Heritage)
                                                                  Red Sox +110 (Heritage)

                                                                  Mets / Rays OVER 6 -115 (Heritage)
                                                                  White Sox +148 (Heritage)
                                                                  Athletics +102 (Bookmaker)
                                                                  Phillies / Padres UNDER 6.5 +105 (Heritage)
                                                                  Rangers / Mariners UNDER 6.5 +105 (5 Dimes)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 44 Mag
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 10-14-13
                                                                    • 34490

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by 44 Mag

                                                                    Well I am still waiting for "the other shoe to drop". I knew you couldn't hold with one wager. Now I see 5, when are the other 4 or 5 coming???
                                                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                    7 MLB Plays Friday

                                                                    Giants / Cubs OVER 8 -105 (Heritage)
                                                                    Red Sox +110 (Heritage)

                                                                    Mets / Rays OVER 6 -115 (Heritage)
                                                                    White Sox +148 (Heritage)
                                                                    Athletics +102 (Bookmaker)
                                                                    Phillies / Padres UNDER 6.5 +105 (Heritage)
                                                                    Rangers / Mariners UNDER 6.5 +105 (5 Dimes)
                                                                    <br>
                                                                    <br>
                                                                    I'll take this as your response. LOL, Seeing as how you don't answer me anymore now that you are +70. LOL.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bet-clever
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 08-02-15
                                                                      • 113

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by eddycash
                                                                      RLM says Tigers will lose
                                                                      Comment
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