MLB - Thursday, 8/6/15

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Thursday, 8/6/15
    2 MLB Plays Thursday

    Padres / Brewers UNDER 8.5 -117 (5 Dimes)
    Red Sox / Yankees UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)


    YTD: 389-356-21, +68.19
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Could there be no Sides at all for the second straight day? We shall see later on.
    Comment
    • Enjoi
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-12-13
      • 328

      #3
      Your picks have gotten more strict the past 2 days LT...GL and let's finally break through to +70!
      Comment
      • Big Bear
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-01-11
        • 43253

        #4
        Originally posted by Enjoi
        Your picks have gotten more strict the past 2 days LT...GL and let's finally break through to +70!

        any teams showing a 60% chance of winning or better?
        Comment
        • Big Bear
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 11-01-11
          • 43253

          #5
          Lots of aces on the hill today. So tempting to lay the juice.
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by Enjoi
            Your picks have gotten more strict the past 2 days LT...GL and let's finally break through to +70!
            Not necessarily, it is that fewer plays (and no sides) have turned up. Not doing anything differently.
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by Big Bear
              any teams showing a 60% chance of winning or better?
              Dodgers 68% (-213)
              Yankees 61% (-156)
              Blue Jays 61% (-156)

              None of them are bettable based in current odds and I am considering going AGAINST Blue Jays with Twins.
              Comment
              • Smoke
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-09-09
                • 48111

                #8
                Originally posted by LT Profits
                Dodgers 68% (-213)
                Yankees 61% (-156)
                Blue Jays 61% (-156)

                None of them are bettable based in current odds and I am considering going AGAINST Blue Jays with Twins
                Comment
                • gregH
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 08-06-15
                  • 4

                  #9
                  Jays are hot, but min hits leftys. Maybe the over
                  Comment
                  • Big Bear
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-01-11
                    • 43253

                    #10
                    Originally posted by gregH
                    Jays are hot, but min hits leftys. Maybe the over
                    i hear a lot of people on the forum saying that line but they looked pretty shitty against lefty David Price.
                    Comment
                    • gregH
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 08-06-15
                      • 4

                      #11
                      Burl is no David price
                      Comment
                      • 2buckluck
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 04-10-15
                        • 608

                        #12
                        Originally posted by gregH
                        Burl is no David price
                        True but here's an interesting note - Buehrle's held the opposition to three earned runs or fewer in each of his last 10 starts...
                        Comment
                        • brett1508
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 07-22-15
                          • 38

                          #13
                          Ended up taking the Jays runline at +115. They beat the RL against the Twins the last three games. Maybe their luck is out but I figured I'd give it a shot.
                          Comment
                          • Blackballer
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-12-14
                            • 1117

                            #14
                            Hard to believe the Yankees are 61%. I would think number should be lower than that. What's the situation with CC Sabathia, is he 100% fit?
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              Like yanks under

                              Gl
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Still no additions at all, not betting Twins as of now with that line plummeting.
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Blackballer
                                  Hard to believe the Yankees are 61%.
                                  There is more to the model than only starting pitching.
                                  Comment
                                  • bet-clever
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 08-02-15
                                    • 113

                                    #18
                                    Over 7 in the game between Dbacks @ Nats cause the cut it too low to be not played and the batting average is in a good shape for both team.

                                    Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
                                    Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Washington.
                                    Over is 7-2-1 in Gibsons last 10 games behind home plate.
                                    Over is 5-2 in Gibsons last 7 Thursday games behind home plate.
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #19
                                      1 MLB Addition

                                      3 MLB Plays Thursday

                                      Padres / Brewers UNDER 8.5 -117 (5 Dimes)
                                      Red Sox / Yankees UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
                                      Giants / Cubs OVER 7 -110 (Heritage)
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        Still no Sides
                                        Comment
                                        • Blackballer
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-12-14
                                          • 1117

                                          #21
                                          What does the model say about Atlanta tonight?
                                          Comment
                                          • innovation
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-27-12
                                            • 6218

                                            #22
                                            Oakland ML
                                            Comment
                                            • Blackballer
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-12-14
                                              • 1117

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by innovation
                                              Oakland ML
                                              Astros have a bad record over their last 12 games on the road but Oakland could be the right team to solver their road woes. I see the Astros having the edge on offense and pitching tonight vs Oakland.
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Blackballer
                                                What does the model say about Atlanta tonight?
                                                Atlanta 53% (-113)
                                                Comment
                                                • Amadeo-Picks
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-20-14
                                                  • 1084

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                  Dodgers 68% (-213)
                                                  Yankees 61% (-156)
                                                  Blue Jays 61% (-156)

                                                  None of them are bettable based in current odds and I am considering going AGAINST Blue Jays with Twins.
                                                  told you not to back twins the other day. I'm telling you agen, don't back the twins. Toronto can be down by 5 runs in the first inning today. To them it's still with in reach at any giving moment of the game. The way twins are going ... 2-3 runs down early and you can call it game.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • HurlSweatPants
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 07-28-15
                                                    • 951

                                                    #26
                                                    Yeah LT why didn't you listen? Forget that you are up almost 70 units, when Amadeo tells you jump you say how high...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • eddycash
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-06-13
                                                      • 4527

                                                      #27
                                                      Yankees under 8.5 ok?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Vinnie Paz
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-27-12
                                                        • 12177

                                                        #28
                                                        Any preseason leans yet ???
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Amadeo-Picks
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-20-14
                                                          • 1084

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by HurlSweatPants
                                                          Yeah LT why didn't you listen? Forget that you are up almost 70 units, when Amadeo tells you jump you say how high...
                                                          20/30 ---2 weeks ago
                                                          22/28 ---last week
                                                          11/14 --- this week

                                                          I don't post all my plays here. But the ones I post are the ones I hammer. And by hammer I mean to win 5 k. I won't even get into how much I've made the last 3 weeks because u won't believe me. By all means good luck with ur twins play "hurssweatpants" otherwise u wouldn't have commented. Idk if he lt play it or not.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bet-clever
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 08-02-15
                                                            • 113

                                                            #30
                                                            over ok between Dbacks and Nats, I have to say thank you to Janssens cause Ross pitched a very good game...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TwoWays
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-24-10
                                                              • 13145

                                                              #31
                                                              Amadeus nice run. Don't be so unexpected with those locks. Post a single pick thread here so we can all reap the winnings
                                                              Comment
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