MLB - Monday, 7/27/15

[LT Profits]

5 MLB Play Monday

Braves +166 (5 Dimes)
White Sox / Red Sox OVER 9 -105 (Heritage)
Rangers +113 (5 Dimes)
Diamondbacks +120 (Heritage)
Brewers +158 (Heritage)


YTD: 358-322-19, +69.12

[Conqueror]

You'll surely pass the 70-unit mark today. Thanks for the good work.

[RollinDo]

I like the Under 9 in that one LT.
Maybe you'll have a write-up later on that one?
Right now it's not high on my list anyhow.

[Ra77er]

LT what line/percentage to you get on CWS/BOS? If you wouldn't mind sharing.

[LT Profits]

LT what line/percentage to you get on CWS/BOS? If you wouldn't mind sharing.

Boston 56% (-128), 10.1

[LT Profits]

You'll surely pass the 70-unit mark today. Thanks for the good work.

Don't put the whammy on me now!

[spro23]

Danks has a nice little scoreless inning streak going. He might surprise everyone against boston despite his shit ERA

[jjgold]

Rangers a sold play

LT looking to hit 70 unit mark today

[spro23]

Rangers a sold play

you have a lot of faith in their pitcher Harrison? why do you think that? The Yankees offense is pretty good

[Regul8er]

Because his system shows value in Texas.......Rangers have a pretty solid offense themselves, while Nova is no ace.

[unusialsusp5]

kyle lohse is a scary pitcher to back. heston almost threw another no-hitter last out. although, i'm sure the model shows SF slightly overpriced, i wouldn't be brimming with confidence with that MIL pick.

[Nitronett]

Any confidence in rockies?

[STAX]

good luck LT, I love love love the DBacks today... Robbie Ray has impressed me this year... got him in a couple lineups in DFS tonight...

[LT Profits]

Danks has a nice little scoreless inning streak going. He might surprise everyone against boston despite his shit ERA

Probably just fluky variance, Danks still has a 4.30 FIP and 4.50 xFIP that are basically in line with his ERA.

[LT Profits]

you have a lot of faith in their pitcher Harrison? why do you think that? The Yankees offense is pretty good

What's wrong with Harrison? He seemed fine in his second start back throwing six scoreless in COLORADO, he should only get stronger with more starts. And remember he is coming back from back surgery, there was never anything wrong with his arm. Nova on the other hand is not yet where he needs to be following Tommy John, averaging 4.55 strikeouts vs. 3.03 walks and 1.21 home runs allowed per nine innings.

[LT Profits]

kyle lohse is a scary pitcher to back. heston almost threw another no-hitter last out. although, i'm sure the model shows SF slightly overpriced, i wouldn't be brimming with confidence with that MIL pick.

Agree Lohse is scary these days, but you are also right about Brew being undervalued.

[Nitronett]

Love the analysis anything on col or kc?

[LT Profits]

Any confidence in rockies?

I was actually considering Rockies, passing for now. Model does love them, only has Cubs 57% (-133).

[LT Profits]

Love the analysis anything on col or kc?

Neutral on KC, I get Cleve 52% (-108)

[Nitronett]

Thanks LT. I love the texas pick as yanks usually struggle vs lefties

[LT Profits]

Any confidence in rockies?

I was actually considering Rockies, passing for now. Model does love them, only has Cubs 57% (-133).

I just added them

[LT Profits]

2 MLB Additions

7 MLB Play Monday

Braves +166 (5 Dimes)
White Sox / Red Sox OVER 9 -105 (Heritage)
Rockies +153 (DSI)
Rangers +113 (5 Dimes)
Reds / Cardinals OVER 7 -120 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks +120 (Heritage)
Brewers +158 (Heritage)

[wfoster2]

Would you still bet on Reds OVER 7.5 at EVEN money?

[charcoalbbq]

7 MLB Play Monday

Braves +166 (5 Dimes)
White Sox / Red Sox OVER 9 -105 (Heritage)
Rockies +153 (DSI)
Rangers +113 (5 Dimes)
Reds / Cardinals OVER 7 -120 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks +120 (Heritage)
Brewers +158 (Heritage)

what are your thoughts on playing Braves and Rockies first half? Both team's bullpen sucks now and would suck if we lose the lead in the 8th/9th innings

[LT Profits]

Would you still bet on Reds OVER 7.5 at EVEN money?

No, would want at least +110 at 7.5.

[RayrayJ]

Hey LT, what does your model say about Cards today? thanks

[LT Profits]

Hey LT, what does your model say about Cards today? thanks

Cards 65% (-186)

[BeanTownClown88]

Win or lose LT, it's compelling watching your unit count.
BOL!

[nyymvp]

Hey, I've been reading these for a while, keep up the good work. Quick question: Is each play the same amount?

[Big Bear]

Hey, I've been reading these for a while, keep up the good work. Quick question: Is each play the same amount?

yes.

[dirtycash66]

Damn, no under play today? Thats what i look forward to the most

[El Sol]

but you are also right about Brew being undervalued.

seems to be the consensus. My program has been spitting out MIL all season long

Damn, no under play today? Thats what i look forward to the most

I second this. Never comfortable betting overs as squares betting overs are a Books bread and butter, but I will blindly follow. Good luck

[RavensFan2k3]

what are your thoughts on playing Braves and Rockies first half? Both team's bullpen sucks now and would suck if we lose the lead in the 8th/9th innings

Good question

Amazing season LT, BOL to you and everyone

[LT Profits]

8th MLB Play

8 MLB Play Monday

Braves +166 (5 Dimes)
White Sox / Red Sox OVER 9 -105 (Heritage)
Royals / Indians OVER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
Rockies +153 (DSI)
Rangers +113 (5 Dimes)
Reds / Cardinals OVER 7 -120 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks +120 (Heritage)
Brewers +158 (Heritage)

[LT Profits]

Sorry guys, all three totals today are Overs.