MLB - Sunday, 7/26/15

[LT Profits]

5 MLB Play Sunday

Dodgers / Mets OVER 6 -106 (Bookmaker)
Nationals / Pirates OVER 7 -108 (5 Dimes)
Twins +108 (Heritage)
Royals +113 (5 Dimes)
Rangers / Angels UNDER 8 -108 (Bookmaker)


YTD: 353-318-19, +67.69

[chosen4th]

You've been doing really well with your totals lately, but that dodgers mets over is scary

[Rellik]

I see the Dodgers game with a 2-1 score. Greinke is pitching lights out but thats why they play the game. Have to wait and find out. Good Luck with all your plays. All of them look real good.

[BiffTFinancial]

You've been doing really well with your totals lately, but that dodgers mets over is scary

That's fair to say, but there are a few things favoring over: 13 mph wind out to left-center, over-leaning ump in Gonzalez (pitchers have an unreal 1.50 WHIP in his 20 games behind plate this season), Greinke off birth of first child and in middle of his insane scoreless inning streak, chance of showers later in game could mean rain delay. Greinke's mental toughness has improved as he's matured, but he used to be as fragile as an egg above the shoulders. Extra couple of days off with birth of child and long trip from LA to NYC thinking about Hershiser streak probably not ideal for his mental state.

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Addition

6 MLB Play Sunday

Dodgers / Mets OVER 6 -106 (Bookmaker)
White Sox +152 (Heritage)
Nationals / Pirates OVER 7 -108 (5 Dimes)
Twins +108 (Heritage)
Royals +113 (5 Dimes)
Rangers / Angels UNDER 8 -108 (Bookmaker)

[BELM0NT]

6 MLB Play Sunday

Dodgers / Mets OVER 6 -106 (Bookmaker)
White Sox +152 (Heritage)
Nationals / Pirates OVER 7 -108 (5 Dimes)
Twins +108 (Heritage)
Royals +113 (5 Dimes)
Rangers / Angels UNDER 8 -108 (Bookmaker)

Whitesox looking like $$$ again

[Big Bear]

6 MLB Play Sunday

Dodgers / Mets OVER 6 -106 (Bookmaker)
White Sox +152 (Heritage)
Nationals / Pirates OVER 7 -108 (5 Dimes)
Twins +108 (Heritage)
Royals +113 (5 Dimes)
Rangers / Angels UNDER 8 -108 (Bookmaker)

i see 10mph wind blowing straight in from center field at this ball park today. This may add a mile or 2 extra on the velocity for these 2 pitchers...

both are hard throwers anyway. Line movement and public betting percentages point to the White Sox being the play here. Indians are ice cold and Salazars numbers do not warrant him being priced this high.

so yeah this looks like a good play on paper.

[jjgold]

slugfest yesterday at Shea risky over play there

[Big Bear]

slugfest yesterday at Shea risky over play there

why would that make it risky JJ?

Both teams are swinging the bats well. That is ideally what you look for when betting on games to go over a total.

That and the wind blowing out helps.

[R.P. McMurphy]

Speaking of fragile minds and add immaturity to equation why Ventura over Koochy? Just got sent to Omaha early in wk and only back because Vargas just went on shelf. KC also not as effective vs lhp. What's your model on that gm say LT?

[thebettingman15]

hey LT, why do you like the royals against keuchel as he threw a gem against them the first time they played...just curious your thought process on that.

[Zenyatta 19-1]

LT is there any particular reason you like white sox? I liked them too

[goduke]

Any games where your model and the line are way off like Texas last night and nats the night before?

[Chi_archie]

Get em!

[Big Bear]

LT can you share your reasoning for the Pirates vs Nationals over?

both pitchers have great numbers and both bullpens are rested and the Nationals have a lot of 2nd stringers in the line-up

[unusialsusp5]

don't question the model. sure it looks like la/mets will go under and also pit/wash and houston looks like a lock vs kc stiff. but, many have been burned fading his model.

[LT Profits]

3 More MLB Additions (First at 1:10 ET!)

9 MLB Play Sunday

Dodgers / Mets OVER 6 -106 (Bookmaker)
White Sox +152 (Heritage)
White Sox / Indians UNDER 7 -110 (Heritage)
White Sox / Indians UNDER 3.5 -110 (5 innings) (Heritage)
Nationals / Pirates OVER 7 -108 (5 Dimes)
Twins +108 (Heritage)
Royals +113 (5 Dimes)
Rangers / Angels UNDER 8 -108 (Bookmaker)
Brewers / Diamondbacks UNDER 8 -110 (5 Dimes)

[Ghenghis Kahn]

Gl pal. Hope you break the 75 unit mark.

[Conqueror]

You've been doing really well with your totals lately, but that dodgers mets over is scary

That's why he's successful and the rest of us aren't. We utilize perception while he utilizes reality.

[Big Bear]

looks like the Dodgers / mets game is going under.

[James Marques]

It's the second inning.

[44 Mag]

It's the second inning.

Consider.....

[Big Bear]

dude its def going under

wtf were we thinking a 1.30 era vs a 2.18era..... vegas mind fukked us here boys.

i took the over on my own. Not b/c of LT but i only did it bc of the wind blowing out and the fading the public angle but i realize now it was a stupid play

[R.P. McMurphy]

Speaking of stupid plays I backed Stros/Koochy 1h ugh. Good call on KC so far it appears LT!

[greypimps]

brewers and dback game going over 8.. both garbage pitchers.. slug fest

[OperatorX]

grr missed this one by a couple inches Dodgers / Mets OVER 6 -106 (Bookmaker)

[leetreaper]

grr missed this one by a couple inches Dodgers / Mets OVER 6 -106 (Bookmaker)

lol, the game should've ended 2-0 long time ago

[k4ngur13]

good luck

[OperatorX]

lol, the game should've ended 2-0 long time ago

Can't argue with that but it was a few inches from the over!

[leetreaper]

Can't argue with that but it was a few inches from the over!

[mth61]

Great work LT,

the effin' hate around here is unbeleivable

[LT Profits]

if D-Bags stay Under, would be 5-4 day. And now on to my fantasy football mock draft at 8:00 ET at rtsports.

[chosen4th]

Another great week LT.. i got lucky, missed the dodgers Over, live bet them at o 4.5. Thanks for the good work!

[JameisBrady]

bet on the twins to beat a team they almost never beat brehs

[LEOLEO]

#L.T P.R.O.F.I.T.S