MLB - Tuesday, 7/21/15

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Tuesday, 7/21/15
    3 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Orioles / Yankees OVER 8.5 +104 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox +125 (5 Dimes)
    Padres +121 (Heritage)


    YTD: 338-303-19, +66.19
  • 44 Mag
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-14-13
    • 34490

    #2
    Originally posted by LT Profits
    3 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Orioles / Yankees OVER 8.5 +104 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox +125 (5 Dimes)
    Padres +121 (Heritage)


    YTD: 338-303-19, +66.19
    I thought I counted 9-2 for you yesterday ???? Wow!!!
    Comment
    • mth61
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-16-14
      • 611

      #3
      Man that whisox and fathers line looks like it got pummeled
      Comment
      • mth61
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-16-14
        • 611

        #4
        Thoughts on Baltimore? Do you think pub might pound yanks?
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by mth61
          Man that whisox and fathers line looks like it got pummeled
          It pays to bet the overnights, they are up until 8:00am ET
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by 44 Mag
            I thought I counted 9-2 for you yesterday ???? Wow!!!
            7-2-2
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by mth61
              Thoughts on Baltimore? Do you think pub might pound yanks?
              Pass on side, not a fan of either pitcher (ergo the Over ).
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Originally posted by LT Profits
                Pass on side, not a fan of either pitcher (ergo the Over ).
                FYI, model has Yanks 53% (-113), 9.4
                Comment
                • mth61
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-16-14
                  • 611

                  #9
                  Alright thanks bro, I always look at small dogs with high totals
                  Comment
                  • mth61
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-16-14
                    • 611

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    It pays to bet the overnights, they are up until 8:00am ET

                    I didn't get home till late and was waiting for you to post so I could hop on those lol
                    Comment
                    • mth61
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-16-14
                      • 611

                      #11
                      I like the fathers. I think they will have a nice 2nd half.

                      Side opinion note... Also bosox and Indians better 2nd halfs
                      Comment
                      • 44 Mag
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 10-14-13
                        • 34490

                        #12
                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                        7-2-2
                        Still, extremely nice work.
                        Comment
                        • BamaCBass
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-07-09
                          • 1252

                          #13
                          LT, I believe you've said before that for record keeping you bet to win one and risk one unit for plus $ but in actuality, you bet to win one for both dogs and faves. Is that correct and if so, can you note the logic or math? Thanks and congrats on your success.
                          Comment
                          • Big Bear
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-01-11
                            • 43253

                            #14
                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                            It pays to bet the overnights, they are up until 8:00am ET
                            how do u always know which way the line will move though?

                            sometimes you may get a better number by waiting ...no?
                            Comment
                            • mth61
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-16-14
                              • 611

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Big Bear
                              how do u always know which way the line will move though?

                              sometimes you may get a better number by waiting ...no?
                              I think I can answer this for LT, but please correct me if I am wrong LT. When he posts the play say at +120 he's seeing value as his suggested odds suggest that this team doesn't deserve to be such an underdog. If the line moves say to +110 than he would of got the better value, now if it moves to +130 it might be grounds to place more on it since there is more value present but just from following LT he seems to get the better of the line moves more often than not.
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388179

                                #16
                                Comment
                                • Big Bear
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 11-01-11
                                  • 43253

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by mth61
                                  I think I can answer this for LT, but please correct me if I am wrong LT. When he posts the play say at +120 he's seeing value as his suggested odds suggest that this team doesn't deserve to be such an underdog. If the line moves say to +110 than he would of got the better value, now if it moves to +130 it might be grounds to place more on it since there is more value present but just from following LT he seems to get the better of the line moves more often than not.
                                  i gotcha so if it goes from +110 to +130 and he bets it at +110 then he will bet it again at +130?

                                  the only thing is for some reason when you see rapid line movement going in one direction even though you get a worse number it still seems wise to go with the steam than against it.

                                  i know the rockies only won by 1 run in walk off fashion but they got off to a 7-0 lead by the 3rd inning last night and right before the game the Rockies line exploded moving about 30 cents to make the Rockies a -160 favorite.
                                  Comment
                                  • RollinDo
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-04-13
                                    • 13322

                                    #18
                                    I tend to get better lines in nhl, but predicting which way a line will move in mlb is so tricky.
                                    I got 2 Unders early yesterday in which both jumped quite a bit toward my plays, but they ended up losing badly.
                                    Today THE Same Situation...Beat the Line Movement FOR 3 OF My Unders...that is rare for me to get the best or nearly the best line in mlb.
                                    Betting the night before will kill you in totals (Unders in particular) because they most often move to a better price in the a.m.
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #19
                                      3 MLB Additions

                                      6 MLB Plays Tuesday

                                      Orioles / Yankees OVER 8.5 +104 (5 Dimes)
                                      White Sox +125 (5 Dimes)
                                      Pirates / Royals OVER 7 -105 (Heritage)
                                      Blue Jays / Athletics OVER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)

                                      Padres +121 (Heritage)
                                      Giants / Padres OVER 7 -110 (5 Dimes)

                                      A lot more Overs than usual the last couple of days, but that's the way it goes sometimes.
                                      Comment
                                      • Big Bear
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 11-01-11
                                        • 43253

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                        6 MLB Plays Tuesday

                                        Orioles / Yankees OVER 8.5 +104 (5 Dimes)
                                        White Sox +125 (5 Dimes)
                                        Pirates / Royals OVER 7 -105 (Heritage)
                                        Blue Jays / Athletics OVER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)

                                        Padres +121 (Heritage)
                                        Giants / Padres OVER 7 -110 (5 Dimes)

                                        A lot more Overs than usual the last couple of days, but that's the way it goes sometimes.
                                        weather play any role in that?
                                        Comment
                                        • eddycash
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-06-13
                                          • 4527

                                          #21
                                          Whitesox +115 all good?
                                          Comment
                                          • mth61
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-16-14
                                            • 611

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Big Bear
                                            i gotcha so if it goes from +110 to +130 and he bets it at +110 then he will bet it again at +130?

                                            the only thing is for some reason when you see rapid line movement going in one direction even though you get a worse number it still seems wise to go with the steam than against it.

                                            i know the rockies only won by 1 run in walk off fashion but they got off to a 7-0 lead by the 3rd inning last night and right before the game the Rockies line exploded moving about 30 cents to make the Rockies a -160 favorite.
                                            I am not putting words in LT's mouth, he would need to verify that but I have see him say he would add on some plays if the odds don't move.
                                            Comment
                                            • nyymvp
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 01-24-11
                                              • 213

                                              #23
                                              Is there any chance the Yanks over drops to 8?
                                              Comment
                                              • El Sol
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 05-17-08
                                                • 876

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by LT Profits

                                                A lot more Overs than usual the last couple of days, but that's the way it goes sometimes.
                                                Scares me a little, I'm never comfortable with overs. My service coincides with yours so I'm tailing. Good luck
                                                Comment
                                                • eddycash
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-06-13
                                                  • 4527

                                                  #25
                                                  Padres over seems fishy
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by eddycash
                                                    Whitesox +115 all good?
                                                    Not really, that is close to neutral. I get Cards 53% (-113).
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #27
                                                      Another MLB Addition

                                                      7 MLB Plays Tuesday

                                                      Orioles / Yankees OVER 8.5 +104 (5 Dimes)
                                                      White Sox +125 (5 Dimes)
                                                      Pirates / Royals OVER 7 -105 (Heritage)
                                                      Blue Jays -114 (Bookmaker)
                                                      Blue Jays / Athletics OVER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
                                                      Padres +121 (Heritage)
                                                      Giants / Padres OVER 7 -110 (5 Dimes)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Blackballer
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-12-14
                                                        • 1117

                                                        #28
                                                        I am with you on the overs. Especially the Yankees game.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • eddycash
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-06-13
                                                          • 4527

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                          Not really, that is close to neutral. I get Cards 53% (-113).
                                                          Thanks I'll keep waiting for +120
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Blackballer
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-12-14
                                                            • 1117

                                                            #30
                                                            Consider to take the Indians with Salazar on the mound. Good idea??
                                                            Comment
                                                            • alleneburch
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 07-21-15
                                                              • 2

                                                              #31
                                                              Orioles or Yankees?

                                                              Rays or Phillies?

                                                              Indians or Brewers?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Big Bear
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 11-01-11
                                                                • 43253

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                3 MLB Plays Tuesday

                                                                Orioles / Yankees OVER 8.5 +104 (5 Dimes)
                                                                White Sox +125 (5 Dimes)
                                                                Padres +121 (Heritage)


                                                                YTD: 338-303-19, +66.19
                                                                why you wanna fade MLB's best team with their ace on the bump?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jjgold
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                                  • 388179

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Bear how can we question LT??

                                                                  He is one the greatest baseball run of all times at SBR
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • STAX
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-01-13
                                                                    • 3718

                                                                    #34
                                                                    love CHISox tonight too LT,,, gonna be leg two of parlay. We both had Padres last night.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • eddycash
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-06-13
                                                                      • 4527

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Show me ur parlay stax, I hit a four teamer yesterday, building another today
                                                                      Comment
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