MLB - Thursday, 5/28/15

44 Mag · 05-28-15, 06:45 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

3 MLB Plays Thursday

Yankees / Athletics UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)
Padres +107 (Heritage)
Indians / Mariners OVER 6.5 -105 (Heritage)

YTD: 163-161-8, +17.09

Any thoughts on the over 6.5 in SD ??? IK is pitching. I know AJ is leading the majors in ERA. Also leaning over in Oak, CC is horrid.

LT Profits · 05-28-15, 07:26 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Any thoughts on the over 6.5 in SD ??? IK is pitching. I know AJ is leading the majors in ERA. Also leaning over in Oak, CC is horrid.

CC is lefty, A's can make him look like Cy Young.

San Diego total seems spot on, in fact cannot be any more spot on according to my model as it has EXACTLY 6.50 and goes out two decimals.

reaclast · 05-28-15, 07:52 AM

Boltimore ml, yankees ml, pittsburg rl, seatltle ml and sfc ml

Boltimore ml, Oakland ml, Pittsburg rl, seatleml and braves ml

what do u guys say?

Big Bear · 05-28-15, 08:03 AM

Originally posted by reaclast

Boltimore ml, yankees ml, pittsburg rl, seatltle ml and sfc ml

Boltimore ml, Oakland ml, Pittsburg rl, seatleml and braves ml

what do u guys say?

Yankees look like an easy play.

A's can't hit worth a damn. Especially against Lefties.

Other than that its the worst card i have seen in about 2 weeks.

reaclast · 05-28-15, 08:21 AM

Originally posted by Big Bear

Yankees look like an easy play.

A's can't hit worth a damn. Especially against Lefties.

Other than that its the worst card i have seen in about 2 weeks.

but sabathia sucks :/

RollinDo · 05-28-15, 09:08 AM

Some thing's not right with the Under 6.5 in Seattle game at +100...any ideas why?
That could be a 3-1 kinda game.

Jayvegas420 · 05-28-15, 09:24 AM

Bear, isn't it 6 am?

RollinDo · 05-28-15, 09:40 AM

Also Braves +1 and Under 7 in SF look pretty solid.

jjgold · 05-28-15, 10:03 AM

Like Texas so far

LT Profits · 05-28-15, 10:52 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Like Texas so far

Careful, Rodriguez could be a stud. He is a highly regarded lefty that had nothing else to prove at Triple-A, and even though the Red Sox are publicly calling this a spot start, he could stick if he can bring his form to the majors given the state of the Boston pitching staff. And Martinez is probably the biggest regression candidate in all of baseball right now.

RollinDo · 05-28-15, 10:52 AM

Did you change from Under to Over in M's game?
Could have sworn I saw Under...if you like Over, could you elaborate?
I LOVE the Under...unless there is an Over ump...but Umps ate not assigned yet.

LT Profits · 05-28-15, 10:55 AM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Did you change from Under to Over in M's game?
Could have sworn I saw Under...if you like Over, could you elaborate?
I LOVE the Under...unless there is an Over ump...but Umps ate not assigned yet.

No was on Over the whole time with no edits. Just trusting my model there which has 7.4 pre-umps. Note I would NOT play it at current number of 7, but liked it at 6.5 -105.

RollinDo · 05-28-15, 11:04 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

No was on Over the whole time with no edits. Just trusting my model there which has 7.4 pre-umps. Note I would NOT play it at current number of 7, but liked it at 6.5 -105.

Got'cha- thanks for the input.
I don't have a model..just base it on known factors and my leans from the outset.

LT Profits · 05-28-15, 11:15 AM

2 MLB Additions

5 MLB Plays Thursday

Red Sox -108 (Heritage)
Red Sox -110 (5 innings) (Heritage)
Yankees / Athletics UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)
Padres +107 (Heritage)
Indians / Mariners OVER 6.5 -105 (Heritage)

RavensFan2k3 · 05-28-15, 11:19 AM

Red Sox why? I literally almost just locked in Texas

LT Profits · 05-28-15, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Red Sox why? I literally almost just locked in Texas

Easy call in my eyes. Rodriguez is probably a future stud and Martinez is probably the biggest regression candidate in all of baseball.

44 Mag · 05-28-15, 11:22 AM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Red Sox why? I literally almost just locked in Texas

Because he knows I took Texas, so he is going the other way, smart.

RavensFan2k3 · 05-28-15, 11:26 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Easy call in my eyes. Rodriguez is probably a future stud and Martinez is probably the biggest regression candidate in all of baseball.

Ok, im going to take your word

LT Profits · 05-28-15, 02:20 PM

6th MLB Play

6 MLB Plays Thursday

Red Sox -108 (Heritage)
Red Sox -110 (5 innings) (Heritage)
Red Sox / Rangers OVER 9 -103 (5 Dimes)
Yankees / Athletics UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)
Padres +107 (Heritage)
Indians / Mariners OVER 6.5 -105 (Heritage)

Ghenghis Kahn · 05-28-15, 05:55 PM

boston always has these juicy line moves but rarely come through. will today be the day?

hmmm... what do you think lt? is this rodriguez guy for real?

LT Profits · 05-28-15, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn

boston always has these juicy line moves but rarely come through. will today be the day?

hmmm... what do you think lt? is this rodriguez guy for real?

Perfect storm as both pitchers point to Boston, so only one may need to come true. If Rodriguez lives up to his hype and minor league numbers, it may not matter what Martinez does. And if Martinez converges to his peripheral numbers and implodes, in may not matter what Rodriguez does.

LT Profits · 05-28-15, 06:05 PM

By the way, line is now starting to get out of hand, my model has Boston around -125, which is just a shade higher than current market.

Ghenghis Kahn · 05-28-15, 06:06 PM

boston games always get inflated for some reason. not sure why though.

WiseBeyond · 05-28-15, 07:09 PM

My Picks

My picks!
NY Yankees vs Oak Athletics		NY Yankees
PIT pirates vs SDG Padres		San Diego Padres
TEX rangers vs Boston Red Sox		Tex Rangers