2015 SDQL Baseball Thread

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 7 + 104 Rockies vs Pirates
Play Under 7 - 110 Royals vs Rays

season > 2008 and H and 10 > month > 5 and SG < 4 and 5 > streak > -5 and 1 > tA(HR) > .7 and s:SRA < 6 and p:hits < 11 and 16 > op:hits > 4 and sss:SRA < 4 and rest = 0 and p:home runs < 2 and os:SSO < 11 and oss:SSO < 10 and os:SHA < 11 and 2 < oss:SHA < 11 and p:IT < 6 and p:LOB < 21 and s:SPT < 122 and ss:SPT < 119 and team != Rockies and team != Athletics and o:team != Blue Jays and (p:errors + pp:errors + ppp:errors + pppp:errors + ppppp:errors + pppppp:errors) < 10 and (op:errors + opp:errors + oppp:errors + opppp:errors + oppppp:errors + opppppp:errors) < 8 and (p:temperature < 91 or p:temperature = Indoors)

( Bases )
ROI % 27

[UNLV34]

First play:

Play Pirates RL - 105

team=Pirates and H and p:SIP>7 and p:SRA<4 and date>=20120905

( SDQG )
ROI % RL 49 13-8

21-0 ML

More Support for the Pirates today:

team = Rockies and line >= 200 and A and s:runs > 5 and date >= 20080708

Rockies are 0-11 since 2008.

[Alex Vaile]

More Support for the Pirates today:

team = Rockies and line >= 200 and A and s:runs > 5 and date >= 20080708

Rockies are 0-11 since 2008.

You know what with that I'll add that they're 21-0 this season with the query I posted earlier so why not add more juice for me.

[Alex Vaile]

Play Angels + 110

A and Sum(L@team and season,N=7) >= 5 and line >= 100 and 54>=WP>=51 and o:WP<50 and 2008<=season

( Jmon )
ROI % 39

[UNLV34]

Play on Phillies +105

team = Phillies and H and p:L and o:team = Padres and date >= 20090419

Phillies are 7-1 at home vs the Padres since 2009 and 5 out of the last 6 games have stayed UNDER.

[UNLV34]

Play on Angels/Indians OVER

team = Indians and H and p:W and total = 8 and date >= 20150410

team = Angels and A and SG=1 and date >= 20150518

Indians are 6-2 OVER in 2015 as a home favorite; Angels are 13-0 OVER in 1st game of a road series.

[UNLV34]

Okay .. now I am confused about the Angels/Indians OVER pick. After further investigation, I found this ..

team = Angels and A and SG=1 and o:team = Indians and date >= 20080815

This query indicates since 2008, the UNDER is 0-8 between these 2 teams in the Indians park.

Questions .. What's the more important and accurate query to go by .. the 2015 query previously posted OR the team query for the history between Angels and Indians??

[Alex Vaile]

Play on Angels/Indians OVER

team = Indians and H and p:W and total = 8 and date >= 20150410

team = Angels and A and SG=1 and date >= 20150518

Indians are 6-2 OVER in 2015 as a home favorite; Angels are 13-0 OVER in 1st game of a road series.

That's right good memory UNLV i posted that 1 last time. I like it!

[Alex Vaile]

Here's a bonus I picked up from MTI. A 2 team 6 pt teaser for upcoming weekend of NFL preseason.
MTi's 2-team, 6-point teaser

Detroit +8, Indianapolis +7.5 (lines now Det+7, Indy +8.5)

[UNLV34]

That's right good memory UNLV i posted that 1 last time. I like it!

Hey Alex .. maybe it's my imagination, but do you notice our query research is almost spot on during the week, but weekend play is the exact opposite with results??

[biz1127]

Okay .. now I am confused about the Angels/Indians OVER pick. After further investigation, I found this ..

team = Angels and A and SG=1 and o:team = Indians and date >= 20080815

This query indicates since 2008, the UNDER is 0-8 between these 2 teams in the Indians park.

Questions .. What's the more important and accurate query to go by .. the 2015 query previously posted OR the team query for the history between Angels and Indians??

There isn't one. Playing trends based on teams can be a slippery slope. There are many factors that go into why a game between 2 teams goes 1 way, or based on 1 team.

For me, angle/system plays are much more valuable if they have many games and are a league wide system. The predictive value is stronger than with a short term team trend.

[UNLV34]

There isn't one. Playing trends based on teams can be a slippery slope. There are many factors that go into why a game between 2 teams goes 1 way, or based on 1 team.

For me, angle/system plays are much more valuable if they have many games and are a league wide system. The predictive value is stronger than with a short term team trend.

Hey Biz .. Thanks for the clarification. I can see your point with predictive value in handicapping. I will also incorporate it to see if our results gets a better winning result.

[Alex Vaile]

Hey Alex .. maybe it's my imagination, but do you notice our query research is almost spot on during the week, but weekend play is the exact opposite with results??

Spot on as in wins? Or that u and I agree on plays?

[Alex Vaile]

Yesterday's results : 5-4-1 for even units
Season to date : 363-354 - 3.47 units

Pirates ML and RL, Jays under, Giants over, Royals under winners and Mets ML and RL, Angels and Pirates under losers with Nats over a push.

[Alex Vaile]

Today's plays:

Play Twins + 109

(s:SPT + ss:SPT) > 222 and s:SPT > 96 and ss:SPT < 132 and 58 < sss:SPT < 123 and s:SHA < 8 and s:SRA < 6 and ss:SRA < 7 and sss:SRA < 6 and ss:SHA > 3 and 7 > s:SWA > 0 and ss:SWA < 6 and sss:SWA < 4 and starter rest < 9 and s:starter rest < 8 and s:SSO > 3 and 12 > ss:SSO > 2 and total < 11 and p:hits < 16 and 19 > pp:hits > 3 and 1 < ppp:hits < 22 and streak < 6 and ou streak > -5 and game number > 30 and 8 > os:SRA > 0 and 14 > o:starter rest > 4 and 23 > os:starter rest > 3 and 24.5 > (s:SIP + ss:SIP + sss:SIP) > 16 and (os:SIP + oss:SIP + osss:SIP) > 11.35 and o:streak < 5 and oA(hits, N=10) < 11 and tA(doubles, N=10) < 2.9 and tA(BPRA, N=10) < 2.5 and oA(BPRA, N=10) > .4

( Bases )
ROI % 32

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 7.5 - 125 Angels vs Indians
Play Under 8 -112 Astros vs Twins

season > 2008 and H and 10 > month > 5 and SG < 4 and 5 > streak > -5 and 1 > tA(HR) > .7 and s:SRA < 6 and p:hits < 11 and 16 > op:hits > 4 and sss:SRA < 4 and rest = 0 and p:home runs < 2 and os:SSO < 11 and oss:SSO < 10 and os:SHA < 11 and 2 < oss:SHA < 11 and p:IT < 6 and p:LOB < 21 and s:SPT < 122 and ss:SPT < 119 and team != Rockies and team != Athletics and o:team != Blue Jays and (p:errors + pp:errors + ppp:errors + pppp:errors + ppppp:errors + pppppp:errors) < 10 and (op:errors + opp:errors + oppp:errors + opppp:errors + oppppp:errors + opppppp:errors) < 8 and (p:temperature < 91 or p:temperature = Indoors)

( Bases )
ROI % 27

[Alex Vaile]

Today's results : 1-2 - 1.25 units
Season to date : 364-356 - 4.72 units

Twins under winner and Twins ML, Angels under losers

[Alex Vaile]

Play Braves + 151

(s:SPT + ss:SPT) > 222 and s:SPT > 96 and ss:SPT < 132 and 58 < sss:SPT < 123 and s:SHA < 8 and s:SRA < 6 and ss:SRA < 7 and sss:SRA < 6 and ss:SHA > 3 and 7 > s:SWA > 0 and ss:SWA < 6 and sss:SWA < 4 and starter rest < 9 and s:starter rest < 8 and s:SSO > 3 and 12 > ss:SSO > 2 and total < 11 and p:hits < 16 and 19 > pp:hits > 3 and 1 < ppp:hits < 22 and streak < 6 and ou streak > -5 and game number > 30 and 8 > os:SRA > 0 and 14 > o:starter rest > 4 and 23 > os:starter rest > 3 and 24.5 > (s:SIP + ss:SIP + sss:SIP) > 16 and (os:SIP + oss:SIP + osss:SIP) > 11.35 and o:streak < 5 and oA(hits, N=10) < 11 and tA(doubles, N=10) < 2.9 and tA(BPRA, N=10) < 2.5 and oA(BPRA, N=10) > .4

( Bases )
ROI % 32

[Alex Vaile]

Play Reds + 111

DIV and D and p:W and 40<=o:WP<48

ROI % 10

[Alex Vaile]

Play Royals + 104

(so:R1 = 3 or so:R1 = 4) and SG != 2 and 5 > SGS > 1 and s:SRA < 10 and 3 < s:SHA < 10 and s:SWA < 5 and 6 > s:SSO > 1 and starter rest < 17 and s:SPT > 56 and os:SRA < 8 and s:SHRA < 4 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SPT > 69 and o:starter rest < 18 and p:hits < 12 and 0 < ss:SSO < 12 and ss:SPT > 66 and -8 < os:margin < 6 and tA(hits,N=10) > 6.8 and oA(LOB, N=10) < 18.5 and 1.4 < oA(walks, N=10) < 4.8 and tA(walks, N=10) > 1.7

( Bases )
ROI % 29

[Alex Vaile]

Play Rockies + 195

starter=Jorge De La Rosa and o:streak>=3 and date>=20130800

( SDQG )

De la Rosa 10-0 in this spot.

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 8 + 105 Angels vs Indians

tA(runs, N=10) - oA(runs, N=10) > 0.5 and tA(BPRA, N=10) - oA(BPRA, N=10) < -0.5 and STDSERA - o:STDSERA < -0.5 and playoffs = 0 and H and line > -145 and month > 4 and season=2015

ROI % 26

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 8 -120 Rockies vs Pirates
Play Under 8 - 108 Padres vs Phillies
Play Under 7 + 105 Royals vs Rays

season > 2008 and H and 10 > month > 5 and SG < 4 and 5 > streak > -5 and 1 > tA(HR) > .7 and s:SRA < 6 and p:hits < 11 and 16 > op:hits > 4 and sss:SRA < 4 and rest = 0 and p:home runs < 2 and os:SSO < 11 and oss:SSO < 10 and os:SHA < 11 and 2 < oss:SHA < 11 and p:IT < 6 and p:LOB < 21 and s:SPT < 122 and ss:SPT < 119 and team != Rockies and team != Athletics and o:team != Blue Jays and (p:errors + pp:errors + ppp:errors + pppp:errors + ppppp:errors + pppppp:errors) < 10 and (op:errors + opp:errors + oppp:errors + opppp:errors + oppppp:errors + opppppp:errors) < 8 and (p:temperature < 91 or p:temperature = Indoors)

( Bases )
ROI % 27

[Alex Vaile]

Play Under 9.5 -115 Orioles vs Rangers

H and tS(o:runs<5,N=3) = 3 and op:margin = -1 and total > 8 and season>2009

ROI % 19

[UNLV34]

Spot on as in wins? Or that u and I agree on plays?

Good morning Alex. I was stating you and I agree on plays. However, I find whatever query results I get for weekend games, the win results go in the opposite direction (Lol).

Maybe it's just my luck.

[UNLV34]

Play Indians -135

team = Angels and A and LGS and SG=3 and p:L and pp:L and date >= 20140928

Angels are 0-7 since September 2014 on the road in the last game of a series after dropping both games.

[UNLV34]

Play Under 8.0 Mariners/White Sox +100

team = Mariners and A and LGS and SG=4 and o:streak <=2 and date >=20140507

team = White Sox and H and LGS and SG=4 and o:streak <=2 and season = 2015

White Sox are 0-3 Under at home for 2015 and Mariners are 0-8 Under on the road since May 2014 in this spot.

[Alex Vaile]

Play Indians -135

team = Angels and A and LGS and SG=3 and p:L and pp:L and date >= 20140928

Angels are 0-7 since September 2014 on the road in the last game of a series after dropping both games.

Funny I was just gonna post this... more support for a Indians

[Alex Vaile]

Play Indians - 130

team=Angels and A and 2<=o:streak and date>=20140927

( SDQG )

Angels 0 and 14 in this spot. Good luck to us!!

[UNLV34]

Play Phillies +130

team = Phillies and H and LGS and SG=3 and o:streak <=3 and o:team=Padres

Phillies are 7-1 at home since 2004, and 5-0 since 2008 verses the Padres. Also Phillies are 5-0 this season verses Padres this season.

[Alex Vaile]

Here's a bonus I picked up from MTI. A 2 team 6 pt teaser for upcoming weekend of NFL preseason.
MTi's 2-team, 6-point teaser

Detroit +8, Indianapolis +7.5 (lines now Det+7, Indy +8.5)

Bonus teaser winner winner. Hope u guys cashed!

[Alex Vaile]

Good morning Alex. I was stating you and I agree on plays. However, I find whatever query results I get for weekend games, the win results go in the opposite direction (Lol).

Maybe it's just my luck.

Hey bud. Ya it's a bit strange how the days go... definitely up and down season. I've been up 18 units twice and have come back down. I could be a bit more selective on my big juiced favs to minimize damage but I have pretty much been playing most queries thay spit out a high ROI. The weekends can be tough, I feel more home team wins if anything but also so many shit bullpens have ruined us this season. It's gotta turn around I feel. Best of luck UNLV!

[biz1127]

Game has started but will share anyway:

day=Sunday and H and p:O and pp:U and p:W and season>=2007 and 8<total<10


Playing the UNDER (total is 8.5-9.5), on a Sunday, where the Home Team won the previous and it went over, and the Friday game went Under.

80-134-9 (-0.08, 37.4%)

avg total: 9.0

over / under: -$6,620 / +$4,540

ROI: -27.2% / +18.4%

Detroit/Toronto UNDER 9.5

[Bbfromgpt]

Game has started but will share anyway:

day=Sunday and H and p:O and pp:U and p:W and season>=2007 and 8<total<10


Playing the UNDER (total is 8.5-9.5), on a Sunday, where the Home Team won the previous and it went over, and the Friday game went Under.

80-134-9 (-0.08, 37.4%)

avg total: 9.0

over / under: -$6,620 / +$4,540

ROI: -27.2% / +18.4%

Detroit/Toronto UNDER 9.5

Almost 2 hours after the game started, but thanks for the info

[Alex Vaile]

Today's results: 5-5 + .92 units
Season to date : 369-361 - 3.8 units

Royals under, Rockies and Rockies under, Indians and Rangers under winners and Royals, Braves, Reds, Phillies under and Indians under losers. Nice dog on Rockies that's about it.