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  • BiffTFinancial
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-09
    • 22670

    #876
    Some numbers in support of plays:

    Shoemakers opposition TTs this season (19 starts) finishing at 3 or less: 13 of 19 overall starts, 8 of 10 on road, 6 of 6 last 6, 12 of 15 vs teams other than the A's

    Cueto as home fave with total between 6 and 7: 19-4-1 ML
    Royals L28 as fave: 21-7 ML
    Royals L51 as home fave: 35-16 ML
    Royals L64 at home: 44-20 ML

    Mets: 19 of 59 wins overall by one run, and 15 of 38 home wins by one run
    Niese: this season, 6 of 21 starts have been multi-run wins, 3 of 10 at home; career vs Rockies, 1 of 7 starts have been multi-run wins; hasn't pitched well at home (4.30 home ERA vs 3.51 overall ERA)

    Beyond that, on a less objective level, I think (and my model agrees):
    - Shoemaker continues to dominate
    - White Sox are on verge of packing it in (was checking out some info this weekend about how disappointed players were that front office did nothing at trade deadline despite fact team was playing well)
    - Good as the Mets have been of late, their offense remains pretty mediocre and winning a game at home by multiple runs will remain a challenge for them
    - Cueto has to be champing at the bit to get his first W as a Royal, and i think he'll pitch well in his first home start with the great energy from the home crowd in that ballpark
    - Tigers are a shitshow, and fortunate that the White Sox and Tribe are in their division to distract a bit from it. After the dugout incident this weekend, have to wonder if Ausmus is commanding much respect at all (could well lose his job if clubhouse is indeed fractured)
    - Dodgers terrible spot, kind of game in which bats usually struggle (off SNB and long trip)
    Comment
    • BiffTFinancial
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-29-09
      • 22670

      #877
      Monday 8.10.2015 final card
      1* Parlay: Rockies RL + Royals ML (+140) - LOSER
      1* White Sox TT under 3' (-110) - LOSER
      1* Dodgers TT under 3' (-110) - WINNER

      1-2 -1.1u

      155-150-19 +9.18u season to date
      Comment
      • BiffTFinancial
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-29-09
        • 22670

        #878
        Sunday 8.23.2015
        1* Astros team total under 3 (-125)
        1* Jays/Angels under 8 (+100)
        1* Giants/Pirates under 7' (-112)

        BOL to all today
        Comment
        • BiffTFinancial
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-29-09
          • 22670

          #879
          one more

          1* Cubs team total over 5' (-105)

          Sunday 8.23.2015 updated card
          1* Astros TT under 3 (-125)
          1* Cubs TT over 5' (-105)
          1* Jays/Angels under 8 (+100)
          1* Giants/Pirates under 7' (-112)

          BOL to all today.
          Comment
          • BiffTFinancial
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-29-09
            • 22670

            #880
            Sunday 8.23.2015 final card
            1* Astros TT under 3 (-125) - PUSH
            1* Cubs TT over 5' (-105) - WINNER
            1* Jays/Angels under 8 (+100) - LOSER
            1* Giants/Pirates under 7' (-112) - WINNER

            2-1-1 +1u

            157-151-20 +10.18u season to date
            Comment
            • Alex Vaile
              SBR MVP
              • 04-19-14
              • 3724

              #881
              Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
              Sunday 8.23.2015 final card
              1* Astros TT under 3 (-125) - PUSH
              1* Cubs TT over 5' (-105) - WINNER
              1* Jays/Angels under 8 (+100) - LOSER
              1* Giants/Pirates under 7' (-112) - WINNER

              2-1-1 +1u

              157-151-20 +10.18u season to date
              Wouldn't Giants under be a push? Final was 5 to 2. Nice season!
              Comment
              • McCarthyFam
                SBR MVP
                • 07-06-11
                • 1700

                #882
                Apostrophe means .5, so he had under 7.5
                Comment
                • Alex Vaile
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-19-14
                  • 3724

                  #883
                  Oh shoot my mistake sorry. I got it at 7 -117 so I just figured. Ok cool nice win!
                  Comment
                  • BiffTFinancial
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-29-09
                    • 22670

                    #884
                    Originally posted by McCarthyFam
                    Apostrophe means .5, so he had under 7.5
                    Thanks for chiming in, pal. How have you been? Hope that all is well.
                    Comment
                    • BiffTFinancial
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-29-09
                      • 22670

                      #885
                      Originally posted by Alex Vaile
                      Oh shoot my mistake sorry. I got it at 7 -117 so I just figured. Ok cool nice win!
                      No worries. I bet it early and good thing that i did so that i had the hook. Thanks for the kind words and thank you for stopping by.
                      Comment
                      • RavensFan2k3
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-18-12
                        • 17378

                        #886
                        Goodluck today with your plays buddy
                        Comment
                        • BiffTFinancial
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-29-09
                          • 22670

                          #887
                          Monday 8.24.2015
                          1* Parlay: Mets ML + Orioles RL (+123)
                          1* Astros/Yankees over 8 (-120)
                          1* Reds team total over 4' (-110)

                          BOL to all tonight.
                          Comment
                          • BiffTFinancial
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-29-09
                            • 22670

                            #888
                            Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                            Goodluck today with your plays buddy
                            Thanks, man, BOL to you too!
                            Comment
                            • BiffTFinancial
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-29-09
                              • 22670

                              #889
                              Monday 8.24.2015 final card
                              1* Parlay: Mets ML + Orioles RL (+123) - LOSER
                              1* Astros/Yankees over 8 (-120) - LOSER
                              1* Reds team total over 4' (-110) - WINNER

                              1-2 -1.3u

                              158-153-20 +8.88u season to date
                              Comment
                              • BiffTFinancial
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-29-09
                                • 22670

                                #890
                                Tuesday 8.25.2015
                                1* Mets/Phillies over 8 (-117)
                                1* Jays team total over 4' (-115)
                                1* Giants team total under 3 (-120)

                                BOL to all tonight
                                Comment
                                • BiffTFinancial
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-29-09
                                  • 22670

                                  #891
                                  Tuesday 8.25.2015 final card
                                  1* Mets/Phillies over 8 (-117) - WINNER
                                  1* Jays team total over 4' (-115) - WINNER
                                  1* Giants team total under 3 (-120) - LOSER

                                  2-1 +0.8u

                                  160-154-20 +9.68u season to date
                                  Comment
                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-29-09
                                    • 22670

                                    #892
                                    Wednesday 8.26.2015
                                    1* A's/Mariners over 7 (-115)
                                    1* Rockies/Braves FF under 3' (-105)
                                    1* Red Sox/White Sox FF under 3' (-115)
                                    Comment
                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-29-09
                                      • 22670

                                      #893
                                      adding

                                      1* Cubs team total over 3' (-120)

                                      Wednesday 8.26.2015 updated card
                                      1* A's/Mariners over 7 (-115) - WINNER
                                      1* Rockies/Braves FF under 3' (-105)
                                      1* Red Sox/White Sox FF under 3' (-115)
                                      1* Cubs TT over 3' (-120)

                                      BOL to all tonight
                                      Comment
                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-29-09
                                        • 22670

                                        #894
                                        Wednesday 8.26.2015 final card
                                        1* A's/Mariners over 7 (-115) - WINNER
                                        1* Rockies/Braves FF under 3' (-105) - WINNER
                                        1* Red Sox/White Sox FF under 3' (-115) - WINNER
                                        1* Cubs TT over 3' (-120) - LOSER

                                        3-1 +1.8u

                                        163-155-20 +11.48u season to date
                                        Comment
                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-29-09
                                          • 22670

                                          #895
                                          Thursday 8.27.2015
                                          1* Dodgers team total over 4 (-125)
                                          Comment
                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-29-09
                                            • 22670

                                            #896
                                            Also likely will be on Twins/Rays over. Currently, over 7' is +112; waiting in hope that i can get over 7 at a reasonable price (currently -125).
                                            Comment
                                            • BiffTFinancial
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-29-09
                                              • 22670

                                              #897
                                              Thursday 8.27.2015 final card
                                              1* Dodgers team total over 4 (-125) - LOSER

                                              0-1 -1.25u

                                              booked Twins/Rays over but forgot to post. oh well.

                                              163-156-20 +10.23u season to date
                                              Comment
                                              • Luv2Play2
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-24-10
                                                • 2461

                                                #898
                                                havent been here in awhile but thought id say gl brownies.. oh hell they are playing my bucs 2night.. gl always biff
                                                hell while im @ it hit them long & str8
                                                Comment
                                                • McCarthyFam
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-06-11
                                                  • 1700

                                                  #899
                                                  I've been well. Just bought my very first home and found out in July that I have my first child on the while. So lots of excitement going on. How are you and the family!!?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • terrortwylight
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-04-09
                                                    • 3032

                                                    #900
                                                    hey biff!

                                                    you watching this garbage NCAAF game? not only am i watching it but i also have action on it hahahaha
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-29-09
                                                      • 22670

                                                      #901
                                                      Originally posted by Luv2Play2
                                                      havent been here in awhile but thought id say gl brownies.. oh hell they are playing my bucs 2night.. gl always biff
                                                      hell while im @ it hit them long & str8
                                                      Hello, L2P2, how've you been? Haven't played nearly enough golf this year, thinking about catching up with some early morning fall golf.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                        • 22670

                                                        #902
                                                        Originally posted by terrortwylight
                                                        hey biff!

                                                        you watching this garbage NCAAF game? not only am i watching it but i also have action on it hahahaha
                                                        I have action too. Actually have a hot tip on Griz offense to surprise, so played over 1u, Griz TT over .6u, Griz +14' .6u. In the aftermath of Montana's TD, this might be the best i feel all CFB season. Better enjoy it!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-29-09
                                                          • 22670

                                                          #903
                                                          Originally posted by McCarthyFam
                                                          I've been well. Just bought my very first home and found out in July that I have my first child on the while. So lots of excitement going on. How are you and the family!!?
                                                          Wow, big congrats, dude! That's awesome. Enjoy every minute of it. Family is great, thanks for asking. We're down to last few weeks of divorce shit, life really will be grand once that is over. Since you mentioned, here are a couple of pics of me and the boy at Tribe game last night. He got a game ball, and then Mike Trout sent batting gloves to him and another kid (and after Trout struck out in the 9th and was frustrated - pure class, that guy). Here is pic early and pic late during fireworks with batting gloves:



                                                          [sorry, i'm shitty at posting pics and stuff, guess a click is required; anyway, great night!]
                                                          Comment
                                                          • terrortwylight
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-04-09
                                                            • 3032

                                                            #904
                                                            Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                            I have action too. Actually have a hot tip on Griz offense to surprise, so played over 1u, Griz TT over .6u, Griz +14' .6u. In the aftermath of Montana's TD, this might be the best i feel all CFB season. Better enjoy it!
                                                            damn i should have conferred with you beforehand
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BiffTFinancial
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-29-09
                                                              • 22670

                                                              #905
                                                              Originally posted by terrortwylight
                                                              damn i should have conferred with you beforehand
                                                              Eh, no reason to think that i'd have even been paying attention to this game. I have done a lot of CFB prep, hope i get a chance to use it...

                                                              Here's one tip for you: look to back Navy in AAC games (excluding Houston game and maybe Memphis game). AAC teams see nothing like Navy's triple option, and none have a bye week pre-Navy. Houston and Memphis will be able to exploit Navy's DBs, but the other teams on their conference schedule won't so easily. The triple option and time of possession could lead to some lopsided scores against the bad AAC teams.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • McCarthyFam
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-06-11
                                                                • 1700

                                                                #906
                                                                Thanks Biff. Much appreciated! And that's awesome to experience that with your boys. Bet they were pretty pumped. Going to have a NCAA or NFL thread this year!?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BiffTFinancial
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                                  • 22670

                                                                  #907
                                                                  Thursday 10.1.2015
                                                                  1* Twins/Tribe under 7' (+104)
                                                                  1* Twins/Tribe FF under 4 (-115)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                                    • 22670

                                                                    #908
                                                                    Spot play on the Tribe under/FF under tonight. Autumn returned to Cleveland overnight (took my daughter to Tribe game last night in the nick of time!). It's crazy windy (20-25 mph from ENE with gusts to 35 mph) and while the temp isn't that cold, the high relative humidity makes it that "wet cold" that gets inside your clothes and the contrast to recent warm temps makes it feel cooler than it actually is (and players on both sides last night were bundling up even though it was pretty nice). We have erstwhile under ump Brian O'Nora behind the plate, and Duffey goes for the Twins and has been dealing. Bauer isn't the easiest guy to trust, but based upon Tito's comments about giving him one more start, i don't think they'll leave him out there if he doesn't have it tonight. Of course, Twins need every W then can get (they went to the pen early last night when Pelfrey couldn't sit down the Tribe's skeleton lineup). Under both ways for me, BOL if you play it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-29-09
                                                                      • 22670

                                                                      #909
                                                                      Originally posted by McCarthyFam
                                                                      Thanks Biff. Much appreciated! And that's awesome to experience that with your boys. Bet they were pretty pumped. Going to have a NCAA or NFL thread this year!?
                                                                      Hey, sorry didn't respond to this timely - hadn't returned to MLB forum since last post, but yesterday too good to pass up and wanted to share. Come by and check me out in CFB forum. Hope that you're enjoying your new home and that all is well health-wise with mother and baby on the way!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                                        • 22670

                                                                        #910
                                                                        Thursday 10.1.2015 final card
                                                                        1* Twins/Tribe under 7' (+104) - WINNER
                                                                        1* Twins/Tribe FF under 4 (-115) - WINNER

                                                                        2-0 +2.04u

                                                                        Sure was nice to read that one well and nail it. Surprise, surprise, it was the Tribe bullpen and not Bauer who almost put my full-game under in the shattered dreams.

                                                                        165-156-20 +12.27u season to date
                                                                        Comment
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