MLB Sweep System 2015

[imotiv8]

Don't know if Hag is posting this year but I figure "make the thread and maybe he will come" lol

[hagball52]

I plan to. Just been super busy. Thanks for getting it started.

[analyzer]

Checking in!

[amitaf0]

super excited. first time in MLB

[cambertos]

Checking In for a 3rd year, Hagball does a fantastic job. A+

[framero]

My first time at Mlb too, best of luck to all of us

[jonny2k4]

Awesome! Looking forward to this as well!

[hagball52]

I'll get the rules and the page up over the next few days. Also wanted to mention that I won't have time to do the over/under system that Allidoiswins gave us last year but I will post the guidelines for his system and anyone who wants can use it.

[imotiv8]

Awesome Hag, thank you!

[farva88]

Good to see you back hagball! Hope all is well. Looking forward to the season.

[on3]

in case anyone is interested: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...l#post23804983

[allidoiswin89]

I'll get the rules and the page up over the next few days. Also wanted to mention that I won't have time to do the over/under system that Allidoiswins gave us last year but I will post the guidelines for his system and anyone who wants can use it.

Official plays May - July
Unofficial all other months

[Turfgrass]

Bookmarked and ready to go. It was an awesome ride last year.

[hagball52]

Official plays May - July
Unofficial all other months

I thought it ended in August. That's how we played it last season. Did you change it up?
Anyway this is what I had stored from last year. Please let me know if this is correct.

Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system
The Official season runs from May 1^st thru August 31^st. Any plays before or after are unofficial.
To qualify as a play a team must go over or under the posted total by 3 or more runs for 3 consecutive games.
All totals are based on Covers.com closing lines.
Once a team has qualified as a play then bet to go in the opposite direction. i.e. 3 overs, bet the under.
The bet series will go the teams next 4 games (A) (B) (C) and (D).
If the team loses 4 in a row then the bet resets to an (A) bet for a new series.
If there is a push during the qualifying process then the play becomes unofficial.
If the first game of the bet is a push then it becomes unofficial.
If there is a push during the bet series after the first game it remains official.
Official season series record: 58-4
Unofficial season series record: 26-2
Unofficial series units -9.9 losses (CHC 04/13 18.00 units, SFO 04/22 17.9 units)
Official series units -8.60 losses (TOR 06/13 18.07 units, BOS 06/20 17.53 units, CLE 08/17 15.80 units,STL 16.64 units)

[hagball52]

Here are the rules for the MLB Sytem that I will be posting. This year we are going to call it the MLB Sweep System. Last year the Mods from sbr started messing with us and deleted a bunch of stuff including the rules so I suggest that you all copy and paste them to your own file because that may happen again this year. Also I will probably change it up a little so little Miss Morrison doesn't get butt hurt and have the mods mess with us again.

Here’s the MLB betting system in detail. As long as you strictly follow my betting guidelines below, you will be winning almost all of your MLB bets.
In a nutshell, you will be betting that one team is going to win at least one game in either 3 or 4 game series versus an opposing team that has swept them in their most recent series. This is a bet that you will win more than 97% of the time.
Before I go into detail on how to make the bets, I will go over the money management system. There are only three bet values you should stick to: Bet A; Bet B; and Bet C.

Bet A = Your beginning bet. You can, for example, set your beginning bet to win $100 when you first start out.
Bet B = In case Bet A fails, you make bet B to make up for any loss you’ve suffered from Bet A, plus any profit you would have achieved from bet A. So, if your to-win Bet A was $100, your to-win Bet B can be $200.
Bet C = In case Bet B fails, you make bet C to make up for any loss you’ve suffered from Bet A plus Bet B, plus profit you would have achieved from bet A. So, if your to-win Bet A plus Bet B was $300, your to-win Bet C can be $400.

If you lose Bet C, you lose the bet. There may be an occasion when you place a “D” bet, but it’s extremely rare. We will talk more on that later.
However, do not be concerned, because losing a Bet C is something that will almost never happen. Here’s the betting system:

1. Check the MLB results and mark down any series where one team goes winless versus the opposing team (a sweep)
2. For the teams that were swept (winless in those series), mark the schedule for their upcoming series versus the same team that swept them previously
3. On the first day of the rematch between the two teams, as long as the team that was swept previously has an RPI value of no less than .015 than the opposing team, AND the opposing team is not a top-2 RPI team, make a bet for the team that was swept. (Note: The RPI will be explained in greater details in a later section of this manual)
4. If you lose bet A, make bet B on the next day for the same team
5. If you lose bet B, make bet C on the next day for the same team

And keep this in mind: ALWAYS bet on the money line if the team you’re betting on is the favorite to win (shows -1.5 on the run line). ALWAYS bet on the run line (+1.5 runs) if the team you’re betting on is the underdog (shows +1.5 on the run line). You can check to see which team is the favorite or the underdog by looking at the run line in the

bet lineup. A team showing a +1.5 in the run line means they are the underdog. A team showing a -1.5 in the run line means they are the favorite.
If you are unfamiliar with betting, below is a screenshot of what you may see on BetUS

Example#1: Atlanta sweeps Florida in a 3-game series, then sweeps them again in a 2-game series. If they play a 3 game series next time, then that would qualify for a system play on Florida.
Example#2: Atlanta sweeps Florida in a 3-game series, then goes 1-1 against Florida a 2-game series. If they play a 3 game series next time, then that would not qualify for a system play.

V2.0 System UPDATE:

The update here is designed to allow you even more action during the course of the baseball season by increasing your wager on betting opportunities that have an exceptional probability of betting success.
The change to this new v2.0 system is that you want to increase your stake on the [b] level when these 2 criteria are met:

The change to this new v2.0 system is that you want to increase your stake on the [b] level when these 2 criteria are met:
1. The team you’re betting on is playing at home.
2. The [A] bet that you made resulted in your team losing by 3 or more runs.

Similarly, you want to increase your stake on the [C] level when these 2 criteria are met:
1. The team you’re betting on is playing at home.
2. The [b] bet that you made resulted in your team losing by 3 or more runs.

Here’s an example of the v2.0 system in action:
During the 2008 MLB baseball season, the Detroit Tigers played the Minnesota Twins on the road from May 2nd to May 4th and were swept in all 3 games.
On May 23rd, they began another 3-game series with the Minnesota twins, this time at home. Since the Detroit Tigers fell within the accepted .01 range of RPI disparity with the Minnesota Twins at the time, the series was good to go for betting.

Yet, on 5/23/08, Detroit lost to Minnesota again on the [A] bet by a score of 4-9. Since Detroit lost by at least 3 points at the [A] level, and since they’re playing at home, this would make the [b] bet to fall under the criteria for betting in the v2.0 MLB system.
This means that the next day, on May 24th, you should increase your wagering amount by at least two-fold. So, let’s say that you lost $150 on the [A] bet with Detroit. Instead of betting to win $250 (to attain a $100 profit for the series) as you normally would do, you can double up and bet to win $350 (to attain a $200 profit for the series).
Indeed, the Detroit Tigers came back the next day and completely annihilated Minnesota by their season-record score of 19-3!
Now, I want to note to you that you should of course still make all the bets according to the v1.0 system. However, when a situation arises that meets the criteria of the v2.0 betting system, you should then increase your wager on that betting level by at least twice or more.

V3.0 System UPDATE:

The update here is designed to allow you even more betting opportunities during the course of the baseball season by taking advantage of the unofficial plays that fall outside of the acceptable level of RPI difference between the two teams.
The addition to this new v3.0 system is that you want to make a wager for the team that previously did the sweep (NOT the team that was swept previously!) if the following 2 criteria are met:

1. The team that they swept previously came back and beat them on the very first game of their rematch series.
2. They have an RPI of at least .025 or higher than their opponent.
If your bet loses, you would go on and make a [b] bet for the same team the next day. Most of the v3.0 bets will involve betting on a 2-game series. However, in some rare cases you can also make a [C] bet if both your [A] and [b] bet lose, and the series rematch is a 4-game series allowing you an extra final game to make a [C] wager.
Remember, the same betting rules apply: Always bet on the money line if the team you’re betting on is the favorite to win. Always bet on the run line (+1.5 runs) if the team you’re betting on is the underdog. You can check to see which team is the favorite or the underdog by looking at the run line in the bet lineup. A team showing a +1.5 in the

Here’s an example of the v3.0 system in action:
During the 2008 MLB baseball season, the Boston Red Sox played the Kansas City Royals from May 19th to May 22nd and swept them in the entire series.
On August 4th, Boston played Kansas City again in a 3-game series. At this time during the season, Boston's RPI was at least .025 higher than Kansas City, making the series fall outside of the original v1.0 system's betting criteria for Kansas City. However, Kansas City ended up winning the first game of the series on August 4th.
Since Boston was the team that swept Kansas City previously, and their RPI is at least .025 higher than Kansas City, the fact that Kansas City came back and won the first game vs. Boston make the series eligible for play under the v3.0 MLB system.
Therefore, on August 5th, you would put down an [A] bet for Boston to beat Kansas City. Boston ended up winning the game. At this point you've won the betting series, and there's no need to make any more wagers for either team.
IF Boston had lost to Kansas City again on August 5th, then you would need to place a [b] bet for Boston again on August 6th when they play Kansas City in the final game.
There are no possible [C] bets in this series.

[hagball52]

Not quite sure how I'm going to post everything yet but the changes are that I will probably drop the V2 and V3 systems. All the V2 did was create more risk on bets and showed no sign of an advantage or profit. And when a series loss occurred it really increased the units lost. Also the V3 was very unpredictable. There aren't very many plays through the course of the season and there is always one or two devastating losses that wipe out any hope of a profit from it and it detracts from any profit from the original system. Also I will probably keep the official and unofficial plays the same but personally I will play them differently. I will play all underdogs on the money line unless the run line has favorable odds ( around -140 or better). I will play all official and unofficial plays that way. You all can play it how you want but I will record the system by the rules and figure to win 1 unit per series and I will post the units lost on a series in the complete listed post that I put up every 2 weeks.

[hagball52]

I will post the complete records from the past 3 seasons so everyone can see how this system has performed and any numbers nerds can take it and bend it shape it and mold it any way they want. Who knows, maybe down the road someone will come up with something even better.

Here are the results for 2012

JM MLB System
2012 Official season series record 27-2 (v1)
(A) 15-14
(B) 5-9
(C) 5-4
(D) 2-0
V2 plays 3-7
V3 system 15-4
Unofficial series 85-7
(A) 56-36
(B) 22-14
(C) 7-7
(D) 0-1
V2 plays 10-10

JM 2012 MLB season from start to end.

04/16 ATL v NYM Win (B) 04/17 U v2
04/24 KAN @ CLE Win (A) U
04/30 BAL @ NYY Win (A) O
04/30 KAN @ DET Cancelled (rain)
05/07 DET @ SEA Win (B) 05/08 O
05/07 MIN v LAA Win (B) 05/08 U v2
05/08 NYY v TAM Win (A) U
05/11 SFO @ ARI Win (B) 05/12 O
05/11 MIA v NYM Win (A) U
05/21 BOS @ BAL Win (A) U
05/24 SFO @ MIA Win (A) O
05/28 BOS v DET Win (A) O
05/28 TOR v BAL Win (A) U
05/28 PHI @ NYM Win (A) U
05/28 STL @ ATL Win (A) U
06/01 SEA @ CHW Win (B) 06/02 U
06/01 COL v LAD Win (A) U
06/01 ATL @ WAS Cancelled (rain)
06/04 SEA @ LAA Win (A) O
06/05 DET v CLE Win [C] 06/07 O v2
06/15 MIA @ TAM Win (B) 06/16 U
06/18 CHC @ CHW Win (A) U
06/18 CLE v CIN Win (A) U
06/18 ATL @ NYY Win (B) 06/19 U
06/22 SEA @ SDG Win (B) 06/23 O
06/22 NYM v NYY Win (A) U
06/29 CHC v HOU Win (A) U
07/02 KAN @ TOR Win (A) U
07/02 MIN @ DET Win (A) U
07/06 MIN @ TEX Win (A) U
07/13 WAS @ MIA Win (A) O
07/13 OAK @ MIN Win (A) O
07/13 CHC v ARI Win (A) U
07/16 MIN v BAL Win (A) U
07/16 PHI @ LAD Win (A) U
07/17 CHC v MIA Win (B) 07/18 U v2
07/19 OAK v NYY Win (A) U
07/20 SEA @ TAM Win (A) U
07/23 STL v LAD Win (B) 07/24 O
07/23 CHC @ PIT Win (A) U
07/23 MIA v ATL Win (A) U
07/26 HOU v PIT Win (B) 07/27 U
07/27 LAA v TAM Win (A) O
07/27 SDG @ MIA Win (A) U
07/27 LAD @ SFO Win (A) O
07/27 TEX v CHW Win [C] 07/29 O v2**1
07/27 PHI @ ATL Win (B) 07/28 U
07/27 CHC v STL Win (B) 07/28 U v2
07/30 MIN v CHW Win (A) U
08/02 MIN @ BOS Win (A) U
08/06 SDG v CHC Win (A) O
08/06 MIL v CIN Win (A) U
08/06 PHI v ATL Win (B) U v2
08/06 CLE v MIN Win [C] 08/08 O**2
08/10 NYM v ATL Win [C] 08/12 U v2**3
08/10 TOR v NYY Win [C] 08/12 U v2**3
08/10 HOU v MIL Win (A) U
08/10 COL @ SFO Win (A) U
08/13 PIT v LAD Win (D) O 08/16 v2**4
08/13 PHI @ MIA Win (A) O
08/13 SFO v WAS Win (B) U 08/14
08/13 HOU @CHC Win (B) U 08/14
08/14 ARI @ STL Win [C] O 08/16
08/14 NYM @ CIN Win [C] U 08/16
08/16 MIL v PHI Win (A) O
08/17 TOR v TEX Win (A) U
08/17 HOU v ARI Loss [C] U 08/19 v2 **5
08/17 NYM @ WAS Win (B) U 08/18
08/20 TAM v KAN Win (A) O
08/20 MIN @ OAK Win (A) U
08/20 SFO @ LAD Win (A) O
08/24 NYM v HOU Win (B) O 08/25
08/24 BAL v TOR Win (A) O
08/24 CLE v NYY Win (B) U 08/25
08/24 ARI v SDG Loss [C] O 08/26 v2**6
08/24 STL @ CIN Win (A) U
08/27 CLE v OAK Loss [D] U 08/30 v2**7
08/27 MIN v SEA Win (A) U
08/27 CHC v MIL Win [D] O 08/30 **8
08/28 KAN v DET Win (A) U
08/28 HOU v SFO Win (A) U
08/28 BOS @ LAA Win (A) O
08/30 LAD v ARI Win [C] O 09/01
08/30 TOR v TAM Win (A) U
08/31 CHC v SFO Win (A) U
08/31 BOS @ OAK Loss [C] U 09/02
08/31 CHW @ DET Loss [C] O 09/02
08/31 HOU v CIN Win (B) U 09/01 v2
09/03 COL @ ATL Win (B) U 09/04
09/03 CLE @ DET Win (A) U
09/07 BOS v TOR Loss [C] U 09/09 * v2
09/07 MIL @ STL Win (A) U
09/07 CHW v KAN Win (B) U 09/08 *
09/07 LAD @ SFO Win (B) U 09/08 *
09/07 ARI @ SDG Win (A) U *
09/10 MIL v ATL Win (A) U
09/10 SDG v STL Win (A) U
09/10 CHW v DET Win (A) U *
09/10 OAK @ LAA Win (A) U *
09/11 TOR v SEA Win [C] U 09/13 *
09/14 PIT @ CHC Win (B) U 09/15 *
09/14 BOS @ TOR Win (A) U *
09/17 SEA v BAL Loss [C] U 09/19 **9
09/18 WAS v LAD Win (A) U 09/19 *
09/18 HOU @ STL Win [C] U 09/20
09/18 PIT v MIL Loss [C] U 09/20 **10 *
09/21 NYY v OAK Win (A) U *
09/21 CLE @ KAN Win [C] U 09/23*
09/21 MIA @ NYM Win (B) U 09/22*
09/24 CLE @ CHW Win (A) U
09/24 DET v KAN Win (A) U *
09/24 HOU v STL Win [C] U 09/26 v2 **11
09/25 CIN v MIL Win (A) U *
09/25 WAS @ PHI Win (B) U 09/26 *
09/27 TAM @ CHW Win (A) U *
09/28 ARI v CHC Win (A) U *
09/28 NYM @ ATL Win (A) U
09/28 SEA @ OAK Loss [C] U 09/30
09/28 MIA v PHI Win (A) U
09/28 PIT v CIN Win (A) U
10/01 TAM v BAL Win (A) U *
10/01 MIA v NYM Win (A) U *
10/01 COL @ ARI Win (A) U
10/01 KAN v DET Win (B) U

* All of these series would have been official if played before Sept. 1st

**1 v2 loss 07/28
**2 v2 loss 08/07
**3 v2 loss 08/11
**4 v2 loss 08/15
**5 v2 loss 08/19
**6 v2 loss 08/25 & 08/26
**7 v2 loss 08/28, 08/29 & 08/30
**8 v2 loss 08/28 & 08/29
**9 v2 loss 09/18
**10 v2 loss 09/19
**11 v2 loss 09/25


V3 Plays
05/12 NYM @ MIA Win (A)
05/22 BAL v BOS Win (A)
06/02 LAD @ COL Win (A)
06/19 CHW v CHC Win (B) 06/20
06/23 NYY @ NYM Win (A)
07/07 TEX v MIN Win (A)
07/17 BAL @ MIN Win (A)
07/20 NYY @ OAK Loss [C] 07/22
07/24 PIT v CHC Win (B) 07/25
07/24 ATL @ MIA Win (A)
08/07 CIN @ MIL Loss (B) 08/08
08/11 MIL @ HOU Win (B) 08/12
08/11 SFO v COL Win (A)
08/21 OAK v MIN Win (A)
08/29 DET @ KAN Loss (B) 08/30
09/01 SFO @ CHC Win (A)
09/04 DET v CLE Win (B) 09/05
09/11 ATL @ MIL Loss (B) 09/12
09/29 ATL v NYM Win (A)

[hagball52]

JM MLB System
2013 Official season series record 27-1 (V1)
(A) 20-8
(B) 5-3
(C) 2-1
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 2-3
V3 system 7-2
Unofficial series 66-3
(A) 38-31
(B) 14-17
(C) 14-3
(D) 0-1
V2 plays 9-8


04/12 SDG v COL win (C) 04/14 U r/l v2
04/15 MIA v WAS win (B) 04/16 U m/l v2
04/15 HOU @ OAK win (B) 04/16 U r/l
04/26 SDG v SFO win (A) U m/l
04/29 LAA @ OAK win (C) 05/01 U r/l/m/l
04/29 WAS @ ATL win (C) 05/01 U r/l/m/l
05/13 HOU @ DET win (C) 05/15 U r/l/m/l
05/14 TAM v BOS win (A) O m/l
05/16 COL v SFO win (B) 05/17 O r/l/m/l
05/17 TOR @ NYY loss (C) 08/20 U r/l ( -17.16 units)
05/17 MIL @ STL win (A) U r/l (won m/l 05/18 (B) level)
05/23 CLE @ BOS win (A) O r/l/m/l
05/24 HOU v OAK win (A) U r/l
05/24 SEA v TEX win (C) 05/26 U m/l v2 *1
05/24 CHC @ CIN win (C) 05/26 U r/l/m/l
05/31 CIN @ PIT win (A) O alt r/l/m/l
06/03 LAD v SDG win (A) O alt r/l/m/l
06/04 BOS v TEX win (A) O m/l
06/04 MIN @ KAN win (A) O r/l/m/l
06/06 SDG @ COL win (A) U r/l/m/l
06/06 LAD v ATL win (A) U r/l/m/l
06/06 CHW v OAK win (A) U r/l (won m/l 06/08 (C) level)
06/07 ARI v SFO win (A) O m/l
06/07 BAL @ TAM win (A) O r/l (won m/l 06/09 (C) level)
06/07 CHC v PIT win (C) 06/09 U r/l/m/l
06/07 NYM v MIA cancelled (rain out)
06/14 PIT v LAD win (A) O m/l
06/14 MIL @ CIN win (A) U r/l (won m/l 06/15 (B) level)
06/17 SFO v SDG win (B) 06/18 O m/l
06/21 NYM @ PHI win (A) U r/l/m/l
06/24 LAD v SFO win (A) U Alt. r/l/m/l
06/25 CHC @ MIL win (B) 06/26 O r/l/m/l
06/25 DET v LAA loss (C) 06/27 O m/l v2 *2 (-17.52 units)
06/28 MIA v SDG win (B) 06/29 U r/l/m/l v2
06/28 LAA @ HOU win (A) O m/l
07/02 MIA @ ATL win (B) 07/03 U r/l/m/l
07/05 HOU @ TEX win (B) 07/06 U r/l/m/l
07/05 KAN v OAK win (B) 07/06 U alt. r/l/m/l v2
07/05 CLE v DET win (C) 07/07 O r/l/m/l v2 *3
07/05 SFO v LAD win (B) 07/06 O m/l v2
07/05 NYY v BAL win (A) O r/l/m/l
07/08 KAN @ NYY win (A) U r/l/m/l
07/11 MIL @ ARI win (B) 07/12 U r/l (won m/l 07/14 (D) level)
07/12 BAL v TOR win (A) O m/l
07/12 MIN @ NYY win (B) 07/13 U r/l/m/l
07/ 22 SEA v CLE win (A) U Alt. r/l/m/l
07/22 HOU v OAK win (A) U r/l (won m/l 07/23 (B) level)
07/22 SFO v CIN win (C) 07/23 U Alt. r/l/m/l v2 *4
07/26 ARI v SDG win (A) O m/l
07/29 NYM @ MIA win (A) O r/l/m/l
07/29 CHW @ CLE win (A) U r/l
08/05 SFO v MIL win (A) O m/l
08/05 HOU v BOS win (A) U r/l/m/l
08/05 LAA v TEX loss (C) 08/07 U r/l v2 *5 (-16.44 units)
08/05 MIN @ KAN win (B) 08/06 U r/l/m/l
08/06 NYM v COL win (A) O Alt. r/l/m/l (Due to pitching change closing line was m/l)
08/09 CHW v MIN win (C) 08/10 U m/l
08/12 CHW v DET win (A) U r/l/m/l
08/12 PHI @ ATL win (A) U r/l/m/l
08/16 OAK v CLE win (A) O m/l
08/16 HOU @ LAA win (A) U r/l/m/l
08/16 TOR @ TAM win (A) U r/l (won m/l 08/17 (B) level)
08/16 WAS @ ATL win (A) U r/l (won m/l 08/17 (B) level)
08/19 HOU @ TEX win (C) 08/21 U r/l
08/20 TOR @ NYY win (B) 08/20 U r/l
08/20 CHW @ KAN win (A) U r/l/m/l
08/22 STL v ATL win (A) O m/l
08/23 LAA @ SEA win (A) O r/l/m/l
08/26 CHC @ LAD win (B) 08/27 U r/l/m/l
08/26 TOR v NYY win (A) U alt. r/l/m/l
08/27 MIL @ PIT win (A) U r/l/m/l
08/29 HOU v SEA win (A) U r/l (won m/l 09/01 (D) level)
08/30 OAK v TAM win (A) O r/l/m/l
08/30 CLE @ DET win (C) 09/01 O r/l/m/l
09/02 HOU v MIN win (C) 09/04 U alt. r/l/m/l v2 *6
09/02 NYY v CHW win (A) U m/l **
09/02 PHI v WAS win (A) U r/l/m/l **
09/06 LAA v TEX win (A) U r/l/m/l
09/06 MIA v WAS win (A) U m/l
09/09 ARI @ LAD win (C) 09/11 U r/l/m/l
09/09 KAN @ CLE win (A) U r/l **
09/09 CHC @ CIN win (A) U r/l/m/l
09/12 CHW v CLE loss (D) 09/15 U m/l v2 *7 (-29.73 units)
09/13 ATL v SDG win (B) 09/14 U m/l **
09/13 COL @ ARI win (A) U r/l/m/l **
09/13 MIN v TAM win (C) 09/15 U r/l/m/l v2 *8
09/16 MIA @ PHI win (C) 09/18 U r/l/m/l
09/17 SFO @ NYM win (A) U m/l **
09/20 CHC v ATL win (B) 09/21 U r/l/m/l v2
09/20 SEA @ LAA win (A) U r/l (won m/l 09/22 (C) level) **
09/20 SDG v LAD win (A) U m/l
09/23 WAS @ STL win (A) U r/l
09/23 NYM @ CIN win (A) U r/l (won m/l 09/24 (B) level)
09/23 HOU @ TEX win (B) 09/24 U r/l
09/26 KAN @ CHW win (A) U m/l **
09/26 ATL v PHI win (A) U m/l **

*1 lost V2 play on 05/25
*2 lost V2 play on 06/26 & 06/27
*3 lost v2 play on 07/06
*4 lost v2 play on 07/23
*5 lost v2 play on 08/06 & 08/07
*6 lost v2 play on 09/03
*7 lost v2 play on 09/13 & 09/15
*8 lost v2 play on 09/14

** All of these plays would be official if played before September

V3
04/27 SFO @ SDG loss (B) 04/28 (alt. run line win on (A) bet at closing line) (-6.0 units)
06/07 COL v SDG win (A) m/l
06/07 ATL @ LAD win (A) r/l (won m/l on 06/08 (B) level)
08/06 BOS @ HOU win (A) m/l
08/13 ATL v PHI win (A) m/l
08/13 DET @ CHW win (B) 08/14 m/l
08/21 KAN v CHW loss (B) 08/22 (-6.15 units)
09/07 WAS @ MIA win (A) r/l/m/l
09/10 CIN v CHC win (B) m/l

[hagball52]

2014 was a very good year.

MLB Sweep System
2014 Official season series record 25-0 (V1)
(A) 18-7
(B) 4-3
(C) 3-0
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 1-3
V3 system 7-1
Unofficial series 59-1
(A) 37-23
(B) 15-8
(C) 7-1
(D) 0-1
V2 plays 5-7

JM 2014 MLB Upcoming Plays
04/14 MIA v WAS win (B) 04/15 U r/l/m/l v2
04/17 PIT v MIL win (A) U m/l
04/18 KAN v MIN win (A) U m/l
04/18 ARI @ LAD win (A) U r/l/m/l
04/24 HOU v OAK win (C) 04/26 U r/l/m/l v2 *1
04/28 OAK @ TEX win (A) O r/l/m/l
05/12 ATL @ SFO win (B) 05/13 U m/l
05/16 NYM @ WAS win (B) 05/17 O r/l/m/l
05/20 MIA v PHI win (B) 05/21 O m/l
05/23 ARI @ NYM win (A) U r/l/m/l
05/26 HOU @ KAN win (A) U r/l/m/l
05/30 ATL @ MIA win (A) O m/l
05/30 BOS v TAM win (A) O r/l/m/l
06/06 BOS @ DET win (C) 06/08 U r/l/m/l
06/09 LAA v OAK win (A) U m/l
06/10 NYY @ SEA win (A) U m/l
06/12 BOS v CLE win (A) U m/l
06/16 TEX @ OAK win (A) U r/l/m/l
06/16 CLE v LAA win (A) O r/l/m/l
06/16 KAN @ DET win (A) O r/l/m/l
06/16 TAM v BAL win (A) U m/l
06/19 WAS v ATL win (C) 06/21 O m/l
06/19 NYM @ MIA win (A) O r/l/m/l *2
06/20 DET @ CLE win (A) O r/l/m/l
06/23 TOR v NYY win (A) O m/l
06/26 COL @ MIL win (B) 06/27 U r/l (won m/l 06/29 (D) level)
06/27 ATL @ PHI win (A) O m/l
06/30 CWS v LAA win (C) 07/02 U r/l/m/l *3
07/03 OAK v TOR win (A) O m/l
07/03 COL v LAD win (A) U r/l (won m/l 07/05 (C) level)
07/07 PHI @ MIL win (A) U r/l/m/l
07/07 NYM v ATL win (A) U r/l/m/l
07/10 TEX v LAA loss (D) U 07/13 -22.24 units *4 (Did not factor v2 losses in unit count)
07/11 CLE v CWS win (A) O m/l
07/11 TAM v TOR win (B) U 07/12 m/l
07/11 PHI v WAS win (A) U r/l/m/l
07/11 CHC v ATL win (A) U r/l/m/l
07/18 CLE @ DET win (A) U r/l/m/l
07/18 PHI @ ATL win (B) U 07/19 r/l/m/l
07/21 BOS @ TOR win (A) O m/l
07/21 MIA @ ATL win (A) U r/l/m/l
07/21 CWS v KAN win (A) O m/l
07/21 COL v WAS win (C) U 07/23 r/l/m/l v2 *5
07/24 CWS @ MIN win (A) O r/l/m/l
07/25 TAM v BOS win (A) O m/l
07/25 COL v PIT win (A) U r/l/m/l
08/01 NYM v SFO win (B) O 08/02 m/l v2
08/07 MIN @ OAK win (B) U 08/08 r/l (won m/l 08/10 (D) level)
08/08 DET @ TOR win (A) O m/l
08/08 COL @ ARI win (C) U 08/10 r/l/m/l
08/08 TEX @ HOU win (A) O r/l (won m/l 08/10 (C) level)
08/11 ATL v LAD win (C) O 08/13 m/l *6
08/15 NYM v CHC win (A) O m/l
08/15 NYY @ TAM win (B) O 08/16 r/l/m/l
08/15 TEX v LAA win (A) U r/l (won m/l 08/17 (C) level)
08/21 CIN v ATL win (C) O 08/23 r/l/m/l *7
08/25 SFO v COL win (B) U 08/26 m/l **
08/25 BOS @ TOR win(A) U r/l/m/l
09/01 MIA v NYM win (A) U m/l **
09/04 MIN v LAA win (A) U r/l
09/05 COL v SDG win (A) U m/l
09/05 WAS v PHI win (C) U 09/07 m/l **
09/08 HOU @ SE A win (B) U 09/09 r/l/m/l
09/08 PHI v PIT win (B) U 09/09 r/l/m/l **
09/08 CIN v STL win (B) U 09/09 r/l/m/l
09/11 KAN v BOS win (C) U 09/13 m/l *8 **
09/11 NYM v WAS win (B) U 09/12 r/l/m/l
09/12 CIN @ MIL win (A) U r/l (won m/l 09/13 (B) level)**
09/12 SFO v LAD win (A) U m/l **
09/12 TAM @ TOR win (A) U r/l/m/l **
09/12 CHC @ PIT win (B) U 09/13 r/l/m/l
09/15 SDG v PHI win (A)U m/l **
09/15 ARI v SFO win (A) U r/l/m/l
09/19 BOS @ BAL win (A) U r/l/m/l
09/19 TEX @ LAA win (A) U r/l/m/l
09/22 TOR v SEA win (A) U r/l/m/l **
09/22 OAK v LAA win (A) U m/l
09/22 KAN @ CLE win (A) U r/l/m/l **
09/22 SDG v COL win (A) U m/l **
09/25 OAK @ TEX win (A) U 09/26 m/l **
09/25 SFO v SDG win (A) U m/l **
09/26 ARI v STL win (A) U r/l (won m/l 09/27 (B) level)
09/26 MIL v CHC win (B) U 09/27 m/l
09/26 TOR v BAL win (A) U m/l
09/26 MIA @ WAS win (B) U 09/26 r/l/m/l

V3
04/18 MIL @ PIT win (A) r/l/m/l*
04/19 MIN @ KAN win (A) r/l (won m/l 04/20)
04/19 LAD v ARI win (A) m/l
06/17 OAK v TEX win (A) r/l/m/l
06/17 BAL @ TAM win (A) r/l/m/l
07/08 MIL v PHI loss (C) 07/10 -22.57 units
07/26 PIT @ COL win (B) 07/27 m/l
09/20 BAL v BOS win (A)
09/20 LAA v TEX win (A)

*Note this play is not recorded in win/loss totals (missed the post)

** Note these plays would be official if played before 08/23

*1 lost v2 play on 04/25
*2 lost v2 play on 06/19
*3 lost v2 play on 07/01 (2nd game)
*4 lost v2 plays on 07/11 thru 07/13
*5 lost v2 play on 07/22
*6 lost v2 play on 08/12
*7 lost v2 play on 08/22
*8 lost v2 play on 09/12

[hagball52]

As you all can notice my tracking has evolved over the years. I've started using more colors to point out results so it's easier for me to track and record. My ultimate goal is to find a way to just flat bet the system without having to bet run lines on dogs, just money lines only and show a profit without having to double up on plays. A guys works his butt off to win 15 series at 1 unit a piece and then can drop 17 units on one series loss just doesn't sit well with me so I'm constantly looking for ways to improve.

[hagball52]

imotiv8, Here is the "Champs" latest email on his "Demolisher" system. I think he is opening it up to the "normal" people now.

[allidoiswin89]

Hey Hag, I recently moved and found partial backtest in pen and paper before I ever evolved this to excel...

Anyways, before I threw it out i took a look at August (as I remember we discussed that last year) and noticed a trend where august was only a good month when april suffered losses. Regardless, the unofficial plays have been profitable over the years which is why I always wanted to include them but its just too volatile (and non-sensical) to really say August should be an official month.

Personally, ill sit back april and hope for a loss or two and I'll play it through august.

[imotiv8]

[QUOTE=hagball52;23808763]imotiv8, Here is the "Champs" latest email on his "Demolisher" system. I think he is opening it up to the "normal" people now.




Just changed the name of the thread, hopefully this helps. I'm about to look into the Demolisher link now and see how much it cost

[bossman71]

looks great! as per unit wise how did the last 3 years do follow all plays and systems overall each year?

2012?
2013?
2014?

sorry im new to the system

[imotiv8]

looks great! as per unit wise how did the last 3 years do follow all plays and systems overall each year?

2012?
2013?
2014?

sorry im new to the system

He posted everything. Just add'em up

[allidoiswin89]

I thought it ended in August. That's how we played it last season. Did you change it up?
Anyway this is what I had stored from last year. Please let meif know if this is correct.

Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system
The Official season runs from May 1^st thru August 31^st. Any plays before or after are unofficial.
To qualify as a play a team must go over or under the posted total by 3 or more runs for 3 consecutive games.
All totals are based on Covers.com closing lines.
Once a team has qualified as a play then bet to go in the opposite direction. i.e. 3 overs, bet the under.
The bet series will go the teams next 4 games (A) (B) (C) and (D).
If the team loses 4 in a row then the bet resets to an (A) bet for a new series.
If there is a push during the qualifying process then the play becomes unofficial.
If the first game of the bet is a push then it becomes unofficial.
If there is a push during the bet series after the first game it remains official.
Official season series record: 58-4
Unofficial season series record: 26-2
Unofficial series units -9.9 losses (CHC 04/13 18.00 units, SFO 04/22 17.9 units)
Official series units -8.60 losses (TOR 06/13 18.07 units, BOS 06/20 17.53 units, CLE 08/17 15.80 units,STL 16.64 units)

Looks good. Id just notate my earlier comment that we should make official plays through July 31st. - this means a qualifying series has to be finished by this date. Therefore, If a team has its 3rd straight over on July 28th, but does not have 4 games on its schedule before or on July 31st, then it is an unofficial play.

Doubleheaders count as two games so those can be hard to catch.

Is anyone posting this? I can periodically chime in with plays as I will be tracking offline but during this long season, there will be stretches where ill be MIA in this forum due to time constraints. Also, I will not have time to track records and units and what not - I usually keep a rough version for my records but I can only imagine the questions that would be asked, especially given the high posting standards hag and wallco have set.

[hagball52]

[QUOTE=allidoiswin89;23814083]Looks good. Id just notate my earlier comment that we should make official plays through July 31st. - this means a qualifying series has to be finished by this date. Therefore, If a team has its 3rd straight over on July 28th, but does not have 4 games on its schedule before or on July 31st, then it is an unofficial play.

Doubleheaders count as two games so those can be hard to catch.

Is anyone posting this? I can periodically chime in with plays as I will be tracking offline but during this long season, there will be stretches where ill be MIA in this forum due to time constraints. Also, I will not have time to track records and units and what not - I usually keep a rough version for my records but I can only imagine the questions that would be asked, especially given the high posting standards hag and wallco have set.[/QUOTE

Yeah, I'm basically working 3 jobs right now and I'll only have time to effectively manage and post one system. I'm going to try and do your system but I don't want to commit to it and then not be able to deliver. I came up with hand written tracking sheets that worked pretty well for me last year but it is actually harder than Morrison's sweep system. You really have to pay attention to be accurate. I put it out there so if someone wants to do it we would welcome it. I don't know how past seasons went but last year I was really looking for an edge to play it without having to deal with the risk and stress of a 4 game chase. I feel like you have something there but I would really like to see more of a sample to be able to effectively use it consistently.

[hagball52]

These are the filters for the JM MLB System. They will be mentioned when they come into play but will not affect the posting of the plays. All series will be posted regardless of the filter. Morrison always sends out the plays and then pulls the filter out of his ass when the series loses. It will be your choice on whether or not to play the series. These are filters that were added over the course of time to eliminate losses from the record. We will not use them for the posted MLB Sweep System but just mention them because they are a part of JM's system.

- Injury filter- If the team you are betting on has an injury to their best pitcher or hitter then you should pass on the series.

- Top 3 rpi filter- If the team you are betting against is rated top 3 in the rpi then you should pass on this series.

- Worst road team filter- If the team you are betting on is a road team and in the bottom 10% of of losing road teams then you should pass on the series. Effectively he is saying the bottom 3 road teams. If they are the home team then it is okay to bet on them.

- Alternate Run Line Rule- If the team you are betting on is favored by up to -115 odds then you should buy the +1.5 alternate run line.

- (D) bet rule- If the series is a 4 game set he now says not to play the (D) bet or 4th game.

- The rpi drop- This is not a rule or a filter but Morrison has used it in the past to erase losses from his record. The rule is if a team you are betting on drops below the recommended .015 rpi during the course of the series then you should pass on the series. Vintage JM B.S. When you start a series just take note of how close the rpi is and decide for yourself whether or not to play it.

[hagball52]

MLB Sweep System
2015 Official season series record 0-0
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0

Unofficial series 0-0
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0

Next Plays
None

Upcoming plays
To be determined

Notes: The rules are in post #15 and the filters in post #28. Records for the past 3 years can be found in posts #17, #18 & #19. This season we will only be playing the official and unofficial plays according to the rpi rankings at ESPN. I've dropped the V2 and V3 systems for two reasons. One, because all they do is increase risk and cost more on losses and the other is that we won't be playing this system as designed by JM therefore hopefully we will be left alone to play this system this season.

[allidoiswin89]

Hopefully 1 of those 3 jobs is at the book in vegas I was there for the tournament. Should have grabbed a drink

[doubledime]

Good luck

[hagball52]

Hopefully 1 of those 3 jobs is at the book in vegas I was there for the tournament. Should have grabbed a drink

Unfortunately no. That might be something I'd do down the road but I'm out and about everyday from dawn until after dark and then I teach on Saturdays. Life is full right now, but I did buy a boat so I can get away once in awhile and just decompress. Yeah if you do come to Vegas give me a call and we'll hook up for a cocktail. Would love to meet you.

[bauerranch]

Thanks Hagball - IM back

[d003r]

Does anyone have an excel Spreadsheet for results tracking? Something that automatically calculates profit so far and where you can input the game and which stage you are upto?

Loving your work Hag, going to be my first season chasing. Could you explain when the D bet occurs?

[hagball52]

Does anyone have an excel Spreadsheet for results tracking? Something that automatically calculates profit so far and where you can input the game and which stage you are upto?

Loving your work Hag, going to be my first season chasing. Could you explain when the D bet occurs?

Don't have an excel spreadsheet that does that. someone else may have it and share.
The (D) bet can only happen when it's a 4 game series. The upside is you get one more chance to get a win if your series has lost the first 3 games but the downside is if it loses the units lost amount is significantly higher. You can go to the past records for the last 3 years and see what a (D) bet loss will do to your bankroll.