So much for the dogs barking in September

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    So much for the dogs barking in September
    Tonight marked the eighth straight non-losing day for closing favorites this month.

    Sept. 1: 6-6
    Sept. 2: 5-7
    Sept. 3: 6-6
    Sept. 4: 5-2
    Sept. 5: 8-5
    Sept. 6: 12-3
    Sept. 7: 8-5
    Sept. 8: 8-4
    Sept. 9: 8-7
    Sept. 10: 9-4

    Favorites are 75-49 this month, and 58-30 overall since Sept. 3.

  • paco
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-07-09
    • 62873

    #2
    3 really Big dogs hit today and books cleaned up with the other 2 small dogs. Can't expect every dog to win every day.

    Whitesox today +190 W
    braves +180 W
    Astros +220 W
    kc +110 W
    Reds +125 W
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by paco
      3 really Big dogs hit today and books cleaned up with the other 2 small dogs. Can't expect every dog to win every day.

      Whitesox today +190 W
      braves +180 W
      Astros +177 W
      kc +110 W
      Reds +125 W
      Who said I expected "every dog to win every day"?

      Favorites are hitting at a 56.4% clip for the year (1208-934 SU).

      This month, it's 60.4%, and since Sept. 3, it's 65.9%. That's a significant shift given the fact that September is typically a great month for dog bettors.
      Comment
      • paco
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 05-07-09
        • 62873

        #4
        Originally posted by No coincidences
        Who said I expected "every dog to win every day"?

        Favorites are hitting at a 56.4% clip for the year (1208-934 SU).

        This month, it's 60.4%, and since Sept. 3, it's 65.9%. That's a significant shift given the fact that September is typically a great month for dog bettors.
        I know. But all I'm saying is today was a great day for a dog bettor with such big dogs hitting.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Originally posted by paco
          I know. But all I'm saying is today was a great day for a dog bettor with such big dogs hitting.
          Dogs were 4-9 today. Four of the six biggest public favorites today -- Boston, Pittsburgh, the Angels and the Dodgers -- cashed with ease, both ML and RL. I'm not saying the books didn't enjoy seeing Atlanta (public dog), Houston, the White Sox and Reds all win, but I wouldn't exactly say that's a "great day for a dog bettor." Far from it.

          I don't even want to know where these numbers would be without the Astros. They're the only + team that's been consistently hitting lately.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Juicers go 5-0 for the afternoon today.

            Unreal.
            Comment
            • alamo
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-21-09
              • 7131

              #7
              Dude...You sound shocked. They're favourites...that's whats supposed to happen, they win most of the time. Give us all a break with these stupid threads you are infesting the place with
              Comment
              • Big Bear
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 11-01-11
                • 43253

                #8
                need a dog?

                take Bucholz tonight. He will be given plenty of run support.
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Originally posted by alamo
                  Dude...You sound shocked. They're favourites...that's whats supposed to happen, they win most of the time. Give us all a break with these stupid threads you are infesting the place with
                  Re-read the thread. Here. I will help you.

                  Favorites are hitting at a 56.4% clip for the year (1208-934 SU). (Now 1213-934, or 56.5%).

                  Favorites are 75-49 this month (now 80-49, or 62%), and 58-30 overall (now 63-30, or 68%) since Sept. 3.
                  Comment
                  • leetreaper
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 10-23-10
                    • 34841

                    #10
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    Tonight marked the eighth straight non-losing day for closing favorites this month.

                    Sept. 1: 6-6
                    Sept. 2: 5-7
                    Sept. 3: 6-6
                    Sept. 4: 5-2
                    Sept. 5: 8-5
                    Sept. 6: 12-3
                    Sept. 7: 8-5
                    Sept. 8: 8-4
                    Sept. 9: 8-7
                    Sept. 10: 9-4

                    Favorites are 75-49 this month, and 58-30 overall since Sept. 3.

                    Isn't it always like that? April and August dogs, Sep - favs???
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by leetreaper
                      Isn't it always like that? April and August dogs, Sep - favs???
                      No. September call-ups and expanded rosters typically lead to dogs paying handsomely all the way through the end of the season.
                      Comment
                      • leetreaper
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 10-23-10
                        • 34841

                        #12
                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                        No. September call-ups and expanded rosters typically lead to dogs paying handsomely all the way through the end of the season.
                        ok.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Favorites literally sweeping the entire board today.
                          Comment
                          • Big Bear
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-01-11
                            • 43253

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Big Bear
                            need a dog?

                            take Bucholz tonight. He will be given plenty of run support.

                            this
                            Comment
                            • paco
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-07-09
                              • 62873

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Big Bear
                              need a dog?

                              take Bucholz tonight. He will be given plenty of run support.
                              Bear on fire
                              Comment
                              • jay89
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 08-04-13
                                • 671

                                #16
                                hit totals, after 140+ games, there's a lot to go by in terms of previous of matchups, etc.
                                Comment
                                • JMon
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-11-09
                                  • 9800

                                  #17
                                  Dogs haven't barked in Sept since 2011. Favs went 59.4% last year and 62.6% in 2012.
                                  Comment
                                  • thunderous
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-05-12
                                    • 1870

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by paco
                                    Bear on fire


                                    Now watch the Royals come back...
                                    Comment
                                    • paco
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-07-09
                                      • 62873

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by thunderous


                                      Now watch the Royals come back...
                                      Comment
                                      • Big Bear
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 11-01-11
                                        • 43253

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by paco
                                        Bear on fire
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #21
                                          9-1 yesterday

                                          84-50 this month (.627)

                                          67-31 overall since Sept. 3 (.684)
                                          Comment
                                          • Big Bear
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 11-01-11
                                            • 43253

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                            9-1 yesterday

                                            84-50 this month (.627)

                                            67-31 overall since Sept. 3 (.684)
                                            you think today the dogs will bark or will this trend continue?

                                            IMO the reason you are seeing so many favorites win this time of year is b/c many of these favorites are playing very important games and this year especially with added wild card spot we are still left with 17 teams competing for 10 playoff spots and these penant races are as close as they have ever been.

                                            If a team is a favorite and they are already out of playoff contention then they are more likely to lose as a favorite.

                                            A good example is the Rays last night... they were a favorite but they are out of playoff contention and the Yankees are in playoff mode right now and they did whatever they had to do get to that W.
                                            Comment
                                            • BeanTownClown88
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-08-13
                                              • 1961

                                              #23
                                              I found the month of AUgust to be brutal! a crap shoot..Now the ship seems to be leveling off
                                              Comment
                                              • RavensFan2k3
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-18-12
                                                • 17378

                                                #24
                                                So, lets bet favs then?
                                                Comment
                                                • labones00
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-20-12
                                                  • 1555

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by alamo
                                                  Dude...You sound shocked. They're favourites...that's whats supposed to happen, they win most of the time. Give us all a break with these stupid threads you are infesting the place with
                                                  You are just wrong. Just because a team is listed as a "favorite" does not mean they are expected to win. Read up on how lines are created, what the ultimate goal is for the books. As far as I know it's not to predict a winner but more so to get even money on both sides. You must be new to this...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • madden86m
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 08-14-14
                                                    • 4

                                                    #26
                                                    Dodgers look to be a live dog RYU pitches better on the road bumgarner doesnt so much at home
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Big Bear
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 11-01-11
                                                      • 43253

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by labones00
                                                      You are just wrong. Just because a team is listed as a "favorite" does not mean they are expected to win. Read up on how lines are created, what the ultimate goal is for the books. As far as I know it's not to predict a winner but more so to get even money on both sides. You must be new to this...
                                                      what your saying has more to do with point spreads.

                                                      ML in a lot of ways represent vegas perceived problability.

                                                      sportsbook dont like to pay out + money and you won't see too many +150 to +200 teams winning
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mitch51
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-15-12
                                                        • 4587

                                                        #28
                                                        I bet nothing but dogs. I am up quite a few units with the dogs, but the last few weeks have been rough. I have lost a few units, but still hate favs with a passion. I hope these dogs turn around.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Big Bear
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 11-01-11
                                                          • 43253

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by mitch51
                                                          I bet nothing but dogs. I am up quite a few units with the dogs, but the last few weeks have been rough. I have lost a few units, but still hate favs with a passion. I hope these dogs turn around.
                                                          i might do a dog only parlay right now. Dogs are due.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • paco
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-07-09
                                                            • 62873

                                                            #30
                                                            Boston +190 again today
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pacocn
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 07-05-10
                                                              • 12934

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by mitch51
                                                              I bet nothing but dogs. I am up quite a few units with the dogs, but the last few weeks have been rough. I have lost a few units, but still hate favs with a passion. I hope these dogs turn around.
                                                              I like your avatar speaking of dogs
                                                              Comment
                                                              • YouHave2outs
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-02-11
                                                                • 4448

                                                                #32
                                                                good thread coin, as usual. didn't read it though.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Big Bear
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 11-01-11
                                                                  • 43253

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Dogs were barking a little bit last night
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Big Bear
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 11-01-11
                                                                    • 43253

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Fade Mariners from here on out.

                                                                    Favorites is a good strategy this time of year.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Big Bear
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 11-01-11
                                                                      • 43253

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Favorites were easy again last night. Hop on the juice train boys.

                                                                      cashed easy on Dodgers RL, Mariners, A's, Nationals.
                                                                      Comment
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