MLB - Tuesday, 7/29/14

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Tuesday, 7/29/14
    9 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Mariners / Indians UNDER 7.5 -115 (5 Dimes)
    Diamondbacks +136 (Heritage)
    Diamondbacks / Reds UNDER 7.5 -115 (Heritage)
    Phillies -112 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays / Red Sox OVER 8.5 -105 (5 Dimes)
    Astros +203 (5 Dimes)
    Athletics / Astros UNDER 8.5 -123 (5 Dimes)
    Cardinals +100 (Heritage)
    Cardinals / Padres UNDER 6 -110 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 315-363-11, -15.74
  • 44 Mag
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-14-13
    • 34490

    #2
    gaining on units, good to see!!! Trying to get them all back today??? Lot of action...BOL
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      Originally posted by 44 Mag
      gaining on units, good to see!!! Trying to get them all back today??? Lot of action...BOL
      No, I don't plan these things, they just happen.
      Comment
      • BatemanPatrickl
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 06-21-07
        • 18772

        #4
        Not sure I agree with the Astros again but they've worked well for you so far.
        Comment
        • PorkChop
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-18-08
          • 8193

          #5
          Surprised to see you on Jays/Boston over. Stroman has been dynamite last two starts (shutting out Boston in one), and DeRose just got shelled in Toronto his last start, don't think that happens again to him here.

          Strong lean to under, Im going to wait until it goes up to 9, when public will pound the over all day..
          Comment
          • bamadale81
            SBR High Roller
            • 10-14-13
            • 203

            #6
            I hope youre right on half of them LTeezy!!
            Comment
            • RollinDo
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-04-13
              • 13322

              #7
              Originally posted by PorkChop
              Surprised to see you on Jays/Boston over. Stroman has been dynamite last two starts (shutting out Boston in one), and DeRose just got shelled in Toronto his last start, don't think that happens again to him here.

              Strong lean to under, Im going to wait until it goes up to 9, when public will pound the over all day..
              Boston going Under tonight...big play...hope it hits 9!
              Already locked in Sea-Clev (U 7.5) early this a.m.
              Comment
              • KoKoBeWare
                SBR High Roller
                • 03-21-14
                • 106

                #8
                I don't want to sound rude because its a serious question...but have you ever had a thread tracking your picks that ended in positive units? Regardless of the sport and year, when i come in to your threads its always -units? Or maybe i'm reading it wrong?
                Comment
                • carll
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 05-12-14
                  • 755

                  #9
                  Rollin...pinny has 9.5 and 10 under in Tor bos game....1.7 odds
                  Comment
                  • RollinDo
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-04-13
                    • 13322

                    #10
                    Originally posted by carll
                    Rollin...pinny has 9.5 and 10 under in Tor bos game....1.7 odds
                    I don't want to pay any juice if I think it's going Under 9.
                    Thanks though buddy!
                    I only have 5Dimes, 1Vice, and SBR Sportsbook
                    Comment
                    • TheDane
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-09-11
                      • 642

                      #11
                      I like the Stros/A's under as well.
                      Comment
                      • 44 Mag
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 10-14-13
                        • 34490

                        #12
                        Originally posted by KoKoBeWare
                        I don't want to sound rude because its a serious question...but have you ever had a thread tracking your picks that ended in positive units? Regardless of the sport and year, when i come in to your threads its always -units? Or maybe i'm reading it wrong?
                        Hey buddy, be careful. The "experts" and the "Sharks" will be all over you. LT is a good guy, probably the only gentlemen on this forum. If they see you dissing him, they will go after you. You will get a two page letter of reprimand from them of how stupid YOU are and YOU have know idea what you are doing. Trust me, been there, still there, LOL, and been treated like crud no matter how many selections I win. Be warned brother, they are ruthless. BOL.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          I really don't think it's possible to succeed flat betting and making so many plays on average in a day.

                          You have wagered 700 times in 120 or so days, and every play has been weighed the same. If your system is honestly telling you that many sides/totals are off and you are in the red season after season, maybe it's time to tweak your system.
                          Comment
                          • thunderous
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-05-12
                            • 1870

                            #14
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            I really don't think it's possible to succeed flat betting and making so many plays on average in a day.

                            You have wagered 700 times in 120 or so days, and every play has been weighed the same. If your system is honestly telling you that many sides/totals are off and you are in the red season after season, maybe it's time to tweak your system.
                            Not that I know but I don't think he is flat betting and the units +/- is reflective of what he has posted here and not the actual amount he has lost or won.
                            Comment
                            • I/O
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-26-11
                              • 7922

                              #15
                              Originally posted by PorkChop
                              Surprised to see you on Jays/Boston over. Stroman has been dynamite last two starts (shutting out Boston in one), and DeRose just got shelled in Toronto his last start, don't think that happens again to him here.

                              Strong lean to under, Im going to wait until it goes up to 9, when public will pound the over all day..
                              not gonna happen

                              Public on the Under
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #16
                                Originally posted by thunderous
                                Not that I know but I don't think he is flat betting and the units +/- is reflective of what he has posted here and not the actual amount he has lost or won.
                                He flat bets. He's said so before. Every play is 1U -- either to win one (favorites) or risking one (underdogs).
                                Comment
                                • 44 Mag
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 10-14-13
                                  • 34490

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                  He flat bets. He's said so before. Every play is 1U -- either to win one (favorites) or risking one (underdogs).
                                  SO???
                                  Comment
                                  • RollinDo
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-04-13
                                    • 13322

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by I/O
                                    not gonna happen

                                    Public on the Under
                                    The public WAS on the Over...got Under at 9 (-105) before it went down.
                                    Comment
                                    • I/O
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-26-11
                                      • 7922

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by RollinDo
                                      The public WAS on the Over...got Under at 9 (-105) before it went down.
                                      Thanks for backing me up
                                      Comment
                                      • jayc88
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 12-30-07
                                        • 6785

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        I really don't think it's possible to succeed flat betting and making so many plays on average in a day.

                                        You have wagered 700 times in 120 or so days, and every play has been weighed the same. If your system is honestly telling you that many sides/totals are off and you are in the red season after season, maybe it's time to tweak your system.
                                        A few years ago i used to make around 300 - 500 picks each month, all betting the same amount.
                                        I hit around 54 - 55 % and made a Good profit.
                                        Comment
                                        • EXhoosier10
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-06-09
                                          • 3122

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by KoKoBeWare
                                          I don't want to sound rude because its a serious question...but have you ever had a thread tracking your picks that ended in positive units? Regardless of the sport and year, when i come in to your threads its always -units? Or maybe i'm reading it wrong?
                                          lets see your 700 picks this season and where you stand. while you're at it, throw in the last 5 years as well. LT isn't saying to tail him. If you think he's going to lose money, fade away. Anybody who posts day in and day out and deals with this kind of bs deserves enough respect to not be called out when he's losing his own money.
                                          Comment
                                          • I/O
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-26-11
                                            • 7922

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                                            lets see your 700 picks this season and where you stand. while you're at it, throw in the last 5 years as well. LT isn't saying to tail him. If you think he's going to lose money, fade away. Anybody who posts day in and day out and deals with this kind of bs deserves enough respect to not be called out when he's losing his own money.
                                            Hopefully, this is read by ALL in this thread
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #23
                                              1 MLB Addition

                                              10 MLB Plays Tuesday

                                              Mariners / Indians UNDER 7.5 -115 (5 Dimes)
                                              Diamondbacks +136 (Heritage)
                                              Diamondbacks / Reds UNDER 7.5 -115 (Heritage)
                                              Diamondbacks / Reds UNDER 3.5 +100 (5 innings) (Heritage)
                                              Phillies -112 (Heritage)
                                              Blue Jays / Red Sox OVER 8.5 -105 (5 Dimes)
                                              Astros +203 (5 Dimes)
                                              Athletics / Astros UNDER 8.5 -123 (5 Dimes)
                                              Cardinals +100 (Heritage)
                                              Cardinals / Padres UNDER 6 -110 (5 Dimes)
                                              Comment
                                              • I/O
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-26-11
                                                • 7922

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by I/O
                                                not gonna happen

                                                Public on the Under


                                                post #17

                                                Comment
                                                • CappinTerp
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 11-26-09
                                                  • 9650

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                  I really don't think it's possible to succeed flat betting and making so many plays on average in a day.

                                                  You have wagered 700 times in 120 or so days, and every play has been weighed the same. If your system is honestly telling you that many sides/totals are off and you are in the red season after season, maybe it's time to tweak your system.
                                                  I agree with you coin however LT is not wrong, it's a matter of how one perceives betting. As I have said before in my thread and to anyone who will listen, look at it this way: At 11/10 odds your break even is 52.5 % . And given the fact that it is almost impossible to win 58% of your bets in the long run ​, power weighting the games ( IMO) is the only way to go.!!.........Good luck to all.!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • labones00
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-20-12
                                                    • 1555

                                                    #26
                                                    So you think the Stros are going to shut down the A's bats tonight and win a low scoring game? facing a pitcher with a sub 3.00 era...interesting

                                                    I like the Bos/Tor game going under. Toronto bats will be tired and going to be a chilly night, ball won't be carrying at all
                                                    Comment
                                                    • I/O
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-26-11
                                                      • 7922

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by labones00
                                                      So you think the Stros are going to shut down the A's bats tonight and win a low scoring game? facing a pitcher with a sub 3.00 era...interesting

                                                      I like the Bos/Tor game going under. Toronto bats will be tired and going to be a chilly night, ball won't be carrying at all
                                                      awesome
                                                      Comment
                                                      • inZane
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-13-13
                                                        • 1206

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by labones00
                                                        So you think the Stros are going to shut down the A's bats tonight and win a low scoring game? facing a pitcher with a sub 3.00 era...interesting

                                                        I like the Bos/Tor game going under. Toronto bats will be tired and going to be a chilly night, ball won't be carrying at all
                                                        70 degrees is chilly???
                                                        Comment
                                                        • labones00
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-20-12
                                                          • 1555

                                                          #29
                                                          For the end of July, well yes
                                                          Comment
                                                          • I/O
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 05-26-11
                                                            • 7922

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by inZane
                                                            70 degrees is chilly???
                                                            for the center of an active volcano in Uganda

                                                            yes
                                                            Comment
                                                            • labones00
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-20-12
                                                              • 1555

                                                              #31
                                                              Still trying to figure out how this guy likes the Astros winning tonight and the game going under
                                                              Comment
                                                              • inZane
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-13-13
                                                                • 1206

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by labones00
                                                                For the end of July, well yes
                                                                It's 54 here and it feels great... I respectfully disagree and rolling with the over. GL
                                                                Comment
                                                                • I/O
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-26-11
                                                                  • 7922

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by labones00
                                                                  Still trying to figure out how this guy likes the Astros winning tonight and the game going under
                                                                  I think the two SP's were recently team mates. This could very well happen.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • inZane
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-13-13
                                                                    • 1206

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Correct, they were on the Cubs
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • labones00
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-20-12
                                                                      • 1555

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by I/O
                                                                      I think the two SP's were recently team mates. This could very well happen.
                                                                      Ohh ok so that justifies the Astros winning
                                                                      Comment
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