Brewers -140 vs Cardinals tonight?

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  • azsportswin
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-03-13
    • 625

    #1
    Brewers -140 vs Cardinals tonight?
    I get that Molina is out for Cardinals, but Brewers just got swept by Phillies and Cards just took 3 of 4 from Pirates. Also, Gallardo is 1-11 career vs Cardinals. Brewers -140?????
  • BigDofBA
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-30-09
    • 19313

    #2
    Brewers just lost as -195 and -181 favorites.

    They've also lost 8 of 9 overall.

    I think they win but in no way would I pay -140 here
    Comment
    • KRIT
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-11-14
      • 12878

      #3
      Yeah not worth the juice, especially with how bad they've been. Gallardo is 1-11 with a 6.34 era lifetime vs the Cards.
      Comment
      • sballen
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-26-14
        • 815

        #4
        Cards have value. I also researched this and can't figure out why the line is like this. I put a little on the cards at +130 but this fishy line has me thinking trap. Number fire gives the cards a 48% chance of winning which suggests this is a +ev play.
        Comment
        • azsportswin
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-03-13
          • 625

          #5
          I wasn't even considering playing the Brewers, I want to play the Cardinals @ +130 (actually pound it!), but wondering what am I missing here?????
          Comment
          • bluetooth3
            SBR MVP
            • 06-01-14
            • 2075

            #6
            I think the Brew crew win this game. I really do. But with that said, there is no way I would lay -140 on them. I think the better play would be the u8 with the over getting pounded at 78% and juice on the under. RollinDo liked the u4.5 ff in that game with both offenses struggling and both needing a big game from their starters.
            Comment
            • BigDofBA
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-30-09
              • 19313

              #7
              The Cards are my team and I think they probably lose tonight.

              Just seems like a bad spot off a good series against Pif and losing Yadi
              Comment
              • farmhouse1
                SBR MVP
                • 02-14-14
                • 4377

                #8
                Both teams sucking right now. Why not just pass bro?
                Comment
                • Allure
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-18-10
                  • 7606

                  #9
                  Brewers suck suck suck

                  Cardinals it is
                  Comment
                  • broadway6
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-14-09
                    • 13337

                    #10
                    Joe Kelly back for the cards tonight. Not sure how he will do. Line is puzzling.
                    Comment
                    • sballen
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-26-14
                      • 815

                      #11
                      Originally posted by farmhouse1
                      Both teams sucking right now. Why not just pass bro?
                      While I can't speak for OP, for me both teams sucking doesn't male it a necessary pass. I would say that this game is a coin toss or maybe the brew crew should be slight faves (like 52-54% chance of winning). However, stl is sitting at +130 which implies the brewers have a 56.5% chance of winning, thus making the cards a +ev play. If I think I can find a +ev play I will always bet it regardless of the teams current performance.
                      Comment
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