I get that Molina is out for Cardinals, but Brewers just got swept by Phillies and Cards just took 3 of 4 from Pirates. Also, Gallardo is 1-11 career vs Cardinals. Brewers -140?????
BigDofBA
SBR Posting Legend
09-30-09
19313
#2
Brewers just lost as -195 and -181 favorites.
They've also lost 8 of 9 overall.
I think they win but in no way would I pay -140 here
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KRIT
SBR Posting Legend
01-11-14
12878
#3
Yeah not worth the juice, especially with how bad they've been. Gallardo is 1-11 with a 6.34 era lifetime vs the Cards.
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sballen
SBR Wise Guy
02-26-14
815
#4
Cards have value. I also researched this and can't figure out why the line is like this. I put a little on the cards at +130 but this fishy line has me thinking trap. Number fire gives the cards a 48% chance of winning which suggests this is a +ev play.
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azsportswin
SBR Wise Guy
10-03-13
625
#5
I wasn't even considering playing the Brewers, I want to play the Cardinals @ +130 (actually pound it!), but wondering what am I missing here?????
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bluetooth3
SBR MVP
06-01-14
2075
#6
I think the Brew crew win this game. I really do. But with that said, there is no way I would lay -140 on them. I think the better play would be the u8 with the over getting pounded at 78% and juice on the under. RollinDo liked the u4.5 ff in that game with both offenses struggling and both needing a big game from their starters.
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BigDofBA
SBR Posting Legend
09-30-09
19313
#7
The Cards are my team and I think they probably lose tonight.
Just seems like a bad spot off a good series against Pif and losing Yadi
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farmhouse1
SBR MVP
02-14-14
4377
#8
Both teams sucking right now. Why not just pass bro?
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Allure
SBR Hall of Famer
08-18-10
7606
#9
Brewers suck suck suck
Cardinals it is
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broadway6
SBR Posting Legend
11-14-09
13337
#10
Joe Kelly back for the cards tonight. Not sure how he will do. Line is puzzling.
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sballen
SBR Wise Guy
02-26-14
815
#11
Originally posted by farmhouse1
Both teams sucking right now. Why not just pass bro?
While I can't speak for OP, for me both teams sucking doesn't male it a necessary pass. I would say that this game is a coin toss or maybe the brew crew should be slight faves (like 52-54% chance of winning). However, stl is sitting at +130 which implies the brewers have a 56.5% chance of winning, thus making the cards a +ev play. If I think I can find a +ev play I will always bet it regardless of the teams current performance.