Another typical Monday

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Another typical Monday
    Cards ML and RL miraculously cashes
    Mariners ML and RL cashes
    A's ML and RL cashes
    Reds ML and RL cashes
    Angels ML and RL cashes
    Royals and Yankees cash as bizarre dogs

    Red Sox lost. Other than that, books took an absolute beating on another public free-for-all Monday.
  • Cappinpicks
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-11-10
    • 14986

    #2
    just a joke how easy the square RL's are daily
    Comment
    • whtsox13
      SBR MVP
      • 05-02-12
      • 1401

      #3
      Keep your pants on A's and Angels games not final.
      Comment
      • Cappinpicks
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-11-10
        • 14986

        #4
        Originally posted by whtsox13
        Keep your pants on A's and Angels games not final.
        lol added on angels -2.5 in 9th easy
        Comment
        • ses_d
          SBR MVP
          • 04-06-12
          • 1248

          #5
          NYY - pitcher making first start in the majors +139 dog - W
          O's - against Strasburg as a HUGE dog - W
          Mets - against a surging Bravos team +115 dog - W
          KC - against a surging Tampa team +118 dog - W
          Philles - live dog - W
          Pads - live dog - W
          Houston - live dog - W

          relax, just because the late games were all favorites, doesn't mean the books got killed.
          I'm not so sure the public was all over NYY/KC either...
          Comment
          • LtDarsh
            SBR MVP
            • 12-14-13
            • 1440

            #6
            Same here I took

            Oakland ML and Mariners ML Parlay
            Angels -1
            and Orioles, all cashed. Finally a winning day!
            Comment
            • ses_d
              SBR MVP
              • 04-06-12
              • 1248

              #7
              I do agree, not sure how Cards ML and RL cashed with Pitts having so many hits and stranding a million runners. Pathetic lol
              Comment
              • ses_d
                SBR MVP
                • 04-06-12
                • 1248

                #8
                So do the books get their money back with the Cubbies beating up Cueto in the only day game tomorrow?
                Comment
                • R.P. McMurphy
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-15-12
                  • 9654

                  #9
                  Having a hard time figuring out how anyone could have expected a different result in any of those?!? Terrible spot for Tampa, Tribe aside from Kc series have been horrible for weeks and Masterson not himself this year. Aside from that you got most losers that can't hit facing aces for most part? Chi Sox , Kc, Yanks, Stros, Diego, Balty , Philly all doggies that won last night. Sometimes the better teams win too coin. If you were looking for doggie value there was really none on the ones that lost Monday.
                  Comment
                  • NYRin09
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-12-09
                    • 466

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ses_d
                    NYY - pitcher making first start in the majors +139 dog - W
                    O's - against Strasburg as a HUGE dog - W
                    Mets - against a surging Bravos team +115 dog - W
                    KC - against a surging Tampa team +118 dog - W
                    Philles - live dog - W
                    Pads - live dog - W
                    Houston - live dog - W

                    relax, just because the late games were all favorites, doesn't mean the books got killed.
                    I'm not so sure the public was all over NYY/KC either...
                    coin been doing this daily.... picking a big spot or 2-3 games and talking as if those games are some overarching trend. still lots and lots of parity every day and every night... coin losing his head...
                    Comment
                    • BigDofBA
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-30-09
                      • 19313

                      #11
                      The Nats and Sawx lost as close to -200 favorites.

                      The Rays and Rockies lost and were like -130

                      Texas lost and was -148

                      Milwaukee lost and was -138

                      I wouldn't exactly say the public cleaned up yesterday.
                      Comment
                      • Cappinpicks
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-11-10
                        • 14986

                        #12
                        well if you take RL's the winning team always covers, so free $ with that
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Originally posted by BigDofBA
                          The Nats and Sawx lost as close to -200 favorites.

                          The Rays and Rockies lost and were like -130

                          Texas lost and was -148

                          Milwaukee lost and was -138

                          I wouldn't exactly say the public cleaned up yesterday.
                          Public's not always on the favorites, though, Big D. The Rays, for instance, as a big favorite like that vs. Shields was just plain absurd. Same for the Yankees -- always a public team -- against a guy like Masterson.

                          Nats money looked split to me, along with all of the ones you mentioned here. Red Sox was the only big loss.
                          Comment
                          • BigDofBA
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-30-09
                            • 19313

                            #14
                            Good points.

                            Why were Boston and Strasburg close to -200?

                            I made a thread about Strasburg being he most overpriced pitcher in the game the night before and sure enough the Nats lost.

                            Granted it wasn't his fault but still.
                            Comment
                            • R.P. McMurphy
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 06-15-12
                              • 9654

                              #15
                              Public was not on Yanks or Royals either last I saw it was pretty much split. I find myself looking at who the public is on probably too often myself and usually play on the fade side. Had Halos -1 last night tho sometimes just gotta go with common sense also had Yanks @+136 and hit em again +139 the Tribe laying -150 with a shaky Masterson pleeeeese?!?
                              Comment
                              • R.P. McMurphy
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 06-15-12
                                • 9654

                                #16
                                Btw Frisco has not been hitting for a long while now and facing another pitcher Grey they don't know.....So don't be surprised if those "lucky" A's with the horseshoe up their ass win again Coin lol
                                Comment
                                • Big Bear
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 11-01-11
                                  • 43253

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy
                                  Having a hard time figuring out how anyone could have expected a different result in any of those?!? Terrible spot for Tampa, Tribe aside from Kc series have been horrible for weeks and Masterson not himself this year. Aside from that you got most losers that can't hit facing aces for most part? Chi Sox , Kc, Yanks, Stros, Diego, Balty , Philly all doggies that won last night. Sometimes the better teams win too coin. If you were looking for doggie value there was really none on the ones that lost Monday.
                                  most of us here over think shit and find a way to end up on the losing side...
                                  Comment
                                  • whtsox13
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-02-12
                                    • 1401

                                    #18
                                    Questions for those that use these numbers as a factor in your wager; say you see 65% is on a certain team; (a) is that 65% of wagers placed or total money wagered? (b) what is the source of the data and margin of error? Seems a useless angle if you don't know...
                                    Comment
                                    • Big Bear
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 11-01-11
                                      • 43253

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by whtsox13
                                      Questions for those that use these numbers as a factor in your wager; say you see 65% is on a certain team; (a) is that 65% of wagers placed or total money wagered? (b) what is the source of the data and margin of error? Seems a useless angle if you don't know...
                                      very useless in baseball.

                                      very helpful however in football.

                                      its the percentage of bets, not total amount of money.

                                      most use either sbr odds or vegasinsider as the source. Bust trust me its best to ignore the percentages and line movement in MLB.
                                      Comment
                                      • Ronald S.
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 07-02-13
                                        • 344

                                        #20
                                        Coin did you see the huge line moves in HOU/TEX and PHI/MIL? Both teams the line moved against won (HOU & PHI). It's just crazy how these keep hitting this year
                                        Comment
                                        • You mad bro
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-15-12
                                          • 16641

                                          #21
                                          idk who is worse at starting threads with nothing but nonsense

                                          big bear or no coin
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Ronald S.
                                            Coin did you see the huge line moves in HOU/TEX and PHI/MIL? Both teams the line moved against won (HOU & PHI). It's just crazy how these keep hitting this year
                                            I'd really like to see the % of bets that hits with 20 cents or more of line movement the other way. It seems borderline infallible this year to fade that kind of move.
                                            Comment
                                            • Big Bear
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 11-01-11
                                              • 43253

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by You mad bro
                                              idk who is worse at starting threads with nothing but nonsense

                                              big bear or no coin
                                              are you this big of an asshole in real life?

                                              if its a dumb thread you dont have to comment in it.
                                              This is an interesting thread b/c allows you gain insight
                                              and pick each others brain... compare their handicappin strategy to your own etc....
                                              Comment
                                              • You mad bro
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-15-12
                                                • 16641

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                are you this big of an asshole in real life?

                                                if its a dumb thread you dont have to comment in it.
                                                This is an interesting thread b/c allows you gain insight
                                                and pick each others brain... compare their handicappin strategy to your own etc....
                                                a stupid thread followed by a stupid big bear post

                                                and the answer to your question is ... well yeah im an asshole
                                                Comment
                                                • Cappinpicks
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 03-11-10
                                                  • 14986

                                                  #25
                                                  can today be as fukkin easy with RL's? sure wouldnt dare touch a useless +1.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 44 Mag
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 10-14-13
                                                    • 34490

                                                    #26
                                                    Folks, pick a team you like that you think might win, and stick with it. We aren't building space shuttle's here. Everybody OVER analyzes this stuff, it's baseball.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigDofBA
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-30-09
                                                      • 19313

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                      I'd really like to see the % of bets that hits with 20 cents or more of line movement the other way. It seems borderline infallible this year to fade that kind of move.
                                                      I got the Brewers at like -115 and it closed at around -135

                                                      Lost

                                                      I think for Tampa at -108 I think..closed at about -131.

                                                      Lost

                                                      It pisses me off.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • johnnystitches
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 07-02-14
                                                        • 108

                                                        #28
                                                        @nocoincidences.....Are you saying mondays are usually big favorites, or "public" teams? Or has it been that way of late?

                                                        Thanks.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • R.P. McMurphy
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 06-15-12
                                                          • 9654

                                                          #29
                                                          Monday has typically been a night the public does not do so well. Tuesday is really taking ov tho Coin is loving this shit the squares getting their nuts smashed in today after gm1 Reds lol.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • incognitoh
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 02-26-14
                                                            • 353

                                                            #30
                                                            never mind....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Cappinpicks
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-11-10
                                                              • 14986

                                                              #31
                                                              Anyone put a 100 on reds +1000? easy win vs the scrubs
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Smutbucket
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-14-08
                                                                • 3996

                                                                #32
                                                                it pisses me off when you start these threads coin, as if any baseball gambling is "typical" or "easy if you sided with the public" .....I fuking wanna win and its freaking hard to consistently win, I wish it were that easy, but its not, I bet the books are pretty damn good at getting even money and the real public percentages win just as much as they lose..... +/- 5%.....(actually If I had to put money on it I would still bet "the public" lost more than it won)

                                                                good luck with the season though no coin, im officially calling it quits for real this time even though ive debated for a couple weeks and should of before I went on around a -10 unit slide....

                                                                looking forward to seeing your football thread though, nocoin, I need a break from all this madness I usually stop paying attention to baseball after all star break anyways and just look at numbers after season is over/before beginning of next season, best of luck to you the remainder of the season, don't stress any game too hard, I think its knocking years off my life, fuk the public numbers, fuk the line movements, fuk the bookies.....
                                                                Comment
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