Huge line movement in favor of Pads and Tribe again

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Huge line movement in favor of Pads and Tribe again
    Thoughts?
  • KRIT
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-11-14
    • 12878

    #2
    Votto out of the lineup. Think I may just roll with the under in that game.

    Lol at huge line movement in favor of tribe for like like sixth straight game in a row.
    Comment
    • upscope
      SBR MVP
      • 04-26-11
      • 2837

      #3
      Originally posted by No coincidences
      Thoughts?
      Line movement certainly needs to be taken into consideration but you spend WAY too much time trying to figure the meaning of line movements. Time that can be spent figuring out more important aspects of the game IMO.
      This baseball season I've seen big line moves win & big line moves lose. Neither has won or lost enough to conclude that these big line movements really mean that much.
      Comment
      • Smutbucket
        SBR MVP
        • 03-14-08
        • 3996

        #4
        its very simple
        a smart bookie would do it to drive even money and minimize losses and risk
        its hard to believe though that the money would be so lopsided so many games in a row for teams like the Indians without adjustments made to the opening lines
        bookies these days taking more risks?
        only way to really know is to find a site data miner and look for a correlation between these heavy line moves that seem to be happening more and more frequently this season, and the end results.....but my guess would be the correlation wouldn't be very significant....right around 50%,
        I don't even look at any of that shit, whatever the line is when I do my capping is the line I take, too hard to guess IMO what direction lines will move
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Originally posted by upscope
          Line movement certainly needs to be taken into consideration but you spend WAY too much time trying to figure the meaning of line movements. Time that can be spent figuring out more important aspects of the game IMO.
          This baseball season I've seen big line moves win & big line moves lose. Neither has won or lost enough to conclude that these big line movements really mean that much.
          Originally posted by Smutbucket
          its very simple
          a smart bookie would do it to drive even money and minimize losses and risk
          its hard to believe though that the money would be so lopsided so many games in a row for teams like the Indians without adjustments made to the opening lines
          bookies these days taking more risks?
          only way to really know is to find a site data miner and look for a correlation between these heavy line moves that seem to be happening more and more frequently this season, and the end results.....but my guess would be the correlation wouldn't be very significant....right around 50%,
          I don't even look at any of that shit, whatever the line is when I do my capping is the line I take, too hard to guess IMO what direction lines will move
          I was just wondering what your thoughts were on these specific games.
          Comment
          • mgoncalves10
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-01-14
            • 931

            #6
            You think AGon & Puig out of the lineup has anything to do with that..?!
            Comment
            • jed81
              SBR Sharp
              • 07-08-09
              • 341

              #7
              Originally posted by mgoncalves10
              You think AGon & Puig out of the lineup has anything to do with that..?!

              Correct !
              Comment
              • mgoncalves10
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-01-14
                • 931

                #8
                What are you thinking for this game..? Ryu doesn't have great numbers at home, and against left handed batters, he's giving up a .297 BA. The Indians have 5 players who can bat right handed in the starting lineup. And for the Dodgers, Bauer has pitched against the Dodgers once, but has not seen any of their current lineup.

                Was thinking of a No Score 1st inning here.. And as for a side, with Agon & Puig out of the lineup, I'm debating on the Tribe +1.5...

                Thoughts..
                Comment
                • Smutbucket
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-14-08
                  • 3996

                  #9
                  ya and hanley......shit I might even put money on the Indians! or maybe just the under....
                  Comment
                  • KRIT
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-11-14
                    • 12878

                    #10
                    You can get Dodgers TT Over 3.5 -121 at Pinny. Might be another pathetic performance out of the Dodgers offense. Hard to beat what they did yesterday though.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Smutbucket
                      ya and hanley......shit I might even put money on the Indians! or maybe just the under....
                      Hanley's out too? Interesting.
                      Comment
                      • mgoncalves10
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-01-14
                        • 931

                        #12
                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                        Hanley's out too? Interesting.
                        Hanley may be used as a pinch hitter again but he's not in the lineup..

                        And in regards to that No Score 1st.. Ryu has not conceded a run in the first inning this season, while Bauer did in his first 2 games of the season, and in his last outing against the Mariners. But seeing how the Dodgers are missing some key bats, I'm thinking this could have some value.. Anyone else agree?
                        Comment
                        • Tony Williams
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 06-16-14
                          • 974

                          #13
                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                          Hanley's out too? Interesting.
                          Probably going to ride Indians in this one with a lot of big bats out of dodgers lineup. Went to last game Bauer pitched in Cleveland and if he has good stuff. Imploded a bit in 6/7 inning but think he will get it done today
                          Comment
                          • ridims
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-15-10
                            • 3863

                            #14
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            I was just wondering what your thoughts were on these specific games.
                            then say so rather then:


                            Huge line movement in favor of Pads and Tribe again
                            Thoughts?





                            I think you need to stop gambling. period.

                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #15
                              Originally posted by ridims
                              then say so rather then:


                              Huge line movement in favor of Pads and Tribe again
                              Thoughts?





                              I think you need to stop gambling. period.

                              I'm up 260 units -- all track at SBR -- since the start of the 2012 football season. But yeah, I think I should quit too. Good call.
                              Comment
                              • bankroll27
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 07-07-13
                                • 176

                                #16
                                The dodger line up is shit...what you'll be betting on is can ryu shut down the tribe
                                Comment
                                • OMGRandyJackson
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-07-10
                                  • 1680

                                  #17
                                  line moved around on the under too, saw it go from -124 at 3pm to -136 just before game time.
                                  Comment
                                  • drfunkmaster
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-29-08
                                    • 11162

                                    #18
                                    cueto and reds cant win against the pads.
                                    Comment
                                    • OMGRandyJackson
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-07-10
                                      • 1680

                                      #19
                                      How the fukk Hamilton didnt make that dive will be a great mystery. Cueto not looking sharp so far.
                                      Comment
                                      • upscope
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-26-11
                                        • 2837

                                        #20
                                        Nats World Series price just move 5 cents
                                        Something's gotta be UP??

                                        Thoughts??
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by upscope
                                          Nats World Series price just move 5 cents
                                          Something's gotta be UP??

                                          Thoughts??
                                          I must've missed the final scores here -- did the Tribe and Pads win?
                                          Comment
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