It's Monday. Can We Start The Week Off Right..?

RollinDo · 06-23-14, 10:06 AM

Hey man!
Missed seeing your posts!
You are a solid capper...need your insight on here...There are some other good ones too.
Maybe you can chime in with your thoughts on totals in mlb with some of us who have been nailing them lately.

I think Dodgers ML may be the best bet tonight as far as sides, but I absolutely have been bricking sides lately.

What are you leaning toward on Giants game?
Seems like a steep price for ML. After chasing SF for like 4 games during their losing streak, faded them on Sat. Night and of course they win.

Don't see M's losing another one with King Felix on mound.
Already put in bet for Under 6.5...Also like O's Under (1st 5).

mgoncalves10 · 06-23-14, 10:19 AM

I've been busy so at times I don't have much time to post on here. I haven't looked into the MLB games tonight, but I'll share my thoughts this afternoon. What's the price for the Giants ML..?

RollinDo · 06-23-14, 10:24 AM

Giants -157...yikes

mgoncalves10 · 06-23-14, 10:48 AM

To be honest, although Cain has struggled at times, he has good numbers against the Padres. With SD's poor offense, and with a debutante on the mound, I'm surprised the ML isn't higher. I see it going up closer to -175 before first pitch.

RollinDo · 06-23-14, 10:54 AM

You locking in Giants now then?

mgoncalves10 · 06-23-14, 11:03 AM

Originally posted by RollinDo

You locking in Giants now then?

I think I am. Can't see anything that would convince me to think the Padres will win. They aren't good on the road either. I may even take the RL for the Giants later tonight..

RollinDo · 06-23-14, 11:08 AM

Ok. How about Dodgers?
My strongest side of the day has been losing or I decide not to play it and it wins...

farmhouse1 · 06-23-14, 12:49 PM

Yeah i dont like the juice on matt caine so id rather just take a gamble on the run line at + money and or giants first five innings just to avoid that high juice..

mgoncalves10 · 06-23-14, 03:58 PM

Taking a look at the Pirates / Rays game. Volquez got shelled his last time out, and he has an ERA over 5.00 away from PNC Park this season. Cobb has a losing record, but has a respectable ERA. Leaning Rays here.. What are your thoughts..

mgoncalves10 · 06-23-14, 04:01 PM

Also like the Phillies here. Back at home, they've been swinging the bat much better lately. ML is at -109, while even the +1.5 is at -165.. May play the ML, or the RL in a parlay...

RollinDo · 06-23-14, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by mgoncalves10

Taking a look at the Pirates / Rays game. Volquez got shelled his last time out, and he has an ERA over 5.00 away from PNC Park this season. Cobb has a losing record, but has a respectable ERA. Leaning Rays here.. What are your thoughts..

No play here. Think value lies with Pirates. Don't trust Rays bats. Only lean is Pirates Under, but Under 3 is tough to hit.

mgoncalves10 · 06-23-14, 04:05 PM

Just took a look at the Dodgers game.. Guthrie isn't bad, but he isn't Greinke. Given the slide the Royals are on, going up against Greinke may not be what they want to do. Leaning Dodgers here just because of the offensive firepower they have and they have a good record in interleague play..

RollinDo · 06-23-14, 04:25 PM

Originally posted by mgoncalves10

Just took a look at the Dodgers game.. Guthrie isn't bad, but he isn't Greinke. Given the slide the Royals are on, going up against Greinke may not be what they want to do. Leaning Dodgers here just because of the offensive firepower they have and they have a good record in interleague play..

My top side play tonight.
Also took Under 8 at -125 before it went up in price.

mgoncalves10 · 06-24-14, 08:14 AM

Well yesterday sucked.. Giants sucked! Dodgers sucked!.. Hopefully can turn it around today. What are everyone's leans today

RollinDo · 06-24-14, 08:48 AM

Glad you're sticking with it bud!
Yesterday rough for most of us.
I just can't pick any winners! 0 for last 7.
1-1 on Unders yesterday...still a respectable 36-22 mark on those this month.

I have an IF win bet for tonight with 3 plays...will hedge on last game involved if the 2nd and 3rd hit (confident they will)
All are No score 1st Inning Props
A> SD-SF
B> Wash - Mil
C> Pitt-TB)
About a +275 payout

RollinDo · 06-24-14, 08:50 AM

Only side I have is Baltimore with Miguel...was solid last year at home and the O's have been hitting well lately and also have gotten to Quintana in the past....thoughts?

RollinDo · 06-24-14, 08:51 AM

Like the Under 7 in LA-KC...missed it yesterday...line went up on 8.5 from -125 to -138, so went with Under 8 and pushed.
Under is 16-5 in Kershaw ' s last 21 and 11-5-1 in Duffy ' s last 17 at home....sure to be a duel...just a little worried about the post - no hitter that pitchers tend to pitch poorly...but Dodgers lost yesterday and need to rebound with a W.

Like Pitt-TB (U 7)...Locke is very good on the road last 2 seasons and Archer is a flat out stud at home. 2 quality pens.

Giants ML too...give them 1 more shot!!

mgoncalves10 · 06-24-14, 02:12 PM

Kershaw pitching for the Dodgers stands out to me. I do see a lot of people concerned with the post no-hitter issues, but I'm not sure if I want to give into that. Kershaw has only pitched against the KC batters 34 times, limiting them to a .206 BA. Away from home he's sporting a 4-1 record with a 3.08 ERA, opposed to his 3-1 record at home, with a 2.13 ERA.

Danny Duffy on the other hand hasn't been too bad himself, although he has a losing record (4-6, 2.80).. He's actually been much better away from home, than he has been at home. At home, he's 1-2, 4.37 ERA, and away from Kauffman Stadium, he's 3-4, 1.88 ERA.

Coming off a loss last night that not many expected, I see this one being another tight game. Thinking Kershaw keeps the KC bats in check, enough for the offensive weapons of the Dodgers to make an impact..

Dodgers -156 ML... Debating if I want to play it straight, but may take it in a Parlay..

RollinDo · 06-24-14, 02:21 PM

I think the Under 7 is the best bet in this one.

You gonna go with SF one more time?
I just locked it in at -1 (-103).
Givin up on them if they can't win tonight.
The chase ends tonight.

mgoncalves10 · 06-24-14, 02:46 PM

Angels hosting the Twins. The Halos swinging the bat well, and playing well at home. With CJ Wilson on the mound (7-6, 3.34) and (5-1, 2.45) at home, the Angels should have a good opportunity to get another W tonight. Wilson has been better at home than on the road (2-5, 4.28). They are coming off a sweep of the Rangers, and they hit Yu Darvish pretty well.

Now they go up against Kyle Gibson, who has been pitching better as of late. He's 6-5, 3.25 ERA this season, but he's struggled on the road (2-4, 4.93). Fortunately, his record at Target Field has helped him out (4-1, 1.54).

Wilson has help the Twins bats to a .230 BA in 113 at bats, while Gibson has only had 17 meetings with Angels' batters, holding them to a .235 BA.

Playing in Anaheim against an Angels team that has been playing well at home, I'm siding with the Halos to come out on top here.

mgoncalves10 · 06-24-14, 02:47 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

I think the Under 7 is the best bet in this one.

You gonna go with SF one more time?
I just locked it in at -1 (-103).
Givin up on them if they can't win tonight.
The chase ends tonight.

With Tim Hudson on the mound, they should have another good possibility of winning. But will their bats wake up? I sure hope so. I'll most likely be on them..

mgoncalves10 · 06-24-14, 03:11 PM

Looking at the pitching matchup in the Nats/Brewers game, surprised to see the Nats at only -105. Zimmerman has been consistent and his numbers against the Brewers since 2011 are impressive (4-0, 2.19). Meanwhile, Gallardo doesn't have as impressive numbers against the Nats (1-3, 8.88)

Going from the Batting Averages - Brewers batting .273 against Zimmerman in 77 at bats. THe Nats are batting .234 against Gallardo in 145 at bats.

Just going off Gallardo's numbers against the Nats, at -105, I think Zimmerman is worth a shot.

Share your thoughts on this pick and my others.. Let's make some money today.

RollinDo · 06-24-14, 03:25 PM

I would lean Nats too, but Brewers are a good bounce - back team. They are still fairly hot, though if they win, they may only get 3-4 runs vs Zim.
Gallardo very good at home...they will be hungry for a W.
But if you think that Nats will have a series like they did at SF a couple weeks ago, then Nats is the play...just concerned that middle of order for Brewers have hit Zim hard in the past.
I took the Under 8 and 1st Inning No Score.

mgoncalves10 · 06-25-14, 07:56 AM

Well, hit the Dodgers, Nats, Angels... And then the Giants screwed me again. Time to fade them for now, but overall not a bad day. Also hit 2/3 goals in the Ivory Coast/Greece match.. And hit Colombia ML..

Hopefully that carries into today..

RollinDo · 06-25-14, 08:08 AM

Nice job man. I played way too many games and took a hit. My top plays - 2 Unders won, but I tailed 3 Under plays and lost them all! Why am I tailing others when I hit over 60% on totals on my own?

mgoncalves10 · 06-25-14, 08:12 AM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Nice job man. I played way too many games and took a hit. My top plays - 2 Unders won, but I tailed 3 Under plays and lost them all! Why am I tailing others when I hit over 60% on totals on my own?

I tend to do the same thing. I figure out who I want to take, then I come on here and read some of the posts, and I end up changing my mind.. And at times it comes back to bite me in the a$$

Will be posting some picks soon. Let me know what you're looking at for today. Looking at some Tennis picks, some World Cup action and some early baseball..

RollinDo · 06-25-14, 08:15 AM

Don't know jack about tennis...isn't that Sampras dude dominating still?
Haven't watched 1 kick if World Cup yet but will get to see some of US tomorrow.
Early games look horrible to me.
No More Giants!!!

RollinDo · 06-25-14, 08:47 AM

Nats, Tigers, and M's are all I'm seeing today for sides.

mgoncalves10 · 06-25-14, 10:41 AM

For World Cup, I'm riding the U2.5 for both 12:00 games. May also play a live bet or two, but will keep you posted..

mgoncalves10 · 06-25-14, 11:14 AM

Looking at the Nats game, surprised the Nats are at -145 and not higher.. Estrada has had a rough stretch, and he doesn't have an impressive record against the Nats. Strasburg on the other hand hasn't been impressive away from home either (1-4, 4.22).. I think the Nats win here, but not sure if I wanna lay the juice, so could take them RL at +115... Thoughts..? May play the Nats in a parlay with Switzerland..

mgoncalves10 · 06-25-14, 01:37 PM

Angels welcome Pino and Twins back after that high scoring game yesterday. Pino is making his second start, after he didn't get a decision against the White SOx in his debut. Richards has been incredible this season for the Halos (7-2, 2.79) At home, he's 3-1, 4.05 ERA, where as away from Angels Stadium he's 34-1, 1.84 ERA.

The Twins have some hitters that could cause problems as we saw last night, but Richards should be able to hold them down. Also, given how well the Angels are swinging the bat, not sure this is the best matchup for Pino in his second start in the big leagues.

Worth laying the juice on the Angels ML, may play them in a Parlay and may also play the RL, and FF..

Talk me out of it..!?!

mgoncalves10 · 06-25-14, 01:55 PM

Detroit Tigers -150 & possibly RL +105

RollinDo · 06-25-14, 01:57 PM

That's all I got as far as sides.
Tigers ML

Under 8 (Marlins-Phils)
Under 4.5 -1st 5 (AtL-Hou)