SDQL tracker

[BasesLoaded314]

6** 903 padres +119
225-333 (+116) 28.3 (~30) mon
922 late game angels/As 8-103 currently, wait (this will be the short if need be)
June Only 43-146-6 45.4 (~50)
42-99-17 30.3 (~25)
June Only 27-99-2 48.2 (~30) 3
923 late game yankees/ mariners 6.5 +115 currently (lock)
June Only 43-146-6 45.4 (~50)
June Only 27-99-2 48.2 (~30) 3
6** 907 reds/ dodgers 7 -115
June Only 43-146-6 45.4 (~50)
920 tigers white sox 8.5 -107
June Only 43-146-6 45.4 (~50)
June Only 27-99-2 48.2 (~30) 3
6** 906 mets +108
84-107 (+134) 31.3 (~15)
13.3
331-135 (-138) 24.7 (~40) 5
6** 925 cards/rays 7-105
38-89-13 30.8 (~40)
6** 901 cubs/pirates 7.5 -115
21-50-5 30.5 (~30) pot
astros/dbacks 8 -110
36-80-2 31.7 (~10)
rangers/ marlins 8.5-112
36-80-2 31.7 (~10)
912 late game giants -120 currently (wait, dropping)
272-456 (-111) 20.9 (~50) mon
158-359 (-114) 32.0 (~40) 5
920 white sox +141
331-135 (-138) 24.7 (~40)


all totals are UNDERS

[BasesLoaded314]

6-5-1. tough push in Anaheim, tough loss @w sox, lucky win @ pittsburgh

[BasesLoaded314]

mariners/yankees u7-110

pirates/cubs u7 +102
yankees +107
reds dodgers u 7.5 -130 wait, dont drink the juice
mets brewers u 7-105

no action on plays below: tracking only
probation:
reds +135
red sox/indians u8.5-130
pirates -114

padres +103

[BasesLoaded314]

4-1

3-1 on tracking plays

[BasesLoaded314]

Friday June 13th

Marlins -116
Blue Jays/ Orioles u 9-110
Reds +116
Tigers -154
Angels -118
Braves/Angels u7 +117
Brewers/ Reds u 7.5-105
Mariners/Rangers u 7 -130 (wait for better odds @ 6.5)
Phillies/Cubs u 8.5 -120 (wait for better odds @ 8)



tracking only:
Giants/Rockies u 7.5 -110
Red Sox/ Indians u 8.5 -105
Tigers/Twins u 8.5 +112

[BasesLoaded314]

4-4-1

1-2 tracking plays

[BasesLoaded314]

Saturday June 14th

Astros
June only 25-79 (-110) 45.9 (~10)
5 star demotion if loss
17-75 (-100) 63.1 (~10)
Dodgers
306-142 (-112) 31.4 (~30)
476-267 (-104) 26.4
Yankees
158-359 (-114) 32.0 (~40)
202-359 (-112) 22.5 (~40) beware sweepers
183-355 (-110) 27.8 (~35)
dodgers/dbacks
June Only 43-146-6 45.4 (~50)
June Only 27-99-2 48.2 (~30)
tigers/twins
June Only 43-146-6 45.4 (~50)
June Only 27-99-2 48.2 (~30)
Red Sox
91-27 (-175) 23.3 consider RL (~10)
pirates
110-50 (+110) 44.1 (~10)
366-156 (-130) 26.0 (~40)
Mariners/rangers
Juggernaut 2 June Only 28-61-2 30.3 (~10)
Royals
June Only 48-27 (+128) 45.8 (~7)
this will be put on probation regardless of outcome, irreconcilable matchups vs expected result
royals/ w sox
25-111-9 51.8 (~15)
Cardinals/ Nats double play!!!!
38-89-13 30.8 (~40) potential probation??
19-66-7 44.3 (~20) another double play
Angels
202-359 (-112) 22.5 (~40) beware sweepers
Braves
476-267 (-104) 26.4
Cardinals
183-355 (-110) 27.8 (~35)

probation:
Royals
cards nats
pardonable offence, continue to monitor (x2 both sides)
mariners/rangers
pardonable offence, continue to monitor
aka JuneJuly High Volume 75-286-18 48.7 (~75)

rehab:
As/yankees
Juggernaut 4 112-270-21 33.2 (~100)
braves/angels
Juggernaut 4 112-270-21 33.2 (~100)

[BasesLoaded314]

cleaned up a little bit:

Astros
Dodgers
Yankees
dodgers/dbacks
tigers/twins
Red Sox
pirates
Mariners/rangers
Royals
royals/ w sox
Cardinals/ Nats
Angels
Braves
Cardinals
As/yankees
braves/angels



probationary results, for record keeping only:
Royals
cards nats
mariners/rangers

[BasesLoaded314]

note*** all probationary plays are superseded by approved results. 16 plays will be graded at 6.25% of bankroll each, no time for split sessions tomorrow

[BasesLoaded314]

final card. (14 plays =7.1% ea, 2 offsetting plays removed) (pending final line approval)

Astros +108 grab
Dodgers -134 grab?
Yankees +150 grab
dodgers/dbacks u 7.5-120 wait
tigers/twins u 8.5 -108 grab
Red Sox -137 wait
pirates -112 grab
Mariners/rangers u 8 -110 grab
Royals -107 grab
royals/ w sox u 8.5 -110 grab
Cardinals/ Nats u 6.5 +112 grab
Cardinals +121 grab???
As/yankees u7-105 grab
braves/angels wait (7.5-118)

[BasesLoaded314]

8-6 tonight, nice little profit. Daniel webb and Ernesto frieri can go f themselves

[BasesLoaded314]

906 Phillies/Cubs u7.5-103
907 Reds +110
910 Cardinals -117
910 Cardinals/Nats u7 +120
914 Dodgers/ Diamondbacks u7.5-105
916 Tigers RL +135
918 Orioles/Blue Jays u9 (even)
924 Astros +156
925 Yankees +163

[hyahya]

Nice job, not easy for us sdql guys today, appreciate the thread.

[BasesLoaded314]

Nice job, not easy for us sdql guys today, appreciate the thread.

only managed 4-4-1 today unfortunately. tigers only won by one and I took a bad line at plus money for a push @ cards/nats

[BasesLoaded314]

951 phillies +131
958 diamondbacks -106
959 rockies +181
961 indians/angels over 8.5 +102
964 tigers/royals over 8.5 (even)
966 redsox/ twins u 9.5-115
968 rays -114
969 rangers +158

[hyahya]

A couple of plays from the sdql thread you may have missed:

24% in 280 samples
Under brewers
Under Rays

32% in 400 samples
Under mariners

[emceeaye]

Thanks,

Do you happen to have the exact queries for those 2?

A couple of plays from the sdql thread you may have missed:

24% in 280 samples
Under brewers
Under Rays

32% in 400 samples
Under mariners

[BasesLoaded314]

Thanks,

Do you happen to have the exact queries for those 2?

month = 6 and streak = 1 and F and 7 > s:SRA and 8 > os:SRA and (ss:SRA != 1 or ss:SRA != 2) and (sss:SRA > 4 or sss:SRA < 3) and SG < 4 and 15 > p:hits > 5 and op:hits > 6 and 14 > pp:hits and 26 > op:LOB > 5

H and month > 5 and season > 2009 and 1.2 > tA(BPRA) > .6 and 8 > (s:SRA - os:SRA) > -4 and (p:hits + os:walks) < 15 and month != 8 and s:SRA < 6 and os:SRA < 5 and 30.7 > (p:SIP + pp:SIP + ppp:SIP + pppp:SIP) > 18.7 and (op:SIP + opp:SIP + oppp:SIP + opppp:SIP) > 19.4 and total > 6.4 and pu margin > -6.6 and streak < 5 and o:streak < 6 and -8 < ou streak < 4 and os:SPT < 123 and team != Twins and team != Red Sox and o:team != Indians and (s:SSO + ss:SSO + sss:SSO + ssss:SSO) > 9 and (s:SSO + ss:SSO + sss:SSO) < 26 and (os:SSO + oss:SSO + osss:SSO + ossss:SSO + osssss:SSO) > 13 and (os:SSO + oss:SSO + osss:SSO + ossss:SSO) < 31



no action on these 3 for me, they are on probation for poor results

[BasesLoaded314]

emceeaye, do u post in other forums under the name BCap?

[emceeaye]

Bases,
No, but when figue posted about those other forums earlier, I went there and discovered "bcap"--He's running a chase system of some kind if I'm remembering correctly.

[emceeaye]

Yes, interesting. That's exactly why I wanted to see them.

month = 6 and streak = 1 and F and 7 > s:SRA and 8 > os:SRA and (ss:SRA != 1 or ss:SRA != 2) and (sss:SRA > 4 or sss:SRA < 3) and SG < 4 and 15 > p:hits > 5 and op:hits > 6 and 14 > pp:hits and 26 > op:LOB > 5

H and month > 5 and season > 2009 and 1.2 > tA(BPRA) > .6 and 8 > (s:SRA - os:SRA) > -4 and (p:hits + os:walks) < 15 and month != 8 and s:SRA < 6 and os:SRA < 5 and 30.7 > (p:SIP + pp:SIP + ppp:SIP + pppp:SIP) > 18.7 and (op:SIP + opp:SIP + oppp:SIP + opppp:SIP) > 19.4 and total > 6.4 and pu margin > -6.6 and streak < 5 and o:streak < 6 and -8 < ou streak < 4 and os:SPT < 123 and team != Twins and team != Red Sox and o:team != Indians and (s:SSO + ss:SSO + sss:SSO + ssss:SSO) > 9 and (s:SSO + ss:SSO + sss:SSO) < 26 and (os:SSO + oss:SSO + osss:SSO + ossss:SSO + osssss:SSO) > 13 and (os:SSO + oss:SSO + osss:SSO + ossss:SSO) < 31



no action on these 3 for me, they are on probation for poor results

[emceeaye]

Bases,

I ran a few high % hit rate queries (consistent over the years) earlier that pointed to Tigers/Royals under. But when I noticed that verlander has been allowing a ton of runs lately and then saw your over pick, it turned into a no-play.

951 phillies +131
958 diamondbacks -106
959 rockies +181
961 indians/angels over 8.5 +102
964 tigers/royals over 8.5 (even)
966 redsox/ twins u 9.5-115
968 rays -114
969 rangers +158

[BasesLoaded314]

5-3, huge moose in Cleveland. angels had 5 chances to score a run and they blew it grrr

[BasesLoaded314]

906 cubs/marlins u7 +112 grab
908 cardinals wait, -161
908 cardinals mets u7 +105 grab
910 diamondbacks wait +111
910 dbacks/brewers u8.5 +107 grab
914 indians -101 grab
914 indians angels u9+107 grab
920 red sox twins u8.5 -122 wait for 8
922 rays orioles u8-118 wait for 7.5
928 nats -123 wait
929 giants -113 wait?

[BasesLoaded314]

31-23-3 on regular plays. avg ods right around even, maybe slightly plus money

[emceeaye]

nice job yesterday overall!

By any chance, do you have a query for the Detroit/royals over? It would be useful to counter this low N one favoring the under:

10>=total>=8.5 and Sum(hits@team and season)/Sum(at bats@team and season)<=265 and o:STDSERA<=3.5 and o:conference=AL and s:SWA>=4 and ss:SWA>=4 and 20100828<=date

Thanks

[BasesLoaded314]

nope, nothing popped up for the total. I have one that supports the royals, but its a no play due to poor performance

some pitching changes have voided 3 bets, heres what will be graded tonight

248613446-1 6/17/14 11:28am $23.83 $14.62 Pending 6/17/14 8:15pm MLB Baseball 908 St. Louis Cardinals -163* vs New York Mets (J Niese - L must Start M Wacha - R must Start)

248613335-1 6/17/14 11:27am $22.58 $21.50 Pending 6/17/14 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 921 Baltimore Orioles/Tampa Bay Rays Under 7½ -105* (M Gonzalez - R must Start E Bedard - L must Start)

248613270-1 6/17/14 11:26am $22.70 $23.84 Pending 6/17/14 9:40pm MLB Baseball 910 Arizona Diamondbacks +105* vs Milwaukee Brewers (K Lohse - R must Start W Miley - L must Start)
248613270-2 6/17/14 11:26am $22.05 $21.00 Pending 6/17/14 7:10pm MLB Baseball 919 Minnesota Twins/Boston Red Sox Under 8 -105* (P Hughes - R must Start J Lester - L must Start)

248599455-1 6/17/14 6:17am $22.50 $18.29 Pending 6/17/14 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 928 Washington Nationals -123* vs Houston Astros (D Keuchel - L must Start T Roark - R must Start)

248597602-1 6/17/14 4:23am $22.50 $19.91 Pending 6/17/14 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 929 San Francisco Giants -113* vs Chicago White Sox (M Cain - R must Start J Danks - L must Start)

248597475-1 6/17/14 4:13am $22.72 $25.45 Pending 6/17/14 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 905 Chicago Cubs/Miami Marlins Under 7 +112* (J Samardzija - R must Start J Turner - R must Start)
248597475-2 6/17/14 4:13am $22.72 $23.86 Pending 6/17/14 8:15pm Reduced Baseball 907 New York Mets/St. Louis Cardinals Under 7 +105* (J Niese - L must Start M Wacha - R must Start)
248597475-3 6/17/14 4:13am $22.72 $24.31 Pending 6/17/14 9:40pm Reduced Baseball 909 Milwaukee Brewers/Arizona Diamondbacks Under 8½ +107* (K Lohse - R must Start W Miley - L must Start)
248597475-4 6/17/14 4:13am $22.95 $22.72 Pending 6/17/14 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 914 Cleveland Indians -101* vs Los Angeles Angels (M Shoemaker - R must Start J Tomlin - R must Start)
248597475-5 6/17/14 4:13am $22.72 $24.31 Pending 6/17/14 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 913 Los Angeles Angels/Cleveland Indians Under 9 +107* (M Shoemaker - R must Start J Tomlin - R must Start)

[BasesLoaded314]

holy cow, I just noticed the line movement @ Astros/nats. I wish I had another book so I could arb this one

[b1slickguy]

With you tonight on a couple of those unders.
Good luck.

[emceeaye]

I was on some of those unders as well...damn Nats, and Indians!

[BasesLoaded314]

3-4-1, bad night

[BasesLoaded314]

951 phillies +152
951 phillies braves u 7.5 +112
958 pirates -112
961 rockies +202
968 redsox/ twins u8.5 +105
976 white sox -128 wait

[BasesLoaded314]

was drunk last night, missed a few qualified plays:

twins
nats/Astros under

[BasesLoaded314]

951 phillies +152
951 phillies braves u 7.5 +112
958 pirates -112
961 rockies +202
968 redsox/ twins u8.5 +105
976 white sox -138
twins +171
nats Astros u8-101

[BasesLoaded314]

3-5, another poor night. added on 2 losers doh!


small card tomorrow. offsetting plays on red sox & As= no action

Astros +147
Reds +106



probationary, tracking only:
As/Red Sox u7.5-115
Cards/ Phillies u8 +110