5/4 Sunday's plays

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  • jay89
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-04-13
    • 671

    #1
    5/4 Sunday's plays
    MARLINS TT O4 +100
    NYY TT O4.5 -116
    DET ML -125
    ASTROS TT O4 -116
    TEX TT O3.5 -116
    CWS-CLE O4.5 FF -120 (SIA)
    TOR-PIT O8 -125 (SIA)


    feel free to ask my reasoning
  • flabrah5
    SBR MVP
    • 11-11-12
    • 1743

    #2
    Marlins TT is +100 for you? My book has it at -115.

    Love this play regardless. GL
    Comment
    • jay89
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 08-04-13
      • 671

      #3
      Now at -105 on pinnacle.

      Fife 7.08 ERA in the minors AAA. Marlins with 5+ runs in the past 5 home games. Full lineup this afternoon. I'd back Fernandez, but the Dodgers can hit when it matters
      Comment
      • flabrah5
        SBR MVP
        • 11-11-12
        • 1743

        #4
        Yup, Im with you. Marlins are just too hot right now. Dont care who wins, but see them posting some big numbers.

        What are your thoughts on CWS o3.5?
        Comment
        • PorkChop
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-18-08
          • 8193

          #5
          White Sox over 3.5
          Comment
          • Bullywully
            SBR High Roller
            • 04-16-14
            • 215

            #6
            I like the Marlins to win this sunday ball game
            Comment
            • jay89
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 08-04-13
              • 671

              #7
              CWS o3.5 burned me yesterday, but betting on masterson was my downfall. 1-1 on CWS team totals this weekend.

              Rienzo has not pitched well his past few starts and look at his last game vs CLE.
              Kluber will allow a couple but I'm not sure if CWS can cash in a lot runs...this series they've been garbage with clutch hitting with RISP


              I would think CWS will have a breakout game, but the safe bet here would be FF over, betting on both sides IMO.


              GL
              Comment
              • jay89
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 08-04-13
                • 671

                #8
                Originally posted by Bullywully
                I like the Marlins to win this sunday ball game
                Dodgers are 4-1 on their road trip. They've got 31 runs in those 5 games. If Jose is "DUE", it would be today.
                Comment
                • jay89
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 08-04-13
                  • 671

                  #9
                  Good start for the marlins, keep those bats going!
                  Comment
                  • flabrah5
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-11-12
                    • 1743

                    #10
                    Yes sir - keep em coming.

                    Hope Cleveland and CWS can get some runs. Go ahead of myself with that homer in the 1st.
                    Comment
                    • jay89
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 08-04-13
                      • 671

                      #11
                      Originally posted by flabrah5
                      Yes sir - keep em coming.

                      Hope Cleveland and CWS can get some runs. Go ahead of myself with that homer in the 1st.
                      2-out hitting, clutch hitting is absent in this series...maybe I'm expecting too much but some real flat hitting so far

                      2-2 LAD-marlins...good for team totals, it'll push the marlins to produce
                      Comment
                      • flabrah5
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-11-12
                        • 1743

                        #12
                        That o7 in the Marlins/Dodgers is looking real nice. Was about to do that, but landed with Marlins TT. Lets hope they both hit

                        Big run by the Indians too

                        Comment
                        • jay89
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 08-04-13
                          • 671

                          #13
                          Originally posted by flabrah5
                          That o7 in the Marlins/Dodgers is looking real nice. Was about to do that, but landed with Marlins TT. Lets hope they both hit

                          Big run by the Indians too

                          yep, if LAD makes Jose pitch, it'll bring in the miami shady bullpen... would have been nice but still early

                          Indians are back on pace... 2 runs in 2 innings please
                          Comment
                          • jay89
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 08-04-13
                            • 671

                            #14
                            Grand slam rasmus

                            4-1 jays, through 1 full inning
                            Comment
                            • flabrah5
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-11-12
                              • 1743

                              #15
                              Do you really think its possible the Marlins dont get 4 runs this game after getting 2 in the 1st?

                              Comment
                              • jay89
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 08-04-13
                                • 671

                                #16
                                Originally posted by flabrah5
                                Do you really think its possible the Marlins dont get 4 runs this game after getting 2 in the 1st?

                                marlins cannot sustain a rally... the long ball has helped us. hopefully the LAD bullpen can give us something.

                                Need LAD to score, keep pushing the marlins to produce.
                                Comment
                                • jay89
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 08-04-13
                                  • 671

                                  #17
                                  first loss on the FF CLE-CWS game.. CWS is COLD
                                  Comment
                                  • flabrah5
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-11-12
                                    • 1743

                                    #18
                                    Marlins with the push at minimum -

                                    CWS sucks.
                                    Comment
                                    • PorkChop
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-18-08
                                      • 8193

                                      #19
                                      How the hell are the WhiteSox the second highest scoring team in the majors? Losers
                                      Comment
                                      • jay89
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 08-04-13
                                        • 671

                                        #20
                                        couple of 15+ run games, couple of 9+ run games. in blowouts, they don't face the best pitching = junk runs
                                        unfortunately, junk runs count the same


                                        that's my thinking anyways. shouldn't have discounted the fact that kluber is a K-machine and pitched decent against CWS a few weeks ago
                                        Comment
                                        • whtsox13
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-02-12
                                          • 1401

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by PorkChop
                                          White Sox over 3.5
                                          Well played
                                          Comment
                                          • jay89
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 08-04-13
                                            • 671

                                            #22
                                            unbelievable, missed the angle on that. makes the loss worse but what can ya do..

                                            yankees were garbage today.
                                            Miami should have gotten that walk in the bottom 7th with bases loaded... borderline called strike. tied game now, lets hope the marlins get a run in the bottom of the 9th...

                                            Jays-pirates - need 1 more run...

                                            Tigers dominate, verlander on a sunny sunday afternoon. Not sure why anyone would even think of going KC

                                            SEA-HOU - need houston to score a couple more with 5 left

                                            TEX - 3 in the first inning, need one more in 8 innings to seal the deal


                                            A so-so day today, need to sweat out some runs here!
                                            Comment
                                            • remeedella
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-17-12
                                              • 4089

                                              #23
                                              how happy are you guys with the CWS o3.5. I played ML. I just hate betting on a team that tries so hard, swings at air, screws with your head and comes out at the very absolute last second to blow your mind. Got it done though
                                              Comment
                                              • jay89
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 08-04-13
                                                • 671

                                                #24
                                                can never count the white sox out. they have 29 runs in the 9th inning this year. probably a meaningless stat, but I've seen the past month they hit huge home runs to steal a game
                                                Comment
                                                • PorkChop
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-18-08
                                                  • 8193

                                                  #25
                                                  Cannot believe White Sox cashed in top of 9th. Awesome.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jay89
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 08-04-13
                                                    • 671

                                                    #26
                                                    MARLINS CASH. thanks to the dodgers for the 9th inning push! great effort from puig though
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jay89
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 08-04-13
                                                      • 671

                                                      #27
                                                      Marlins tt o4 +100 win
                                                      nyy tt o4.5 -116 loss
                                                      det ml -125 win
                                                      astros tt o4 -116 win
                                                      tex tt o3.5 -116 win
                                                      cws-cle o4.5 ff -120 (sia) loss
                                                      tor-pit o8 -125 (sia) win
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jay89
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 08-04-13
                                                        • 671

                                                        #28
                                                        Sunday nighter:

                                                        Adding Cubs TT Over 3 -112.


                                                        Detailed analysis:

                                                        Great value here IMO. Unsure about hammel and the cardinals, they will be trying to avoid the sweep. Cubs hit up Wainwright and Wacha, Lynn isn't exactly a stopper. Lynn's allowed runs in his past few starts, and he has less favorable splits at wrigley and lefts are hitting him well (+6 LHB in the lineup tonight). Lynn career-wise is less better on the road than home. (this year is a short sample size, he's been better on the road) Finally, the cubs have put up 3+ runs in all 5 games vs the cards so far this year.

                                                        My prediction: 5-4 type of game, could go either way. but there is a greater chance the Lynn will not hold the cubs to 2 or less runs.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • flabrah5
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-11-12
                                                          • 1743

                                                          #29
                                                          I like it too - seems almost to good to be true. Lets hope not.

                                                          Lynn has a 7.71 ERA in his last 3 starts at Wrigley.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jay89
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 08-04-13
                                                            • 671

                                                            #30
                                                            Rizzo and castro couldn't do squat.... hammel gets 2 in RISP and cashes them in. that's baseball

                                                            1 more run, 2 would be great
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jay89
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 08-04-13
                                                              • 671

                                                              #31
                                                              Wild pitch scores a run, push at the very least. Need the cubs bullpen to hold it together for the cubs to pull together a run
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jay89
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 08-04-13
                                                                • 671

                                                                #32
                                                                cash it! valbuena single handedly saved my ticket

                                                                called the 5-4 type of game, did I not?
                                                                Comment
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